Rafael EscalanteC
FCL Twins
Age 24
R/R
5'10" / 160 lbs
ROK
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.7 · 2030
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .270 / .298
PA61
HR1
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $4M | $-2M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 112 | 93 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .151 | .288 | .280 | .568 | .129 | .164 | 17 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -6 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL PIT Black | 111 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .186 | .288 | .216 | .505 | .031 | .257 | 24 | 8 | .233 | 37 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 121 | 102 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .157 | .289 | .235 | .525 | .078 | .219 | 24 | 12 | .249 | 49 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 115 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .192 | .298 | .283 | .581 | .091 | .230 | 21 | 12 | .259 | 56 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | FCL Twins | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .333 | .400 | .733 | .200 | .250 | 33 | 17 | .325 | 107 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 61 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .262 | .286 | .548 | .089 | .286 | 30 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | MIN | 105 | 95 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .221 | .288 | .347 | .636 | .126 | .289 | 29 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | MIN | 216 | 195 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .215 | .285 | .338 | .624 | .123 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 42% | MIN | 286 | 258 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .221 | .292 | .345 | .637 | .124 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .287 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | MIN | 332 | 299 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 94 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .217 | .289 | .338 | .627 | .120 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | MIN | 354 | 319 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 101 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .216 | .288 | .342 | .629 | .125 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 72% | MIN | 367 | 331 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 106 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .215 | .286 | .335 | .621 | .121 | .288 | 29 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 90% | MIN | 353 | 318 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .286 | .330 | .616 | .116 | .287 | 29 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 332 | 299 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .280 | .318 | .597 | .110 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 298 | 269 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .277 | .309 | .586 | .104 | .284 | 31 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 253 | 229 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .197 | .267 | .293 | .560 | .096 | .282 | 31 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3434 | 3074 | 636 | 114 | 19 | 64 | 288 | 967 | 46 | 28 | 10 | .207 | .285 | .319 | .603 | .112 | .278 | 28 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -124 | +2 | -20 | +61 | +97 | 1.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 183 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .208 | .287 | .321 | .608 | .113 | .279 | 28 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -23 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 112 | 87 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .207 | .378 | .414 | .792 | .207 | .208 | 12 | 13 | .359 | 133 | +4 | -1 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL PIT Black | 111 | 91 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .275 | .405 | .330 | .735 | .055 | .342 | 16 | 14 | .348 | 125 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 121 | 93 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .226 | .405 | .355 | .760 | .129 | .300 | 19 | 20 | .357 | 131 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 115 | 90 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .256 | .412 | .367 | .779 | .111 | .284 | 13 | 20 | .361 | 134 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | FCL Twins | 18 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .308 | .500 | .538 | 1.038 | .231 | .375 | 22 | 28 | .460 | 210 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Rafael Escalante (OGILVIE) | 24 | — | — | — | — | .204/.270/.298 | .094 | .286 | 1 | 1 | 30% | 7% | 57 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A |
24 | 37 | 42→55 | 52→40 | 39 | .188/.235/.290 | .102 | .252 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .209/.253/.332 | .123 | .291 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.236/.303 | .112 | .269 | 12 | 1 | 33% | 5% | 42 | -0.7 |
|
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A |
24 | 43 | 40→45 | 49→40 | 42 | .208/.266/.303 | .094 | .290 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.293/.327 | .116 | .322 | 12 | 4 | 35% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .200/.291/.320 | .120 | .304 | 13 | 2 | 35% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A |
25 | 39 | 41→45 | 48→30 | 44 | .192/.259/.283 | .091 | .263 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .208/.276/.329 | .121 | .293 | 14 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .201/.273/.323 | .122 | .280 | 15 | 1 | 32% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 37→35 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 37 | .190/.236/.299 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .194/.260/.318 | .124 | .282 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A |
24 | 33→40 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .172/.252/.279 | .107 | .245 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.275/.301 | .110 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .177/.269/.279 | .102 | .246 | 10 | 3 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Wynston Sawyer 2016 · A |
24 | 43 | 40→45 | 52→45 | 45 | .209/.265/.303 | .094 | .264 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .224/.299/.333 | .109 | .288 | 9 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.313/.341 | .115 | .287 | 11 | 2 | 23% | 9% | 84 | +0.2 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A |
24 | 38 | 44→50 | 45→30 | 40 | .187/.254/.308 | .121 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .202/.276/.338 | .136 | .333 | 13 | 4 | 40% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .191/.269/.325 | .133 | .318 | 14 | 1 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 45 | .213/.275/.318 | .106 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.308/.313 | .097 | .284 | 6 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.315/.303 | .093 | .277 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A |
24 | 43→37 | 43→50 | 50 | 38 | .211/.270/.324 | .114 | .293 | 10 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .213/.281/.365 | .152 | .300 | 18 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .204/.280/.377 | .174 | .281 | 22 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A |
25 | 39→48 | 42→45 | 52→45 | 43 | .195/.263/.294 | .099 | .270 | 10 | 12 | 30% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .210/.281/.310 | .100 | .285 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .207/.282/.309 | .102 | .279 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A |
24 | 43 | 40→45 | 50→30 | 42 | .211/.263/.307 | .096 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .215/.275/.312 | .097 | .328 | 7 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .204/.270/.296 | .092 | .311 | 6 | 1 | 34% | 8% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A |
23 | 43 | 40→50 | 50→40 | 43 | .207/.281/.298 | .092 | .283 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.276/.336 | .132 | .276 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .179/.260/.330 | .151 | .234 | 22 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A |
24 | 40→43 | 39→45 | 46→45 | 46 | .194/.259/.279 | .084 | .244 | 6 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .220/.285/.345 | .125 | .255 | 14 | 8 | 20% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.281/.338 | .123 | .242 | 16 | 8 | 19% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A |
25 | 41 | 38→45 | 45→40 | 39 | .198/.251/.278 | .080 | .282 | 5 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .231/.288/.361 | .130 | .278 | 15 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .228/.289/.352 | .124 | .275 | 14 | 2 | 22% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A |
24 | 40→37 | 39→50 | 47→50 | 41 | .194/.255/.282 | .089 | .256 | 6 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .185/.241/.309 | .124 | .252 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .205/.254/.334 | .129 | .270 | 15 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A |
23 | 36→45 | 43→55 | 52→40 | 41 | .184/.246/.294 | .110 | .257 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .210/.280/.351 | .141 | .289 | 15 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.292/.382 | .164 | .293 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A |
24 | 37 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .189/.258/.292 | .104 | .257 | 10 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .190/.260/.311 | .121 | .275 | 14 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .170/.250/.285 | .115 | .250 | 14 | 17 | 36% | 9% | 43 | -0.9 |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA |
24 | 42 | 41→45 | 48→40 | 41 | .206/.264/.302 | .095 | .280 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .216/.266/.302 | .086 | .273 | 7 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .217/.286/.341 | .124 | .252 | 13 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A |
24 | 42 | 43→40 | 50→30 | 41 | .211/.258/.321 | .110 | .276 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .240/.292/.325 | .085 | .299 | 7 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.299/.328 | .086 | .289 | 8 | 1 | 18% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |