Junior Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Junior GonzalezC ACL Mariners

Age 26 R/R 5'8" / 186 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .260 / .285

PA7

HR0

K%35

BB%8

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	45	39	9	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	231	318	256	575	26	257	11	9	268	67	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	244	212	42	7	1	2	23	48	3	1	2	198	286	269	555	71	238	20	9	254	58	-12	-1	—	—	+5	-0.8
2021	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	73	59	13	3	1	2	11	21	1	0	0	220	352	407	759	186	289	29	15	334	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	21	20	3	0	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	300	48	0	198	20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	77	65	8	0	2	0	10	26	1	2	0	123	250	185	435	62	200	34	13	213	30	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	6	2	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	286	400	524	924	238	417	35	12	392	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	43	35	8	2	1	1	6	11	1	0	1	229	357	429	786	200	292	26	14	344	119	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	151	126	33	3	0	4	21	47	2	3	1	262	376	381	757	119	377	31	14	343	118	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	45	41	8	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	195	250	220	470	24	208	16	4	205	25	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	244	221	32	5	1	2	14	69	3	1	2	145	206	204	410	59	180	28	6	178	7	-27	-1	—	—	+5	-2.3
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	73	63	10	2	1	2	7	30	1	0	0	159	254	317	571	159	226	41	10	234	45	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	21	20	1	0	0	0	0	14	1	0	0	50	95	50	145		245	67	0	108	-41	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	77	69	5	0	1	0	6	38	1	2	0	72	158	101	259	29	152	49	8	132	-24	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	26	22	4	1	0	1	2	13	1	0	0	182	280	364	644	182	319	50	8	267	67	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	43	37	7	1	1	1	4	15	1	0	1	189	286	351	637	162	247	35	9	273	71	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	151	134	23	2	0	3	13	69	2	3	1	172	255	254	509	82	305	46	9	234	45	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	45	41	8	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	195	250	220	470	24	229	16	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	45	39	9	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	231	318	256	575	26	257	11	9	268	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	244	221	32	5	1	2	14	69	3	1	2	145	206	204	410	59	192	28	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	244	212	42	7	1	2	23	48	3	1	2	198	286	269	555	71	238	20	9	254	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	73	63	10	2	1	2	7	30	1	0	0	159	254	317	571	159	242	41	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	73	59	13	3	1	2	11	21	1	0	0	220	352	407	759	186	289	29	15	334	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	98	89	7	0	2	0	6	52	2	2	0	79	155	124	278	45	184	53	6	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	98	85	11	0	3	0	10	36	2	2	0	129	237	200	437	71	220	37	10	209	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	26	22	4	1	0	1	2	13	1	0	0	182	280	364	644	182	333	50	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	6	2	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	286	400	524	924	238	417	35	12	392	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	194	170	30	3	1	4	18	84	3	3	2	176	267	276	543	100	306	43	9	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	194	161	41	5	1	5	27	58	3	3	2	255	372	391	763	137	356	30	14	343	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	45	42	8	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	190	250	214	464	24	208	16	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	244	225	32	5	1	2	14	69	3	1	2	142	206	200	406	58	180	28	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	73	65	10	2	1	2	7	30	1	0	0	154	254	308	561	154	226	41	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	98	90	7	0	2	0	6	52	2	2	0	78	155	122	277	44	172	53	6	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	26	23	4	1	0	1	2	13	1	0	0	174	280	348	628	174	319	50	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	194	171	30	3	1	4	18	84	3	3	2	175	267	275	542	99	292	43	9	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	26	23	4	1	0	1	2	13	1	0	0	174	280	348	628	174	319	50	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	194	171	30	3	1	4	18	84	3	3	2	175	267	275	542	99	292	43	9	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		285	29	14	251	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	26%	122	110	22	4	1	2	10	41	1	1	0	200	273	309	582	109	285	34	8	258	61	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	39%	213	192	38	6	1	4	17	70	2	2	1	198	270	302	572	104	285	33	8	262	64	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	44%	268	241	48	8	1	5	22	87	3	3	1	199	274	303	577	104	285	32	8	263	64	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	SEA	47%	305	274	54	9	2	5	25	99	3	3	1	197	272	299	571	102	283	32	8	262	63	-13	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	26%	31	29	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	207	258	345	603	138	283	32	6	248	61	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	39%	84	76	13	2	0	1	7	27	1	1	0	171	250	237	487	66	283	32	8	252	64	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	44%	119	107	22	4	1	2	10	39	1	1	0	206	280	318	597	112	282	33	8	253	64	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	SEA	47%	144	129	26	4	1	3	12	47	2	1	0	202	280	318	598	116	281	33	8	252	63	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	378	341	67	11	2	7	31	123	4	3	0	196	271	302	573	106	282	33	8	252	46	-16	+1	-2	+7	+8	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	115	19	3	12	53	212	7	5	0	196	270	300	571	104	282	33	8	252	46	-28	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1595	1429	254	39	10	25	124	554	20	15	7	178	253	272	525	94	264	35	8	236	46	-40	+1	-4	+16	+20	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	103	16	4	10	51	226	8	6	3	177	253	270	522	93	263	35	8	236	46	-28	+0	-3	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.7	472	8	5	198	268	302	+8	+12	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	12	7	+11.9	+16.9	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	189/260/285	96	285	1	1	35%	8%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Jake Washer 2022 · A	26	36	38→60	49→30	35	174/228/249	75	289	6	8	40%	6%	34	-3.5	199/245/341	142	295	18	6	38%	5%	63	-1.4	199/243/390	191	280	31	2	41%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	40→50	48→50	40	197/266/289	91	267	8	6	28%	5%	59	-1.6	206/275/328	122	265	12	10	26%	4%	72	-0.7	172/249/306	133	210	14	10	25%	3%	57	-0.7
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	40→36	42→40	46→30	36	201/240/300	99	283	10	2	32%	5%	50	-2.3	221/258/314	93	310	8	3	30%	4%	60	-1.6	240/274/330	90	328	7	1	28%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Dave Wallace 2006 · A	26	35	44→45	44→40	40	179/263/296	117	278	12	5	38%	8%	61	-1.5	189/263/306	117	260	13	5	31%	8%	62	-1.4	175/249/285	110	225	14	3	29%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	176/245/251	75	269	7	5	35%	6%	42	-2.9	191/252/281	90	304	8	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	147/204/228	81	243	8	3	41%	6%	18	-0.9
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	42	196/258/292	96	269	8	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	194/248/291	97	281	9	6	32%	6%	52	-2.2	151/202/238	87	213	10	0	34%	5%	19	-1.4
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→44	43→45	48→50	37	203/250/316	113	283	11	9	32%	5%	58	-1.7	218/263/335	117	297	11	10	29%	5%	68	-1.0	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A	26	40→34	45→50	50	34	199/248/323	124	312	13	12	40%	5%	59	-1.6	190/242/341	151	281	19	12	38%	6%	61	-1.5	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA	26	41	44→45	49→40	38	208/259/323	115	283	13	6	31%	5%	63	-1.3	205/253/298	93	291	7	5	30%	5%	55	-2.0	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	38	45	44→30	41	196/255/316	120	274	13	4	33%	7%	60	-1.6	208/274/335	127	292	16	5	32%	8%	72	-0.7	190/265/307	117	260	16	2	32%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Duke Sardinha 2007 · A	26	38→34	45→50	45	37	195/246/317	122	280	13	8	35%	6%	57	-1.8	209/258/334	125	283	14	6	30%	5%	66	-1.1	223/272/376	153	271	19	2	25%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	53	-2.1	218/266/356	138	279	17	5	28%	5%	74	-0.5	217/264/361	144	266	19	2	26%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA	25	37→32	44→55	50→40	44	178/267/295	117	306	11	6	42%	10%	61	-1.5	191/270/355	164	283	21	5	38%	9%	76	-0.4	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	37→39	44→45	47→40	38	189/244/301	112	262	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	218/276/314	96	318	9	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	250/309/327	77	377	6	5	33%	5%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps