Junior Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Junior GonzalezC ACL Mariners

Age 26 R/R 5'8" / 186 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .260 / .287

PA93

HR2

K%35

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	45	41	8	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	195	250	220	470	24	229	16	4	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	45	39	9	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	231	318	256	575	26	257	11	9	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	244	221	32	5	1	2	14	69	3	1	2	145	206	204	410	59	192	28	6	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	244	212	42	7	1	2	23	48	3	1	2	198	286	269	555	71	238	20	9	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	73	64	10	2	1	2	6	30	1	0	0	156	239	312	552	156	235	41	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	73	59	13	3	1	2	11	21	1	0	0	220	352	407	759	186	289	29	15	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	2 teams	—	98	89	7	0	2	0	6	53	2	2	0	79	155	124	278	45	189	54	6	125	-46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	2 teams	—	98	85	11	0	3	0	10	36	2	2	0	129	237	200	437	71	220	37	10	209	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	22	4	1	0	1	2	13	1	0	0	182	280	364	644	182	333	50	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	6	2	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	286	400	524	924	238	417	35	12	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	2 teams	—	194	170	31	3	1	5	18	85	3	3	2	182	272	300	572	118	313	44	9	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	2 teams	—	194	161	41	5	1	5	27	58	3	3	2	255	372	391	763	137	356	30	14	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	SEA	—	93	85	17	3	1	2	7	32	1	1	0	200	269	329	598	129	285	34	8	252	51	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SEA	26%	122	110	22	4	1	2	10	41	1	1	0	200	273	309	582	109	285	34	8	259	57	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	SEA	39%	213	192	38	6	1	4	17	70	2	2	1	198	270	302	572	104	286	33	8	263	60	-10	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	SEA	44%	268	241	48	8	1	5	22	88	3	3	1	199	274	303	577	104	285	33	8	264	60	-12	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	SEA	26%	31	29	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	207	258	345	603	138	283	32	6	249	49	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	SEA	39%	84	76	14	2	0	2	7	28	1	1	0	184	262	289	551	105	283	33	8	253	52	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	SEA	44%	119	107	22	4	1	2	10	39	1	1	0	206	280	318	597	112	283	33	8	254	53	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	234	212	42	7	1	5	19	77	2	2	0	198	270	311	582	113	282	33	8	253	52	-13	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	117	19	3	14	53	214	6	6	0	199	272	312	584	114	283	33	8	253	52	-35	+1	-2	+12	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	1376	1235	217	33	9	23	104	488	18	13	6	176	250	273	523	97	262	35	8	233	36	-99	+0	-2	+25	+39	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	103	16	4	11	49	231	9	6	3	177	251	274	526	98	264	36	8	233	36	-47	+0	-1	+12	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	45	39	9	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	231	318	256	575	26	257	11	9	268	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	244	212	42	7	1	2	23	48	3	1	2	198	286	269	555	71	238	20	9	254	53	-13	-1	—	—	+7	-0.7
2021	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	73	59	13	3	1	2	11	21	1	0	0	220	352	407	759	186	289	29	15	334	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	21	20	3	0	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	300	48	0	198	10	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	77	65	8	0	2	0	10	26	1	2	0	123	250	185	435	62	200	34	13	213	21	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	6	2	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	286	400	524	924	238	417	35	12	392	158	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	43	35	8	2	1	1	6	11	1	0	1	229	357	429	786	200	292	26	14	344	122	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	151	126	33	3	0	4	21	47	2	3	1	262	376	381	757	119	377	31	14	343	121	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	327	6	4	197	267	303	+6	+8	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	12	7	197	267	303	+11.9	+16.2	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	189/260/287	98	285	2	1	35%	8%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Jake Means 2022 · A	26	35→31	47→45	49→45	45	184/268/318	135	269	14	6	36%	10%	63	-0.9	179/252/309	130	257	16	9	35%	8%	53	-1.5	156/231/282	125	215	17	10	35%	8%	34	-1.6
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	39→50	48→50	39	196/264/283	86	269	7	6	29%	5%	52	-1.6	206/275/335	129	269	13	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3	170/246/316	147	208	17	10	27%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Jake Washer 2022 · A	26	36	38→60	49→30	36	175/230/251	76	288	7	8	40%	6%	27	-3.3	200/246/348	148	298	19	6	38%	5%	60	-1.0	198/243/400	202	282	33	2	42%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	39→35	41→40	47→30	36	198/236/293	95	281	9	2	33%	5%	40	-2.4	218/253/309	91	312	8	3	31%	4%	52	-1.6	234/266/323	89	329	7	1	30%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A	26	38→31	43→50	50	33	187/239/297	110	306	11	12	41%	5%	43	-2.2	185/237/343	158	278	21	12	40%	6%	56	-1.3	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Dave Wallace 2006 · A	26	35	44→45	44→40	40	179/263/296	117	278	12	5	38%	8%	56	-1.3	190/264/315	125	262	15	5	32%	8%	60	-1.0	177/251/299	123	226	17	3	29%	8%	48	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	47	-1.9	218/266/359	141	280	17	5	28%	5%	71	-0.3	217/263/365	147	266	20	2	26%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	175/245/249	74	270	6	5	35%	6%	34	-2.8	191/251/282	91	306	8	7	38%	6%	45	-2.1	149/202/237	88	245	9	3	41%	6%	9	-0.9
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	40→37	43→45	51→50	43	199/265/315	116	270	10	13	29%	7%	59	-1.1	193/255/312	119	275	12	13	32%	7%	54	-1.4	161/219/278	117	225	13	18	34%	6%	27	-1.6