Jefferson ValladaresC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 215 proj PA
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .230 / .279
PA215
HR4
K%28
BB%5
ISO108
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -15.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +6.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.3262830
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE20
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202119 ROKDSL Dodgers Shoemaker 6150 13210 5135 43 260383340723 80342 218 303 90
202119 ROKDSL Dodgers Shoemaker 6147 14210 8105 43 298450383833 85368 1613 384 152
202220 ROKDSL LAD Mega 183155 39512 84619 56 252363335698 84343 254 310 95
202220 ROKDSL LAD Mega 183147 49823 163019 56 333462476938 143400 169 423 182
202321 ROKACL Dodgers 8670 15202 7237 40 214345329674 114277 278 305 92
202321 ROKACL Dodgers 8666 18303 11167 40 273429455883 182306 1913 393 159
202422 A2 teams 7666 13310 6223 00 197293273566 76289 298 250 50
202422 A2 teams 7664 17410 8153 00 266373359733 94340 2011 334 114
202523 A2 teams 267239 36907 129612 41 151228276504 126207 364 222 28
202523 A2 teams 267234 461307 176712 41 197285342627 145238 256 283 74
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBMIN 215198 34714 10605 31 172230278508 106223 285 233 36 -15 +0 +0 +4 +6 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBMIN 30% 261240 44916 13726 41 183243304547 121230 285 243 44 -16 +0 +0 +5 +7 -0.4
202826 MLBMIN 44% 330302 551117 18897 51 182245295539 113235 275 250 49 -19 +1 +0 +6 +9 -0.3
202927 MLBMIN 49% 365333 631228 21988 51 189254309563 120237 276 254 52 -20 +1 +0 +7 +10 -0.2
203028 MLBMIN 51% 386352 671329 231048 51 190256315571 125238 276 255 53 -20 +1 -1 +7 +11 -0.3
202725 MLBMIN 30% 7872 13302 4212 10 181244306549 125230 275 227 32 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202826 MLBMIN 44% 146134 25513 8403 21 187248306554 119235 275 234 38 -10 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
202927 MLBMIN 49% 179163 31614 10484 31 190254313567 123238 276 239 41 -12 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.4
203028 MLBMIN 51% 199181 35715 12544 31 193259326585 133238 276 240 42 -13 +0 -0 +4 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 602550 10421314 3416313 93 189253315567 125239 276 237 39 -41 +1 -0 +11 +17 -1.4
/ 162G 650594 11223315 3717614 103 189253313566 125239 276 237 39 -45 +1 -0 +12 +18 -1.5
Career 22302005 379731045 12362380 3915 189264303566 114247 286 254 53 -119 +2 -1 +40 +63 -1.6
/ 162G 650584 11021313 3618223 114 188262301564 113246 286 254 53 -35 +1 -0 +12 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202119 ROKDSL Dodgers Shoemaker 6147 14210 8105 43 298450383833 85368 1613 384 152 +4 -0 +2 0.5
202220 ROKDSL LAD Mega 183147 49823 163019 56 333462476938 143400 169 423 182 +17 -1 +5 2.1
202321 ROKACL Dodgers 8666 18303 11167 40 273429455883 182306 1913 393 159 +6 +1 +2 0.9
202422 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 5648 13410 5112 00 271364396759 125342 209 338 117 +1 +0 +2 0.3
202422 ROKACL Dodgers 2016 4000 341 00 250400250650 333 2015 322 105 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202523 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 7566 17402 6183 00 258347409756 152326 248 342 120 +2 +0 +2 0.4
202523 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 192168 29905 11499 41 173261315576 143203 266 260 57 -9 +0 +5 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
38171812184244301+15+12-1.0-0.5
/1626641410+11.9+9.8-0.8pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jefferson Valladares (OGILVIE) 24 20 40 45 20 172/230/279 107223 43 28% 5% 36 -1.0
Joseph Odom
2016 · A
24 36 43→45 42→30 41 186/243/296 110256 114 31% 7% 45 -2.1 217/257/323 106294 103 28% 5% 57 -1.2 199/254/31811933012241%6%52-0.6
Grae Kessinger
2022 · AA
24 37→28 42→45 48→50 40 187/248/281 94262 1115 32% 6% 43 -2.2 194/265/312 118265 1414 31% 8% 59 -1.1 189/267/30011124911727%9%56-0.5
Riccio Torrez
2014 · AA
24 39→33 40 47→45 40 193/253/283 89242 85 23% 4% 46 -2.0 204/256/297 93274 78 27% 5% 50 -1.7 159/184/229692284432%2%-3-1.0
Barrett Kleinknecht
2012 · A
24 40→35 43→50 46→45 39 200/235/307 107236 118 21% 3% 44 -2.1 206/247/325 119248 136 22% 4% 54 -1.4 209/248/34914024416222%4%60-0.4
Chris Okey
2019 · AA
24 34 41→45 48→40 36 174/228/264 89257 95 35% 6% 30 -3.1 192/248/306 114290 134 36% 6% 50 -1.7 203/255/30710428610231%5%49-0.5
Max Burt
2021 · AA
24 39 40→45 44→55 34 192/239/277 84280 96 34% 4% 38 -2.6 202/254/321 119291 1316 34% 5% 56 -1.3 193/249/316123274142134%6%50-0.9
Braeden Schlehuber
2012 · AA
24 38 40→45 44→40 40 187/233/279 92227 85 22% 4% 37 -2.7 206/252/318 112249 125 22% 4% 55 -1.4 200/245/30910823412320%3%47-0.8
Ismael Alcantara
2023 · AA
24 38→28 45 50 37 195/254/318 123282 1312 35% 6% 56 -1.3 212/270/305 93320 917 34% 6% 59 -1.1 219/278/2927333972435%6%54-0.9
Willie MacIver
2021 · A
24 35→33 41→45 49→55 36 182/228/277 95252 99 31% 4% 33 -2.9 190/258/311 121280 1415 35% 7% 56 -1.3 225/305/348123321111831%8%83+0.3
Will Banfield
2023 · AA
23 34→35 44→50 45→30 34 182/222/296 114253 123 33% 4% 36 -2.7 197/235/324 127272 153 33% 4% 49 -1.8 194/236/29610226912032%4%39-1.2
Dennis Ortega
2021 · A
24 40 39→45 46→45 41 195/242/275 80253 76 25% 5% 38 -2.6 200/251/280 80312 67 36% 6% 43 -2.2 185/236/252672976538%6%26-1.0
Jeff Arnold
2012 · A
24 36 45→50 49→40 37 188/243/307 119268 125 34% 6% 49 -1.8 209/267/348 139309 135 35% 6% 69 -0.4 200/257/34214130113336%5%59-0.5
José Briceño
2018 · AA
25 35 43→45 47→45 39 180/213/279 99219 117 24% 4% 27 -3.3 207/248/349 142253 199 27% 5% 61 -1.0 197/236/34715023522427%4%54-0.4
Brian Valichka
2007 · A
23 39 41→40 46→45 39 196/244/292 96255 98 27% 4% 44 -2.1 213/261/306 93290 67 27% 5% 54 -1.4 216/261/301852974527%5%50-0.5
David Masters
2017 · A
24 34→36 38→45 40 40 171/227/239 69231 64 28% 6% 24 -3.6 188/253/283 95260 102 30% 7% 46 -2.0 194/263/33113726618133%7%59-0.5
Taylor Snyder
2019 · A
24 38→31 43→50 46→50 34 189/235/299 110285 1011 36% 5% 42 -2.3 188/238/321 133290 1512 39% 5% 50 -1.8 159/216/313154231211441%7%37-1.4
Nick Quintana
2022 · A
24 33→39 43→45 47→45 45 172/254/283 111243 116 33% 9% 47 -1.9 188/273/293 105265 115 31% 9% 58 -1.2 172/265/2689524010330%10%45-1.0
Joe Donovan
2023 · A
24 35 43→45 51→40 35 174/245/285 111285 117 41% 6% 44 -2.1 197/254/306 109317 95 39% 5% 53 -1.5 196/252/3141183019036%4%50-0.7
Trent Giambrone
2018 · A
24 40→41 43→50 41→55 40 203/250/302 99268 127 29% 5% 50 -1.8 207/262/350 143271 1817 30% 6% 67 -0.5 185/246/322137242171931%7%51-1.1
Mariel Bautista
2021 · A
23 40→34 42→45 49→50 38 201/251/299 98265 1015 28% 5% 49 -1.8 209/254/332 123305 1311 34% 5% 59 -1.1 181/215/331150258171137%3%42-0.5