Mason Ronan prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Mason Ronan P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 222 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%22.3%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	4	0	4	21	6	6	0	0%	1.1	28.6%	28.6%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	4.31	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	4	0	4	21	6	6	0	0%	1.1	28.6%	28.6%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	4.48	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	8	47	7	14	1	0%	1.3	14.9%	29.8%	-14.9%	2.1%	15.75	6.78	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	8	47	7	14	1	0%	1.3	14.9%	29.8%	-14.9%	2.1%	15.75	6.78	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	8	47	7	14	1	0%	1.3	14.9%	29.8%	-14.9%	2.1%	15.75	8.22	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	26	0	30	143	39	25	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	20.1%	0.9%	1.9%	7.89	4.91	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	26	0	30	143	39	25	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	20.1%	0.9%	1.9%	7.89	4.91	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	26	0	30	143	39	25	2	0%	1.1	27.3%	17.5%	9.8%	1.4%	7.89	3.88	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.3%	15.8%	6.5%	2.9%	5.20	5.20	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PHI	25	0	26	111	25	17	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.14	5.15	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	PHI	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.14	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	9	6	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.14	4.77	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	125	21	0%	1.1	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.14	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		36	0	42	211	43	49	4	0%	1.2	20.4%	23.1%	-2.7%	1.8%	8.79	5.27	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	1005	205	232	18	0%	1.2	20.4%	23.1%	-2.7%	1.8%	8.79	5.27	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Ronan (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	22.3%	15.8%	2.9%	—	5.15	22.4%	7.2%	26	-0.05	—	—	—
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	90
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	87
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	86
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	85
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	84
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.87	19.0%	4.3%	103	+0.46	3.16	199	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	83
Kevin Chapman L 2014 · 4.63 FIP	26	SU	4.63	19.6%	11.3%	3.2%	.297	3.30	22.3%	12.4%	137	-1.33	3.01	194	83
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	82
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	82
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	81
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	81
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	80
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.36	19.3%	8.8%	53	+0.09	3.45	165	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	80
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	80
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	80
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	80
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	79