Breidy Encarnación
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 7 | 47 | 179 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 54% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 1.6% | 1.91 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 7 | 47 | 179 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 54% | 3.6 | 31.8% | 6.1% | 25.7% | 1.1% | 1.91 | 1.93 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 9 | 1 | 22 | 107 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 11% | 2.4 | 13.3% | 21.0% | -7.7% | 5.2% | 8.18 | 7.51 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 9 | 1 | 22 | 107 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 11% | 2.4 | 19.6% | 16.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.18 | 6.01 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 4 | 31 | 122 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 29% | 2.2 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 1.9% | 2.61 | 3.48 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 4 | 31 | 122 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 29% | 2.2 | 32.8% | 9.8% | 23.0% | 0.8% | 2.61 | 2.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 41 | 0 | 75 | 307 | 87 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 2.03 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 41 | 0 | 75 | 307 | 87 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.3% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 1.0% | 2.03 | 2.62 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.07 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 199 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 199 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 77 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 12 | 178 | 728 | 153 | 87 | 15 | 15% | 2.2 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 2.83 | 3.99 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 13 | 200 | 816 | 172 | 98 | 17 | 15% | 2.2 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 2.83 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Breidy Encarnación (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.32 | 23.6% | 14.2% | 94 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 87 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 85 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 84 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .284 | 3.25 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 125 | -0.65 | 3.08 | 201 | 83 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 83 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 82 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 82 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.45 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 4.07 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 87 | +0.62 | 3.45 | 163 | 82 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 82 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 82 |
| Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 21.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .261 | 5.72 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 118 | +1.99 | 3.73 | 191 | 82 |
| Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 82 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 82 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 82 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 82 |
| Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 81 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 81 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .257 | 2.89 | 20.7% | 13.6% | 124 | -0.54 | 2.31 | 225 | 81 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 81 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 47 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 1.15 | 4.32 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |