Ricky Vanasco P Toledo Mud Hens
Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.23
FIP4.23
K%24.8%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP5
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
K: +2.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -3.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: +8.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+9CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.95 (44 IP)+0.9WAR
-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4262829
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060
FB+0.5 (64%)
CT (4%)
CU (20%)
SL (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201718ROKAZL Rangers10094116500%0.939.0%12.2%26.8%0.0%0.001.35
201718ROKAZL Rangers10094116500%0.939.0%12.2%26.8%0.0%0.001.21
201819ROKAZL Rangers73251012513143%3.516.8%16.1%0.7%1.4%4.384.48
201819ROKAZL Rangers73251012513143%3.524.8%12.9%11.9%1.0%4.383.18
201920AHickory Crawdads2211391630100%5.341.0%7.7%33.3%0.0%1.690.61
201920AHickory Crawdads2211391630100%5.341.0%7.7%33.3%0.0%1.690.94
202223MIX2 levels2323924091185214100%4.023.2%14.6%8.5%3.3%4.684.79
202223MIX2 levels2323924091185214100%4.028.9%12.7%16.1%3.4%4.684.20
202324MIX3 levels283321414514311%1.225.9%12.0%13.8%2.6%2.783.86
202324MIX3 levels283321414514311%1.231.9%9.9%22.0%2.1%2.782.82
202425MIX2 levels39044197492820%1.123.2%16.2%7.1%2.1%2.844.32+0.1
202425MIX2 levels39044197492820%1.124.9%14.2%10.7%1.0%2.843.37+0.6
202526MIX2 levels21128121382035%1.326.6%16.8%9.7%4.2%4.765.29
202526MIX2 levels21128121382035%1.331.4%16.5%14.9%2.5%4.763.91
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBDetroit Tigers29238176492527%1.329.1%14.7%14.4%0.0%3.762.50+0.9
ROS27MLBDET505236310%1.124.8%12.9%11.9%2.9%4.234.23+0.0
ROS27MLBDET505215310%1.024.8%12.9%11.9%2.9%4.234.23+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBDET441995528327.5%14.1%13.4%1.3%3.822.71+0.9
2026 FULL27MLBDET124955283110.6%56.5%54.0%5.4%14.253.88+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBDET1902084191130%1.122.5%12.8%9.7%3.3%4.965.00-0.1
202728MLBDET1801980181030%1.122.5%12.8%9.7%3.3%4.965.00-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career32035158291950%1.118.2%12.2%6.0%3.3%7.004.94-0.2
/ 200 IP1860200910167110290%1.118.2%12.2%6.0%3.3%7.004.94+1.1
Career1593428012253091792821%1.825.3%14.6%10.6%2.2%3.764.05+4.4
/ 200 IP114242008752211282021%1.825.3%14.6%10.6%2.2%3.764.05+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ricky Vanasco (OGILVIE) 4.73 24.2%12.8%3.1% 5.00 22.5%9.7%20 +0.27
Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 79
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 78
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 78
Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP 27 SU 5.38 21.1%13.8%4.2%.281 2.72 153 77
Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 77
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 27 SU 4.51 20.5%12.6%2.8%.355 4.54 16.5%6.1%39 +0.03 3.57 187 77
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 27 SU 4.56 21.0%15.2%2.4%.305 3.34 252 77
Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 18.1%13.9%1.8%.338 4.21 19.7%5.0%113 -0.11 3.85 138 77
Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 77
Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP 27 SU 4.64 23.1%13.8%3.2%.281 3.33 142 77
David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SU 5.25 15.6%12.7%3.4%.324 5.21 9.6%0.5%107 -0.04 5.04 129 76
Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 76
Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 5.77 FIP 27 SU 5.77 19.5%13.5%4.7%.275 3.97 157 76
Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP 25 SU 4.73 19.3%12.6%3.0%.361 3.86 106 76
Arcenio Leon R 2027 · 4.44 FIP 28 SU 4.44 17.9%12.5%2.3%.450 3.38 18.0%9.1%85 -1.06 3.03 115 75
José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP 27 SU 4.40 26.1%11.7%3.7%.367 4.02 24.5%13.3%75 -0.38 2.28 279 75
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 24.9%14.5%2.7%.360 5.09 15.3%3.1%58 +0.79 3.42 173 75
Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SU 4.39 18.7%13.5%2.1%.256 2.81 32.9%19.8%68 -1.58 2.81 125 75
Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 27 SW 4.07 21.1%12.2%2.2%.301 2.88 356 75
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 27 SU 3.94 26.4%14.3%2.3%.274 4.93 22.1%8.9%69 +0.99 3.68 181 75