Jose Alcantara P Hillsboro Hops
Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: +0.03 (12 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL D-backs 213022108251000%1.715.7%11.6%4.2%0.0%6.553.24
201818ROKDSL D-backs 213022108251000%1.723.1%9.3%13.9%0.0%6.552.19
201919ROKDSL D-backs 21312811632708%2.118.8%7.5%11.2%0.0%1.632.47
201919ROKDSL D-backs 21312811632708%2.127.6%6.0%21.6%0.0%1.631.55
202121MIX2 levels20039170471530%2.018.1%8.8%9.3%3.1%2.974.41
202121MIX2 levels20039170471530%2.027.6%8.8%18.8%1.8%2.972.85
202222MIX2 levels42057251743640%1.322.3%16.7%5.5%2.6%3.494.77
202222MIX2 levels42057251743640%1.329.5%14.3%15.1%1.6%3.493.31
202323A+Hillsboro Hops1102094211710%1.817.2%20.8%-3.6%1.5%4.875.09
202323A+Hillsboro Hops1102094211710%1.822.3%18.1%4.3%1.1%4.874.18
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBARI120125112520%1.023.2%9.6%13.6%3.0%4.374.37+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBARI190208420830%1.123.2%9.6%13.6%3.0%4.394.40+0.0
202727MLBARI707307310%1.023.2%9.6%13.6%3.0%4.394.40+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317310%1.023.2%9.6%13.6%3.0%4.394.02+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419182270%1.123.2%9.6%13.6%3.0%4.394.02+3.2
Career99116673914298131%1.719.2%13.2%5.9%1.8%3.634.14+2.4
/ 200 IP1191200890171118161%1.719.2%13.2%5.9%1.8%3.634.14+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jose Alcantara (OGILVIE) 4.37 23.2%9.6%3.0% 4.40 23.2%13.6%20 +0.03
Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 86
Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 26 SU 3.80 22.0%7.5%2.9%.333 4.41 18.1%6.6%151 +0.61 3.74 185 86
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 84
Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.2%8.5%4.2%.302 2.25 121 84
Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 26 SU 3.60 23.1%8.7%2.5%.234 3.53 18.4%8.3%43 -0.07 2.96 114 83
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SU 4.34 23.4%11.6%3.2%.273 4.52 18.7%7.1%88 +0.18 3.57 187 83
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 83
Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 26 SU 3.77 24.1%8.9%2.9%.242 3.56 22.5%12.4%100 -0.21 3.05 205 82
Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 26 SU 4.36 20.9%8.8%3.5%.310 4.40 17.6%5.6%46 +0.04 3.42 161 82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 26 SU 4.46 19.9%9.8%3.3%.278 5.02 22.7%10.3%89 +0.56 2.69 315 82
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SU 4.57 26.5%11.2%4.2%.299 4.42 22.3%10.3%87 -0.15 3.74 163 82
Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 26 SU 4.11 22.1%9.2%3.1%.282 3.23 26.9%17.2%144 -0.88 1.79 647 81
Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 81
Kelly Austin R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 25 SU 4.58 21.6%8.3%4.1%.264 4.15 119 80
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 26 SU 3.46 23.1%9.3%2.1%.244 3.76 18.9%11.1%168 +0.30 3.23 253 80
Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.1%10.9%3.6%.300 3.61 23.0%12.8%63 -0.90 3.16 377 80
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SU 4.16 24.5%13.2%2.6%.256 4.34 20.3%9.0%115 +0.18 3.78 180 80
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 26 SU 3.69 26.8%9.8%2.9%.289 3.84 20.9%11.9%66 +0.15 3.31 166 80
Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP 26 SU 3.27 26.6%8.0%2.6%.291 3.07 24.1%13.3%63 -0.20 2.74 178 80
Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 3.35 101 80