Isaac Collins — OGILVIE

Isaac CollinsLF Kansas City Royals

Age 29 S/R 5'8" / 188 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 1.128 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION315 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 105113vR 132

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .341 / .372

PA210

HR4

SB5

K%22

BB%12

BABIP300

ISO133

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.4%

xwOBA

560.316

POWER40

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE60

Chase%

9012.2%

SPEED55

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 512 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

169

343

—

wRC+

125

▶▶R

wOBA

311

348

▶R

ISO

169

119

◀◀L

BABIP

271

355

▶▶R

23.1%

23.0%

—

BB%

8.3%

14.6%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.128 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$7M	+$5M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$19M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	443	393	100	20	5	5	35	145	10	21	6	254	331	369	700	115	385	33	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	443	373	115	25	5	9	55	100	10	21	6	308	411	475	885	166	396	23	12	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	448	394	72	20	3	5	39	115	8	30	8	183	270	287	557	104	244	26	9	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	448	375	83	24	4	5	58	90	8	30	8	221	338	347	685	125	278	20	13	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	376	313	78	17	2	8	52	83	6	29	9	249	367	393	760	144	310	22	14	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	376	290	78	13	2	10	75	55	6	29	9	269	429	431	860	162	297	15	20	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	519	459	110	22	5	15	48	130	8	25	5	240	322	407	730	168	299	25	9	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	519	434	116	28	7	14	73	106	8	25	5	267	383	461	843	194	321	20	14	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	441	372	100	23	3	9	57	93	6	16	7	269	375	419	794	151	333	21	13	351	127	+13	+0	-0	-5	+12	2.2
2025	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	441	372	98	22	3	9	57	93	6	16	7	263	370	411	781	148	326	21	13	349	125	+13	+0	-0	-5	+12	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	KC	—	315	267	64	16	1	5	38	72	6	5	4	240	347	363	711	124	307	23	12	319	102	+1	-1	-3	-3	+9	0.3
YTD	29	MLB	KC	—	315	267	64	16	1	5	38	72	6	5	4	240	347	363	711	124	307	23	12	322	105	+2	-1	-3	-3	+9	0.4
ROS	29	MLB	KC	100%	210	180	43	10	1	4	25	47	3	5	2	239	341	372	714	133	301	22	12	325	107	+2	+0	+2	-2	+6	0.8
ROS	29	MLB	KC	100%	210	180	43	10	1	4	25	47	3	5	2	239	341	372	714	133	297	22	12	310	95	-1	+0	+2	-2	+6	0.5
FULL	29	MLB	KC	—	525	447	107	26	2	9	63	119	9	10	6	239	345	367	712	128	304	23	12	315	99	-0	-0	-1	-6	+15	0.7
TOT	29	MLB	KC	—	525	447	107	26	2	9	63	119	9	10	6	239	345	367	712	128	304	23	12	321	104	+2	-0	-1	-6	+15	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	KC	98%	456	391	92	21	2	8	55	104	7	10	4	235	340	361	701	125	299	23	12	322	104	+2	+0	+2	-5	+13	1.3
2028	31	MLB	KC	98%	441	378	88	20	2	8	53	102	7	9	4	233	338	360	698	127	295	23	12	317	101	+0	+0	+1	-5	+12	1.0
2027	30	MLB	KC	98%	447	384	89	20	2	8	53	102	7	10	4	232	336	357	692	125	295	23	12	306	93	-4	+0	+2	-5	+13	0.7
2028	31	MLB	KC	98%	432	370	85	19	2	7	52	100	7	9	3	230	336	349	684	119	291	23	12	302	89	-5	+1	+1	-5	+12	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1549	1323	317	71	8	28	189	352	23	41	16	240	345	369	713	129	304	23	12	316	100	-0	+2	+5	-22	+44	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	133	30	3	12	79	148	10	17	7	240	345	369	714	130	304	23	12	316	100	-0	+1	+2	-9	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	3334	2880	683	153	23	62	364	819	55	145	45	237	334	371	705	134	307	25	11	314	99	-5	+11	+5	-36	+94	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	133	30	4	12	71	160	11	28	9	237	334	369	703	132	308	25	11	314	99	-1	+2	+1	-7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	364	311	97	22	4	9	40	80	8	20	5	312	404	495	899	183	389	22	11	394	159	+24	+2	—	—	+10	3.8
2021	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	79	62	18	3	1	0	15	20	2	1	1	290	443	371	814	81	429	25	19	381	149	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	448	375	83	24	4	5	58	90	8	30	8	221	338	347	685	125	278	20	13	311	96	-2	+3	—	—	+13	1.4
2023	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	376	290	78	13	2	10	75	55	6	29	9	269	429	431	860	162	297	15	20	387	154	+23	+2	—	—	+11	3.7
2024	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	118	211	118	328		286	53	11	169	-13	-2	+0	-0	-6	+1	-0.8
2024	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	500	417	114	28	7	14	71	96	8	24	5	273	389	475	864	201	322	19	14	381	150	+28	+3	—	—	+14	4.6
2025	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	441	372	98	22	3	9	57	93	6	16	7	263	370	411	781	148	326	21	13	349	125	+13	+0	-0	-5	+12	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	460	389	100	22	3	9	59	103	6	17	7	257	363	398	762	141	325	22	13	342	120	+10	+1	-1	-10	+13	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	6	3,147	84	34	257	336	412	-36	-3	9.0	9.0
#1Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	/162	664	18	7	257	336	412	-7.6	-0.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Tuckerlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA	7	2,732	71	71	253	340	419	-23	-26	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	17	17	253	340	419	-5.5	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 7
#3Kosuke Fukudomelast yr '12 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,276 PA	5	2,276	42	29	258	359	395	-16	-25	5.8	5.8
	/162	664	12	8	258	359	395	-4.6	-7.3	1.7	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,154	41	57	244	344	378	-23	-9	5.8	5.8
	/162	664	13	17	244	344	378	-7.1	-2.9	1.8	pk7: 6
#4Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#4Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Fred Lewislast yr '11 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	5	1,727	27	53	266	344	405	-19	-21	3.5	3.5
#5Fred Lewislast yr '11 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	/162	664	10	20	266	344	405	-7.1	-7.9	1.3	pk7: 3
#6Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Isaac Collins (OGILVIE)	29	50	40	55	60	239/345/367	128	304	9	10	23%	12%	104	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Eric Campbell 2016 · MLB	29	52→57	44→45	49→50	55	251/340/370	119	306	10	14	20%	10%	105	+2.1	241/327/351	110	299	9	12	21%	10%	95	+1.4	233/322/348	115	288	10	9	21%	10%	90	+0.7
●Abraham Almonte 2018 · MLB	29	51→55	44→55	56→55	49	245/304/380	135	300	9	15	21%	8%	92	+1.2	215/294/369	154	267	14	12	24%	10%	85	+0.7	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
✕Desi Relaford 2003 · MLB	29	54→52	44→45	51→55	56	261/343/385	124	296	11	17	16%	10%	110	+2.4	241/311/352	111	271	9	15	14%	8%	89	+0.9	229/304/329	100	259	8	15	14%	8%	75	+0.0
●Tony Kemp 2021 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	50→55	56	242/325/364	122	271	11	15	15%	10%	98	+1.6	246/334/367	121	271	11	13	13%	10%	102	+1.9	238/327/349	110	260	9	15	12%	10%	93	+0.9
●Ryan Roberts 2010 · MLB	29	52	45→50	53→55	54	252/328/382	130	297	12	14	19%	10%	102	+1.9	232/304/371	139	275	15	16	21%	9%	90	+1.0	227/302/364	136	262	16	13	19%	9%	85	+0.5
●Kazuo Matsui 2005 · MLB	29	54→60	44→45	52→60	50	262/322/388	127	313	10	15	19%	8%	102	+1.8	257/309/370	113	303	8	19	17%	6%	91	+1.1	273/327/388	115	317	7	30	15%	7%	100	+1.2
●César Hernández 2019 · MLB	29	56→62	43→50	51→55	59	267/358/380	113	326	11	15	20%	12%	115	+2.7	262/333/391	129	311	13	8	19%	9%	107	+2.2	256/323/391	134	300	14	4	19%	8%	100	+1.5
✕Desmond Jennings 2016 · MLB	29	49→59	46→50	50→60	52	240/313/374	135	282	12	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	211/274/343	132	260	15	10	24%	8%	71	-0.3	184/246/310	126	224	16	7	26%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Ryan Langerhans 2009 · MLB	29	50→40	45→50	52→50	55	236/330/368	132	318	11	12	27%	12%	100	+1.7	228/317/377	149	309	16	13	29%	11%	98	+1.6	212/307/368	156	289	19	13	31%	11%	89	+0.6
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	49→50	48→55	53	226/316/384	158	294	16	10	27%	11%	99	+1.7	225/326/370	145	307	12	18	28%	12%	100	+1.7	222/332/370	148	300	12	19	27%	12%	99	+1.1
✕Ehire Adrianza 2019 · MLB	29	50→49	44→50	49→50	47	246/300/373	127	294	11	11	20%	7%	89	+0.9	243/316/374	131	294	11	6	20%	9%	96	+1.5	241/326/373	132	289	11	1	19%	10%	97	+0.5
●Cameron Maybin 2016 · MLB	29	52→60	43→50	53→55	50	253/312/363	110	300	10	19	19%	8%	91	+1.1	257/330/374	117	312	10	25	19%	10%	101	+1.8	254/334/367	113	310	9	28	19%	10%	98	+1.2
●Daniel Nava 2013 · MLB	30	48→58	45→50	48→45	53	235/323/367	132	284	12	8	21%	9%	98	+1.6	254/338/368	114	309	11	6	20%	9%	104	+2.0	255/342/355	101	314	9	4	20%	9%	100	+1.2
✕Jeff Salazar 2009 · MLB	28	49→51	46→50	54→55	53	240/315/380	141	284	11	13	19%	9%	97	+1.5	217/278/333	116	261	13	22	21%	8%	69	-0.4	202/265/306	104	242	13	28	22%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Maicer Izturis 2010 · MLB	29	58→61	44→45	52→55	56	279/342/400	121	296	10	16	10%	8%	113	+2.6	267/330/381	114	295	8	16	12%	8%	103	+1.9	264/327/362	98	296	6	19	12%	8%	93	+0.7
●D'Angelo Jimenez 2007 · MLB	29	50→56	44→45	45→50	62	244/335/365	120	270	11	12	14%	12%	102	+1.8	246/327/369	123	270	12	9	13%	11%	99	+1.7	262/343/395	133	293	13	4	14%	11%	111	+1.7
✕Jace Peterson 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→50	53→55	57	220/314/331	111	272	8	17	21%	12%	85	+0.7	239/317/393	154	292	15	18	22%	10%	102	+1.8	243/319/402	159	297	17	19	23%	9%	101	+1.2
●Mike Tauchman 2021 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	55	53	247/325/405	159	301	15	16	22%	10%	108	+2.3	232/324/367	135	305	13	11	26%	11%	98	+1.6	244/350/366	121	305	13	6	22%	13%	107	+1.6
✕Todd Linden 2008 · MLB	28	51→53	47→55	53→45	48	245/322/386	141	327	14	10	28%	9%	102	+1.8	252/321/402	150	345	15	8	29%	8%	105	+2.1	248/314/406	158	338	16	5	30%	8%	99	+1.2