Anthony Molina
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA4.94
FIP4.61
K%16.0%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6595.6
Whiff%
p4224.2%
K%
p1015.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.405
SL+1.4 (16%)
CU (15%)
CT-1.2 (2%)
CH-2.5 (18%)
FB-11.8 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 231 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 57% | 3.8 | 9.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 3.23 | 3.28 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 231 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 57% | 3.8 | 13.4% | 3.9% | 9.5% | 0.4% | 3.23 | 2.68 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 3 | 31 | 124 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 25% | 2.6 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 2.5% | 2.61 | 3.84 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 3 | 31 | 124 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 25% | 2.6 | 29.0% | 6.5% | 22.6% | 1.6% | 2.61 | 2.39 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 7 | 96 | 396 | 85 | 19 | 10 | 24% | 3.3 | 15.6% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 3.10 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 7 | 96 | 396 | 85 | 19 | 10 | 24% | 3.3 | 21.5% | 4.8% | 16.7% | 2.5% | 3.10 | 3.28 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 122 | 548 | 102 | 38 | 13 | 96% | 4.4 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.97 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 122 | 548 | 102 | 38 | 13 | 96% | 4.4 | 18.6% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 4.50 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 35 | 1 | 60 | 264 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 3% | 1.7 | 15.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 6.79 | 3.59 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 35 | 1 | 60 | 264 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 3% | 1.7 | 15.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 6.79 | 3.87 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 16 | 104 | 499 | 75 | 36 | 21 | 50% | 3.3 | 13.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.81 | 4.95 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 16 | 104 | 499 | 75 | 36 | 21 | 50% | 3.3 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 6.81 | 5.31 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 18 | 9 | 55 | 228 | 53 | 20 | 7 | 50% | 3.0 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.12 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 92 | 384 | 78 | 33 | 12 | — | — | 20.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.39 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 42 | 177 | 78 | 33 | 12 | — | — | 44.0% | 18.6% | 25.4% | 6.9% | 9.72 | 5.50 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 44 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 47 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 42 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 44 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 175 | 8 | 256 | 1108 | 178 | 81 | 40 | 5% | 1.5 | 16.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.72 | 4.65 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 6 | 200 | 864 | 139 | 63 | 31 | 5% | 1.5 | 16.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.72 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 168 | 71 | 520 | 2290 | 353 | 165 | 60 | 42% | 3.1 | 15.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 4.14 | +7.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 27 | 200 | 880 | 136 | 63 | 23 | 42% | 3.1 | 15.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Molina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.03 | 15.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% | — | 4.86 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 126 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 76 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 75 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .277 | 3.65 | 19.4% | 11.4% | 83 | -0.37 | 3.43 | 167 | 74 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 74 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 74 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 74 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 73 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 73 |
| Chase Centala R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 73 |
| Jake Dunning R 2028 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 73 |
| Michael Matuella R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.01 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.3% | .316 | 3.60 | 20.1% | 2.8% | 42 | -1.41 | 3.60 | 169 | 72 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 72 |
| Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 72 |
| Abel Amaya R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | .264 | 6.31 | 8.5% | 5.1% | 12 | +2.06 | 4.25 | 109 | 72 |
| Thomas Ponticelli R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.73 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.29 | 15.3% | 2.9% | 163 | +0.56 | 2.59 | 367 | 72 |
| Scott Burke R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 72 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 114 | 71 |
| Wilmer Rios R 2025 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.28 | 16.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | .265 | 5.21 | 16.2% | 12.3% | 80 | -0.07 | 2.71 | 156 | 71 |
| Marco Camarena R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 1.28 | 5.08 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |