Alexander Vargas

Alexander VargasSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 184 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .182 / .182

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%4

BABIP281

ISO101

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	—	217	193	45	10	7	1	18	28	5	15	3	233	315	373	688	140	267	13	8	308	95	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.5
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	174	150	41	7	1	3	20	40	2	17	8	273	366	393	760	120	349	23	11	341	117	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	431	389	79	14	2	8	35	123	3	27	13	203	274	311	585	108	271	29	8	265	66	-18	+0	—	—	+9	-0.8
2023	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	418	86	18	6	9	24	116	1	16	6	206	251	342	593	136	259	26	5	262	63	-20	+1	—	—	+10	-0.9
2024	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	256	240	61	7	5	4	11	65	3	14	9	254	295	375	670	121	329	25	4	297	87	-4	-1	—	—	+6	0.1
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	19	15	3	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	1	200	333	400	733	200	200	5	16	310	96	-0	-0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	147	132	30	7	2	1	12	33	2	10	4	227	301	333	635	106	293	22	8	287	81	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	255	231	53	7	3	6	18	36	2	16	2	229	291	364	654	134	245	14	7	290	82	-5	+2	—	—	+6	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	—	217	200	34	7	5	1	11	40	5	15	3	170	231	270	501	100	198	18	5	212	30	-18	+2	—	—	+5	-1.2
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	174	158	29	4	1	2	12	57	2	17	8	184	250	259	509	76	262	33	7	231	42	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2022	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	431	399	56	11	1	6	25	179	3	27	13	140	197	218	415	78	227	42	6	188	13	-44	+0	—	—	+9	-3.6
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	428	66	12	5	7	14	155	1	16	6	154	183	255	438	100	218	35	3	192	16	-45	+1	—	—	+10	-3.5
2024	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	256	243	51	6	5	3	8	78	3	14	9	210	244	313	557	103	288	30	3	239	48	-16	-1	—	—	+6	-1.1
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	19	16	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	1	188	278	375	653	188	182	5	11	281	76	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	147	136	28	6	2	1	8	41	2	10	4	206	260	301	562	96	274	28	5	239	48	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	255	236	46	6	3	4	13	49	2	16	2	195	243	297	540	102	218	19	5	235	45	-17	+2	—	—	+6	-0.9
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	—	217	200	34	7	5	1	11	40	5	15	3	170	231	270	501	100	206	18	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	—	217	193	45	10	7	1	18	28	5	15	3	233	315	373	688	140	267	13	8	308	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	174	158	29	4	1	2	12	57	2	17	8	184	250	259	509	76	267	33	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	174	150	41	7	1	3	20	40	2	17	8	273	366	393	760	120	349	23	11	341	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	431	399	56	11	1	6	25	179	3	27	13	140	197	218	415	78	229	42	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	431	389	79	14	2	8	35	123	3	27	13	203	274	311	585	108	271	29	8	265	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	428	66	12	5	7	14	155	1	16	6	154	183	255	438	100	219	35	3	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	418	86	18	6	9	24	116	1	16	6	206	251	342	593	136	259	26	5	262	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	259	54	7	6	3	10	79	3	15	10	208	246	317	563	108	283	29	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	275	255	64	8	6	4	14	66	3	15	10	251	298	376	674	125	319	24	5	298	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	402	372	72	12	4	5	21	90	4	26	6	194	244	288	532	94	238	22	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	402	363	83	14	5	7	30	69	4	26	6	229	295	353	647	124	261	17	7	289	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	—	217	199	34	7	5	1	11	40	5	15	3	171	231	271	503	101	198	18	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	174	158	29	4	1	2	12	57	2	17	8	184	250	259	509	76	262	33	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	431	400	56	11	1	6	25	179	3	27	13	140	197	217	414	77	227	42	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	429	66	12	5	7	14	155	1	16	6	154	183	254	437	100	218	35	3	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	260	54	7	6	3	10	79	3	15	10	208	246	315	562	108	281	29	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	402	374	72	12	4	5	21	90	4	26	6	193	244	286	530	94	238	22	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	429	66	12	5	7	14	155	1	16	6	154	183	254	437	100	218	35	3	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	260	54	7	6	3	10	79	3	15	10	208	246	315	562	108	281	29	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	402	374	72	12	4	5	21	90	4	26	6	193	244	286	530	94	238	22	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	CIN	—	62	57	19	1	1	0	3	9	0	2	2	333	367	386	753	53	396	15	5	308	95	-0	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	CIN	—	62	56	19	1	1	0	4	7	0	2	2	339	383	393	776	54	388	11	6	340	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	CIN	2%	11	11	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	182	182	182	364		279	27	0	256	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	CIN	—	73	68	21	1	1	0	3	12	0	2	2	309	338	353	691	44	375	16	4	300	89	-1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	31%	361	337	75	11	4	6	18	84	3	12	5	223	268	332	601	110	279	23	5	267	67	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	400	373	84	13	4	7	21	93	3	14	6	225	272	338	610	113	280	23	5	273	71	-14	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	416	387	88	14	4	8	23	97	3	14	6	227	276	346	622	119	280	23	6	276	73	-13	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	422	392	88	14	4	8	24	99	3	14	6	224	274	342	616	117	280	23	6	277	73	-13	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	418	388	87	14	4	7	24	99	3	13	5	224	275	335	610	111	280	24	6	275	72	-14	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	413	383	85	13	4	7	24	99	3	11	5	222	273	332	605	110	279	24	6	272	70	-15	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	31%	112	105	24	4	1	2	5	26	1	4	2	229	270	343	613	114	281	23	4	266	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	178	166	38	6	2	3	9	41	1	6	3	229	273	343	616	114	282	23	5	272	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	205	190	44	7	2	4	11	48	2	7	3	232	281	353	633	121	283	23	5	275	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	218	202	45	7	2	4	12	51	2	7	3	223	273	337	610	114	283	23	6	275	73	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	215	199	45	7	2	4	12	51	2	6	3	226	277	342	619	116	282	24	6	274	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	213	197	44	7	2	4	12	51	2	6	2	223	275	340	615	117	281	24	6	271	70	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1141	1059	240	38	11	21	61	268	10	36	16	227	275	343	618	116	282	23	5	273	53	-39	+1	-2	+12	+25	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	137	22	6	12	35	153	6	21	9	227	276	343	620	116	283	24	5	273	53	-22	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4387	4087	820	132	46	67	227	1174	36	194	79	201	249	305	554	104	262	27	5	247	53	-84	+2	-4	+26	+53	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	122	20	7	10	34	174	5	29	12	201	250	307	557	106	263	27	5	247	53	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,147	20	36	226	272	341	+12	+9	0.5	0.5
/162	664	12	21	+7.1	+5.2	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Vargas (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	60	30	218/257/312	94	279	4	11	24%	4%	60	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→48	41→50	61→65	36	194/237/304	110	283	7	27	33%	5%	50	-2.3	210/250/334	124	301	10	22	32%	4%	62	-1.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Andrew Velazquez 2019 · AAA	25	43→51	43→45	57→60	37	211/254/319	108	298	10	24	32%	5%	60	-1.6	218/269/340	122	308	10	24	31%	6%	71	-0.8	214/263/340	126	305	12	31	32%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Gustavo Nunez 2012 · AA	24	48→57	37→40	52→55	40	227/265/303	76	285	5	20	22%	4%	60	-1.6	223/262/289	66	292	4	15	24%	5%	55	-1.9	258/298/313	55	314	3	18	18%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48→52	39→40	56→55	38	230/264/316	86	302	6	18	26%	4%	62	-1.4	242/275/327	85	293	5	17	19%	3%	69	-0.9	244/281/309	65	298	2	18	18%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Noel Cuevas 2016 · AA	24	46→51	40→45	53→55	38	222/259/316	93	287	7	21	25%	4%	61	-1.5	241/275/342	101	305	7	15	23%	4%	72	-0.7	251/284/358	107	311	8	12	22%	3%	77	-0.2
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→44	42→45	52→65	43	204/264/309	106	268	9	20	27%	6%	62	-1.4	227/285/320	93	311	7	28	27%	7%	72	-0.7	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Kaleb Cowart 2017 · MLB	25	44→51	42→45	53→50	41	215/263/326	111	291	8	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	223/274/346	123	290	11	15	26%	6%	74	-0.5	220/273/343	123	279	11	14	25%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Jose Vallejo 2011 · AAA	24	45→55	38→40	53→55	39	216/253/289	74	288	5	15	27%	5%	52	-2.2	204/251/280	76	270	7	9	26%	6%	50	-2.3	189/234/230	40	237	5	5	22%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Leon Landry 2014 · AA	24	44→54	41→45	54→55	41	216/248/318	102	255	8	19	19%	4%	57	-1.8	224/259/318	94	264	7	19	17%	4%	61	-1.5	225/261/316	92	262	6	17	16%	4%	60	-1.1
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	63	-1.4	228/283/306	78	291	4	25	21%	6%	68	-1.0	250/318/323	72	306	4	28	18%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Chavez Young 2021 · A	24	43→49	40→45	52→60	41	207/263/300	93	293	6	20	30%	6%	59	-1.6	214/281/314	100	300	9	28	29%	8%	70	-0.9	201/277/293	93	275	8	36	28%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Carlos Garcia 2017 · AA	25	48→50	38→40	53→55	44	230/277/308	78	286	5	21	21%	5%	65	-1.2	217/267/319	102	267	10	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	199/248/299	100	234	12	16	21%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Cole Tucker 2019 · AA	23	47	39→45	56→55	45	222/280/311	89	289	5	26	24%	7%	68	-1.0	217/277/324	107	284	8	15	25%	7%	70	-0.9	209/274/322	113	274	9	12	26%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Cal Conley 2023 · A	24	42→48	45→40	55	40	211/261/330	119	275	12	20	28%	5%	65	-1.2	208/257/282	74	276	5	24	25%	6%	53	-2.1	202/249/271	69	268	4	28	25%	5%	44	-2.1
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	41→51	39→40	56→55	41	197/260/280	82	277	7	21	30%	6%	54	-2.0	220/275/311	91	288	6	17	25%	6%	66	-1.1	228/284/322	94	293	6	16	23%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Pedro Florimón 2011 · AA	24	44→52	40→45	51→55	38	211/261/306	94	304	7	15	32%	5%	60	-1.6	227/276/322	95	308	7	14	27%	6%	69	-0.9	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Lucius Fox 2021 · AAA	24	44→49	38→40	57→60	46	207/280/288	81	282	4	27	27%	8%	63	-1.3	203/268/295	92	292	8	24	31%	8%	60	-1.6	189/252/269	80	275	7	24	32%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA	24	43→53	42→45	52→55	39	212/257/320	108	280	8	15	27%	5%	61	-1.5	233/282/335	102	306	7	9	25%	6%	74	-0.5	235/286/338	103	306	8	7	25%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Darwin Perez 2013 · AAA	24	46→51	38→40	51→50	44	218/275/296	78	288	6	16	26%	7%	63	-1.4	210/271/296	86	292	6	16	28%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/275	76	284	4	18	29%	8%	53	-1.6
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2014 · AA	24	47→52	39→45	51→50	38	222/260/317	95	305	5	12	28%	4%	61	-1.5	234/282/337	103	310	8	11	25%	6%	74	-0.5	233/284/337	104	302	8	12	25%	6%	73	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps