Harold Cortijo prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Harold Cortijo P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%23.2%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	10	0	22	89	25	7	2	0%	2.2	19.1%	9.8%	9.3%	3.1%	4.98	4.46	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	10	0	22	89	25	7	2	0%	2.2	28.1%	7.9%	20.2%	2.2%	4.98	2.96	—
2019	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	14	14	73	312	57	30	9	100%	5.2	13.5%	11.3%	2.2%	4.1%	3.45	5.64	—
2019	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	14	14	73	312	57	30	9	100%	5.2	18.3%	9.6%	8.7%	2.9%	3.45	4.37	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	2	12	64	14	14	1	25%	1.5	15.4%	26.7%	-11.4%	0.0%	7.30	5.19	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	2	12	64	14	14	1	25%	1.5	21.9%	21.9%	0.0%	1.6%	7.30	5.29	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	59	253	66	30	3	0%	1.5	18.8%	13.7%	5.1%	1.6%	4.58	4.15	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	59	253	66	30	3	0%	1.5	26.1%	11.9%	14.2%	1.2%	4.58	3.05	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	12	0	20	87	25	11	2	0%	1.6	22.1%	14.5%	7.6%	2.9%	3.20	4.64	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	12	0	20	87	25	11	2	0%	1.6	22.1%	14.5%	7.6%	2.9%	3.20	4.64	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	12	0	20	87	25	11	2	0%	1.6	28.7%	12.6%	16.1%	2.3%	3.20	3.56	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.2%	10.4%	12.8%	3.0%	4.49	4.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.5%	12.6%	3.1%	4.52	4.56	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.5%	12.6%	3.1%	4.52	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.5%	12.6%	3.1%	4.52	4.18	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	82	27	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.5%	12.6%	3.1%	4.52	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		83	16	186	805	136	109	22	19%	2.2	16.9%	13.5%	3.4%	2.8%	4.22	4.90	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	17	200	867	146	117	24	19%	2.2	16.9%	13.5%	3.4%	2.8%	4.22	4.90	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Harold Cortijo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	23.2%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.56	23.1%	12.6%	20	+0.07	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	77
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	75
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	75
Anthony Varvaro R 2012 · 3.66 FIP	27	SU	3.66	27.6%	10.5%	2.8%	.311	3.30	17.7%	11.0%	139	-0.36	3.02	208	75
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	75
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	74
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	74
Kyle Bischoff R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.8%	4.8%	.240	3.83	21.8%	8.7%	140	-1.43	3.21	162	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	74
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	74
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	74
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	74
Cristofer Ogando R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	27	SU	4.83	26.8%	10.9%	4.8%	.281	4.90	20.6%	9.0%	53	+0.07	3.23	179	74
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	27	SU	4.76	23.0%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.18	3.73	223	74
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	74
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	74
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	73
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	73
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	73