Isaac Collins

LF Kansas City Royals
Age 30 S/R 5'8" / 188 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 2.128 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202427AAAMIL500.273/.389/.475142496—.234/.319/.388
202427MLBMIL19.118/.211/.118011-0.8
202528MLBMIL441.263/.370/.4119161251.8
202629MLBKC519.213/.322/.3216887-0.6
2027PROJ30MLBKC401.223/.328/.34469960.4
2028PROJ82% MLB31MLBKC313.218/.322/.3324491-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.128First FA2031
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.2M2029Ext$2M2030Ext$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd71
Speed52
xwOBA47
Avg EV40
Barrel%25
Form.206/.324/.306 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .225/.327/.350
CompsCooper Hummel (age 29) · Abraham Almonte (age 30) · Ryan Roberts (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9696vR 96
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .328 / .344
PA401
HR6
SB9
K%22
BB%12
BABIP281
ISO116
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -4.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +8.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.60.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
240.230
POWER40
Barrel%
255.0
Avg EV
4088.4
Bat Spd
7173.6
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
5227.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%25%▼▼27% over 73 PA (60d) · proj 22%
BB%14%▲▲16% over 73 PA (60d) · proj 12%
ISO.100▼.034 over 59 AB (60d) · proj .125
HR/BB1.9%▼0.0% over 39 BBE (60d) · proj 2.6%
BABIP.276▼.128 over 39 BIP (60d) · proj .283
SLASH.206/.324/.306▼▼proj .225/.327/.350
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 512 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
169
343
—
wRC+
97
122
▶▶R
wOBA
311
348
▶R
ISO
169
119
◀◀L
BABIP
271
355
▶▶R
K%
23.1%
23.0%
—
BB%
8.3%
14.6%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.128 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$2M
2028Arb-1$0.2M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $2M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202124 A+Spokane Indians — 364311 972249 40808 205 312404495899 183389 2211 394 95 — — — — — —
202124 AFresno Grizzlies — 7962 18310 15202 11 290443371814 81429 2519 381 81 — — — — — —
202225 AAHartford Yard Goats — 448375 832445 58908 308 221338347685 125278 2013 311 58 — — — — — —
202326 AABiloxi Shuckers — 376290 7813210 75556 299 269429431860 162297 1520 387 106 — — — — — —
202427 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 1917 2000 2100 10 118211118328 286 5311 169 1 -2 +0 -0 -6 +0 -0.8
202427 AAANashville Sounds — 500417 11428714 71968 245 273389475864 201322 1914 381 96 — — — — — —
202528 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 441372 982239 57936 167 263370411781 148326 2113 349 125 +13 +0 -0 -5 +10 1.8
202629 MLBKansas City Royals — 519442 942436 641207 85 213322321643 109276 2312 295 87 -8 -0 -3 -6 +11 -0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 979831 19446615 12322313 2512 233341357699 124299 2313 317 101 +1 +0 -4 -16 +21 0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202124 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 364324 831836 271128 205 256329386714 130354 317 309 95 — — — — — —
202124 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 7968 15210 9282 11 221329279609 59385 3511 288 81 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 448393 752034 401098 308 191279288566 97248 249 254 58 — — — — — —
202326 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 376315 761528 50736 299 241356378734 137278 1913 325 106 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 1917 2000 2100 10 118211118328 286 5311 169 1 -2 +0 -0 -6 +0 -0.8
202427 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 500441 10323611 471178 245 234319388706 154285 239 310 96 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 441372 1002439 57936 167 269375422797 153326 2113 352 125 +13 +0 -0 -5 +10 1.8
202629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 519442 942436 641207 85 213322321643 109276 2312 297 87 -8 -0 -3 -6 +11 -0.6
202124 A+ MLE2 teams — 443392 982046 3614010 216 250329367696 117368 328 305 93 — — — — — —
202124 A+ RAW2 teams — 443373 1152559 5510010 216 308411475885 166396 2312 391 93 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 448393 752034 401098 308 191279288566 97253 249 254 58 — — — — — —
202225 AA RAWHartford Yard Goats — 448375 832445 58908 308 221338347685 125278 2013 311 58 — — — — — —
202326 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 376315 761528 50736 299 241356378734 137286 1913 325 106 — — — — — —
202326 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 376290 7813210 75556 299 269429431860 162297 1520 387 106 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLE2 teams — 519458 10523611 491278 255 229315378692 148290 249 305 92 — — — — — —
202427 AAA RAW2 teams — 519434 11628714 731068 255 267383461843 194321 2014 373 92 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 441372 1002439 57936 167 269375422797 153333 2113 352 125 +13 +0 -0 -5 +10 1.8
202528 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 441372 982239 57936 167 263370411781 148326 2113 349 125 +13 +0 -0 -5 +10 1.8
202629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 519442 942436 641207 85 213322321643 109276 2312 297 87 -8 -0 -3 -6 +11 -0.6
202629 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 519442 942436 641207 85 213322321643 109276 2312 295 87 -8 -0 -3 -6 +11 -0.6
202124 A+ MLE2 teams — 443394 982046 3614010 216 249329365694 117360 328 305 93 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLEHartford Yard Goats — 448397 752034 401098 308 189279285564 96248 249 254 58 — — — — — —
202326 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 376317 761528 50736 299 240356375731 136278 1913 325 106 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLE2 teams — 519457 10523611 491278 255 230315379693 149285 249 305 92 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 441375 1002439 57936 167 267375419793 152326 2113 352 125 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 519443 942436 641207 85 212322321642 108276 2312 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 AAA MLE2 teams — 519457 10523611 491278 255 230315379693 149285 249 305 92 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 441375 1002439 57936 167 267375419793 152326 2113 352 125 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 519443 942436 641207 85 212322321642 108276 2312 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEKC 100% 484417 942238 581096 113 225330350679 124283 2312 310 96 -3 +1 +1 -5 +10 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXKC 100% 401345 761826 48905 92 223328344671 121281 2212 307 96 -2 +1 +1 -4 +9 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEKC 82% 382328 721726 46875 52 220324338662 118278 2312 303 91 -4 +0 -2 -4 +8 -0.2
202831 MLB CTXKC 82% 313269 591424 37724 41 218322332654 114277 2312 300 91 -3 +0 -2 -3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12921100 25360819 16029517 2913 230337351688 121295 2312 313 93 -3 +1 -5 -19 +28 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650553 12830410 801489 157 231338354692 123296 2312 313 93 -1 +0 -3 -10 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 35293045 6981612557 39083955 14344 229328355682 125295 2411 306 93 -5 +1 -5 -24 +38 0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650561 12930510 7215510 268 230328355683 125297 2411 306 93 -2 +1 -2 -9 +14 0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAANashville Sounds · 500 PAwOBA .373 → .310 (−64)K% 19.2% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.20%÷0.983×1.200——23.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.80%÷1.014×0.690—×1.0039.41%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.940—×1.0031.51%
Singles /BIP20.25%÷0.951×0.930×0.967×1.00319.19%
Doubles /BIP8.72%÷1.010×0.830×0.967×1.0036.95%
Triples /BIP2.18%÷1.150×0.970×0.967×1.0031.78%
Home runs /BIP4.36%÷0.909×0.700—×1.0033.37%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .373 → .310; ISO .201 → .162; BABIP .322 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 376 PAwOBA .382 → .325 (−57)K% 14.6% → 19.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.63%÷0.924×1.220——19.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.95%÷1.000×0.680—×0.98813.41%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.840—×0.9881.32%
Singles /BIP22.55%÷0.988×0.920×0.994×0.98820.61%
Doubles /BIP5.53%÷0.827×0.910×0.994×0.9885.98%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷0.900×0.880×0.994×0.9880.82%
Home runs /BIP4.26%÷1.055×0.800—×0.9883.19%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .382 → .325; ISO .162 → .147; BABIP .297 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 448 PAwOBA .303 → .254 (−49)K% 20.1% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.09%÷1.006×1.220——24.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.72%÷1.002×0.700—×0.9988.87%
HBP% /PA1.79%—×0.850—×0.9981.51%
Singles /BIP17.54%÷1.032×0.970×0.999×0.99816.43%
Doubles /BIP8.42%÷1.035×0.860×0.999×0.9986.98%
Triples /BIP1.40%÷1.150×0.950×0.999×0.9981.16%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷0.992×0.780—×0.9981.38%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .303 → .254; ISO .125 → .105; BABIP .278 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Spokane Indians · 364 PAwOBA .388 → .309 (−79)K% 22.0% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.98%÷0.967×1.350——30.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.99%÷1.052×0.710—×0.9887.33%
HBP% /PA2.20%—×0.810—×0.9881.76%
Singles /BIP26.84%÷0.966×0.910×1.016×0.98825.39%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷0.976×0.830×1.016×0.9888.13%
Triples /BIP1.73%÷0.900×0.820×1.016×0.9881.58%
Home runs /BIP3.90%÷1.211×0.830—×0.9882.64%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .388 → .309; ISO .183 → .135; BABIP .389 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AFresno Grizzlies · 79 PAwOBA .368 → .288 (−80)K% 25.3% → 35.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.32%÷0.972×1.360——35.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.72%÷1.014×0.690—×0.98011.81%
HBP% /PA2.53%—×0.780—×0.9801.94%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.967×0.920—×0.98031.09%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.057×0.830—×0.9805.50%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷1.132×0.910—×0.9801.88%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.218×0.800—×0.9800.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 126, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .368 → .288; ISO .081 → .060; BABIP .429 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).