Anthony Molina — OGILVIE

Anthony Molina P Sacramento River Cats

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.86

FIP4.52

K%16.7%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD3535

K†3040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7496.2

Whiff%

p3923.7%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p430.320

SL+1.4 (16%)

CU (15%)

CT-1.2 (2%)

CH-2.5 (18%)

FB-11.8 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	14	8	53	231	31	9	1	57%	3.8	9.1%	4.9%	4.3%	0.6%	3.23	3.28	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays 1	14	8	53	231	31	9	1	57%	3.8	13.4%	3.9%	9.5%	0.4%	3.23	2.68	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	12	3	31	124	36	8	2	25%	2.6	19.7%	8.1%	11.7%	2.4%	2.61	3.76	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	12	3	31	124	36	8	2	25%	2.6	29.0%	6.5%	22.6%	1.6%	2.61	2.39	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	7	96	396	85	19	10	24%	3.3	15.6%	5.6%	10.0%	3.3%	3.10	4.31	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	7	96	396	85	19	10	24%	3.3	21.5%	4.8%	16.7%	2.5%	3.10	3.28	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	122	548	102	38	13	96%	4.4	15.3%	7.0%	8.3%	2.5%	4.50	4.06	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	122	548	102	38	13	96%	4.4	15.3%	7.0%	8.3%	2.5%	4.50	4.06	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	122	548	102	38	13	96%	4.4	18.6%	6.9%	11.7%	2.4%	4.50	3.75	—
2024	22	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	35	1	60	264	41	21	5	3%	1.7	15.5%	8.0%	7.6%	1.7%	6.79	3.72	+0.6
2024	22	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	35	1	60	264	41	21	5	3%	1.7	15.5%	8.0%	7.6%	1.7%	6.79	3.72	+0.6
2024	22	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	35	1	60	264	41	21	5	3%	1.7	15.5%	8.0%	7.6%	1.9%	6.79	3.87	+0.5
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	16	104	499	75	36	21	50%	3.3	13.3%	6.6%	6.7%	4.1%	6.81	5.06	-0.2
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	16	104	499	75	36	21	50%	3.3	13.3%	6.6%	6.7%	4.1%	6.81	5.06	-0.2
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	16	104	499	75	36	21	50%	3.3	15.0%	7.2%	7.8%	4.2%	6.81	5.31	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			59	5	117	518	84	32	20	8%	2.0	16.2%	6.2%	10.0%	3.9%	6.63	4.71	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	28	15	86	358	84	27	10	54%	3.1	20.4%	6.9%	13.4%	3.1%	3.99	3.93	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	28	15	86	358	84	27	10	54%	3.1	20.4%	6.9%	13.4%	3.1%	3.99	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	SF	21	12	63	264	65	22	7	57%	3.0	24.6%	8.3%	16.3%	2.7%	3.55	3.53	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	SF	7	3	22	94	19	5	3	43%	3.2	20.2%	5.3%	14.9%	3.2%	5.24	3.82	+0.2
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	SF	7	3	22	94	19	5	3	43%	3.2	20.2%	5.3%	14.9%	3.2%	5.24	3.82	+0.2
ROS	24	MLB MLE	SF	1	1	5	22	4	2	1	100%	5.3	16.7%	7.4%	9.3%	3.4%	4.86	4.52	+0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	SF	1	1	5	21	4	2	1	100%	5.0	16.7%	7.4%	9.3%	3.4%	4.86	4.52	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	91	380	88	29	11	—	—	23.1%	7.5%	15.5%	2.8%	4.04	3.97	+0.9
FULL	24	MLB A+C	SF	—	—	28	116	88	29	11	—	—	75.3%	24.6%	50.7%	9.2%	13.32	4.93	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	102	0	107	452	77	31	15	0%	1.1	16.9%	7.0%	10.0%	3.4%	4.97	4.80	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	109	0	114	482	83	33	16	0%	1.0	17.3%	6.9%	10.4%	3.4%	4.85	4.76	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	111	0	116	491	85	34	17	0%	1.0	17.3%	7.0%	10.3%	3.5%	4.82	4.80	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	111	0	116	491	84	35	17	0%	1.0	17.2%	7.1%	10.1%	3.6%	4.86	4.88	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	SF	106	0	111	470	78	35	17	0%	1.0	16.6%	7.4%	9.2%	3.7%	4.97	5.04	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	SF	100	0	104	441	70	34	17	0%	1.0	15.9%	7.7%	8.2%	3.9%	5.14	5.25	-0.8
2027	25	MLB CTX	SF	97	0	102	431	73	30	15	0%	1.1	16.9%	7.0%	10.0%	3.4%	4.97	4.80	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	103	0	108	456	79	32	16	0%	1.0	17.3%	6.9%	10.4%	3.4%	4.85	4.76	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	106	0	111	469	81	33	16	0%	1.0	17.3%	7.0%	10.3%	3.5%	4.82	4.80	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	106	0	111	469	81	33	17	0%	1.0	17.2%	7.1%	10.1%	3.6%	4.86	4.88	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	SF	101	0	106	448	74	33	17	0%	1.0	16.6%	7.4%	9.2%	3.7%	4.97	5.04	-0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	SF	94	0	99	418	66	32	16	0%	1.1	15.9%	7.7%	8.2%	3.9%	5.14	5.25	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		666	6	758	3226	541	226	117	1%	1.1	16.8%	7.0%	9.8%	3.6%	5.19	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		176	2	200	851	143	60	31	1%	1.1	16.8%	7.0%	9.8%	3.6%	5.19	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		178	77	551	2420	371	160	67	43%	3.1	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	2.8%	4.64	4.16	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	28	200	878	135	58	24	43%	3.1	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	2.8%	4.64	4.16	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Molina (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	15.0%	7.5%	3.5%	—	4.79	17.2%	10.2%	338	-0.28	—	—	—
Duncan Davitt R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	20.4%	8.7%	3.8%	.296	4.23	19.6%	11.9%	358	-0.32	4.09	438	76
Wilmer Rios R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	23	SW	4.95	16.3%	5.8%	4.5%	.265	5.25	16.2%	12.3%	80	+0.30	2.81	156	75
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	75
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	75
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	74
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	73
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	72
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	72
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	71
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	71
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	70
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.28	14.8%	3.5%	163	+0.78	2.59	367	70
Jared Kollar R 2022 · 5.13 FIP	24	SW	5.13	16.9%	6.2%	4.9%	.359	4.44	14.2%	6.6%	332	-0.69	3.87	345	70
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	70
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	70
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	70
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	70
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	70
Michael Murray R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	16.1%	7.6%	2.9%	.314	4.47	16.2%	3.3%	13	+0.15	4.32	116	70
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	105	16.7%	7.2%	1.38	4.97
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38
Wade LeBlanc ('21)	2.4	81	18.0%	6.0%	1.67	4.61
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36