Michael Stefanic
2B Las Vegas Aviators| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | AAALAA | 183 | .389/.464/.510 | 2 | 4 | 128 | — | .337/.397/.436 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLBLAA | 124 | .218/.301/.255 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.4 | |
| 2025 | 29 | AAATOR | 442 | .287/.407/.383 | 6 | 6 | 96 | — | .260/.355/.336 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLBTOR | 25 | .182/.280/.182 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0.1 | |
| 2026 | 30 | AAAOAK | 453 | .296/.411/.414 | 6 | 9 | 101 | — | .265/.353/.355 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLBOAK | 29 | .346/.414/.385 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 0.3 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 31 | MLBOAK | 107 | .258/.341/.360 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 32 | MLBOAK | 133 | .251/.334/.345 | 2 | 1 | 91 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 43 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 351 | 429 | 405 | 834 | 54 | 406 | 12 | 9 | 372 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 304 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 39 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 270 | 349 | 349 | 698 | 79 | 300 | 11 | 7 | 321 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 80 | 72 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 333 | 400 | 431 | 831 | 97 | 375 | 10 | 8 | 375 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 458 | 404 | 135 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 45 | 62 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 334 | 410 | 505 | 915 | 171 | 363 | 14 | 10 | 405 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 96 | 87 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 345 | 406 | 437 | 843 | 92 | 408 | 16 | 7 | 381 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 69 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 279 | 230 | 509 | 33 | 245 | 17 | 7 | 240 | 50 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 346 | 287 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 314 | 426 | 425 | 851 | 111 | 326 | 6 | 14 | 384 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 71 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 290 | 380 | 355 | 735 | 65 | 333 | 11 | 11 | 339 | 117 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 455 | 381 | 139 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 365 | 465 | 467 | 932 | 102 | 388 | 7 | 13 | 419 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 124 | 110 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 301 | 255 | 555 | 36 | 267 | 16 | 8 | 261 | 64 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 183 | 157 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 389 | 464 | 510 | 973 | 121 | 415 | 9 | 10 | 426 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 25 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 280 | 182 | 462 | 211 | 12 | 12 | 229 | 40 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 | |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 442 | 363 | 104 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 287 | 407 | 383 | 790 | 96 | 308 | 10 | 13 | 362 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Athletics | — | 29 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 346 | 414 | 385 | 798 | 38 | 450 | 21 | 10 | 366 | 129 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 453 | 372 | 110 | 26 | 0 | 6 | 59 | 43 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 296 | 411 | 414 | 825 | 118 | 315 | 9 | 13 | 371 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 318 | 281 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 323 | 278 | 600 | 39 | 289 | 15 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +7 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 43 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 51 | 322 | 16 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 311 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 219 | 287 | 286 | 574 | 68 | 250 | 15 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 80 | 74 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 284 | 338 | 365 | 702 | 81 | 325 | 14 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 458 | 420 | 129 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 76 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 307 | 362 | 445 | 807 | 138 | 346 | 17 | 6 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 96 | 90 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 333 | 375 | 422 | 797 | 89 | 401 | 19 | 4 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 69 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 279 | 230 | 509 | 33 | 245 | 17 | 7 | 242 | 50 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 346 | 303 | 90 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 297 | 379 | 389 | 768 | 92 | 313 | 8 | 9 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 71 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 290 | 380 | 355 | 735 | 65 | 333 | 11 | 11 | 341 | 117 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 455 | 400 | 126 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 39 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 315 | 394 | 400 | 794 | 85 | 337 | 9 | 9 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 124 | 110 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 301 | 255 | 555 | 36 | 267 | 16 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 183 | 163 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 337 | 397 | 436 | 832 | 98 | 351 | 11 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 25 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 280 | 182 | 462 | 211 | 12 | 12 | 228 | 40 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 | |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 442 | 381 | 99 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 53 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 260 | 355 | 336 | 691 | 76 | 280 | 12 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 29 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 346 | 414 | 385 | 798 | 38 | 450 | 21 | 10 | 359 | 129 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 453 | 392 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 52 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 265 | 353 | 355 | 707 | 89 | 283 | 11 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 43 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 51 | 344 | 16 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 43 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 351 | 429 | 405 | 834 | 54 | 406 | 12 | 9 | 372 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 422 | 385 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 64 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 231 | 297 | 301 | 598 | 70 | 270 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 422 | 376 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 47 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 282 | 359 | 364 | 723 | 82 | 315 | 11 | 7 | 331 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 510 | 159 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 94 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 312 | 364 | 441 | 805 | 129 | 359 | 17 | 6 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 554 | 491 | 165 | 26 | 0 | 17 | 52 | 77 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 336 | 409 | 493 | 902 | 157 | 371 | 14 | 9 | 401 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 415 | 364 | 102 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 39 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 280 | 363 | 363 | 725 | 82 | 305 | 9 | 9 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 415 | 348 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 293 | 401 | 391 | 792 | 98 | 313 | 8 | 13 | 360 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 462 | 144 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 47 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 312 | 392 | 394 | 786 | 82 | 339 | 9 | 9 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 526 | 443 | 157 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 41 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 354 | 453 | 451 | 905 | 97 | 381 | 8 | 13 | 408 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 273 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 289 | 358 | 363 | 720 | 73 | 329 | 13 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 307 | 267 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 318 | 397 | 404 | 802 | 86 | 358 | 12 | 9 | 359 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 403 | 103 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 56 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 256 | 351 | 328 | 678 | 72 | 282 | 12 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 467 | 385 | 108 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 281 | 400 | 371 | 772 | 91 | 303 | 10 | 13 | 354 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 418 | 113 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 58 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 270 | 357 | 356 | 713 | 86 | 300 | 12 | 9 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 398 | 119 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 62 | 49 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 299 | 411 | 412 | 823 | 113 | 323 | 10 | 13 | 370 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 43 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 333 | 325 | 658 | 50 | 322 | 16 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 422 | 383 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 64 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 232 | 297 | 303 | 600 | 70 | 264 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 507 | 159 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 94 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 314 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 130 | 356 | 17 | 6 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 415 | 365 | 102 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 39 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 279 | 363 | 362 | 724 | 82 | 302 | 9 | 9 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 460 | 144 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 47 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 313 | 392 | 396 | 788 | 83 | 337 | 9 | 9 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 275 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 287 | 358 | 360 | 718 | 73 | 317 | 13 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 405 | 103 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 56 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 254 | 351 | 326 | 677 | 72 | 276 | 12 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 423 | 113 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 58 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 267 | 357 | 352 | 709 | 85 | 293 | 12 | 9 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 275 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 287 | 358 | 360 | 718 | 73 | 317 | 13 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 405 | 103 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 56 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 254 | 351 | 326 | 677 | 72 | 276 | 12 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 423 | 113 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 58 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 267 | 357 | 352 | 709 | 85 | 293 | 12 | 9 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | OAK | 45% | 380 | 334 | 84 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 50 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 250 | 335 | 348 | 682 | 97 | 278 | 13 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | OAK | 45% | 107 | 95 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 102 | 287 | 13 | 8 | 318 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | OAK | 53% | 250 | 220 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 244 | 328 | 333 | 661 | 89 | 274 | 14 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | OAK | 53% | 133 | 117 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 334 | 345 | 679 | 94 | 283 | 14 | 9 | 310 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 451 | 398 | 97 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 244 | 328 | 302 | 630 | 58 | 288 | 15 | 9 | 290 | 102 | -10 | -0 | -3 | +8 | +10 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 140 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 59 | 97 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 244 | 328 | 301 | 630 | 57 | 288 | 15 | 9 | 290 | 102 | -15 | -0 | -5 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3704 | 3284 | 906 | 145 | 9 | 41 | 294 | 470 | 93 | 50 | 30 | 276 | 352 | 363 | 715 | 87 | 309 | 13 | 8 | 319 | 102 | -13 | -0 | -5 | +10 | +17 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 159 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 52 | 82 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 276 | 352 | 363 | 715 | 87 | 310 | 13 | 8 | 319 | 102 | -10 | -0 | -4 | +8 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 453 PAwOBA .367 → .317 (−51)K% 9.5% → 11.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×0.972 | 22.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×0.972 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .367 → .317; ISO .118 → .096; BABIP .315 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 442 PAwOBA .357 → .310 (−47)K% 10.0% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.95% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.35% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 9.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.39% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 23.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷0.847 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .357 → .310; ISO .096 → .080; BABIP .308 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 183 PAwOBA .420 → .357 (−64)K% 8.7% → 10.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.74% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.62% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×0.989 | ×0.992 | 28.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.22% | ÷1.141 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×0.992 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.42% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .420 → .357; ISO .121 → .093; BABIP .415 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASalt Lake Bees · 455 PAwOBA .411 → .350 (−60)K% 7.3% → 8.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.19% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.18% | ÷1.058 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 28.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.75% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .411 → .350; ISO .102 → .087; BABIP .388 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASalt Lake Bees · 346 PAwOBA .377 → .344 (−34)K% 6.4% → 7.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.36% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 7.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.58% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.04% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.018 | 25.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.28% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.018 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×1.018 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.51% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .377 → .344; ISO .111 → .098; BABIP .326 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASalt Lake Bees · 458 PAwOBA .395 → .352 (−44)K% 13.5% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.54% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.61% | ÷1.090 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.65% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 28.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.68% | ÷0.907 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.73% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .395 → .352; ISO .171 → .143; BABIP .363 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 96 PAwOBA .368 → .341 (−27)K% 15.6% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.940 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 33.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷0.947 | ×0.870 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.249 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .368 → .341; ISO .092 → .077; BABIP .408 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 342 PAwOBA .312 → .254 (−59)K% 11.4% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.40% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.73% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.80% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.53% | ÷1.024 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.91% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.939 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .254; ISO .079 → .066; BABIP .300 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).