Liam Hendriks — OGILVIE

Liam Hendriks P Iowa Cubs

Age 37 RHP 6'0" / 235 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.29

FIP4.40

K%24.4%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%14.4%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF8080

CTRL6060

CMD8080

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p7729.6%

p3720.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.375

FB+1.1 (55%)

CU (12%)

SL-0.6 (33%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	58	0	65	261	71	10	3	0%	1.1	27.2%	3.8%	23.4%	1.1%	2.92	1.92	+2.1
2015	26	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	58	0	65	261	71	10	3	0%	1.1	27.2%	3.8%	23.4%	1.1%	2.92	1.97	+2.0
2016	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	57	0	70	298	75	13	6	0%	1.2	25.8%	4.0%	21.8%	2.4%	3.71	2.74	+1.5
2016	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	57	0	70	298	75	13	6	0%	1.2	25.2%	4.4%	20.8%	2.0%	3.71	2.63	+1.6
2017	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	70	0	64	273	78	23	7	0%	0.9	28.6%	8.4%	20.1%	2.8%	4.22	3.30	+1.0
2017	28	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	70	0	64	273	78	23	7	0%	0.9	28.6%	8.4%	20.1%	2.6%	4.22	3.16	+1.1
2018	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	9	49	207	65	14	4	19%	1.0	28.9%	6.9%	22.0%	2.1%	3.47	2.70	+1.1
2018	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	9	49	207	65	14	4	19%	1.0	31.4%	6.8%	24.6%	1.9%	3.47	2.37	+1.3
2019	30	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	75	2	85	332	124	16	5	3%	1.1	37.3%	4.8%	32.5%	1.7%	1.80	1.46	+3.2
2019	30	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	75	2	85	332	124	16	5	3%	1.1	37.3%	4.8%	32.5%	1.5%	1.80	1.51	+3.1
2020	31	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	24	0	25	92	37	2	1	0%	1.1	40.2%	2.2%	38.0%	1.2%	1.78	0.63	+1.2
2020	31	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	24	0	25	92	37	2	1	0%	1.1	40.2%	2.2%	38.0%	1.1%	1.78	0.93	+1.1
2021	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	69	0	71	267	113	6	11	0%	1.0	42.3%	2.2%	40.1%	4.0%	2.54	2.03	+2.2
2021	32	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	69	0	71	267	113	6	11	0%	1.0	42.3%	2.2%	40.1%	4.1%	2.54	2.18	+2.0
2022	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	58	0	58	235	85	15	7	0%	1.0	36.2%	6.4%	29.8%	2.9%	2.81	2.46	+1.4
2022	33	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	58	0	58	235	85	15	7	0%	1.0	36.2%	6.4%	29.8%	3.0%	2.81	2.51	+1.4
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	10	42	8	2	4	0%	0.9	19.0%	4.8%	14.3%	9.5%	8.10	7.32	-0.3
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	10	42	8	2	4	0%	0.9	19.0%	4.8%	14.3%	9.5%	8.10	7.32	-0.3
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	10	42	8	2	4	0%	0.9	19.0%	4.8%	14.3%	9.5%	8.10	7.30	-0.3
2024	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	5	21	3	2	0	0%	0.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2024	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	5	21	3	2	0	0%	0.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2024	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	5	21	3	2	0	0%	0.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2025	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	2	17	71	17	9	2	12%	1.0	20.3%	11.9%	8.5%	3.5%	5.40	4.79	-0.0
2025	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	2	17	71	17	9	2	12%	1.0	20.3%	11.9%	8.5%	3.5%	5.40	4.79	-0.0
2025	36	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	2	17	71	17	9	2	12%	1.0	23.9%	12.7%	11.3%	2.8%	5.40	4.24	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			451	10	475	1918	616	101	46	2%	1.1	32.1%	5.3%	26.9%	2.4%	3.07	2.40	+12.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	37	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	5	1	5	17	7	1	0	20%	1.0	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
YTD	37	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	5	1	5	17	7	1	0	20%	1.0	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	37	ROK RAW	CHC	1	1	1	3	2	0	0	100%	1.0	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
2026	37	AAA RAW	CHC	4	0	4	14	5	1	0	0%	1.0	35.7%	7.1%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	CHC	40	0	42	175	41	19	6	0%	1.0	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.6%	4.62	4.84	-0.1
2027	38	MLB CTX	CHC	40	0	42	177	41	19	6	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.6%	4.62	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		491	10	516	2093	657	120	52	2%	1.1	31.4%	5.7%	25.7%	2.5%	3.19	2.55	+12.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	4	200	811	254	46	20	2%	1.1	31.4%	5.7%	25.7%	2.5%	3.19	2.55	+4.8
Career	—	MLE		498	14	524	2116	677	112	53	3%	1.1	32.0%	5.3%	26.7%	2.5%	3.06	2.44	+12.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		190	5	200	808	258	43	20	3%	1.1	32.0%	5.3%	26.7%	2.5%	3.06	2.44	+4.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Liam Hendriks (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	24.4%	10.0%	3.1%	—	4.84	23.2%	12.6%	42	+0.44	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	77
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	75
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	74
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	37	SU	3.83	25.8%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	73
Ryan Madson R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	37	SU	3.49	23.4%	6.1%	2.9%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	1.42	240	70
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	67
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	66
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	66
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	64
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	64
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	63
Matt Belisle R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	37	SU	3.62	21.9%	6.5%	2.8%	.241	4.60	15.4%	9.2%	34	+0.98	2.51	174	62
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	61
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	60
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	59
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	56
Logan Kensing R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	16.5%	7.9%	1.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	172	55
Peter Moylan R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	37	SU	3.59	17.7%	7.9%	1.8%	.263	4.00	18.5%	8.6%	88	+0.41	3.11	174	54
Joe Blanton R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	36	SU	4.94	20.0%	5.6%	5.1%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	240	53
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	52

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	45	23.9%	10.3%	1.29	4.44
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84