Michael Stefanic2B Las Vegas Aviators
Age 30 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION326 act + 217 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 8674vR 44
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .330 / .340
PA217
HR3
K%14
BB%8
BABIP276
ISO94
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.7+$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT60
Whiff%
903.6%
xwOBA
210.274
POWER35
Barrel%
101.2
Avg EV
1886.6
Bat Spd
1767.8
EYE60
Chase%
9023.6%
SPEED45
Sprint
1025.1
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 144 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
44
100
wRC+
85
43
◀◀L
wOBA
296
241
◀◀L
ISO
046
024
◀◀L
BABIP
361
210
◀◀L
K%
15.9%
14.0%
R
BB%
2.3%
11.0%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-3$4M+0.7$3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 ROKOrem Owlz 4339 11010 271 01 282333333667 51344 165 283 75
201822 ROKOrem Owlz 4337 13010 451 01 351429405834 54406 129 372 143
201923 A+2 teams 422385 871423 216415 95 226292296588 70263 155 261 58
201923 A+2 teams 422376 1061823 304715 95 282359364723 82315 117 331 111
202125 AAA2 teams 554513 15724017 30969 65 306355452807 146348 175 351 127
202125 AAA2 teams 554491 16526017 52779 65 336409493902 157371 149 401 165
202226 AAA2 teams 415365 981523 364110 42 268350345696 77293 109 316 100
202226 AAA2 teams 415348 1021634 533410 42 293401391792 98313 813 360 134
202327 AAA2 teams 526461 1342034 505012 88 291375373748 82318 1010 334 114
202327 AAA2 teams 526443 1572235 684112 88 354453451905 97381 813 408 170
202428 AAA2 teams 307272 731202 24426 40 268341335676 66307 148 308 94
202428 AAA2 teams 307267 851702 29366 40 318397404802 86358 129 359 133
202529 AAA2 teams 467402 1051308 455715 66 261357353710 92284 1210 317 101
202529 AAA2 teams 467385 1081706 624715 66 281400371772 91303 1013 354 129
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD30 AAAOAK 326282 711603 264111 61 252339340679 89279 138 305 92 -3 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.8
YTD30 AAAOAK 326271 761804 373211 61 280389391780 111299 1011 350 126 +10 +1 +0 +1 +9 2.1
ROS30 AAAOAK 10% 217191 47903 18306 31 246330340669 94278 148 307 93 -2 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.5
ROS30 MLBOAK 10% 2219 5100 231 00 263364316679 53276 149 284 75 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.0
FULL30 AAAOAK 348301 761703 284412 61 252340339679 86281 138 304 91 -4 +1 -0 +1 +10 0.8
TOT30 AAAOAK 543473 1182506 447117 92 249335340675 91278 138 306 92 -5 +1 -0 +2 +15 1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBOAK 33% 575507 1232317 478316 72 243326333660 91275 148 302 89 -7 +1 -4 +2 +16 0.8
202832 MLBOAK 46% 564498 1192216 468315 61 239322323645 84272 158 296 85 -10 +1 -5 +2 +16 0.4
202933 MLBOAK 54% 486431 991705 397413 41 230313304617 74267 158 288 79 -12 +0 -5 +2 +14 -0.1
203034 MLBOAK 49% 411364 821404 336511 21 225309297606 71262 168 279 72 -13 +0 -6 +1 +12 -0.6
202731 MLBOAK 33% 188166 39702 15275 21 235317313630 78273 148 280 72 -6 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.1
202832 MLBOAK 46% 259229 541003 21387 31 236319319638 83270 158 274 68 -10 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.3
202933 MLBOAK 54% 260230 53903 21407 21 230314309623 78265 158 267 62 -11 +0 -3 +1 +7 -0.6
203034 MLBOAK 49% 202179 40702 16325 10 223305296601 73260 168 258 55 -10 +0 -3 +1 +6 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 12201078 24942110 10118331 84 231315300615 69269 158 270 65 -48 +0 -10 +9 +35 -1.5
/ 162G 650574 1322215 549817 42 230315298613 68268 158 270 65 -26 +0 -5 +5 +18 -0.8
Career 49874428 11351831062 391692129 5933 256334344679 88290 148 306 93 -41 -1 -21 +18 +141 9.7
/ 162G 650577 1482418 519017 84 256335343679 87290 148 306 93 -5 +0 -3 +2 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 ROKOrem Owlz 4337 13010 451 01 351429405834 54406 129 372 143 +2 -0 +1 0.3
201923 A+Inland Empire 66ers 342304 821313 243913 73 270349349698 79300 117 321 104 +1 +0 +10 1.2
201923 ABurlington Bees 8072 24510 682 22 333400431831 97375 108 375 145 +4 -0 +2 0.6
202125 AAASalt Lake Bees 458404 13521016 45627 63 334410505915 171363 1410 405 168 +35 +0 +13 4.9
202125 AARocket City Trash Pandas 9687 30501 7152 02 345406437843 92408 167 381 150 +5 -1 +3 0.7
202226 MLBLos Angeles Angels 6961 12200 5122 00 197279230509 33245 177 240 42 -5 +0 +1 +1 +2 -0.0
202226 AAASalt Lake Bees 346287 901434 48228 42 314426425851 111326 614 384 152 +20 +0 +10 3.1
202327 MLBLos Angeles Angels 7162 18210 881 01 290380355735 65333 1111 339 118 +1 -0 -1 +2 +2 0.4
202327 AAASalt Lake Bees 455381 1392025 603311 87 365465467932 102388 713 419 179 +40 -1 +13 5.3
202428 MLBLos Angeles Angels 124110 24400 10203 00 218301255555 36267 168 261 58 -6 +0 -2 +1 +4 -0.3
202428 AAASalt Lake Bees 183157 611302 19163 40 389464510973 121415 910 426 184 +17 +1 +5 2.4
202529 MLBToronto Blue Jays 2522 4000 330 00 182280182462 211 1212 229 33 -2 +0 +1 +2 +1 0.1
202529 AAABuffalo Bisons 442363 1041706 594415 66 287407383790 96308 1013 362 135 +17 -1 +13 2.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 289255 58810 26436 01 227314267580 39274 159 273 67 -11 -0 -1 +6 +8 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA
91,5192019240310353+10+134.04.4
/16266498+4.2+5.51.8pk7: 5
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA
82,3891724246315322+2+92.52.7
/16266457+0.5+2.50.7pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,208108235315308+4-10.50.6
/16266465+2.4-0.70.3pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Michael Stefanic (OGILVIE) 30 60 35 45 60 249/335/340 91278 69 13% 8% 92 +1.3
Elias Díaz
2021 · MLB
30 51→56 43→50 44→45 49 248/304/357 109287 113 18% 7% 85 +0.7 219/278/353 134251 162 19% 7% 75 -0.0 242/293/38013829016022%6%85+0.3
Kevin Plawecki
2022 · MLB
31 54→56 44→45 47→30 50 263/325/383 120299 125 16% 7% 102 +1.8 231/294/333 102280 93 20% 7% 76 +0.1 212/275/305932599021%7%58-0.5
Jamie Ritchie
2023 · AAA
30 49→52 39→40 44→45 52 234/312/320 86289 64 20% 9% 80 +0.4 221/300/305 84287 78 23% 10% 72 -0.2 202/301/239372703523%12%53-0.5
Joey Hammond
2008 · AAA
30 54→59 40 43→40 49 259/310/349 90303 95 17% 7% 86 +0.8 245/304/334 89299 76 19% 8% 80 +0.4 244/308/322783015319%8%75-0.0
Will Rhymes
2013 · MLB
30 54→60 39→40 48→55 52 255/311/343 88281 611 12% 7% 85 +0.7 236/292/322 86262 68 12% 7% 72 -0.2 234/292/313792595611%7%68-0.4
Johnny Giavotella
2017 · MLB
30 53→61 42→45 47→50 48 256/296/369 113278 88 12% 5% 85 +0.7 250/301/364 114281 108 14% 7% 86 +0.8 275/330/3951203069513%7%106+1.4
Matt Duffy
2021 · MLB
30 54→63 41→45 45→50 54 259/336/360 101303 89 17% 9% 101 +1.8 257/322/351 94315 98 20% 7% 92 +1.2 260/322/337773217620%7%87+0.4
Jamey Carroll
2004 · MLB
30 52→62 40 51→50 50 249/309/348 99287 611 16% 7% 85 +0.7 262/340/343 81301 410 13% 10% 98 +1.6 285/364/3425633911214%10%102+1.3
Manuel Velez
2006 · AAA
30 55→59 41→40 50→45 52 266/324/365 99302 99 15% 8% 96 +1.5 267/309/370 103289 106 11% 5% 91 +1.1 280/316/38810829413210%4%95+0.5
Eric Fryer
2016 · MLB
30 50→60 40→45 50 47 238/300/329 91307 79 24% 8% 77 +0.1 233/305/317 84300 67 22% 9% 76 +0.1 261/333/311503300019%10%84+0.1
Aaron Miles
2007 · MLB
30 56→65 38→40 48→45 51 265/312/349 85288 57 10% 6% 86 +0.8 271/314/349 78298 55 10% 6% 87 +0.8 272/310/336633013510%5%78+0.1
Angel Sanchez
2013 · MLB
29 55→60 37→40 48→45 51 259/308/327 69286 58 12% 6% 79 +0.3 225/272/305 80261 76 16% 6% 59 -1.1 194/237/251572324018%4%28-1.0
Gerald Laird
2010 · MLB
30 49→47 42→50 46→50 50 233/302/343 109270 87 17% 8% 82 +0.5 233/297/344 111269 97 17% 7% 80 +0.4 268/338/3691013106314%8%97+0.4
Ronny Cedeno
2013 · MLB
30 51→57 42→45 43→50 47 246/297/361 115301 86 21% 7% 84 +0.6 234/280/330 96295 88 22% 5% 69 -0.4 224/263/301772835822%4%50-0.9
A.J. Ellis
2011 · MLB
30 55→56 37→45 45→40 57 254/340/329 75308 35 17% 11% 95 +1.4 250/349/365 115298 103 18% 12% 108 +2.3 250/352/37612629413018%12%105+1.5
Erick Almonte
2008 · AAA
30 52→48 41→40 45 52 248/319/347 99310 89 22% 10% 89 +1.0 244/302/342 98307 87 22% 8% 81 +0.4 257/309/333773306522%7%77+0.1
Heber Gomez
2008 · AAA
30 57→62 38→40 44→50 52 268/321/350 81285 610 9% 6% 91 +1.1 260/311/344 84284 612 10% 6% 85 +0.7 262/312/3377528451310%6%81+0.3
Dixon Machado
2023 · MLB
31 53→55 39→45 48→55 49 251/314/340 89297 710 17% 7% 85 +0.7 226/305/322 96274 97 20% 9% 79 +0.3 208/300/290822549421%11%66-0.3
Jose Iglesias
2020 · MLB
30 56→65 44→45 46→50 46 275/310/397 122299 1011 13% 4% 98 +1.6 274/312/394 120305 107 13% 4% 98 +1.6 273/314/3751023148515%4%92+0.7
Sergio Palafox
2010 · AAA
30 53 39→40 50→45 51 251/303/336 85277 610 12% 7% 79 +0.3 224/273/309 85260 610 16% 6% 60 -1.0 220/262/274542632716%4%43-0.6