Luis Verdugo

3B San Antonio Missions

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAPHI	170	.177/.275/.293	3	1	31	—	.158/.234/.243
2025	24	INTLMexico Verde	291	.270/.359/.452	9	4	127	—
2026	25	AASD	394	.248/.342/.367	10	5	60	—	.209/.279/.301
2026	25	INTLTomateros de …	39	.259/.487/.444	1	1	176	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBSD	5	.197/.259/.282	0	0	55	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBSD	90	.198/.261/.285	1	1	57	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%62

BB%60

K%49

wRC+48

wOBA43

Whiff%42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCaleb Hamilton (age 26) · Connor Justus (age 26) · Connor Kaiser (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .259 / .282

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP264

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	199	176	34	4	1	4	17	45	1	5	3	193	268	295	563	102	231	23	9	253	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	221	197	60	9	2	5	19	39	2	8	2	305	372	447	818	142	353	18	9	361	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	133	133	133	267		222	40	0	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	227	214	40	12	1	3	11	65	1	2	1	187	230	294	524	107	252	29	5	235	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	422	368	99	27	1	5	46	70	3	4	4	269	355	389	744	120	316	17	11	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	64	57	6	2	0	0	4	28	1	0	0	105	177	140	318	35	200	44	6	152	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	244	218	59	19	0	7	23	36	0	4	1	271	340	454	794	183	292	15	9	348	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	125	114	26	6	0	2	8	28	2	0	2	228	290	333	624	105	286	22	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	447	405	104	21	1	2	34	74	2	4	2	257	317	328	646	72	304	17	8	292	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	134	119	32	6	1	3	12	26	0	3	0	269	336	412	748	143	319	19	9	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	109	100	18	2	0	2	7	35	0	0	0	180	234	260	494	80	254	32	6	223	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	170	147	26	8	0	3	18	47	2	1	3	177	275	293	568	116	232	28	11	260	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	291	252	68	17	1	9	34	61	1	4	2	270	359	452	811	183	322	21	12	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	394	335	83	10	0	10	45	98	3	5	0	248	342	367	709	119	313	25	11	315	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	39	27	7	2	0	1	11	8	1	1	1	259	487	444	932	185	333	21	28	428	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	199	182	27	3	1	3	11	65	1	5	3	148	201	225	426	77	190	33	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	221	205	44	6	1	4	11	56	2	8	2	215	261	312	574	98	268	25	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	227	217	31	9	1	2	8	92	1	2	1	143	177	221	398	78	228	41	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	422	381	87	22	1	4	33	89	3	4	4	228	295	323	618	94	279	21	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	64	58	6	2	0	0	3	34	1	0	0	103	161	138	299	34	190	53	5	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	244	226	48	13	0	5	15	47	0	4	1	212	261	336	598	124	236	19	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	447	414	93	18	1	2	25	93	2	4	2	225	272	287	560	63	272	21	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	109	102	17	2	0	1	5	42	0	0	0	167	206	216	421	49	251	39	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	170	152	24	7	0	2	13	56	2	1	3	158	234	243	477	86	219	33	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	394	349	73	8	0	8	31	119	3	5	0	209	279	301	580	92	273	30	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	199	182	27	3	1	3	11	65	1	5	3	148	201	225	426	77	205	33	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	—	199	176	34	4	1	4	17	45	1	5	3	193	268	295	563	102	231	23	9	253	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	221	205	44	6	1	4	11	56	2	8	2	215	261	312	574	98	270	25	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	—	221	197	60	9	2	5	19	39	2	8	2	305	372	447	818	142	353	18	9	361	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	133	133	133	267		222	40	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	133	133	133	267		222	40	0	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	227	217	31	9	1	2	8	92	1	2	1	143	177	221	398	78	234	41	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	227	214	40	12	1	3	11	65	1	2	1	187	230	294	524	107	252	29	5	235	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	422	381	87	22	1	4	33	89	3	4	4	228	295	323	618	94	284	21	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	422	368	99	27	1	5	46	70	3	4	4	269	355	389	744	120	316	17	11	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	433	400	75	21	0	7	24	114	3	4	3	188	239	292	531	105	240	26	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	433	389	91	27	0	9	35	92	3	4	3	234	302	373	675	139	281	21	8	300	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	581	538	119	23	1	2	32	120	2	7	2	221	267	279	546	58	277	21	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	581	524	136	27	2	5	46	100	2	7	2	260	322	347	669	88	308	17	8	300	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	570	522	83	17	0	8	36	201	3	5	5	159	217	238	455	79	237	35	6	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	570	499	112	27	1	14	59	143	3	5	5	224	310	367	677	142	284	25	10	302	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	384	81	9	0	9	34	131	4	6	1	211	282	305	587	94	288	30	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	433	362	90	12	0	11	56	106	4	6	1	249	355	373	728	124	315	24	13	325	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	199	185	27	3	1	3	11	65	1	5	3	146	201	222	423	76	190	33	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	221	206	44	6	1	4	11	56	2	8	2	214	261	311	572	97	268	25	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	227	216	31	9	1	2	8	92	1	2	1	144	177	222	399	79	228	41	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	422	383	87	22	1	4	33	89	3	4	4	227	295	321	616	94	279	21	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	433	403	75	21	0	7	24	114	3	4	3	186	239	290	529	104	226	26	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	581	542	119	23	1	2	32	120	2	7	2	220	267	277	544	57	272	21	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	570	526	83	17	0	8	36	201	3	5	5	158	217	236	453	78	232	35	6	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	392	81	9	0	9	34	131	4	6	1	207	282	298	580	92	273	30	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	581	542	119	23	1	2	32	120	2	7	2	220	267	277	544	57	272	21	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	570	526	83	17	0	8	36	201	3	5	5	158	217	236	453	78	232	35	6	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	392	81	9	0	9	34	131	4	6	1	207	282	298	580	92	273	30	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	2%	380	348	70	11	1	6	27	109	2	4	1	200	262	286	548	86	269	29	7	250	55	-20	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	197	259	282	541	85	264	20	0	247	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	27%	336	307	62	10	1	5	24	95	2	3	1	201	264	289	553	88	270	28	7	252	57	-17	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	27%	90	83	16	3	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	198	261	285	546	88	265	29	7	249	57	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	83	16	3	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	193	256	265	521	72	268	29	7	249	45	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	116	22	0	7	43	188	7	7	0	194	255	265	521	72	270	29	7	249	45	-34	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3687	3379	657	128	6	48	231	1040	23	46	24	194	251	278	529	84	262	28	6	234	45	-31	+0	+0	+2	+13	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	116	23	1	8	41	183	4	8	4	195	252	277	528	82	263	28	6	234	45	-34	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Verdugo (OGILVIE)	26	25	40	45	45	198/260/283	86	269	4	2	29%	7%	55	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	40	41→45	45	43	196/256/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	56	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	44→45	47→40	37	188/242/300	112	260	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	215/273/311	96	313	9	8	32%	5%	66	-1.1	242/302/318	76	364	6	5	33%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	191/243/313	122	240	12	7	26%	5%	55	-1.9	207/255/324	117	279	12	11	29%	6%	62	-1.4	185/222/306	120	244	15	17	31%	4%	42	-0.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/268/270	77	273	6	4	30%	8%	55	-1.9	202/288/306	104	307	9	4	34%	10%	71	-0.8	185/286/287	102	283	10	0	35%	12%	63	-0.5
✕Joe Hudson 2017 · AA	26	38	40→45	45→40	44	189/257/283	94	259	8	3	29%	8%	54	-2.0	190/248/287	97	263	8	3	29%	7%	51	-2.2	168/269/293	125	244	17	8	36%	10%	60	-0.5
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→25	41→50	45→50	35	170/234/264	94	274	10	6	40%	6%	41	-3.0	198/254/313	115	283	11	10	33%	5%	60	-1.6	196/248/320	125	268	11	11	30%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	39	44→45	46→50	47	198/270/309	111	250	12	9	26%	8%	65	-1.2	199/269/291	92	266	7	12	26%	8%	60	-1.6	182/256/255	73	246	4	15	26%	8%	45	-1.8
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	40	42→45	44→45	46	198/280/299	102	270	11	5	30%	8%	67	-1.1	225/320/359	134	292	13	10	25%	11%	95	+1.0	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Barrett Kleinknecht 2014 · AA	26	40→35	43→45	44→45	42	203/246/311	108	241	11	5	21%	5%	56	-1.9	207/244/318	111	245	11	4	20%	4%	56	-1.9	197/229/301	104	230	11	1	20%	3%	44	-1.6
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	193/239/299	106	261	9	6	29%	5%	50	-2.3	174/225/294	120	256	12	5	35%	5%	45	-2.7	143/193/276	133	198	15	3	36%	5%	26	-1.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2024 · MLB	26	40→30	45	46→50	48	204/282/322	118	264	14	13	28%	9%	73	-0.6	200/274/299	99	273	9	11	28%	9%	64	-1.3	159/229/234	75	220	6	10	29%	7%	30	-1.6
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	38	45	44→30	41	194/252/312	118	271	13	4	33%	7%	59	-1.7	207/272/331	124	290	15	5	32%	8%	70	-0.8	189/263/302	114	258	16	2	32%	9%	59	-0.5
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/289	103	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/256	95	264	7	9	38%	9%	42	-1.5