Jose Alcantara (P, Hillsboro Hops) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Alcantara P Hillsboro Hops

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%22.4%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	13	0	22	108	25	10	0	0%	1.7	15.7%	11.6%	4.2%	0.0%	6.55	3.24	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	13	0	22	108	25	10	0	0%	1.7	23.1%	9.3%	13.9%	0.0%	6.55	2.19	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	13	1	28	116	32	7	0	8%	2.1	18.8%	7.5%	11.2%	0.0%	1.63	2.47	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	13	1	28	116	32	7	0	8%	2.1	27.6%	6.0%	21.6%	0.0%	1.63	1.55	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	39	170	47	15	3	0%	2.0	18.1%	8.8%	9.3%	2.9%	2.97	4.27	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	39	170	47	15	3	0%	2.0	27.6%	8.8%	18.8%	1.8%	2.97	2.85	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	57	251	74	36	4	0%	1.3	22.3%	16.7%	5.5%	2.2%	3.49	4.57	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	57	251	74	36	4	0%	1.3	29.5%	14.3%	15.1%	1.6%	3.49	3.31	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	11	0	20	94	21	17	1	0%	1.8	17.2%	20.8%	-3.6%	1.4%	4.87	5.05	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	11	0	20	94	21	17	1	0%	1.8	17.2%	20.8%	-3.6%	1.4%	4.87	5.05	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	11	0	20	94	21	17	1	0%	1.8	22.3%	18.1%	4.3%	1.1%	4.87	4.18	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	12.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.9%	10.7%	3.0%	4.73	4.75	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.9%	10.7%	3.0%	4.73	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.9%	10.7%	3.0%	4.73	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.9%	10.7%	3.0%	4.73	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		99	1	166	739	142	98	12	1%	1.7	19.2%	13.2%	5.9%	1.6%	3.63	4.04	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	1	200	890	171	118	14	1%	1.7	19.2%	13.2%	5.9%	1.6%	3.63	4.04	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Alcantara (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	22.4%	12.1%	3.0%	—	4.75	22.5%	10.7%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	83
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	83
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	82
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	82
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	82
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	82
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	81