Caleb Roberts

OF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAARI	437	.237/.331/.388	10	8	48	—	.181/.255/.280
2026	26	AAMIN	134	.196/.448/.326	3	7	90	—	.178/.381/.297
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBMIN	3	.210/.305/.330	0	0	82	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBMIN	56	.210/.304/.329	1	1	82	-0.0
2029PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBMIN	97	.209/.302/.327	2	2	80	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%99

Chase%99

Z-Con%96

Whiff%89

wOBA86

K%84

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsNathan Panther (age 27) · Ronnie Dawson (age 27) · Stephen Scott (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .305 / .330

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%9

BABIP277

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	112	24	4	2	1	18	36	4	3	1	214	343	312	656	98	299	26	13	304	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	31	10	2	1	0	2	6	0	0	1	323	364	452	815	129	400	18	6	361	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	389	91	24	3	9	60	127	13	17	5	234	355	380	735	147	320	27	13	335	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	434	367	102	23	8	17	58	114	6	11	3	278	385	523	908	245	356	26	13	395	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	84	64	13	3	0	1	17	24	2	2	1	203	386	297	682	94	300	29	20	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	416	101	20	4	20	55	120	8	11	2	243	342	454	797	212	288	25	11	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	379	90	21	3	10	45	103	8	8	3	237	331	388	719	150	295	24	10	322	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	92	18	3	0	3	30	24	12	7	2	196	448	326	774	130	231	18	22	378	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	117	20	3	2	1	13	50	4	3	1	171	276	256	533	85	262	37	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	32	9	2	1	0	1	7	0	0	1	281	303	406	709	125	366	21	3	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	405	77	17	2	8	44	164	13	17	5	190	290	301	591	111	289	35	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	434	381	84	20	7	8	44	139	6	11	3	220	311	373	684	152	314	32	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	434	91	18	4	13	37	144	8	11	2	210	284	359	643	150	272	30	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	393	71	15	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	181	255	280	535	99	243	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	101	18	3	0	3	21	29	12	7	2	178	381	297	678	119	199	22	16	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	117	20	3	2	1	13	50	4	3	1	171	276	256	533	85	279	37	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	112	24	4	2	1	18	36	4	3	1	214	343	312	656	98	299	26	13	304	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	498	437	86	19	3	8	45	171	13	17	6	197	291	309	600	112	299	34	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	498	420	101	26	4	9	62	133	13	17	6	240	356	386	741	145	327	27	12	336	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	454	100	24	8	10	52	166	8	13	4	220	311	374	686	154	319	32	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	518	431	115	26	8	18	75	138	8	13	4	267	385	490	875	223	348	27	14	384	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	434	91	18	4	13	37	144	8	11	2	210	284	359	643	150	277	30	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	416	101	20	4	20	55	120	8	11	2	243	342	454	797	212	288	25	11	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	393	71	15	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	181	255	280	535	99	247	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	379	90	21	3	10	45	103	8	8	3	237	331	388	719	150	295	24	10	322	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	101	18	3	0	3	21	29	12	7	2	178	381	297	678	119	217	22	16	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	92	18	3	0	3	30	24	12	7	2	196	448	326	774	130	231	18	22	378	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	118	20	3	2	1	13	50	4	3	1	169	276	254	530	85	262	37	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	498	437	86	19	3	8	45	171	13	17	6	197	291	309	600	112	294	34	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	453	100	24	8	10	52	166	8	13	4	221	311	375	687	155	314	32	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	437	91	18	4	13	37	144	8	11	2	208	284	357	641	149	272	30	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	395	71	15	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	180	255	278	533	99	243	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	100	18	3	0	3	21	29	12	7	2	180	381	300	681	120	199	22	16	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	437	91	18	4	13	37	144	8	11	2	208	284	357	641	149	272	30	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	395	71	15	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	180	255	278	533	99	243	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	100	18	3	0	3	21	29	12	7	2	180	381	300	681	120	199	22	16	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	2%	200	174	36	7	1	4	18	54	6	4	1	210	305	329	634	120	277	27	9	290	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	210	305	330	635	120	277	33	0	290	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	27%	207	180	38	8	1	4	19	56	6	4	1	210	304	329	632	119	276	27	9	289	82	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	37%	262	229	48	10	1	5	24	70	7	5	2	209	302	326	628	117	276	27	9	287	80	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	27%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	210	304	329	633	119	277	27	9	289	82	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	37%	97	86	18	4	0	2	9	26	2	2	1	209	302	327	628	118	276	27	9	287	80	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	153	136	28	6	0	3	14	41	3	3	1	206	294	316	610	110	272	27	9	288	74	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	119	25	0	13	59	174	13	13	4	206	294	317	610	111	271	27	9	288	74	-15	+1	-3	-4	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2813	2464	498	105	23	53	254	852	70	71	22	202	295	328	623	126	281	30	9	277	74	-13	+1	-2	-4	+13	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	114	24	5	12	59	197	16	16	5	200	293	323	617	123	279	30	9	277	74	-14	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Roberts (OGILVIE)	27	40	45	45	45	208/302/326	119	277	3	3	27%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	218/287/345	127	267	12	7	23%	8%	79	-0.2	227/292/348	121	281	11	8	22%	8%	82	-0.0	228/293/340	112	278	10	5	21%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Ronnie Dawson 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	43→45	47→55	44	212/282/325	113	288	10	16	29%	8%	73	-0.6	220/285/324	104	308	9	14	30%	7%	74	-0.6	207/275/298	90	300	8	13	31%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→44	48→50	49→50	51	210/289/351	141	257	15	8	24%	10%	82	-0.0	211/281/355	144	266	16	10	26%	8%	80	-0.2	210/281/365	155	259	18	10	26%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Brian Burgamy 2008 · AA	27	43→47	44→50	48→50	51	211/288/329	118	269	11	11	25%	10%	76	-0.4	213/290/328	115	282	11	10	26%	9%	76	-0.4	228/299/382	154	273	20	4	24%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→55	45	203/289/316	113	301	12	8	34%	9%	74	-0.6	223/300/322	99	294	9	18	26%	8%	79	-0.2	225/303/312	87	288	7	25	23%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Quincy Hamilton 2024 · AAA	26	44→45	47→50	49→50	49	223/301/358	136	278	15	14	25%	9%	88	+0.4	197/272/334	137	257	14	11	28%	9%	72	-0.7	173/253/311	139	222	14	11	28%	9%	57	-1.1
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	45	48→45	40	224/274/343	119	305	12	10	30%	6%	74	-0.6	232/282/372	140	335	15	10	34%	6%	84	+0.1	228/273/371	144	333	16	6	35%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	46→52	45→50	50	46	229/287/356	127	290	13	11	25%	7%	81	-0.1	224/284/335	111	300	10	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/282/324	101	305	8	11	27%	7%	69	-0.3
✕John Rave 2024 · AAA	26	43→47	45→50	49→55	45	214/282/337	123	301	14	13	32%	9%	76	-0.4	221/290/365	144	288	15	19	27%	9%	84	+0.2	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Grant Witherspoon 2024 · AAA	27	43→46	48→50	49→50	42	217/279/359	142	296	16	14	32%	7%	79	-0.2	201/268/320	119	300	13	11	35%	8%	66	-1.1	125/198/210	85	192	11	6	39%	8%	14	-1.3
✕Nick Maton 2024 · MLB	27	43→42	46→50	44→45	52	212/305/349	136	274	13	6	26%	11%	87	+0.4	216/304/361	145	275	17	5	26%	10%	90	+0.6	201/293/344	143	250	19	1	27%	10%	80	-0.0
✕Cal Towey 2017 · AAA	27	44→48	42→45	48→50	44	209/288/317	108	316	9	13	34%	9%	74	-0.6	204/289/310	106	323	8	8	36%	9%	72	-0.7	174/274/265	91	290	6	3	38%	10%	55	-1.2
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→46	43→45	45	46	218/286/329	111	292	11	5	28%	8%	75	-0.5	215/290/317	102	295	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	154/267/206	52	209	4	0	26%	13%	39	-0.6
✕Emerson Frostad 2010 · AAA	27	44→47	43→50	44→40	48	214/279/326	113	270	9	4	24%	8%	72	-0.7	216/269/309	93	267	7	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	212/258/293	82	258	5	2	19%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Carlos Alvarez 2015 · AAA	27	48	42→45	47→45	52	230/302/341	111	276	9	9	20%	9%	83	+0.1	236/308/327	91	289	6	8	19%	8%	82	+0.0	235/308/307	71	293	3	6	19%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Bligh Madris 2024 · MLB	28	44→48	46→50	47→50	47	219/287/351	132	287	13	10	28%	8%	80	-0.1	205/276/356	151	264	18	14	28%	9%	78	-0.3	191/266/344	153	237	19	13	28%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	46→48	45	44→45	49	224/303/346	122	295	12	5	27%	10%	86	+0.3	219/287/327	108	305	9	8	29%	8%	75	-0.5	167/228/209	42	248	0	0	30%	6%	22	-0.7
✕Micah Pries 2024 · AAA	26	44→45	48→50	50	42	218/284/368	150	287	14	11	28%	6%	84	+0.1	198/260/320	122	264	13	9	29%	6%	63	-1.3	160/219/258	98	212	12	8	30%	6%	31	-1.2
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	42→50	45	50	44	212/272/340	127	272	12	9	26%	7%	72	-0.7	228/279/365	137	310	15	9	30%	6%	80	-0.1	227/273/379	152	302	20	5	31%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	44→42	47→50	47→50	41	223/271/361	138	284	14	10	27%	6%	77	-0.3	205/254/329	124	273	14	7	29%	6%	63	-1.4	190/240/300	110	251	14	4	30%	6%	48	-1.8