Junior Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Junior GonzalezC ACL Mariners

Age 26 R/R 5'8" / 186 lbs ROK HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.1 · 2027

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .268 / .303

PA93

HR2

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$-9M	-$12M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	45	41	8	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	.195	.250	.220	.470	.024	.229	16	4	.205	15	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
2019	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	244	221	32	5	1	2	14	69	3	1	2	.145	.206	.204	.410	.059	.192	28	6	.178	-6	-29	-1	+0	+4	+7	-1.9
2021	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	73	64	10	2	1	2	6	31	1	0	0	.156	.239	.312	.552	.156	.242	42	8	.240	42	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2022	22	ROK	2 teams	98	89	7	0	2	0	6	52	2	2	0	.079	.155	.124	.278	.045	.184	53	6	.128	-44	-16	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.1
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	26	22	4	1	0	1	2	13	1	0	0	.182	.280	.364	.644	.182	.333	50	8	.276	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2024	24	ROK	2 teams	194	170	29	3	0	4	18	85	3	3	2	.171	.262	.259	.521	.088	.298	44	9	.247	47	-12	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	SEA	93	85	18	3	1	2	7	29	1	1	0	.212	.280	.341	.621	.129	.285	31	8	.261	58	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 10%	SEA	122	111	23	4	1	2	9	37	1	2	0	.207	.273	.315	.588	.108	.286	30	7	.268	63	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	28	MLB 20%	SEA	213	192	39	7	1	4	17	64	2	3	1	.203	.275	.312	.587	.109	.286	30	8	.271	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2029	29	MLB 33%	SEA	268	242	51	9	2	5	21	81	3	3	1	.211	.282	.326	.608	.116	.286	30	8	.271	66	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2030	30	MLB 47%	SEA	305	275	57	10	2	6	24	92	3	3	0	.207	.278	.324	.602	.116	.284	30	8	.270	64	-12	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.0
2031	31	MLB 61%	SEA	305	275	56	10	2	5	24	94	3	1	0	.204	.275	.309	.584	.105	.283	31	8	.266	62	-13	+0	-3	+5	+9	-0.2
2032	32	MLB 78%	SEA	291	263	53	9	2	5	23	91	3	0	0	.202	.273	.308	.581	.106	.281	31	8	.261	58	-14	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.4
2033	33	MLB	SEA	264	239	46	8	1	4	21	84	2	0	0	.192	.263	.285	.548	.092	.280	32	8	.256	54	-14	+0	-4	+5	+7	-0.6
2034	34	MLB	SEA	223	202	38	7	1	3	17	73	2	0	0	.188	.258	.277	.535	.089	.278	33	8	.250	49	-13	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2764	2491	471	79	17	45	211	902	31	19	6	.189	.261	.289	.550	.100	.272	33	8	.249	49	-160	+1	-20	+49	+78	-5.2
/ 162G	—			650	586	112	19	4	11	50	212	7	4	1	.191	.263	.294	.557	.102	.274	33	8	.249	49	-38	+0	-5	+12	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	45	39	9	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	.231	.318	.256	.575	.026	.257	11	9	.268	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	244	212	42	7	1	2	23	48	3	1	2	.198	.286	.269	.555	.071	.238	20	9	.254	53	-13	-1	—	—	+7	-0.7
2021	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	73	59	13	3	1	2	11	21	1	0	0	.220	.352	.407	.759	.186	.289	29	15	.334	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	A	Modesto Nuts	21	20	3	0	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	.150	.190	.250	.440	.100	.300	48	0	.198	10	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	77	65	8	0	2	0	10	26	1	2	0	.123	.250	.185	.435	.062	.200	34	13	.213	21	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	26	21	6	2	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	.286	.400	.524	.924	.238	.417	35	12	.392	158	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A	Modesto Nuts	43	35	8	2	1	1	6	11	1	0	1	.229	.357	.429	.786	.200	.292	26	14	.344	122	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	151	126	33	3	0	4	21	47	2	3	1	.262	.376	.381	.757	.119	.377	31	14	.343	121	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	.200/.268/.303	.104	.285	2	1	31%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	44→45	47→30	44	.195/.260/.302	.108	.268	12	4	31%	8%	54	-1.4	.216/.284/.346	.130	.306	15	4	32%	9%	76	+0.0	.206/.279/.334	.128	.290	16	1	33%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	33	42→40	49→45	41	.172/.233/.267	.095	.245	10	6	33%	7%	33	-2.9	.188/.255/.278	.090	.259	8	8	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.175/.250/.252	.077	.233	6	7	26%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→50	49→40	42	.201/.266/.309	.108	.276	11	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	.189/.244/.301	.112	.256	13	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	.179/.231/.285	.106	.239	13	2	31%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	41→39	43→45	51→50	43	.201/.264/.316	.115	.271	10	14	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.192/.253/.311	.119	.273	12	13	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.161/.217/.278	.117	.224	13	18	34%	6%	27	-1.7
✕Andrés Alvarez 2022 · A	25	44→31	42→45	51→50	42	.214/.274/.320	.106	.298	10	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	.198/.268/.326	.128	.287	15	15	34%	8%	64	-0.8	.185/.257/.304	.120	.263	14	13	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	47→50	39	.184/.244/.304	.120	.244	14	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	.203/.249/.336	.133	.277	16	10	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.254/.334	.129	.270	15	10	29%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	41	40→50	48→50	40	.198/.268/.290	.091	.265	8	6	27%	5%	55	-1.4	.206/.275/.334	.128	.266	13	10	27%	4%	69	-0.4	.174/.249/.322	.148	.213	16	10	26%	3%	56	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	43→40	50	47	.190/.271/.298	.108	.259	11	13	30%	9%	59	-1.1	.198/.292/.298	.100	.275	9	11	29%	10%	68	-0.5	.183/.296/.269	.086	.255	8	11	28%	12%	59	-0.7
✕Duke Sardinha 2007 · A	26	38→34	45→55	45	37	.196/.247/.317	.121	.281	13	8	34%	6%	52	-1.6	.208/.257/.339	.131	.284	15	6	31%	5%	63	-0.9	.219/.270/.383	.164	.267	21	2	27%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	46	.191/.291/.300	.109	.275	9	9	31%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.285/.288	.092	.287	7	7	32%	8%	63	-0.9	.183/.273/.260	.077	.276	6	4	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	39	44→50	52→40	37	.199/.253/.310	.111	.281	12	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.218/.267/.360	.142	.278	18	5	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.215/.261/.361	.146	.264	20	2	27%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	43	.198/.262/.299	.100	.269	8	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.191/.246/.291	.100	.279	10	6	33%	6%	45	-2.1	.147/.198/.242	.094	.211	11	0	36%	5%	8	-1.4
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA	26	41	44→45	49→40	38	.208/.261/.320	.112	.286	13	6	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.252/.302	.097	.293	8	5	31%	5%	50	-1.8	.226/.285/.301	.075	.297	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→33	44→45	48→45	42	.196/.263/.315	.118	.271	12	9	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.204/.262/.318	.114	.295	12	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.242/.316	.121	.282	13	0	35%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→43	44→45	48→50	36	.203/.250/.319	.116	.288	12	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.216/.261/.332	.116	.297	11	10	30%	5%	62	-0.9	.216/.262/.331	.115	.289	11	10	28%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Skip Adams 2006 · A	26	46→36	43→45	46→45	37	.224/.268/.336	.112	.317	9	10	32%	5%	66	-0.6	.197/.251/.292	.095	.292	9	9	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.182/.242/.274	.092	.271	10	9	35%	6%	37	-2.3
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	40→34	42→45	47→30	36	.200/.237/.300	.100	.278	10	2	32%	4%	43	-2.2	.221/.257/.316	.095	.311	8	3	30%	4%	55	-1.4	.241/.276/.333	.091	.335	8	1	29%	4%	62	-0.4
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)