Zach Daniels — OGILVIE

Zach DanielsOF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .284 / .354

PA11

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	174	146	32	8	0	3	23	64	4	8	3	219	341	336	677	116	362	37	13	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	197	167	38	5	1	6	26	65	4	14	3	228	345	377	722	150	333	33	13	331	110	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	412	358	101	15	1	23	48	127	4	22	5	282	373	522	896	240	371	31	12	391	151	+25	+2	—	—	+9	3.7
2022	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	46	40	7	3	0	1	5	12	1	0	0	175	283	325	608	150	222	26	11	280	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	345	309	86	20	0	13	30	108	4	22	5	278	350	469	819	191	384	31	9	361	130	+13	+2	—	—	+7	2.3
2023	24	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	19	16	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	250	368	312	681	62	400	32	11	323	104	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	58	54	8	1	0	1	4	24	0	4	0	148	207	222	429	74	241	41	7	200	21	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	25	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	19	17	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	235	316	471	786	235	273	26	11	346	120	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	174	153	24	5	0	2	16	87	4	8	3	157	254	229	483	72	328	50	9	221	36	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2021	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	197	175	29	3	1	3	18	89	4	14	3	166	259	246	505	80	310	45	9	235	45	-13	+2	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	412	373	75	10	1	16	33	184	4	22	5	201	273	362	635	161	330	45	8	277	74	-13	+2	—	—	+9	-0.2
2023	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	345	319	75	18	0	7	20	126	4	22	5	235	289	357	646	122	358	37	6	286	80	-8	+2	—	—	+7	0.2
2023	24	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	373	42	5	239	48	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	58	55	7	1	0	1	3	29	0	4	0	127	172	200	372	73	232	50	5	152	-11	-8	+1	—	—	+1	-0.6
2024	25	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	19	18	4	1	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	222	263	444	708	222	227	37	5	240	49	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	371	328	54	9	1	5	34	175	8	22	6	165	259	244	503	79	329	47	9	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	371	313	70	13	1	9	49	129	8	22	6	224	343	358	701	134	347	35	13	322	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	458	415	84	11	1	18	36	204	5	22	5	202	274	364	638	161	338	45	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	458	398	108	18	1	24	53	139	5	22	5	271	364	503	867	231	354	30	12	380	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	364	335	78	19	0	7	22	134	5	22	5	233	290	352	642	119	362	37	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	364	325	90	21	0	13	32	114	5	22	5	277	351	462	812	185	385	31	9	359	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	77	73	9	1	0	1	4	36	0	4	0	123	169	178	347	55	222	47	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	77	71	12	2	0	2	6	29	0	4	0	169	234	282	515	113	250	38	8	236	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	371	326	54	9	1	5	34	175	8	22	6	166	259	245	505	80	318	47	9	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	458	414	84	11	1	18	36	204	5	22	5	203	274	365	639	162	330	45	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	364	334	78	19	0	7	22	134	5	22	5	234	290	353	643	120	359	37	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	77	73	9	1	0	1	4	36	0	4	0	123	169	178	347	55	231	47	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	364	334	78	19	0	7	22	134	5	22	5	234	290	353	643	120	359	37	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	77	73	9	1	0	1	4	36	0	4	0	123	169	178	347	55	231	47	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		300	27	9	288	81	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	207	188	42	8	1	5	15	60	2	5	1	223	288	356	644	133	298	29	7	290	83	-4	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	HOU	37%	262	238	53	11	1	6	20	75	2	6	1	223	288	353	641	130	297	29	8	291	83	-5	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	HOU	43%	300	271	60	12	1	7	23	86	3	6	1	221	290	351	640	129	295	29	8	290	82	-6	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	56	51	11	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	216	286	314	599	98	300	29	7	284	83	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	HOU	37%	97	89	19	4	0	2	7	28	1	2	0	213	278	326	604	112	299	29	7	284	83	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	HOU	43%	129	117	26	5	1	3	10	37	1	3	1	222	289	359	648	137	298	29	8	283	82	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	282	257	56	11	1	6	21	81	3	6	1	218	285	339	623	121	292	29	7	284	69	-6	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	129	25	2	14	48	187	7	14	2	218	284	338	622	120	293	29	7	284	69	-13	+2	-4	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2050	1858	381	71	5	49	155	773	25	87	19	205	275	328	603	123	318	38	8	271	69	-16	+2	-4	-5	+17	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	122	23	2	16	49	245	8	28	6	207	277	334	612	127	320	38	8	271	69	-13	+2	-3	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	285	7	6	225	288	360	-2	+0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	16	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Daniels (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	222/284/354	132	300	3	4	30%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	47→55	51→55	40	207/263/336	128	288	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	213/285/371	158	283	20	23	31%	9%	84	+0.2	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	47→50	49→50	40	211/279/350	139	304	15	12	34%	7%	78	-0.3	208/282/351	143	321	16	15	38%	7%	80	-0.2	194/272/334	141	306	16	17	39%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Corey Julks 2022 · AA	26	45→51	45→50	50→55	42	224/276/352	127	299	12	14	29%	6%	76	-0.4	227/288/378	151	288	18	19	27%	7%	87	+0.4	221/289/367	146	276	17	21	26%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42→43	49→50	52→50	40	218/266/368	150	278	17	14	28%	6%	76	-0.4	208/258/330	122	282	13	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	179/234/295	116	256	14	13	35%	6%	47	-1.1
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA	27	45→44	44→50	50	40	223/281/350	126	282	11	11	24%	5%	78	-0.3	229/279/377	148	283	16	7	25%	4%	84	+0.1	223/275/375	152	272	18	7	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	44→43	47→50	47→50	41	221/269/360	139	281	14	10	27%	6%	76	-0.4	208/258/334	126	277	15	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	194/246/308	114	258	15	4	30%	6%	52	-1.6
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA	27	43→41	47→50	49→50	42	212/276/350	138	300	14	12	33%	8%	76	-0.4	237/301/379	142	314	15	13	28%	7%	92	+0.7	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Cristian Guerrero 2007 · AAA	27	45	47→50	50	35	222/262/355	133	319	15	14	35%	5%	72	-0.7	224/278/364	140	330	15	12	35%	7%	80	-0.1	212/279/383	171	313	21	9	37%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Cody Strait 2010 · AA	27	45→48	44→50	51→55	41	224/268/347	123	288	11	16	26%	5%	72	-0.7	215/265/314	99	284	7	16	25%	6%	63	-1.3	171/221/244	73	232	0	24	25%	4%	28	-1.0
✕Melky Mesa 2013 · AAA	26	42→44	49→50	52→55	38	215/268/362	147	294	17	19	32%	6%	76	-0.4	212/251/343	131	312	14	13	36%	4%	65	-1.2	203/234/321	119	312	12	9	38%	3%	50	-1.3
✕Sean Barker 2006 · AA	26	47→48	46→50	51→55	38	231/273/367	136	320	12	13	31%	5%	78	-0.3	234/279/363	129	342	11	18	33%	5%	80	-0.2	229/275/349	120	341	9	20	34%	4%	72	-0.4
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	41→46	47→50	51→50	41	206/270/345	139	289	14	10	33%	7%	73	-0.6	224/289/358	134	318	14	10	32%	8%	83	+0.1	222/287/346	124	316	12	9	32%	7%	77	-0.3
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	40→46	49→55	50	42	209/268/364	155	265	16	10	28%	6%	76	-0.4	216/264/389	173	256	19	8	24%	6%	81	-0.1	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕JaCoby Jones 2019 · MLB	27	43→47	46→50	52→50	38	211/267/344	133	298	12	16	32%	6%	72	-0.7	226/291/385	159	318	16	11	32%	7%	90	+0.6	218/284/366	148	320	16	7	35%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ben Guez 2014 · AAA	27	45→52	46→50	46→50	44	221/296/353	132	298	13	12	29%	8%	84	+0.2	203/279/346	143	286	16	13	33%	7%	77	-0.3	186/264/332	146	252	17	13	32%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Miles Durham 2010 · AA	27	49→50	46→50	51→50	38	240/279/376	136	315	13	12	28%	4%	83	+0.1	216/265/327	111	311	9	11	31%	6%	66	-1.1	203/255/306	103	298	7	10	33%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2017 · AAA	26	44→46	47→50	47→50	41	223/275/358	135	279	16	13	26%	5%	78	-0.3	212/276/345	133	268	13	13	25%	7%	76	-0.4	183/258/317	134	223	13	12	24%	8%	62	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps