Trey FaltineSS Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 199 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 93 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†8
AVG/OBP/SLG.138 / .194 / .207
PA93
HR1
K%42
BB%5
BABIP234
ISO69
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -23.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -1.70-1.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-1.4-1.42628
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE48
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 ADaytona Tortugas 7862 12501 11333 10 194342323665 129367 4214 298 86
202221 ADaytona Tortugas 7859 14601 14243 10 237408390798 153361 3118 360 134
202322 A+Dayton Dragons 184161 8102 141256 40 5015593248 43171 688 124 -47
202322 A+Dayton Dragons 184155 16303 20886 40 103232181413 77200 4811 204 14
202423 A2 teams 276236 31603 271547 292 131241195436 64346 5610 208 18
202423 A2 teams 276228 471006 351077 292 206330329659 123350 3913 301 88
202524 AAA4 teams 152141 19620 7852 71 135187206392 71339 565 170 -11
202524 AAA4 teams 152137 25820 10652 71 182247270517 88347 437 234 37
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AACIN 8177 6301 3520 01 78113156268 78208 644 119 -51 -14 -0 +0 +1 +2 -1.1
YTD25 AACIN 8175 9501 5400 01 120175227402 107235 496 182 -3 -9 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.7
ROS25 AACIN 2% 9387 12301 5391 21 138194207400 69259 425 195 8 -10 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.6
ROS25 MLBCIN 2% 22 0000 010 00 261 500 189 3 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 AACIN 8379 6301 3530 01 76110152262 76200 644 121 -49 -14 -0 +0 +1 +2 -1.1
TOT25 AACIN 174164 18602 8911 22 110156183339 73225 525 160 -19 -23 -0 +0 +2 +5 -1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBCIN 31% 292270 431113 171173 52 159217241458 81265 406 214 22 -26 +0 +0 +3 +8 -1.4
202827 MLBCIN 42% 335307 511224 211304 62 166229257486 91267 396 222 28 -27 +0 +0 +4 +9 -1.4
202726 MLBCIN 31% 9185 13301 5361 21 153209224432 71267 405 208 17 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.5
202827 MLBCIN 42% 141129 22512 9552 21 171236271507 101270 396 217 24 -12 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career 234216 35813 14923 42 162223250473 88262 396 213 21 -21 +0 +0 +3 +7 -1.2
/ 162G 650600 972238 392568 116 162223248471 87263 396 213 21 -58 -0 +0 +7 +18 -3.3
Career 14101264 17644514 10268326 548 139218215434 76282 487 202 13 -139 +8 +0 +15 +40 -7.8
/ 162G 650583 802026 4731512 254 137217209426 72278 487 202 13 -64 +3 +0 +7 +18 -3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 ADaytona Tortugas 7859 14601 14243 10 237408390798 153361 3118 360 134 +3 +0 +2 0.5
202322 A+Dayton Dragons 184155 16303 20886 40 103232181413 77200 4811 204 14 -18 +1 +5 -1.2
202423 A+Dayton Dragons 2520 2000 2110 30 100182100282 222 448 128 -44 -4 +1 +1 -0.3
202423 ADaytona Tortugas 251208 451006 33967 262 216343351694 135361 3813 318 101 +0 +4 +7 1.2
202524 AAALouisville Bats 5754 10520 2261 01 185228352580 167357 464 254 53 -3 -0 +2 -0.2
202524 AAChattanooga Lookouts 2319 2000 3100 20 105227105333 222 4313 170 -12 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
202524 A+Dayton Dragons 4942 9300 4201 30 214292286577 71409 418 261 58 -2 +1 +1 -0.0
202524 ADaytona Tortugas 2322 4000 190 20 182217182399 308 394 188 2 -3 +0 +1 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
123534165223255+3+3-1.0-0.5
/162664812+7.1+8.5-2.9pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Trey Faltine (OGILVIE) 25 20 35 57 48 110/156/183 73225 22 52% 5% -19 -1.7
Branden Fryman
2023 · AAA
25 37 39→30 50 37 184/227/263 79255 715 30% 5% 29 -3.2 202/240/304 102292 911 33% 4% 45 -2.1 190/214/2931032719933%2%27-1.1
Travis Tartamella
2013 · AA
25 34 38→30 48→30 35 172/214/248 76253 64 34% 5% 20 -3.8 181/221/241 60273 53 34% 4% 20 -3.8 164/200/203382523035%4%-1-1.7
Tra Holmes
2021 · A
25 39→35 37→30 49→50 36 185/247/257 72291 513 36% 5% 37 -2.7 194/252/279 85413 717 51% 6% 44 -2.1 114/175/1453140633868%6%-26-1.2
Matthew Hall
2011 · AAA
24 36 36→30 47→45 37 177/224/238 61263 47 33% 5% 20 -3.8 207/260/288 81285 510 27% 6% 50 -1.8 214/270/2948028441225%5%54-0.9
Ryan Metzler
2018 · AA
25 37 36→40 50 33 172/230/239 67312 412 43% 6% 24 -3.5 194/246/278 84292 813 34% 6% 41 -2.3 179/231/2537426381534%6%26-1.3
Trey Martin
2018 · AA
25 40→39 39→40 48→55 33 194/231/273 79289 714 34% 4% 33 -2.9 199/248/301 102320 1015 38% 6% 48 -1.9 176/229/27498293101941%6%34-2.0
Flint Wipke
2008 · AA
25 38→39 39→40 45 38 183/242/270 87285 69 36% 6% 37 -2.6 193/250/301 108321 119 40% 7% 50 -1.8 180/236/29811730114743%7%40-0.9
Jack Conley
2022 · AAA
25 34 40→45 50→45 38 172/234/264 91270 87 38% 7% 33 -2.9 198/262/311 113286 108 32% 7% 57 -1.2 182/252/29611425610531%7%45-1.0
Scott McKeon
2023 · AAA
25 40 37→45 48→55 34 182/246/251 69325 510 43% 6% 35 -2.8 191/244/283 92357 617 45% 6% 41 -2.3 165/209/2649932952649%4%18-1.6
Cody Wilson
2022 · AAA
26 31 36→30 52→55 39 157/224/221 64259 419 39% 7% 17 -4.0 172/233/240 68317 527 44% 6% 27 -3.3 150/215/2055429643347%5%8-1.7
Connor Myers
2019 · AA
25 39→42 36→40 48→50 31 183/223/251 68306 414 40% 4% 23 -3.6 195/240/278 83339 417 41% 4% 38 -2.6 180/226/2648433232244%3%27-1.4
Chris Givin
2022 · AA
25 38 38→30 50→45 42 186/246/261 75259 66 30% 7% 37 -2.6 202/265/279 77274 67 26% 7% 50 -1.8 195/263/252572564524%8%40-1.1
Anthony Mulrine
2023 · AAA
25 36 37→40 45→40 39 177/253/247 71262 55 32% 6% 38 -2.6 192/271/279 87273 76 30% 7% 53 -1.5 147/251/218702045028%8%28-0.7
Ryan Scott
2019 · AA
24 37 35→40 46→30 40 173/242/231 58286 25 38% 8% 28 -3.2 179/254/275 96286 105 38% 8% 45 -2.1 114/205/2059116614040%9%6-1.8
Osmy Gregorio
2023 · A
25 40→41 37→30 50 35 194/232/264 70286 414 33% 4% 30 -3.1 208/250/285 77291 612 29% 5% 44 -2.1 206/243/2696327651026%4%33-1.3
Galli Cribbs Jr.
2018 · AA
25 38 34→40 49→50 34 173/231/230 57310 210 42% 6% 22 -3.7 176/245/255 79316 48 42% 6% 36 -2.7 155/223/229742874744%5%17-1.8
Kevin Merrell
2021 · AA
25 40→35 37→40 53→55 36 194/231/266 72275 416 30% 4% 30 -3.1 213/266/333 120277 1413 28% 6% 65 -0.7 203/260/324121252181327%6%58-0.3
Cody Bohanek
2019 · AAA
24 39→36 38→40 47→50 41 189/267/262 73276 710 32% 7% 48 -1.9 173/266/261 88295 812 40% 8% 48 -1.9 147/253/2379026881643%8%36-1.6
Raoul Torrez
2013 · AA
25 37 41→40 48→45 38 186/251/281 95273 96 34% 6% 45 -2.1 189/246/276 87329 89 42% 6% 41 -2.3 147/202/211633026950%4%4-1.7
Jonathan Guzmán
2023 · AA
23 30→40 37→30 50 35 158/197/230 71229 512 33% 4% 7 -4.7 180/231/250 70271 610 34% 6% 27 -3.3 165/226/206412575935%7%11-1.1