Tyler Tolbert

CF Kansas City Royals

Age 29 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.837 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	AANorthwest Ark…	462	.260/.340/.354	4	40	59	—	.229/.290/.313
2025	27	MLBKC	57	.280/.333/.380	1	21	97	0.5
2026	28	MLBKC	148	.285/.350/.392	3	22	109	0.5
2027PROJ	29	MLBKC	284	.229/.299/.327	5	32	81	0.5
2028PROJ82% MLB	30	MLBKC	262	.226/.295/.319	4	26	78	0.1
2029PROJ82% MLB	31	MLBKC	250	.222/.290/.309	4	20	74	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.837First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$1M2031Ext$2M2032Ext$3M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed90

Bat Spd54

xwOBA38

Barrel%10

CompsJarrod Dyson (age 29) · Billy Hamilton (age 28) · Dairon Blanco (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .299 / .327

PA284

HR5

SB32

K%24

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO102

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 44 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT44

Whiff%

904.0%

xAVG

430.246

POWER38

Barrel%

102.8

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE80

Chase%

9010.1%

SPEED73

Sprint

9029.3

Platoon Splits2025 · 57 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

110

▶▶R

wOBA

295

331

▶R

ISO

161

—

BABIP

240

467

▶▶R

17.1%

22.7%

◀◀L

BB%

2.9%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.837 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	ROK	AZL Royals	—	174	140	31	2	1	0	22	41	7	26	0	221	355	250	605	29	304	24	13	287	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	6	0	4	0	188	316	438	753	250	222	32	16	335	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	347	283	62	10	7	5	51	95	8	49	2	219	354	357	711	138	308	27	15	323	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	517	447	100	20	10	4	55	125	5	60	0	224	316	340	656	116	297	24	11	294	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	152	128	38	9	1	2	23	32	0	15	1	297	404	430	834	133	383	21	15	374	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	518	143	24	10	10	40	127	8	50	8	276	337	419	756	143	346	22	7	333	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	90	78	11	2	0	0	9	25	2	8	1	141	247	167	414	26	208	28	10	205	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	462	393	102	21	2	4	38	103	10	40	4	260	340	354	694	94	340	22	8	304	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	39	36	8	4	0	0	2	9	1	5	2	222	282	333	615	111	296	23	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	307	97	-0	+3	-1	+1	+1	0.5
2025	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	115	98	26	5	0	3	9	30	3	11	4	265	345	408	754	143	343	26	8	326	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	148	130	37	5	0	3	12	31	1	22	4	285	350	392	742	108	351	21	8	324	109	+2	+3	-0	-3	+3	0.5
2026	28	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	86	73	19	2	0	0	12	21	0	8	0	260	365	288	652	27	365	24	14	306	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	205	180	51	7	0	4	13	42	4	43	6	283	345	389	734	106	343	20	6	320	102	+1	+6	-1	-2	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	149	23	1	1	0	13	59	7	26	0	154	254	174	429	20	230	34	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	19	17	3	1	0	1	2	8	0	4	0	176	263	412	675	235	184	42	11	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	347	301	49	8	5	3	33	133	8	49	2	163	263	252	516	90	266	38	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	517	468	88	16	9	3	34	156	5	60	0	188	250	280	530	92	264	30	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	530	124	18	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	234	283	353	636	119	305	27	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	90	81	10	2	0	0	6	31	2	8	1	123	202	148	350	25	200	34	7	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	462	406	93	18	2	4	25	127	10	40	4	229	290	313	603	84	297	27	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	312	97	-0	+3	-1	+1	+1	0.5
2025	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	115	100	22	4	0	2	7	36	3	11	4	220	291	320	611	100	296	31	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	148	130	37	5	0	3	12	31	1	22	4	285	350	392	742	108	351	21	8	329	109	+2	+3	-0	-3	+3	0.5
2026	28	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	86	77	19	2	0	0	8	25	0	8	0	247	318	273	590	26	350	29	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	149	23	1	1	0	13	59	7	26	0	154	254	174	429	20	247	34	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	—	174	140	31	2	1	0	22	41	7	26	0	221	355	250	605	29	304	24	13	287	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	318	52	9	5	4	35	141	8	53	2	164	263	261	524	97	274	39	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	366	299	65	11	7	6	54	101	8	53	2	217	352	361	713	144	304	28	15	324	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	669	609	114	20	12	4	44	202	5	75	1	187	248	279	527	92	270	30	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	669	575	138	29	11	6	78	157	5	75	1	240	336	360	696	120	317	23	12	312	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	530	124	18	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	234	283	353	636	119	310	27	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	518	143	24	10	10	40	127	8	50	8	276	337	419	756	143	346	22	7	333	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	591	523	111	22	2	4	33	168	13	53	7	212	276	285	561	73	303	28	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	591	507	121	27	2	4	49	137	13	53	7	239	322	323	645	85	318	23	8	287	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	172	150	36	6	0	3	8	47	6	32	6	240	305	340	645	100	317	27	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	172	148	40	7	0	4	10	41	6	32	6	270	341	399	740	128	336	24	6	319	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	234	207	56	7	0	3	20	56	1	30	4	271	338	348	686	77	356	24	9	305	92	-2	+4	-0	-3	+5	0.5
2026	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	234	203	56	7	0	3	24	52	1	30	4	276	355	355	710	79	356	22	10	318	92	-2	+4	-0	-3	+5	0.5
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	152	23	1	1	0	13	59	7	26	0	151	254	171	425	20	230	34	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	320	52	9	5	4	35	141	8	53	2	163	263	259	523	97	262	39	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	669	615	114	20	12	4	44	202	5	75	1	185	248	276	524	91	264	30	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	533	124	18	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	233	283	351	634	118	305	27	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	591	540	111	22	2	4	33	168	13	53	7	206	276	276	552	70	281	28	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	172	156	36	6	0	3	8	47	6	32	6	231	305	327	632	96	306	27	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	234	211	56	7	0	3	20	56	1	30	4	265	338	341	679	76	350	24	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	591	540	111	22	2	4	33	168	13	53	7	206	276	276	552	70	281	28	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	172	156	36	6	0	3	8	47	6	32	6	231	305	327	632	96	306	27	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	234	211	56	7	0	3	20	56	1	30	4	265	338	341	679	76	350	24	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	KC	100%	284	256	59	9	1	5	22	69	4	32	6	232	301	334	635	102	295	24	8	288	81	-6	+4	-0	+1	+6	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	KC	100%	284	256	59	9	1	5	22	69	4	32	6	229	299	327	626	98	292	24	8	284	81	-6	+4	-0	+1	+6	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	KC	82%	320	289	65	10	1	5	24	79	4	31	6	228	298	326	623	97	293	25	8	283	78	-8	+4	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	KC	82%	305	275	63	10	1	5	23	77	4	24	5	224	293	316	608	92	290	25	8	277	74	-10	+3	-3	+1	+7	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	KC	82%	262	236	54	9	1	4	20	65	4	26	5	226	295	319	614	93	290	25	8	280	78	-7	+3	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	KC	82%	250	226	51	8	1	4	19	63	3	20	4	222	290	309	600	88	287	25	8	274	74	-8	+2	-2	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	717	642	156	24	2	12	52	170	11	89	15	243	311	343	653	100	310	24	7	289	61	-14	+12	-5	-0	+16	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	142	22	2	11	47	154	10	81	14	244	311	345	657	101	310	24	7	289	61	-13	+11	-4	-0	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3689	3306	703	112	32	42	250	1051	60	406	45	213	280	304	584	91	295	28	7	259	61	-24	+17	-6	+1	+24	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	124	20	6	7	44	185	11	72	8	213	281	304	584	91	296	28	7	259	61	-14	+10	-4	+1	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	4.3	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
/162	664	5	62	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#2Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Deion Sanders'89-'01 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,325 PA	3.5	2,325	39	186	254*	311*	399*	-1	-4	4.9	5.7
/162	664	11	53	-0.4	-1.2	1.4	pk7: 6
#4Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.5	1,002	17	121	239	303	337	+4	-1	2.6	2.6
/162	664	12	80	+2.4	-0.8	1.7	pk7: 3
#5Ed Stroud'66-'71 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,500 PA	2.3	1,500	14	72	245*	312*	375*	-6	-0	2.5	2.5
/162	664	6	32	-2.7	-0.2	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Tom Goodwin'91-'04 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,315 PA	6.5	4,315	24	369	255*	316*	327*	-0	-2	0.9	2.2
/162	664	4	57	-0.0	-0.3	0.1	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Tolbert (OGILVIE)	29	44	38	73	80	229/299/331	101	295	5	32	24%	8%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jarrod Dyson 2014 · MLB	29	52→57	38→45	71→70	50	245/306/328	84	297	4	55	18%	8%	81	-0.1	250/310/344	94	300	5	56	17%	7%	86	+0.3	254/319/358	104	292	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.5
✕Billy Hamilton 2019 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	67→70	48	241/300/333	92	307	5	44	22%	8%	80	-0.2	221/280/315	94	297	6	34	26%	8%	69	-0.9	158/208/235	77	253	4	47	37%	6%	22	-1.0
✕Dairon Blanco 2024 · MLB	31	53→50	45	72→70	44	257/318/384	127	330	12	66	25%	6%	99	+1.3	234/296/356	122	301	12	65	25%	6%	85	+0.2	211/270/327	116	266	14	82	25%	6%	67	-0.4
✕José Caballero 2024 · MLB	27	47→45	44→45	63→70	57	228/349/346	118	284	11	43	22%	12%	104	+1.6	229/307/349	120	299	12	51	26%	8%	88	+0.4	225/297/344	119	294	12	58	26%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2024 · MLB	29	43→50	47→50	62→65	42	219/269/356	137	274	14	39	26%	6%	74	-0.5	219/265/353	134	280	14	41	26%	6%	72	-0.7	209/250/335	125	273	13	52	28%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2024 · MLB	28	51→55	41→45	69→70	44	239/301/343	105	333	7	54	29%	7%	83	+0.1	244/312/344	100	338	8	38	28%	8%	88	+0.4	245/318/331	86	342	7	38	28%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Tyler Wade 2024 · MLB	29	49→58	39→45	61→60	47	234/299/321	87	306	7	42	25%	8%	78	-0.3	224/293/294	70	295	5	29	24%	8%	70	-0.9	213/289/252	39	283	1	26	23%	9%	58	-0.6
✕Freddy Guzman 2009 · AAA	28	52→61	39→45	70	50	246/300/340	94	284	5	49	15%	7%	82	-0.0	227/272/320	93	267	6	44	16%	6%	66	-1.1	267/319/375	107	317	7	77	17%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	51→54	37→40	62→65	45	239/296/315	76	301	3	42	21%	6%	75	-0.5	227/279/302	75	285	6	31	21%	5%	65	-1.2	230/270/276	46	284	3	38	19%	4%	52	-1.6
✕Todd Donovan 2007 · AAA	28	50→52	39→40	63→65	45	238/292/325	87	288	6	42	19%	6%	76	-0.4	230/294/306	76	290	4	37	20%	8%	72	-0.7	225/302/289	64	290	2	42	21%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Rajai Davis 2010 · MLB	29	58→64	41→50	67→70	49	277/331/392	116	322	7	52	16%	6%	105	+1.7	265/309/375	110	314	7	50	17%	5%	93	+0.8	264/312/409	145	311	13	43	19%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Jason Bourgeois 2012 · MLB	30	57→58	38→45	63→65	48	270/309/352	82	300	5	44	12%	5%	87	+0.4	242/284/318	76	270	5	27	12%	5%	70	-0.8	241/275/316	76	274	5	14	14%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Eric Young Jr. 2014 · MLB	29	55→60	39→45	65	52	260/323/359	99	309	5	41	17%	8%	95	+0.9	228/290/310	82	281	4	40	19%	7%	72	-0.7	233/288/340	107	291	8	24	22%	6%	76	-0.3
●Michael Bourn 2011 · MLB	28	56→62	38→45	67→65	52	261/327/350	88	324	4	47	20%	9%	94	+0.9	273/334/374	101	346	5	39	21%	8%	102	+1.5	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Justin Christian 2007 · AA	27	52→54	42→45	67→65	47	250/299/362	112	291	8	44	17%	6%	86	+0.3	245/284/342	97	286	6	38	16%	5%	76	-0.4	250/305/367	117	278	9	30	13%	6%	88	+0.3
●Scott Podsednik 2005 · MLB	29	55→64	44→45	66→65	53	264/329/389	125	297	10	47	15%	8%	104	+1.6	263/327/358	95	308	5	45	15%	8%	96	+1.0	289/340/382	93	329	6	34	13%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Gilberto Mejia 2013 · AAA	30	49→58	38→40	63→65	50	232/292/321	88	281	5	42	19%	8%	74	-0.5	255/311/350	95	312	5	40	19%	6%	88	+0.4	264/319/359	95	323	4	44	18%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Greg Allen 2024 · MLB	31	48→57	43→45	64→65	46	227/323/344	117	300	10	43	26%	8%	94	+0.9	215/293/329	114	285	9	28	27%	6%	79	-0.2	202/278/307	105	272	7	27	27%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Mallex Smith 2021 · MLB	28	51→61	41→45	65	48	242/308/351	110	307	7	40	22%	8%	88	+0.4	218/292/319	101	302	9	31	29%	9%	75	-0.5	197/280/280	83	292	10	40	33%	10%	58	-0.3
✕Tony Campana 2014 · MLB	28	54→64	35→30	66→70	44	249/298/308	59	331	3	50	25%	7%	73	-0.6	228/273/287	59	292	2	26	21%	5%	59	-1.7	231/266/285	54	284	1	24	18%	4%	52	-1.5

Tyler Tolbert

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps