Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 39.0% | 12.2% | 26.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.35 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 39.0% | 12.2% | 26.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.21 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 7 | 3 | 25 | 101 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 43% | 3.5 | 16.8% | 16.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 4.38 | 4.48 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 7 | 3 | 25 | 101 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 43% | 3.5 | 24.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 1.0% | 4.38 | 3.18 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 2 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 5.3 | 41.0% | 7.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.69 | 0.61 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 2 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 5.3 | 41.0% | 7.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.69 | 0.94 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 92 | 409 | 118 | 52 | 14 | 100% | 4.0 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.79 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 92 | 409 | 118 | 52 | 14 | 100% | 4.0 | 28.9% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 3.4% | 4.68 | 4.20 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 3 | 32 | 141 | 45 | 14 | 3 | 11% | 1.2 | 25.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 2.6% | 2.78 | 3.86 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 3 | 32 | 141 | 45 | 14 | 3 | 11% | 1.2 | 31.9% | 9.9% | 22.0% | 2.1% | 2.78 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 197 | 49 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 16.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 2.84 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 197 | 49 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 1.0% | 2.84 | 3.37 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 1 | 28 | 121 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 5% | 1.3 | 26.6% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 4.76 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 1 | 28 | 121 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 5% | 1.3 | 31.4% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 3.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 29 | 2 | 38 | 176 | 49 | 25 | 2 | 7% | 1.3 | 29.1% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 3.76 | 2.50 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 44 | 199 | 55 | 28 | 3 | — | — | 27.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 1.3% | 3.82 | 2.71 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 12 | 49 | 55 | 28 | 3 | — | — | 110.6% | 56.5% | 54.0% | 5.4% | 14.25 | 3.88 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 32 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 7.00 | 4.94 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 910 | 167 | 110 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 7.00 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 159 | 34 | 280 | 1225 | 309 | 179 | 28 | 21% | 1.8 | 25.3% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 3.76 | 4.05 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 24 | 200 | 875 | 221 | 128 | 20 | 21% | 1.8 | 25.3% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 3.76 | 4.05 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ricky Vanasco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 24.2% | 12.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.00 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 20 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 79 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 78 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 78 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 77 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 77 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 77 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 76 |
| Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 76 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 76 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 76 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 75 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 75 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 75 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 75 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 75 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 75 |