Nick Dunn

3B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 30 L/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	27	AAASTL	361	.316/.379/.467	8	1	99	—	.283/.331/.407
2025	28	AAAPHI	146	.205/.271/.288	2	1	32	—	.199/.243/.279
2025	28	AAPHI	177	.225/.335/.404	7	2	71	—	.195/.273/.321
2027PROJ2% MLB	30	MLBPHI	5	.256/.312/.384	0	0	94	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	31	MLBPHI	85	.251/.307/.375	2	0	91	0.0
2029PROJ43% MLB	32	MLBPHI	132	.245/.301/.364	3	1	86	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

K%94

Whiff%94

Z-Con%79

Speed78

Chase%41

BB%30

CompsConor Gillaspie (age 30) · Donovan Walton (age 29) · Terrence Long (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .312 / .384

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP288

ISO122

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	8	0	0	0	1	9	3	0	1	167	231	167	397		205	17	2	195	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	380	94	19	3	3	24	58	2	2	1	247	296	337	632	89	281	14	6	283	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	324	84	14	0	6	36	59	6	4	2	259	344	358	702	99	295	16	10	318	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	399	108	21	3	7	63	42	8	5	2	271	381	391	772	120	287	9	13	351	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	225	192	58	10	0	2	32	26	1	0	0	302	404	385	790	83	341	12	14	363	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	312	265	88	15	2	7	41	31	2	2	6	332	425	483	908	151	351	10	13	401	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	323	102	19	3	8	30	33	3	1	1	316	379	467	847	152	328	9	8	372	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	146	132	27	3	1	2	12	16	0	1	0	205	271	288	559	83	217	11	8	253	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	177	151	34	6	0	7	23	12	2	2	1	225	335	404	739	179	203	7	13	332	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	7	0	0	0	1	12	3	0	1	146	212	146	357		179	23	2	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	386	78	16	3	3	18	81	2	2	1	202	241	282	524	80	239	20	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	336	77	11	0	5	24	74	6	4	2	229	292	307	599	77	269	20	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	421	98	19	3	5	41	50	8	5	2	233	313	328	641	95	253	11	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	225	202	54	9	0	2	22	32	1	0	0	267	342	342	684	74	306	14	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	312	278	81	13	2	5	28	38	2	2	6	291	360	406	767	115	314	12	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	332	94	17	3	6	21	42	3	1	1	283	331	407	738	123	296	12	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	146	136	27	3	1	2	8	19	0	1	0	199	243	279	522	81	204	13	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	177	159	31	5	0	5	15	14	2	2	1	195	273	321	593	126	189	8	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	7	0	0	0	1	12	3	0	1	146	212	146	357		194	23	2	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	8	0	0	0	1	9	3	0	1	167	231	167	397		205	17	2	195	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	386	78	16	3	3	18	81	2	2	1	202	241	282	524	80	244	20	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	380	94	19	3	3	24	58	2	2	1	247	296	337	632	89	281	14	6	283	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	336	77	11	0	5	24	74	6	4	2	229	292	307	599	77	275	20	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	324	84	14	0	6	36	59	6	4	2	259	344	358	702	99	295	16	10	318	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	421	98	19	3	5	41	50	8	5	2	233	313	328	641	95	253	11	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	399	108	21	3	7	63	42	8	5	2	271	381	391	772	120	287	9	13	351	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	479	135	22	2	7	51	70	3	2	6	282	355	380	735	98	315	13	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	537	457	146	25	2	9	73	57	3	2	6	319	417	442	859	123	347	11	14	385	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	332	94	17	3	6	21	42	3	1	1	283	331	407	738	123	304	12	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	323	102	19	3	8	30	33	3	1	1	316	379	467	847	152	328	9	8	372	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	58	8	1	7	23	34	2	3	1	197	259	302	561	105	199	11	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	323	283	61	9	1	9	35	28	2	3	1	216	306	350	656	134	210	9	11	297	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	7	0	0	0	1	12	3	0	1	146	212	146	357		179	23	2	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	388	78	16	3	3	18	81	2	2	1	201	241	281	522	80	239	20	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	338	77	11	0	5	24	74	6	4	2	228	292	305	597	77	269	20	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	420	98	19	3	5	41	50	8	5	2	233	313	329	641	95	253	11	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	478	135	22	2	7	51	70	3	2	6	282	355	381	735	98	311	13	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	334	94	17	3	6	21	42	3	1	1	281	331	404	736	123	296	12	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	58	8	1	7	23	34	2	3	1	197	259	302	561	105	196	11	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	334	94	17	3	6	21	42	3	1	1	281	331	404	736	123	296	12	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	58	8	1	7	23	34	2	3	1	197	259	302	561	105	196	11	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	373	342	87	16	2	7	25	60	3	5	1	255	311	379	690	124	288	16	7	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	PHI	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	256	312	384	696	128	288	20	0	310	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	PHI	28%	304	279	70	13	2	6	20	51	2	2	1	250	306	370	676	120	285	17	7	302	91	-3	+0	-3	+1	+7	0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	306	281	69	12	2	6	20	54	2	1	1	244	300	359	659	115	281	18	7	295	86	-5	-0	-4	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	PHI	28%	85	78	20	4	0	2	6	14	1	0	0	251	307	375	682	124	285	16	7	304	91	-1	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	132	121	30	5	1	3	9	23	1	1	0	245	301	364	665	118	282	17	7	297	86	-2	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	217	199	50	9	1	5	15	37	2	1	0	251	310	382	692	131	285	17	7	300	79	-3	+0	-2	+1	+5	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	150	27	3	15	45	111	6	3	0	252	311	383	693	131	285	17	7	300	79	-10	+1	-7	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3387	3086	744	129	17	50	236	508	33	23	17	241	302	343	644	101	272	15	7	285	79	-10	+0	-6	+3	+19	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	143	25	3	10	45	97	6	4	3	242	301	345	646	103	271	15	7	285	79	-8	+0	-5	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Dario Lodigiani'38-'46 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,551 PA	2.3	1,551	16	12	241*	312*	366*	+6	+5	3.3	3.3
/162	664	7	5	+2.4	+2.2	1.4	pk7: 3
#4Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Dave Berg'98-'04 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,781 PA	2.7	1,781	21	8	258*	316*	360*	+4	-9	1.3	1.3
/162	664	8	3	+1.3	-3.4	0.5	pk7: 1
#6John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
/162	664	2	11	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	222	4	1	248	300	365	+1	+0	0.3	0.3
/162	664	12	3	+2.4	+1.5	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Dunn (OGILVIE)	30	50	50	45	55	253/308/376	123	288	5	3	16%	7%	94	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Conor Gillaspie 2017 · MLB	30	51→58	47→50	42→40	46	254/294/399	145	284	13	4	16%	5%	94	+0.9	233/278/362	129	258	13	9	15%	5%	79	-0.2	210/246/300	89	231	7	8	12%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Donovan Walton 2023 · MLB	29	47→55	47→50	48→45	48	235/295/383	149	262	13	8	17%	6%	91	+0.7	233/292/345	112	267	11	7	17%	7%	81	-0.1	241/312/357	116	269	13	5	16%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Terrence Long 2006 · MLB	30	56→58	43→50	44→45	49	270/312/386	116	297	10	5	13%	6%	97	+1.1	241/286/363	122	284	13	5	19%	6%	82	+0.0	219/257/332	112	265	13	0	23%	5%	61	-0.9
✕Brett Sullivan 2024 · MLB	30	48→52	43→50	49→55	49	234/286/350	116	265	9	9	16%	6%	80	-0.2	209/260/337	128	238	12	8	18%	6%	67	-1.1	190/241/319	130	212	13	5	18%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Elias Díaz 2021 · MLB	30	51→59	44→50	44→45	49	249/304/360	111	287	11	3	18%	7%	88	+0.5	236/293/387	151	270	18	2	19%	7%	91	+0.7	236/292/382	147	273	17	0	20%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	48→50	49→55	42→50	46	242/307/393	151	295	16	5	24%	7%	98	+1.2	204/271/335	131	265	14	3	28%	6%	72	-0.7	177/246/292	115	233	13	1	29%	6%	50	-1.4
✕Mark Payton 2022 · MLB	30	48→51	47→55	48→50	46	238/290/381	143	281	14	10	21%	6%	88	+0.5	231/286/359	128	272	12	11	19%	7%	82	-0.0	231/288/355	124	272	11	10	19%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jose Munoz 2009 · AAA	30	51→49	41→45	45→50	54	243/316/346	103	285	8	11	17%	9%	90	+0.6	234/310/344	110	280	8	10	18%	10%	87	+0.4	215/295/308	92	266	7	6	20%	10%	71	-0.4
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	50→47	45→50	42→50	46	247/300/376	128	293	12	6	20%	6%	91	+0.6	226/291/334	108	263	9	7	17%	7%	78	-0.3	262/328/360	98	303	6	3	14%	8%	98	+0.3
✕Kevin Howard 2010 · AAA	29	51→57	45	43→45	50	252/303/378	126	278	13	7	15%	7%	92	+0.7	235/276/339	104	271	11	7	17%	5%	73	-0.6	230/265/318	88	266	10	7	17%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Kevin Plawecki 2022 · MLB	31	54→59	44→45	47→30	50	264/327/385	121	301	12	5	16%	7%	103	+1.5	233/294/335	102	278	9	3	19%	7%	79	-0.2	216/275/308	92	258	8	0	19%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Buck Britton 2015 · AAA	29	51→54	45	46→45	45	251/290/374	123	277	12	5	15%	5%	86	+0.3	216/252/317	101	250	10	8	18%	4%	58	-1.7	195/226/278	83	227	8	8	18%	4%	38	-1.8
✕Vimael Machín 2023 · MLB	29	51→54	41→45	46→50	52	242/309/346	104	287	7	3	18%	8%	87	+0.4	231/290/339	108	277	10	8	19%	7%	78	-0.3	229/280/342	113	271	12	10	20%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→43	44→50	48→45	46	233/288/347	114	287	11	9	23%	7%	80	-0.2	226/276/349	123	280	13	6	24%	6%	76	-0.4	215/264/337	122	269	13	2	25%	6%	66	-0.6
✕Daniel Fornes 2010 · AAA	30	51→54	44→45	43→40	53	251/319/371	120	273	12	4	13%	8%	97	+1.1	226/281/333	107	250	11	5	14%	6%	74	-0.5	209/261/302	93	229	10	3	14%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Jon Weber 2008 · AAA	30	50→53	44→50	47→50	48	246/296/367	121	282	10	11	17%	6%	87	+0.4	233/286/365	132	288	12	9	23%	6%	83	+0.1	226/282/356	129	283	11	8	23%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Daniel Descalso 2017 · MLB	30	47→56	45→50	44→45	53	233/307/357	124	274	13	6	20%	10%	89	+0.5	225/322/378	153	280	16	5	24%	12%	100	+1.3	209/318/360	151	265	16	3	25%	13%	96	+0.6
✕Ehire Adrianza 2020 · MLB	30	51→52	45→50	47→50	49	250/312/380	130	296	11	8	19%	7%	96	+1.0	236/313/362	126	288	11	6	21%	9%	93	+0.8	219/305/324	105	275	8	4	22%	10%	82	-0.0
✕John Baker 2011 · MLB	30	53→59	45	44→45	51	259/330/389	131	314	12	3	21%	9%	105	+1.7	227/302/319	92	292	7	6	23%	9%	79	-0.2	193/263/235	42	263	3	2	26%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Kevin Reese 2007 · AAA	29	50→51	45	48→50	46	247/306/379	132	285	12	12	18%	6%	94	+0.9	232/294/344	112	271	11	11	18%	7%	81	-0.1	223/287/318	96	257	10	9	17%	7%	72	-0.6

Nick Dunn

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps