Skyler Messinger

Skyler Messinger3B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 27 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .222 / .235

PA18

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO59

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	9	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	1	375	423	375	798		429	11	4	355	126	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	364	94	19	3	18	54	113	10	7	1	258	369	475	844	217	318	26	12	369	136	+19	+1	—	—	+9	3.0
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	94	88	21	5	0	2	4	25	0	3	0	239	272	364	635	125	302	27	4	277	74	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	25	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	109	93	21	6	1	1	11	29	4	4	1	226	333	344	677	118	312	27	10	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	25	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	73	67	20	1	0	1	5	22	0	2	1	299	347	358	705	60	422	30	7	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	26	A+	Spokane Indians	—	462	415	99	21	1	10	27	107	12	12	8	239	304	366	670	128	291	23	6	298	88	-7	-1	—	—	+10	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	292	346	292	638		339	15	4	270	69	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	378	76	15	2	13	40	154	10	7	1	201	294	354	649	153	283	35	9	287	80	-10	+1	—	—	+9	0.0
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	94	90	15	3	0	1	2	35	0	3	0	167	185	233	418	67	250	37	2	196	19	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	109	97	15	4	1	1	7	42	4	4	1	155	241	247	488	93	235	39	6	200	22	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	425	74	15	1	8	17	149	12	12	8	174	227	271	497	96	227	32	4	213	30	-38	-1	—	—	+10	-3.0
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	292	346	292	638		350	15	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	27	24	9	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	1	375	423	375	798		429	11	4	355	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	378	76	15	2	13	40	154	10	7	1	201	294	354	649	153	290	35	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	364	94	19	3	18	54	113	10	7	1	258	369	475	844	217	318	26	12	369	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	276	256	41	9	1	3	12	105	4	9	2	160	210	238	448	78	250	38	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	276	248	62	12	1	4	20	76	4	9	2	250	316	355	671	105	337	28	7	301	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	425	74	15	1	8	17	149	12	12	8	174	227	271	497	96	239	32	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	462	415	99	21	1	10	27	107	12	12	8	239	304	366	670	128	291	23	6	298	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	27	25	7	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	280	346	280	626		339	15	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	382	76	15	2	13	40	154	10	7	1	199	294	351	645	152	283	35	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	276	258	41	9	1	3	12	105	4	9	2	159	210	236	446	78	242	38	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	430	74	15	1	8	17	149	12	12	8	172	227	267	494	95	227	32	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	435	382	76	15	2	13	40	154	10	7	1	199	294	351	645	152	283	35	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	276	258	41	9	1	3	12	105	4	9	2	159	210	236	446	78	242	38	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	462	430	74	15	1	8	17	149	12	12	8	172	227	267	494	95	227	32	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	COL	—	126	111	19	6	0	1	5	50	6	4	1	171	246	252	498	81	290	40	4	219	35	-10	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	ROK RAW	COL	—	15	12	4	1	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	333	467	917	1.383	583	333	27	20	563	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA RAW	COL	—	111	97	18	6	0	0	4	36	6	4	1	186	262	247	509	62	286	32	4	232	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	COL	2%	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	272	33	6	237	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	27	AA MLE	COL	—	144	128	22	7	0	1	6	56	6	4	1	172	243	250	493	78	288	39	4	221	36	-11	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	27%	267	246	46	10	1	5	13	92	6	5	2	187	245	297	542	110	271	34	5	243	51	-16	+0	-1	+1	+6	-1.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	37%	309	284	54	12	1	6	16	104	6	5	2	190	248	303	551	113	272	34	5	247	53	-17	+0	-1	+1	+7	-1.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	27%	72	66	12	3	0	1	4	25	2	1	0	182	250	273	523	91	286	35	6	241	51	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	37%	115	106	21	5	0	2	6	39	2	2	1	198	254	302	556	104	287	34	5	246	53	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	187	172	33	8	0	3	10	64	4	3	1	192	253	291	543	99	283	34	5	244	49	-11	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	114	28	0	10	35	222	14	10	3	191	252	288	540	97	282	34	5	244	49	-37	+1	-2	+2	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1794	1630	301	62	6	35	100	614	39	38	16	185	249	294	543	110	265	34	6	240	49	-34	+0	-2	+2	+13	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	109	22	2	13	36	222	14	14	6	184	248	294	542	110	264	34	6	240	49	-37	+0	-2	+2	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Skyler Messinger (OGILVIE)	27	40	40	45	25	180/238/278	98	272	4	5	36%	5%	46	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA	27	38→39	46→45	46→50	34	199/243/325	126	276	15	12	33%	4%	58	-1.7	211/265/346	135	332	16	13	39%	6%	71	-0.8	195/250/329	134	313	17	13	41%	5%	60	-1.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2021 · AA	27	41→48	40	44→50	38	198/253/292	93	292	8	8	34%	6%	54	-2.0	204/267/295	91	336	7	9	38%	7%	60	-1.6	140/212/191	51	264	3	4	45%	8%	13	-0.8
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	198/228/280	82	275	6	5	30%	3%	40	-3.0	180/213/255	75	251	6	4	30%	3%	29	-3.8	194/230/312	118	254	15	2	30%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	39→31	43→45	47→45	34	198/237/298	100	267	12	7	31%	3%	49	-2.4	219/259/338	119	278	14	8	26%	4%	67	-1.1	222/252/336	114	267	15	4	23%	3%	61	-0.6
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	41→42	41→45	48→50	39	201/258/303	103	272	9	10	29%	5%	59	-1.7	195/259/286	91	288	6	9	32%	7%	55	-2.0	179/246/257	79	277	5	7	35%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	41	39→40	44→45	38	199/254/282	84	287	6	5	32%	5%	52	-2.2	181/227/257	76	296	6	7	39%	5%	36	-3.4	148/189/203	55	257	3	4	42%	3%	7	-1.6
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→40	46→50	40	190/245/264	74	274	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	220/258/323	103	315	12	17	33%	5%	63	-1.4	224/249/331	107	323	14	23	34%	3%	57	-1.1
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	33	194/233/309	115	283	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.3	219/273/304	85	296	5	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA	27	34→41	45	46→45	36	180/225/303	123	249	13	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	178/238/293	115	276	11	7	37%	6%	49	-2.4	137/196/248	112	199	9	6	35%	6%	21	-1.6
✕Wade Gaynor 2014 · AA	26	37→45	43→45	49→50	39	189/250/305	116	272	11	9	34%	6%	56	-1.9	184/229/303	119	264	12	12	34%	5%	47	-2.5	166/206/285	119	233	12	13	34%	5%	32	-2.6
✕Gift Ngoepe 2017 · AAA	27	43→42	41→45	44→50	37	206/257/308	102	311	9	8	35%	6%	59	-1.7	188/256/291	103	321	9	7	41%	8%	55	-1.9	163/241/259	96	289	8	5	43%	9%	41	-1.2
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	298	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/300	105	301	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/272	96	267	7	6	34%	10%	54	-1.5
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→45	43→45	49→45	38	186/254/295	109	287	10	8	37%	7%	56	-1.9	220/290/360	140	313	15	8	33%	8%	84	+0.2	222/297/375	153	307	18	4	32%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Jon Townsend 2011 · A	26	43	41→40	44→50	38	206/264/300	94	309	10	9	35%	6%	60	-1.6	226/280/324	98	329	9	10	32%	6%	71	-0.8	245/292/333	89	344	8	9	29%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Zach Cone 2016 · AA	26	38→39	46→45	46→45	33	196/243/319	122	295	14	6	38%	4%	57	-1.8	206/254/335	129	302	14	8	35%	5%	65	-1.2	164/208/299	135	232	15	7	36%	4%	38	-0.7