Noah Owen — OGILVIE

Noah Owen P ACL Angels

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%23.0%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%14.2%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	8	3	18	71	25	3	1	38%	2.2	23.9%	5.3%	18.7%	1.9%	2.00	2.80	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	8	3	18	71	25	3	1	38%	2.2	35.2%	4.2%	31.0%	1.4%	2.00	1.54	—
2022	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	19	106	473	83	32	20	83%	4.6	13.0%	8.0%	5.0%	4.7%	5.16	5.59	—
2022	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	19	106	473	83	32	20	83%	4.6	17.5%	6.8%	10.8%	4.2%	5.16	4.89	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	22	1	46	209	34	19	7	5%	2.1	12.5%	10.5%	2.1%	4.1%	6.07	5.63	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	22	1	46	209	34	19	7	5%	2.1	16.3%	9.1%	7.2%	3.3%	6.07	4.84	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	21	100	21	6	2	0%	1.9	15.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.0%	5.57	2.74	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	21	100	21	6	2	0%	1.9	15.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.0%	5.57	2.74	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	21	100	21	6	2	0%	1.9	21.0%	6.0%	15.0%	2.0%	5.57	3.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	LAA	10	0	11	46	11	4	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.8%	14.2%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.9%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	4.34	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	8.9%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	4.34	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	8.9%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.95	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.9%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		64	23	191	853	120	71	32	36%	3.0	14.1%	8.3%	5.8%	3.8%	5.13	5.03	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	24	200	892	125	74	34	36%	3.0	14.1%	8.3%	5.8%	3.8%	5.13	5.03	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noah Owen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	23.0%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.34	23.0%	14.1%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	76
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	75
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	72
Ryan Brown R 2024 · 3.11 FIP	23	SW	3.11	20.3%	8.6%	1.2%	.292	6.78	9.4%	3.8%	34	+3.67	3.11	103	72
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	71
Angel Guzman R 2007 · 3.13 FIP	25	SW	3.13	20.3%	7.0%	1.6%	.330	4.25	19.2%	11.4%	61	+1.12	3.13	147	71
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	71
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	71
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	71
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	71
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	71
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	71
TJ Shook R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	26	SW	4.15	23.7%	8.7%	3.5%	.317	3.92	20.0%	11.1%	107	-0.23	3.35	452	70
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	70
John Ely R 2011 · 4.38 FIP	25	SW	4.38	23.2%	10.7%	3.4%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	113	70
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	70
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	70
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	70
Clay Condrey R 2002 · 3.18 FIP	26	SW	3.18	15.1%	6.6%	0.9%	.232	5.41	14.9%	4.8%	34	+2.23	3.18	250	70
P.J. Walters R 2010 · 4.93 FIP	25	SW	4.93	17.1%	7.8%	4.2%	.293	5.05	14.1%	5.6%	101	+0.12	3.97	230	69