Jose Salvador prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Salvador P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%20.9%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	12	53	205	72	20	0	86%	3.8	23.9%	12.2%	11.7%	0.0%	1.18	2.63	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	14	12	53	205	72	20	0	86%	3.8	35.1%	9.8%	25.4%	0.0%	1.18	1.53	—
2021	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	20	17	96	423	115	47	10	85%	4.8	20.1%	13.1%	7.0%	3.0%	5.91	4.71	—
2021	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	20	17	96	423	115	47	10	85%	4.8	27.2%	11.1%	16.1%	2.4%	5.91	3.53	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	118	515	152	45	12	100%	4.9	22.3%	10.1%	12.2%	3.5%	3.81	4.45	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	118	515	152	45	12	100%	4.9	29.5%	8.7%	20.8%	2.3%	3.81	2.99	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	7	51	215	39	14	8	44%	3.2	13.7%	7.6%	6.1%	4.8%	4.41	5.52	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	7	51	215	39	14	8	44%	3.2	13.7%	7.6%	6.1%	4.8%	4.41	5.52	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	7	51	215	39	14	8	44%	3.2	18.1%	6.5%	11.6%	3.7%	4.41	4.43	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.9%	8.5%	12.4%	3.1%	4.47	4.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAA	6	6	35	149	31	13	5	100%	5.9	21.1%	8.6%	12.5%	3.1%	4.48	4.50	+0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAA	2	2	13	55	12	5	2	100%	6.5	21.1%	8.6%	12.5%	3.1%	4.48	4.50	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	13	54	12	5	2	100%	6.4	21.1%	8.6%	12.5%	3.1%	4.48	4.12	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	186	78	31	100%	6.0	21.1%	8.6%	12.5%	3.1%	4.48	4.12	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		74	60	318	1358	279	149	41	81%	4.3	20.5%	11.0%	9.5%	3.0%	4.10	4.42	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	38	200	853	175	94	26	81%	4.3	20.5%	11.0%	9.5%	3.0%	4.10	4.42	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Salvador (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	20.9%	8.5%	3.1%	—	4.50	21.1%	12.5%	35	+0.03	—	—	—
Tommy Shirley L 2015 · 3.35 FIP	26	SP-	3.35	19.6%	7.0%	1.9%	.252	4.93	13.0%	4.2%	106	+1.58	3.35	147	81
Brad Mills L 2011 · 5.37 FIP	26	SP-	5.37	19.8%	12.1%	4.4%	.328	5.61	18.8%	7.9%	21	+0.24	4.22	243	79
David Purcey L 2008 · 4.39 FIP	26	SP	4.39	20.1%	10.0%	3.1%	.301	4.39	17.9%	5.0%	116	-0.00	3.60	206	75
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.61	19.4%	5.0%	215	+0.09	3.88	280	75
Hung-Chih Kuo L 2007 · 3.91 FIP	26	SP-	3.91	19.3%	10.0%	2.1%	.333	2.04	29.8%	22.7%	170	-1.87	1.63	287	73
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	73
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	73
James Paxton L 2015 · 4.22 FIP	26	SP	4.22	18.9%	9.4%	2.8%	.288	2.95	27.7%	21.7%	468	-1.27	2.46	1,022	72
Aríel Miranda L 2015 · 3.46 FIP	26	SP	3.46	18.3%	10.2%	1.1%	.280	5.12	19.2%	10.2%	364	+1.66	3.46	431	72
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	71
Taylor Varnell L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	20.1%	10.3%	3.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	248	70
Eric DuBose L 2003 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP-	3.92	14.4%	7.5%	2.0%	.233	5.49	13.7%	0.4%	104	+1.57	3.92	178	70
Michael Plassmeyer L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SP	4.41	21.3%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	4.54	20.1%	13.8%	216	+0.13	3.42	653	70
Matt Portland L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	17.4%	11.0%	2.9%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	143	69
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	69
Christian Friedrich L 2012 · 4.26 FIP	25	SP	4.26	19.6%	8.0%	3.3%	.340	3.59	19.0%	10.6%	83	-0.67	3.39	297	69
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.26	30.7%	17.2%	124	-1.88	1.94	208	69
Josh Outman L 2011 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	13.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.302	3.80	21.8%	11.8%	123	-0.23	2.95	380	68
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	68
Yohan Flande L 2014 · 3.65 FIP	28	SP-	3.65	14.1%	5.8%	1.8%	.266	3.90	14.1%	7.9%	312	+0.25	3.18	394	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	35	21.0%	8.6%	1.19	4.47
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49