Ethan HearnC
Knoxville Smokies
Age 25
L/R
5'11" / 200 lbs
AA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†37
AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .231 / .283
PA315
HR7
SB5
K%39
BB%5
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
40→40
SPD
45→45
EYE
39↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-5M | $-20M | -$16M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 98 | 85 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .094 | .189 | .153 | .342 | .059 | .200 | 53 | 8 | .171 | -11 | -12 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 226 | 200 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 139 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .110 | .191 | .205 | .396 | .095 | .290 | 62 | 7 | .178 | -6 | -27 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | -1.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 338 | 302 | 44 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 166 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .146 | .230 | .291 | .521 | .146 | .271 | 49 | 8 | .230 | 34 | -25 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 263 | 244 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 117 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .111 | .172 | .148 | .319 | .037 | .205 | 44 | 5 | .150 | -27 | -38 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | -2.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 255 | 231 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 96 | 9 | 5 | 3 | .177 | .246 | .329 | .575 | .152 | .254 | 38 | 5 | .248 | 48 | -15 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 333 | 312 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 130 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .154 | .205 | .253 | .458 | .099 | .229 | 39 | 5 | .200 | 11 | -33 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .227 | .261 | .273 | .534 | .045 | .357 | 35 | 4 | .227 | 32 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CHC | 292 | 270 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 113 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .174 | .231 | .281 | .513 | .107 | .268 | 39 | 5 | .234 | 38 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | CHC | 315 | 292 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 121 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .178 | .233 | .281 | .514 | .103 | .277 | 38 | 5 | .234 | 37 | -22 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | CHC | 344 | 316 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 128 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .184 | .243 | .301 | .544 | .117 | .272 | 37 | 6 | .245 | 46 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | CHC | 374 | 343 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 135 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .248 | .306 | .554 | .120 | .274 | 36 | 6 | .251 | 50 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | CHC | 391 | 357 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 140 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .185 | .250 | .300 | .550 | .115 | .274 | 36 | 6 | .254 | 52 | -21 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | CHC | 394 | 360 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 140 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .186 | .251 | .300 | .551 | .114 | .274 | 36 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -21 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | CHC | 395 | 361 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 142 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .183 | .247 | .296 | .544 | .114 | .272 | 36 | 7 | .250 | 50 | -22 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | CHC | 372 | 340 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 135 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .179 | .244 | .288 | .532 | .109 | .271 | 36 | 6 | .246 | 47 | -22 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 84% | CHC | 346 | 315 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 128 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .178 | .245 | .283 | .527 | .105 | .269 | 37 | 7 | .242 | 43 | -22 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 309 | 282 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 116 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .177 | .242 | .280 | .522 | .103 | .267 | 38 | 6 | .237 | 39 | -21 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 261 | 239 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .172 | .236 | .272 | .507 | .100 | .265 | 38 | 7 | .230 | 34 | -19 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4991 | 4557 | 766 | 141 | 17 | 107 | 311 | 1977 | 78 | 63 | 13 | .168 | .234 | .277 | .510 | .109 | .263 | 40 | 6 | .232 | 36 | -363 | +7 | -20 | +89 | +141 | -14.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 593 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 257 | 10 | 8 | 2 | .167 | .233 | .275 | .508 | .108 | .261 | 40 | 6 | .232 | 36 | -47 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -1.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 98 | 80 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .163 | .295 | .275 | .570 | .113 | .244 | 37 | 13 | .263 | 60 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 226 | 193 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 100 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .277 | .321 | .599 | .145 | .304 | 44 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 338 | 286 | 61 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 115 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .213 | .328 | .430 | .758 | .217 | .304 | 34 | 12 | .335 | 115 | +6 | +2 | — | — | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 263 | 237 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 89 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .156 | .237 | .224 | .460 | .068 | .238 | 34 | 8 | .217 | 25 | -22 | +0 | — | — | +7 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 255 | 225 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 3 | .231 | .313 | .431 | .745 | .200 | .296 | 30 | 7 | .328 | 109 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 333 | 305 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 99 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .190 | .256 | .302 | .558 | .111 | .251 | 30 | 7 | .254 | 53 | -18 | +1 | — | — | +9 | -0.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Hearn (OGILVIE) | 25 | 30 | 40 | 45 | 35 | .174/.231/.283 | .109 | .268 | 7 | 4 | 39% | 5% | 38 | -1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .179/.243/.270 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .186/.268/.305 | .119 | .285 | 12 | 20 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kyle McCann 2022 · AA |
24 | 35→33 | 44→50 | 48→40 | 36 | .168/.245/.281 | .113 | .310 | 13 | 5 | 47% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.270/.351 | .155 | .325 | 21 | 4 | 43% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .202/.277/.366 | .164 | .320 | 23 | 2 | 42% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35→34 | 45 | 47→45 | 31 | .179/.230/.302 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .186/.258/.305 | .119 | .310 | 12 | 9 | 41% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .167/.257/.278 | .111 | .280 | 12 | 8 | 41% | 8% | 44 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 39 | .177/.239/.273 | .095 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.266/.312 | .112 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.265/.302 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chris Betts 2022 · AA |
25 | 35→25 | 44→45 | 49→40 | 42 | .175/.258/.287 | .112 | .287 | 13 | 5 | 41% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .188/.256/.313 | .125 | .402 | 14 | 7 | 52% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .090/.172/.220 | .130 | .197 | 19 | 0 | 62% | 9% | -6 | -0.9 |
|
✕Aaron Shackelford 2022 · A |
25 | 34→32 | 49→50 | 50→45 | 34 | .181/.238/.323 | .142 | .278 | 18 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .186/.249/.339 | .153 | .278 | 19 | 9 | 39% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .176/.247/.331 | .155 | .254 | 20 | 10 | 38% | 7% | 54 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brady Lindsly 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 42→40 | 49→40 | 37 | .189/.248/.288 | .099 | .300 | 11 | 5 | 39% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .195/.255/.290 | .095 | .302 | 10 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.251/.272 | .083 | .287 | 9 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 40 | -1.0 |
|
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA |
26 | 36→34 | 46→50 | 42→40 | 31 | .185/.232/.304 | .119 | .299 | 15 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.259/.317 | .117 | .320 | 13 | 5 | 39% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .179/.247/.293 | .114 | .280 | 13 | 2 | 39% | 6% | 44 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kyle Skipworth 2015 · AAA |
25 | 32→34 | 49→50 | 42→30 | 32 | .177/.229/.321 | .144 | .267 | 18 | 4 | 41% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .175/.233/.311 | .136 | .311 | 17 | 4 | 47% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .135/.197/.270 | .135 | .245 | 18 | 0 | 51% | 6% | 19 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2017 · AA |
25 | 40→35 | 46→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .201/.265/.327 | .126 | .295 | 15 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .183/.246/.281 | .098 | .271 | 10 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .160/.225/.251 | .090 | .235 | 10 | 1 | 35% | 6% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Evan Skoug 2021 · A |
25 | 33 | 42→45 | 51→40 | 38 | .166/.231/.265 | .099 | .277 | 9 | 6 | 41% | 8% | 32 | -3.0 | .184/.266/.328 | .144 | .278 | 16 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .157/.252/.309 | .151 | .224 | 18 | 2 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA |
25 | 36 | 42→45 | 45→30 | 41 | .182/.242/.284 | .102 | .253 | 10 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .192/.261/.289 | .097 | .281 | 9 | 5 | 33% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .153/.239/.224 | .071 | .230 | 6 | 0 | 33% | 9% | 23 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA |
26 | 37 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 43 | .189/.255/.306 | .118 | .271 | 11 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .187/.257/.291 | .104 | .291 | 10 | 5 | 36% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .125/.205/.184 | .059 | .260 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 9% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A |
25 | 36 | 39→40 | 46→40 | 41 | .178/.244/.257 | .079 | .273 | 7 | 5 | 36% | 8% | 36 | -2.7 | .197/.261/.302 | .105 | .337 | 11 | 6 | 41% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .162/.239/.276 | .114 | .269 | 14 | 0 | 42% | 7% | 37 | -0.7 |
|
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→36 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .191/.255/.290 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .203/.269/.317 | .114 | .286 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.313 | .134 | .265 | 12 | 20 | 35% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Matt Winn 2018 · AAA |
25 | 36→33 | 45 | 46→30 | 36 | .183/.240/.302 | .118 | .286 | 13 | 3 | 39% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .179/.239/.297 | .118 | .337 | 12 | 3 | 47% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .150/.213/.268 | .118 | .300 | 12 | 0 | 51% | 7% | 22 | -1.4 |
|
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA |
25 | 36→35 | 45 | 49→30 | 39 | .186/.249/.310 | .124 | .279 | 12 | 3 | 37% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .195/.250/.307 | .112 | .309 | 11 | 4 | 38% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .180/.237/.276 | .096 | .295 | 10 | 0 | 40% | 7% | 34 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A |
25 | 36→37 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .180/.250/.300 | .120 | .295 | 12 | 9 | 41% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .191/.245/.294 | .103 | .301 | 10 | 12 | 38% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .184/.232/.281 | .097 | .278 | 11 | 16 | 37% | 5% | 33 | -1.8 |