Zane Mills — OGILVIE

Zane Mills P Knoxville Smokies

+0.2 WAR

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.5%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%10.9%

IP61

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	7	0	8	28	9	0	0	—	—	—	1.17	—	—
2022	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	26	26	144	614	104	35	13	12.9%	6.6%	2.6%	3.88	4.26	+1.7
2023	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	23	18	93	414	65	25	13	12.1%	6.9%	3.5%	5.63	4.90	+0.3
2024	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	32	2	69	294	67	27	7	17.8%	10.4%	2.7%	4.06	4.41	+0.5
2025	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	31	2	55	238	58	23	5	19.7%	10.4%	2.4%	4.75	4.08	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	1	1	3	17	4	3	1	—	—	—	9.00	—	—
ROS	26	MLB	CHC	11	11	61	256	51	25	7	19.9%	9.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.61	+0.2
2026 Total	26	MLB	CHC	—	—	64	273	55	28	8	20.1%	10.3%	3.0%	4.82	4.39	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	27	MLB	CHC	11	11	60	254	52	25	7	20.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.59	4.59	+0.2
2028	28	MLB	CHC	59	—	59	250	51	24	7	20.5%	9.8%	2.9%	4.59	4.60	+0.2
2029	29	MLB	CHC	58	—	58	245	50	24	7	20.5%	9.8%	3.0%	4.61	4.63	+0.2
2030	30	MLB	CHC	56	—	56	238	48	24	7	20.3%	9.9%	3.0%	4.65	4.68	+0.2
2031	31	MLB	CHC	54	—	54	229	46	23	7	20.1%	10.0%	3.1%	4.71	4.76	+0.1
2032	32	MLB	CHC	52	—	52	220	44	22	7	19.8%	10.2%	3.2%	4.79	4.84	+0.1
2033	33	MLB	CHC	50	—	50	210	41	22	7	19.5%	10.4%	3.3%	4.88	4.94	+0.0
2034	34	MLB	CHC	47	—	47	200	38	21	7	19.2%	10.6%	3.4%	4.98	5.05	-0.1
2035	35	MLB	CHC	45	—	45	188	35	20	7	18.8%	10.8%	3.5%	5.10	5.17	-0.1
2036	36	MLB	CHC	42	—	42	176	32	19	6	18.4%	11.0%	3.6%	5.22	5.31	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			120	49	371	1605	241	128	45	15.0%	8.0%	2.8%	4.46	4.38	+3.8
/ 200 IP	—			65	26	200	865	130	69	24	15.0%	8.0%	2.8%	4.46	4.38	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zane Mills (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	19.9%	9.8%	2.9%	—	4.61	20.4%	10.6%	178	-0.00	—	—	—
Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP	26	SW	3.83	20.2%	9.8%	2.2%	.303	4.06	19.2%	12.5%	143	+0.23	3.05	290	92
Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP	26	SW	4.05	21.2%	9.4%	2.8%	.295	4.28	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.23	3.34	187	91
David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP	26	SW	4.06	17.4%	9.8%	2.2%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.52	4.06	256	90
Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	26	SW	4.57	18.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	90
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP	26	SW	4.45	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.78	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.65	315	90
Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	26	SW	3.79	18.2%	8.7%	2.1%	.266	4.46	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.67	3.75	154	89
R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP	26	SW	3.90	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.29	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.61	2.45	362	89
Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	19.6%	10.5%	3.9%	.293	4.50	12.8%	-1.5%	34	-0.43	1.27	164	88
Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP	26	SW	3.97	20.9%	10.0%	2.5%	.298	3.00	31.5%	23.7%	221	-0.97	1.99	682	88
Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP	26	SW	3.99	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	199	88
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP	26	SW	3.85	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.07	3.23	161	88
Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	19.9%	9.3%	3.6%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	146	88
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP	26	SW	4.22	23.4%	11.6%	3.0%	.273	4.53	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.31	3.70	187	87
Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP	28	SW	3.72	20.2%	9.8%	2.0%	.333	4.05	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.70	147	87
Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	20.6%	9.8%	2.1%	.307	5.33	13.0%	4.1%	59	+1.59	3.36	204	87
Danny Kirwin R 2025 · 4.19 FIP	25	SW	4.19	16.8%	9.3%	2.4%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	135	87
Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP	26	SW	4.33	22.1%	9.2%	3.5%	.282	3.20	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.13	1.79	618	87
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.06	3.69	239	87
Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.51 FIP	26	SW	3.51	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.64	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.13	3.51	101	87
Easton Sikorski R 2025 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	21.1%	10.6%	3.0%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	159	87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.