Max Ferguson

2B Portland Sea Dogs

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAABOS	68	.279/.343/.459	2	3	73	—	.222/.269/.333
2025	25	AABOS	392	.191/.320/.286	7	31	36	—	.165/.253/.231
2026	26	AAABOS	136	.208/.280/.308	3	3	27	—	.169/.220/.234
2026	26	AABOS	232	.247/.365/.438	8	12	74	—	.200/.287/.341
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBBOS	5	.200/.275/.304	0	0	62	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBBOS	89	.201/.275/.305	2	3	62	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed72

Max EV55

Z-Con%54

Chase%43

Whiff%40

BB%34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJacob Hannemann (age 27) · Jackson Cluff (age 27) · Connor Kaiser (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .275 / .304

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP267

ISO107

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	58	47	8	2	1	0	9	20	2	5	0	170	328	255	583	85	296	34	16	284	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	94	71	17	4	1	0	22	22	0	10	1	239	419	324	743	85	340	23	23	351	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	220	177	30	6	3	4	35	57	3	10	1	169	316	305	621	136	220	26	16	286	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	307	239	59	9	5	3	61	70	3	51	4	247	406	364	770	117	333	23	20	354	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	366	308	72	16	2	5	57	102	1	28	4	234	355	347	703	114	333	28	16	325	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	94	82	13	2	0	3	11	27	0	6	2	159	258	293	551	134	189	29	12	252	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	84	68	16	4	0	1	14	20	0	3	1	235	366	338	704	103	306	24	17	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	68	61	17	5	0	2	6	17	0	3	0	279	343	459	802	180	357	25	9	350	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	392	325	62	8	1	7	59	85	3	31	7	191	320	286	607	95	235	22	15	284	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	136	120	25	3	0	3	12	35	0	3	0	208	280	308	589	100	262	26	9	262	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	232	194	48	9	2	8	34	59	2	12	4	247	365	438	803	191	312	25	15	357	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	58	50	6	1	1	0	6	29	2	5	0	120	241	180	421	60	261	50	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	94	80	13	3	1	0	13	32	0	10	1	163	280	225	505	62	251	34	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	220	191	26	5	2	4	21	70	3	10	1	136	233	246	479	110	176	32	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	307	259	47	6	4	2	41	98	3	51	4	181	300	259	559	77	274	32	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	366	332	56	12	1	4	33	136	1	28	4	169	246	247	493	78	272	37	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	94	85	10	1	0	2	8	32	0	6	2	118	194	200	394	82	163	34	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	68	63	14	4	0	1	4	20	0	3	0	222	269	333	602	111	310	29	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	392	346	57	6	1	5	38	106	3	31	7	165	253	231	484	66	217	27	10	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	136	124	21	2	0	2	8	42	0	3	0	169	220	234	454	65	227	31	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	232	205	41	7	2	6	23	72	2	12	4	200	287	341	628	141	270	31	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	130	18	4	1	0	19	61	2	15	1	138	258	185	443	46	257	40	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	152	118	25	6	2	0	31	42	2	15	1	212	384	297	681	85	325	28	20	325	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	527	450	73	11	6	6	62	169	6	61	5	162	272	253	526	91	240	32	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	527	416	89	15	8	7	96	127	6	61	5	214	369	339	708	125	287	24	18	325	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	366	332	56	12	1	4	33	136	1	28	4	169	246	247	493	78	271	37	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	366	308	72	16	2	5	57	102	1	28	4	234	355	347	703	114	333	28	16	325	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	178	161	21	3	0	4	14	60	0	9	3	130	200	224	424	93	170	34	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	178	150	29	6	0	4	25	47	0	9	3	193	309	313	622	120	245	26	14	285	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	409	71	10	1	6	42	126	3	34	7	174	256	247	502	73	234	27	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	460	386	79	13	1	9	65	102	3	34	7	205	324	313	637	109	254	22	14	294	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	329	63	10	2	8	31	114	2	15	4	191	265	307	572	116	262	31	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	368	314	73	12	2	11	46	94	2	15	4	232	334	389	723	156	292	26	12	322	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	130	18	4	1	0	19	61	2	15	1	138	258	185	443	46	255	40	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	527	454	73	11	6	6	62	169	6	61	5	161	272	251	523	90	233	32	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	366	329	56	12	1	4	33	136	1	28	4	170	246	249	495	79	272	37	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	178	162	21	3	0	4	14	60	0	9	3	130	200	222	422	93	163	34	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	412	71	10	1	6	42	126	3	34	7	172	256	245	501	73	231	27	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	332	63	10	2	8	31	114	2	15	4	190	265	304	569	114	254	31	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	178	162	21	3	0	4	14	60	0	9	3	130	200	222	422	93	163	34	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	412	71	10	1	6	42	126	3	34	7	172	256	245	501	73	231	27	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	332	63	10	2	8	31	114	2	15	4	190	265	304	569	114	254	31	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	380	342	66	11	1	7	33	108	2	15	3	195	270	298	568	103	259	28	9	259	62	-17	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	275	304	579	105	267	20	0	264	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	333	299	58	10	1	6	29	94	2	11	3	195	271	298	569	103	259	28	9	260	62	-15	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	89	81	16	3	0	2	8	25	0	3	1	201	275	305	581	105	268	28	9	264	62	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	89	81	16	3	0	2	8	25	0	3	1	198	270	309	578	111	259	28	9	264	47	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	117	22	0	15	58	183	0	22	7	198	269	311	580	113	259	28	9	264	47	-29	+1	-1	+2	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2634	2335	404	67	13	39	252	831	17	183	29	173	258	263	521	90	247	32	10	238	47	-27	+2	-1	+2	+13	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	100	17	3	10	62	205	4	45	7	174	259	266	524	92	247	32	10	238	47	-30	+2	-1	+2	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Ferguson (OGILVIE)	27	35	35	60	60	193/268/295	102	259	5	10	28%	9%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	42→43	43→45	57→60	41	206/259/320	114	272	9	26	27%	6%	63	-1.4	203/256/310	107	262	10	24	26%	6%	59	-1.6	189/239/281	93	239	10	28	25%	5%	44	-1.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2024 · AA	27	36→30	41→45	51→60	43	178/259/280	102	271	8	15	35%	8%	55	-2.0	185/267/304	119	276	12	25	35%	9%	63	-1.3	167/253/282	115	245	12	32	35%	9%	51	-1.2
✕Connor Kaiser 2024 · AAA	27	40	45	55→50	45	198/275/318	121	285	12	18	33%	9%	69	-0.9	194/273/297	103	301	9	10	35%	9%	63	-1.3	184/267/283	99	288	8	6	36%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	48	202/300/324	122	284	13	26	31%	10%	80	-0.1	219/310/324	105	288	8	16	25%	10%	84	+0.1	218/323/308	90	279	5	13	21%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Nick Ward 2024 · AA	28	42→40	42→40	55→50	46	209/284/305	96	274	11	20	27%	8%	70	-0.9	198/267/279	81	277	8	14	29%	7%	57	-1.8	165/234/213	48	238	4	12	30%	7%	27	-2.0
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	38	42→40	54→60	39	189/272/294	105	273	10	21	33%	6%	63	-1.3	204/283/294	90	287	8	27	30%	7%	67	-1.1	189/275/254	65	268	5	39	29%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	43	42→40	59→60	45	209/288/304	95	297	11	32	31%	8%	71	-0.8	207/275/301	94	292	9	27	30%	7%	65	-1.2	173/243/241	69	239	8	46	30%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Max Burt 2024 · AAA	27	39→35	45	55	39	200/257/319	119	279	14	22	33%	6%	62	-1.4	182/240/274	92	269	9	24	34%	6%	45	-2.7	162/221/238	76	241	6	29	34%	5%	28	-1.9
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	42→45	41→45	54→60	48	208/280/303	96	266	9	18	25%	8%	67	-1.1	229/294/326	97	295	9	19	24%	7%	77	-0.3	228/294/307	79	296	7	21	24%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Evan Marzilli 2018 · AAA	27	44→46	38→40	50	49	208/287/293	85	289	5	14	28%	9%	67	-1.1	198/275/289	91	308	7	11	35%	9%	62	-1.4	168/245/239	72	268	4	10	36%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Logan Warmoth 2024 · AAA	28	41→40	42→40	52→55	43	200/277/305	105	293	10	23	33%	8%	67	-1.1	198/276/285	87	279	8	18	29%	9%	61	-1.5	157/249/194	37	224	3	17	28%	10%	31	-1.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2024 · AA	26	43→42	39→40	56→55	49	202/285/290	88	294	6	24	31%	10%	66	-1.1	209/274/299	90	290	7	20	28%	8%	63	-1.3	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	55	46	211/274/297	86	279	5	20	25%	7%	63	-1.4	222/279/323	101	290	7	15	24%	7%	70	-0.8	236/279/354	118	289	6	17	20%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Kevin Mattison 2013 · AAA	27	41→47	42→45	57→60	40	203/260/314	111	282	9	26	30%	6%	61	-1.5	182/240/293	111	303	10	22	41%	6%	49	-2.4	149/209/251	102	268	8	25	45%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Dave Krynzel 2009 · AAA	27	43→45	44→45	52→55	41	212/273/329	117	299	12	19	32%	7%	70	-0.8	222/269/325	103	315	10	17	31%	5%	67	-1.1	216/260/302	86	309	8	20	31%	5%	55	-1.4
✕Chris Roller 2024 · AAA	27	40	45	51→55	46	199/289/321	122	284	12	18	32%	9%	76	-0.4	192/260/312	120	334	13	15	43%	8%	62	-1.4	148/203/249	101	285	11	12	50%	6%	23	-2.7
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	43→37	39→40	52→55	47	207/287/293	86	286	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	195/250/322	127	298	13	14	37%	6%	60	-1.6	154/210/279	125	232	14	17	39%	6%	35	-1.7
✕Jordan Cowan 2022 · AA	27	48→51	39→30	53→50	48	229/294/312	83	293	6	19	23%	8%	74	-0.6	216/282/303	87	285	6	13	25%	7%	68	-1.0	184/256/225	41	248	0	8	24%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	40	196/247/282	86	273	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	224/278/352	128	274	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	226/273/357	131	245	21	6	18%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	44	40	55	39	212/262/305	93	306	7	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	219/277/323	104	314	10	15	31%	6%	70	-0.8	201/261/276	75	290	9	13	32%	6%	51	-0.6