Alexander Vargas

Alexander VargasSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 184 lbs AA HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2029

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .240 / .303

PA320

HR5

SB10

K%27

BB%4

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

37↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-4M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	217	200	34	7	5	1	11	40	5	15	3	.170	.231	.270	.501	.100	.206	18	5	.212	20	-20	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.9
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	174	159	29	4	1	2	11	56	2	17	8	.182	.244	.258	.502	.075	.262	32	6	.232	36	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2022	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	431	399	57	11	1	6	25	178	3	27	13	.143	.199	.221	.420	.078	.233	41	6	.190	4	-47	+0	+0	+5	+12	-3.1
2023	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	447	429	65	12	5	7	13	152	1	16	6	.152	.178	.252	.430	.100	.212	34	3	.189	3	-49	+1	+0	+5	+13	-3.1
2024	22	AA	2 teams	275	259	55	7	6	3	10	84	3	15	10	.212	.250	.320	.570	.108	.297	31	4	.244	45	-17	-1	+0	+3	+8	-0.8
2025	23	A+	2 teams	402	372	75	12	5	5	21	89	4	26	6	.202	.252	.301	.553	.099	.248	22	5	.239	41	-27	+3	+0	+4	+11	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	47	42	14	0	1	0	3	6	0	1	2	.333	.378	.381	.759	.048	.389	13	6	.313	98	-0	-1	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	273	256	56	8	4	4	13	71	2	9	4	.219	.262	.328	.590	.109	.277	26	5	.254	53	-15	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.4
TOT	24	MLB	CIN	320	298	70	8	5	4	16	77	2	10	6	.235	.278	.336	.614	.101	.303	24	5	.263	59	-15	-0	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	CIN	361	336	73	11	4	6	20	87	2	12	6	.217	.265	.327	.593	.110	.276	24	6	.268	63	-15	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2028	26	MLB 26%	CIN	400	370	82	12	5	7	24	96	3	13	6	.222	.275	.338	.612	.116	.278	24	6	.274	68	-14	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2029	27	MLB 44%	CIN	416	384	86	13	5	8	26	100	3	13	6	.224	.278	.346	.625	.122	.279	24	6	.277	70	-14	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.2
2030	28	MLB 53%	CIN	422	389	87	13	5	8	27	102	3	13	6	.224	.279	.344	.624	.121	.279	24	6	.277	70	-14	+0	-1	+5	+12	0.2
2031	29	MLB 64%	CIN	418	386	86	13	5	8	26	103	3	12	6	.223	.277	.345	.622	.122	.278	25	6	.275	69	-15	+0	-1	+4	+12	0.0
2032	30	MLB 73%	CIN	413	381	83	13	4	7	26	103	3	11	5	.218	.273	.328	.601	.110	.276	25	6	.272	66	-16	+0	-2	+4	+12	-0.2
2033	31	MLB 81%	CIN	401	370	79	12	4	7	25	101	3	9	4	.214	.269	.324	.593	.111	.275	25	6	.268	63	-17	+0	-3	+4	+11	-0.4
2034	32	MLB 88%	CIN	383	353	74	11	4	6	24	99	3	7	4	.210	.266	.314	.580	.105	.274	26	6	.263	60	-17	-0	-4	+4	+11	-0.6
2035	33	MLB 94%	CIN	354	327	68	10	4	5	22	94	2	5	3	.208	.262	.309	.571	.101	.272	27	6	.258	56	-18	-0	-4	+4	+10	-0.8
2036	34	MLB	CIN	311	287	59	9	3	4	19	85	2	3	2	.206	.260	.300	.559	.094	.271	27	6	.252	51	-17	-0	-5	+3	+9	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6098	5657	1148	178	70	94	343	1640	47	223	98	.203	.254	.309	.563	.106	.266	27	6	.251	50	-344	+5	-20	+65	+173	-12.2
/ 162G	—			650	603	122	19	7	10	37	175	5	24	10	.202	.254	.307	.561	.104	.265	27	6	.251	50	-37	+1	-2	+7	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	217	193	45	10	7	1	18	28	5	15	3	.233	.315	.373	.688	.140	.267	13	8	.308	94	-1	+2	—	—	+6	0.7
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	174	150	41	7	1	3	20	40	2	17	8	.273	.366	.393	.760	.120	.349	23	11	.341	119	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	431	389	79	14	2	8	35	123	3	27	13	.203	.274	.311	.585	.108	.271	29	8	.265	61	-19	+0	—	—	+12	-0.7
2023	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	447	418	86	18	6	9	24	116	1	16	6	.206	.251	.342	.593	.136	.259	26	5	.262	58	-21	+1	—	—	+13	-0.8
2024	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	256	240	61	7	5	4	11	65	3	14	9	.254	.295	.375	.670	.121	.329	25	4	.297	85	-4	-1	—	—	+7	0.2
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	19	15	3	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	1	.200	.333	.400	.733	.200	.200	5	16	.310	96	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	147	132	30	7	2	1	12	33	2	10	4	.227	.301	.333	.635	.106	.293	22	8	.287	78	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	255	231	53	7	3	6	18	36	2	16	2	.229	.291	.364	.654	.134	.245	14	7	.290	80	-6	+2	—	—	+7	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Vargas (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	60	30	.198/.240/.303	.104	.264	5	11	27%	4%	45	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Velazquez 2019 · AAA	25	43→52	43→50	56→60	36	.211/.254/.321	.109	.302	11	22	33%	5%	55	-1.4	.221/.269/.350	.129	.311	11	23	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.214/.262/.343	.129	.303	12	31	32%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	42→52	41→40	59→55	41	.204/.255/.308	.105	.275	7	18	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.224/.278/.303	.079	.288	4	24	22%	6%	60	-1.0	.242/.311/.315	.073	.299	5	28	19%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jose Vallejo 2011 · AAA	24	46→54	38→40	54→55	39	.221/.259/.300	.079	.291	6	16	26%	5%	51	-1.7	.200/.245/.271	.071	.269	6	9	27%	6%	38	-2.6	.187/.232/.226	.039	.236	5	5	22%	6%	19	-1.4
✕Noel Cuevas 2016 · AA	24	46→50	41→45	53→55	38	.223/.261/.323	.100	.291	8	20	26%	4%	59	-1.1	.240/.273/.337	.097	.306	7	15	23%	3%	67	-0.5	.249/.283/.353	.103	.310	8	12	22%	3%	72	-0.1
✕Kaleb Cowart 2017 · MLB	25	44→51	42→45	53→50	41	.214/.262/.323	.109	.289	8	16	28%	6%	59	-1.1	.223/.274/.346	.123	.291	11	15	26%	6%	71	-0.3	.219/.272/.343	.123	.279	11	14	25%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→46	42→50	60→65	36	.194/.237/.305	.111	.282	8	28	33%	5%	43	-2.2	.207/.246/.327	.120	.299	10	22	33%	4%	53	-1.5	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Chavez Young 2021 · A	24	44→50	40→45	53→60	42	.210/.267/.304	.095	.291	6	21	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.214/.280/.319	.105	.304	10	27	31%	8%	67	-0.5	.202/.278/.301	.099	.278	10	36	29%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	40→50	40→45	55	41	.196/.256/.283	.087	.271	8	20	30%	6%	47	-1.9	.218/.273/.312	.094	.288	7	18	26%	6%	61	-1.0	.228/.284/.328	.099	.295	7	16	24%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48→49	39→40	56→55	38	.228/.264/.313	.085	.308	6	18	28%	4%	57	-1.2	.234/.268/.321	.087	.287	6	17	20%	3%	60	-1.0	.238/.275/.302	.064	.295	3	18	19%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→45	42→45	51→60	43	.204/.265/.308	.104	.270	9	19	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.226/.285/.324	.098	.310	8	27	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.227/.288/.355	.128	.309	13	42	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Pedro Florimón 2011 · AA	24	44→52	40→45	51→55	38	.209/.259/.303	.094	.306	6	15	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.227/.276/.325	.098	.311	8	14	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.224/.280/.339	.115	.329	10	11	33%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Cal Conley 2023 · A	24	41→47	45→40	55	40	.209/.258/.328	.119	.270	13	19	27%	5%	59	-1.1	.204/.253/.283	.079	.274	6	24	26%	6%	45	-2.1	.194/.243/.250	.056	.262	3	26	26%	5%	29	-2.9
✕Leon Landry 2014 · AA	24	44→53	41→45	54→55	41	.216/.249/.318	.102	.255	8	19	19%	4%	52	-1.6	.222/.255/.319	.097	.263	7	19	18%	4%	55	-1.4	.221/.258/.316	.095	.260	7	17	17%	4%	53	-1.0
✕Cole Tucker 2020 · MLB	24	45→48	41→45	55	45	.220/.278/.324	.104	.283	8	22	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.210/.269/.313	.103	.281	9	14	27%	7%	60	-1.0	.199/.273/.288	.090	.282	7	13	30%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Juan Perez 2016 · AAA	24	42→51	40→45	53→55	40	.207/.245/.305	.098	.265	7	18	25%	4%	46	-2.0	.213/.259/.312	.099	.283	9	18	27%	5%	55	-1.4	.227/.270/.351	.124	.290	15	24	27%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Orlando Calixte 2016 · AAA	24	42→48	41→45	51→55	38	.207/.245/.302	.095	.281	9	17	30%	5%	46	-2.0	.216/.252/.328	.112	.280	11	19	26%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.264/.308	.086	.295	9	20	27%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Gustavo Nunez 2012 · AA	24	48→58	37→40	52→55	40	.228/.267/.300	.073	.285	5	21	21%	4%	55	-1.4	.220/.260/.285	.065	.289	4	15	24%	5%	47	-1.9	.258/.298/.315	.057	.316	3	18	18%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Carlos Garcia 2017 · AA	25	48→50	38→40	54→55	43	.226/.274/.305	.079	.283	5	22	21%	5%	59	-1.1	.216/.264/.317	.101	.265	10	15	22%	5%	59	-1.1	.200/.245/.303	.104	.233	13	16	21%	4%	45	-1.0
✕Kristopher Negrón 2010 · AA	24	46→50	39→45	56→55	43	.219/.279/.308	.089	.281	6	19	24%	6%	63	-0.8	.216/.272/.322	.106	.281	10	20	26%	5%	64	-0.8	.225/.289/.349	.123	.323	14	14	32%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Matt Lipka 2016 · AA	24	43→53	37→45	53→60	39	.206/.242/.282	.076	.261	4	20	23%	4%	40	-2.4	.204/.250/.292	.088	.268	6	18	25%	5%	46	-2.0	.228/.280/.336	.108	.305	9	31	27%	6%	68	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)