Cameron Barstad

C Akron RubberDucks

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	A+MIA	258	.221/.324/.356	6	0	45	—	.173/.254/.277
2025	24	AACLE	269	.208/.294/.309	5	1	39	—	.174/.249/.253
2026	25	AAA/AA2 orgs	210	.209/.330/.345	5	0	51	—	.168/.268/.255
2027PROJMLE	26	MLBCLE	3	.173/.254/.263	0	0	48	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBCLE	47	.176/.256/.268	1	0	50	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV27

Chase%16

Speed16

BB%15

K%4

Z-Con%4

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsScott Hurst (age 26) · Jordan Procyshen (age 26) · Riley Mahan (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .254 / .263

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO81

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	45	36	6	0	0	1	6	15	3	0	0	167	333	250	583	83	250	33	13	289	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	186	162	31	7	1	4	22	74	2	1	0	191	296	321	617	130	321	40	12	285	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	221	189	44	17	0	3	25	87	5	0	0	233	338	370	708	138	406	39	11	321	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	17	13	3	0	0	0	2	8	2	0	0	231	412	231	643		600	47	12	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	181	161	38	13	1	3	17	55	2	0	0	236	317	385	702	149	337	30	9	314	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	71	61	10	3	0	1	8	27	1	1	0	164	271	262	534	98	265	38	11	249	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	258	222	49	12	0	6	29	96	5	0	1	221	324	356	680	135	352	37	11	310	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	269	236	49	9	0	5	20	82	9	1	0	208	294	309	604	102	288	30	7	276	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	72	62	12	2	0	3	4	31	6	0	0	194	306	371	677	177	321	43	6	310	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	138	115	25	7	0	2	18	49	4	0	0	217	343	330	674	113	359	36	13	313	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	45	38	4	0	0	1	4	22	3	0	0	105	244	184	429	79	204	49	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	186	169	22	4	1	3	15	99	2	1	0	130	210	219	429	89	281	53	8	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	221	196	29	10	0	2	18	122	5	0	0	148	237	230	467	82	349	55	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	181	167	32	9	1	3	11	70	2	0	0	192	250	311	561	120	299	39	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	71	64	8	2	0	1	5	35	1	1	0	125	200	203	403	78	231	49	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	258	231	40	9	0	5	20	120	5	0	1	173	254	277	531	104	315	47	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	269	241	42	7	0	4	15	105	9	1	0	174	249	253	502	79	272	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	72	63	9	1	0	2	3	37	6	0	0	143	250	254	504	111	288	51	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	138	121	22	6	0	1	12	60	4	0	0	182	277	256	534	74	347	43	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	45	38	4	0	0	1	4	22	3	0	0	105	244	184	429	79	200	49	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	—	45	36	6	0	0	1	6	15	3	0	0	167	333	250	583	83	250	33	13	289	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	186	169	22	4	1	3	15	99	2	1	0	130	210	219	429	89	284	53	8	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	186	162	31	7	1	4	22	74	2	1	0	191	296	321	617	130	321	40	12	285	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	238	210	31	10	0	2	19	132	7	0	0	148	242	224	465	76	372	55	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	238	202	47	17	0	3	27	95	7	0	0	233	343	361	705	129	415	40	11	321	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	252	230	39	11	1	3	17	105	3	1	0	170	236	265	501	96	290	42	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	252	222	48	16	1	4	25	82	3	1	0	216	304	351	655	135	319	33	10	296	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	258	231	40	9	0	5	20	120	5	0	1	173	254	277	531	104	324	47	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	258	222	49	12	0	6	29	96	5	0	1	221	324	356	680	135	352	37	11	310	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	269	241	42	7	0	4	15	105	9	1	0	174	249	253	502	79	279	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	269	236	49	9	0	5	20	82	9	1	0	208	294	309	604	102	288	30	7	276	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	210	184	31	7	0	3	15	97	10	0	0	168	268	255	523	87	333	46	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	210	177	37	9	0	5	22	80	10	0	0	209	330	345	675	136	348	38	10	312	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	45	38	4	0	0	1	4	22	3	0	0	105	244	184	429	79	204	49	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	186	167	22	4	1	3	15	99	2	1	0	132	210	222	431	90	281	53	8	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	238	210	31	10	0	2	19	132	7	0	0	148	242	224	465	76	349	55	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	252	230	39	11	1	3	17	105	3	1	0	170	236	265	501	96	280	42	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	258	231	40	9	0	5	20	120	5	0	1	173	254	277	531	104	315	47	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	269	243	42	7	0	4	15	105	9	1	0	173	249	251	500	78	272	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	210	183	31	7	0	3	15	97	10	0	0	169	268	257	525	87	327	46	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	258	231	40	9	0	5	20	120	5	0	1	173	254	277	531	104	315	47	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	269	243	42	7	0	4	15	105	9	1	0	173	249	251	500	78	272	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	210	183	31	7	0	3	15	97	10	0	0	169	268	257	525	87	327	46	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	2%	260	233	40	8	0	4	17	100	8	2	0	173	253	263	516	90	278	38	7	240	48	-16	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	173	254	263	517	90	279	33	0	240	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	27%	174	155	28	6	0	3	12	66	5	1	0	175	256	268	523	92	278	38	7	242	50	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	27%	47	43	8	2	0	1	3	18	1	0	0	176	256	268	524	92	279	38	6	243	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	47	43	8	2	0	1	3	18	1	0	0	186	255	302	558	116	292	38	6	243	39	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	111	28	0	14	41	249	14	0	0	187	255	304	560	118	292	38	6	243	39	-38	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1769	1581	258	58	2	26	126	799	48	5	1	163	246	252	498	89	302	45	7	226	39	-19	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	95	21	1	10	46	294	18	2	0	164	247	255	501	91	302	45	7	226	39	-39	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 138 PAwOBA .305 → .251 (−54)K% 35.5% → 43.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.51%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	43.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.988	9.02%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	2.43%
Singles /BIP	24.24%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×0.988	24.39%
Doubles /BIP	10.61%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.050	×0.988	9.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.050	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.988	2.34%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .305 → .251; ISO .113 → .089; BABIP .359 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 72 PAwOBA .302 → .228 (−74)K% 43.1% → 51.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	43.06%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	51.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	3.90%
HBP% /PA	8.33%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	7.97%
Singles /BIP	22.58%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.018	21.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.018	5.45%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.68%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.018	6.90%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .302 → .228; ISO .177 → .111; BABIP .321 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 269 PAwOBA .273 → .226 (−47)K% 30.5% → 39.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.48%	÷0.948	×1.220	—	—	39.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.43%	÷0.953	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.45%
HBP% /PA	3.35%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	2.84%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷1.004	×0.970	×1.008	×0.998	22.08%
Doubles /BIP	5.84%	÷0.986	×0.860	×1.008	×0.998	5.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.935	×0.950	×1.008	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.25%	÷0.926	×0.780	—	×0.998	2.73%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .273 → .226; ISO .102 → .080; BABIP .288 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 258 PAwOBA .303 → .235 (−68)K% 37.2% → 46.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.21%	÷1.014	×1.270	—	—	46.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.85%	÷0.998	×0.710	—	×0.988	7.63%
HBP% /PA	1.94%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	1.51%
Singles /BIP	24.60%	÷1.034	×0.920	×1.040	×0.988	22.51%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷0.962	×0.810	×1.040	×0.988	8.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.850	×1.040	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷0.935	×0.800	—	×0.988	4.03%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .303 → .235; ISO .135 → .104; BABIP .352 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 181 PAwOBA .306 → .245 (−61)K% 30.4% → 38.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.39%	÷1.005	×1.270	—	—	38.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.84%	÷0.999	×0.710	—	×0.998	6.27%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.87%
Singles /BIP	19.81%	÷0.995	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	19.20%
Doubles /BIP	12.26%	÷1.113	×0.810	×1.050	×0.998	9.36%
Triples /BIP	0.94%	÷1.016	×0.850	×1.050	×0.998	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	2.83%	÷0.817	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.76%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 99, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .306 → .245; ISO .149 → .118; BABIP .337 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AJupiter Hammerheads · 71 PAwOBA .247 → .180 (−66)K% 38.0% → 49.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	38.03%	÷1.039	×1.360	—	—	49.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.27%	÷0.996	×0.690	—	×0.990	7.73%
HBP% /PA	1.41%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.09%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷0.985	×0.920	—	×0.990	16.32%
Doubles /BIP	8.82%	÷1.031	×0.830	—	×0.990	7.03%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.910	—	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷0.924	×0.800	—	×0.990	2.52%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 108, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .247 → .180; ISO .098 → .070; BABIP .265 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AJupiter Hammerheads · 221 PAwOBA .316 → .210 (−106)K% 39.4% → 55.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.37%	÷0.967	×1.360	—	—	55.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.31%	÷0.978	×0.690	—	—	7.98%
HBP% /PA	2.26%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.76%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷1.004	×0.920	×1.044	—	22.51%
Doubles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.156	×0.830	×1.044	—	12.49%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.044	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷0.959	×0.800	—	—	2.45%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .316 → .210; ISO .138 → .081; BABIP .406 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AJupiter Hammerheads · 186 PAwOBA .278 → .195 (−82)K% 39.8% → 53.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.78%	÷1.021	×1.360	—	—	52.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.83%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×1.015	8.34%
HBP% /PA	1.08%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.85%
Singles /BIP	21.59%	÷0.993	×0.920	×1.004	×1.015	20.39%
Doubles /BIP	7.95%	÷1.226	×0.830	×1.004	×1.015	5.49%
Triples /BIP	1.14%	÷0.996	×0.910	×1.004	×1.015	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	4.55%	÷0.891	×0.800	—	×1.015	4.14%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 145, 3B 99, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .278 → .195; ISO .130 → .087; BABIP .321 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cameron Barstad (OGILVIE)	26	30	35	40	35	171/251/261	89	278	2	1	39%	7%	48	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Jordan Procyshen 2019 · AA	26	39	38→40	38→40	40	190/250/268	78	279	6	4	33%	6%	47	-2.5	197/253/328	131	249	15	5	27%	6%	63	-1.4	166/233/306	140	198	19	4	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Riley Mahan 2022 · AA	26	38→42	42→45	41→40	33	187/237/288	101	305	10	4	40%	5%	47	-2.6	194/244/328	134	322	15	8	42%	5%	59	-1.6	176/226/325	149	285	18	7	44%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Logan Moore 2018 · AAA	27	40	43→40	42→30	39	203/252/308	106	287	12	3	33%	6%	57	-1.8	196/262/292	96	277	10	6	31%	7%	57	-1.8	154/232/213	59	215	6	0	29%	8%	27	-1.8
✕Matt O'Neill 2024 · AAA	26	34	41→45	45	40	165/246/261	95	294	10	3	44%	9%	45	-2.7	192/262/291	99	303	9	5	36%	8%	57	-1.8	188/262/285	97	277	9	2	33%	9%	54	-0.6
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→25	41→50	45→50	35	170/234/264	94	274	10	6	40%	6%	41	-3.0	198/254/313	115	283	11	10	33%	5%	60	-1.6	196/248/320	125	268	11	11	30%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA	26	37→35	45→50	42→40	32	190/238/306	116	301	14	5	41%	5%	52	-2.2	201/259/315	114	313	12	5	38%	6%	62	-1.4	177/244/283	106	274	12	2	38%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/289	103	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/256	95	264	7	9	38%	9%	42	-1.5
✕Ben Ramirez 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	42→40	46→45	39	199/253/301	102	286	11	4	33%	6%	56	-1.9	195/242/278	83	288	6	8	33%	5%	46	-2.6	177/217/242	64	261	4	10	32%	4%	25	-1.6
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→37	40→45	42→30	42	191/262/279	87	272	8	2	31%	7%	55	-1.9	188/243/293	105	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	161/206/267	106	236	11	1	36%	4%	29	-2.8
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→30	44	186/253/298	111	262	10	4	32%	8%	55	-1.9	187/257/288	101	288	9	5	35%	8%	55	-2.0	125/202/184	59	253	4	0	48%	9%	10	-1.2
✕Brady Lindsly 2023 · AA	25	38	42→40	48→40	38	189/248/285	96	295	10	4	38%	7%	51	-2.3	196/257/286	90	301	9	6	35%	7%	54	-2.0	191/253/268	77	290	8	5	35%	7%	47	-1.0
✕Jean Luc Blaquiere 2011 · AAA	25	39	40	40→45	36	191/241/278	87	285	8	4	35%	5%	46	-2.6	207/278/294	87	300	7	5	31%	8%	64	-1.3	210/317/289	79	274	6	0	23%	11%	76	-0.1
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37	44→40	47→50	37	185/261/292	108	298	13	8	40%	7%	59	-1.7	210/285/316	106	342	11	13	38%	8%	72	-0.7	210/293/305	96	350	10	19	39%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Cooper Johnson 2024 · AA	26	37	40→45	47→40	40	171/254/258	86	308	7	7	43%	9%	48	-2.5	187/265/311	124	269	14	5	34%	9%	64	-1.3	170/251/291	120	232	14	3	32%	9%	52	-1.3
✕Daniel Salters 2018 · AA	25	40	40	47→30	38	199/247/285	86	282	8	3	32%	5%	50	-2.3	210/265/308	98	293	10	5	30%	5%	62	-1.4	220/278/309	88	309	10	2	30%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA	25	35	42→45	45→30	41	179/238/279	100	251	10	3	32%	7%	46	-2.6	194/263/291	97	283	9	5	32%	8%	58	-1.7	153/239/223	70	230	6	0	33%	9%	31	-1.0
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40	44→45	42	188/257/280	92	287	8	6	35%	8%	53	-2.1	216/270/329	113	305	11	6	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/278/357	129	302	14	2	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Kyle Skipworth 2016 · AAA	26	34→38	47→50	41→30	31	173/233/307	134	304	16	4	46%	5%	51	-2.2	194/253/328	134	314	16	7	41%	6%	63	-1.4	129/188/243	114	180	17	0	39%	6%	20	-0.9