Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | 12 | 5 | 41 | 161 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 42% | 3.4 | 14.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.76 | 4.50 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | 12 | 5 | 41 | 161 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 42% | 3.4 | 21.1% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 1.9% | 1.76 | 3.27 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 60 | 275 | 56 | 25 | 10 | 100% | 4.6 | 14.8% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.70 | 5.60 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 60 | 275 | 56 | 25 | 10 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 5.70 | 4.65 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 27 | 27 | 149 | 645 | 153 | 63 | 17 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.66 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | 27 | 27 | 149 | 645 | 153 | 63 | 17 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 4.36 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 14 | 63 | 279 | 56 | 23 | 7 | 93% | 4.2 | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.45 | 4.93 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 14 | 63 | 279 | 56 | 23 | 7 | 93% | 4.2 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 4.45 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 17 | 98 | 437 | 85 | 47 | 5 | 61% | 3.5 | 15.3% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 5.40 | 4.01 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 17 | 98 | 437 | 85 | 47 | 5 | 61% | 3.5 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 1.1% | 5.40 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 0 | 26 | 115 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 17.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.54 | 5.50 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 0 | 26 | 115 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.2% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 5.54 | 4.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 3 | 3 | 16 | 65 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.3 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.07 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 113 | 76 | 437 | 1912 | 307 | 219 | 53 | 67% | 3.9 | 16.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.72 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 35 | 200 | 876 | 141 | 100 | 24 | 67% | 3.9 | 16.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Charlie Neuweiler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 23.1% | 13.5% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 81 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 74 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 72 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 72 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 71 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 71 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 70 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 70 |
| Connor Grey R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.88 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .286 | 4.32 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 104 | +0.44 | 2.81 | 461 | 69 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 69 |
| Stephen Fife R 2028 · 3.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.20 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | .329 | 3.62 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.42 | 3.20 | 179 | 68 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 68 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 67 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 67 |
| Kyle Wright R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .354 | 5.32 | 20.2% | 4.7% | 13 | +0.91 | 3.32 | 669 | 66 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 66 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 66 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 66 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 66 |