Robert Cruz prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Robert Cruz P DSL Guardians Red

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%22.4%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%15.1%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians/Brewers	12	10	43	220	22	22	2	83%	3.6	6.8%	12.5%	-5.7%	1.3%	8.16	4.81	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians/Brewers	12	10	43	220	22	22	2	83%	3.6	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.9%	8.16	4.22	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	13	13	52	229	31	19	3	100%	4.0	9.2%	10.4%	-1.2%	1.8%	4.53	4.64	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	13	13	52	229	31	19	3	100%	4.0	13.5%	8.3%	5.2%	1.3%	4.53	3.76	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	17	0	33	137	24	10	0	0%	2.0	11.9%	9.1%	2.8%	0.0%	1.35	3.25	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Blue	17	0	33	137	24	10	0	0%	2.0	17.5%	7.3%	10.2%	0.0%	1.35	2.56	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	15	2	34	162	27	19	2	13%	2.3	11.3%	14.7%	-3.3%	1.5%	6.29	4.80	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	15	2	34	162	27	19	2	13%	2.3	16.7%	11.7%	4.9%	1.2%	6.29	3.94	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	11	4	44	173	36	6	1	36%	4.0	14.2%	4.3%	9.8%	0.3%	2.27	2.64	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	11	4	44	173	36	6	1	36%	4.0	14.2%	4.3%	9.8%	0.3%	2.27	2.64	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	11	4	44	173	36	6	1	36%	4.0	20.8%	3.5%	17.3%	0.6%	2.27	2.16	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	7.4%	15.1%	3.0%	4.15	4.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	24	0	26	108	24	8	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	7.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.19	4.21	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	7.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.19	4.21	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	9	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	7.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.19	3.83	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	64	21	0%	1.1	22.5%	7.6%	14.9%	3.0%	4.19	3.83	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		68	29	206	921	95	95	10	43%	3.0	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	1.1%	4.59	4.13	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	28	200	894	92	92	10	43%	3.0	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	1.1%	4.59	4.13	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	22.4%	7.4%	3.0%	—	4.21	22.5%	14.9%	26	+0.06	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	79
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	74
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	73
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	73
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	73
Heath Holder R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	26	SW	3.26	21.9%	7.5%	1.9%	.263	5.51	19.8%	4.9%	85	+2.25	2.94	367	72
Jake Walkinshaw R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	17.5%	6.4%	4.0%	.296	4.82	13.1%	3.7%	116	+0.21	2.84	310	72
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	71
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	71
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	71
Angel Guzman R 2007 · 3.13 FIP	25	SW	3.13	20.3%	7.0%	1.6%	.330	4.25	19.2%	11.4%	61	+1.12	3.13	147	71
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	71
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	71
Jackson Rose R 2022 · 3.33 FIP	26	SW	3.33	21.0%	4.3%	2.6%	.245	4.72	24.1%	11.5%	26	+1.39	3.33	147	71
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	70
P.J. Walters R 2010 · 4.93 FIP	25	SW	4.93	17.1%	7.8%	4.2%	.293	5.05	14.1%	5.6%	101	+0.12	3.97	230	70
Clay Condrey R 2002 · 3.18 FIP	26	SW	3.18	15.1%	6.6%	0.9%	.232	5.41	14.9%	4.8%	34	+2.23	3.18	250	70
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	70
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.5%	7.5%	1.16	4.17
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
David Carpenter ('19)	1.1	43	23.5%	8.4%	0.92	3.69
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12