Michael Toglia

1B Louisville Bats

Age 28 S/L 6'5" / 226 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-3FA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	25	MLBCOL	458	.218/.312/.456	25	10	99	-0.8
2025	26	MLBCOL	337	.190/.260/.353	11	3	60	-2.9
2026	27	MLBCIN	28	.115/.179/.192	0	0	4	-1.0
2027PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBCIN	158	.217/.289/.423	7	2	93	-0.1
2028PROJ48% MLB	29	MLBCIN	233	.214/.286/.416	10	2	90	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -4.7 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028

2027Arb-3$0.7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Barrel%88

Avg EV80

Bat Spd63

Chase%61

xwOBA59

Speed27

CompsBobby Dalbec (age 28) · Jabari Blash (age 28) · Edwin Rios (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9393vR 93

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .289 / .423

PA158

HR7

K%32

BB%9

BABIP275

ISO210

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

1115.4%

xAVG

140.222

POWER60

Barrel%

8813.8

Avg EV

8091.2

Bat Spd

6372.7

EYE50

Chase%

6129.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

2726.4

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 795 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

242

553

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

332

295

◀L

ISO

241

191

◀◀L

BABIP

275

277

—

28.9%

37.8%

◀◀L

BB%

9.1%

10.1%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2022

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	169	143	31	10	1	5	23	51	2	3	0	217	333	406	739	189	295	30	14	331	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	330	282	66	10	2	17	42	91	2	7	3	234	337	465	802	230	275	28	13	351	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	105	91	24	2	1	3	12	26	0	1	0	264	350	407	756	143	328	25	11	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	120	111	24	8	2	2	9	44	0	1	1	216	275	378	653	162	338	37	8	290	71	-4	-0	-0	-7	+3	-0.9
2022	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	75	66	22	7	0	7	9	22	0	0	1	333	413	758	1.171	424	405	29	12	494	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	420	363	85	13	1	23	51	127	2	7	1	234	332	466	797	231	286	30	12	349	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	152	141	23	5	0	4	10	50	1	1	1	163	224	284	507	121	218	33	7	231	36	-12	-0	-1	-11	+3	-2.1
2023	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	367	308	79	15	2	16	53	82	3	3	1	256	371	474	845	218	296	22	14	372	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	118	99	24	5	3	5	16	38	1	2	0	242	353	505	858	263	328	32	14	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	458	399	87	14	3	25	54	147	1	10	1	218	312	456	768	238	270	32	12	336	99	-0	+2	-8	-11	+10	-0.8
2024	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	135	119	33	4	2	9	15	35	1	1	2	277	363	571	934	294	320	26	11	404	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	337	306	58	15	1	11	28	132	1	3	0	190	260	353	613	163	285	39	8	273	60	-16	+1	-11	-9	+7	-2.9
2025	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	177	157	52	9	2	11	19	46	0	0	2	331	403	624	1.028	293	406	26	11	441	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	28	26	3	2	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	214	43	7	174	4	-3	+0	+0	-8	+1	-1.0
2026	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	402	344	94	26	1	22	56	103	0	4	1	273	375	547	922	273	326	26	14	399	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1095	983	195	44	6	42	103	385	3	15	3	198	276	384	660	185	273	35	9	293	84	-20	+2	-20	-45	+24	-6.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	169	151	28	9	1	4	15	61	2	3	0	185	268	338	606	152	265	36	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	330	296	53	8	2	11	28	127	2	7	3	179	255	331	586	152	250	38	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	120	111	23	8	1	2	9	44	0	1	1	207	267	351	618	144	338	37	8	273	71	-4	-0	-0	-7	+3	-0.9
2022	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	75	68	18	6	0	5	7	27	0	0	1	265	333	574	907	309	340	36	9	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	420	378	73	10	1	18	36	154	2	7	1	193	267	368	635	175	256	37	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	152	141	23	5	0	4	10	50	1	1	1	163	224	284	507	121	218	33	7	222	36	-12	-0	-1	-11	+3	-2.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	367	324	67	12	2	11	37	104	3	3	1	207	294	358	652	151	261	28	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	458	402	82	14	2	22	52	147	1	10	1	204	297	413	710	209	270	32	11	315	99	-0	+2	-8	-11	+10	-0.8
2024	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	135	124	27	3	2	6	10	43	1	1	2	218	281	419	701	202	272	32	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	337	308	55	14	1	10	26	132	1	3	0	179	245	328	573	149	285	39	8	257	60	-16	+1	-11	-9	+7	-2.9
2025	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	177	164	42	7	2	7	12	58	0	0	2	256	307	451	758	195	351	33	7	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	28	26	3	2	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	214	43	7	174	4	-3	+0	+0	-8	+1	-1.0
2026	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	402	362	77	21	1	15	38	123	0	4	1	213	287	401	688	188	273	31	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	604	540	96	20	3	18	53	227	4	11	3	178	256	326	582	148	258	38	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	604	516	121	22	4	25	77	168	4	11	3	234	338	438	776	203	291	28	13	342	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	615	557	112	24	2	24	52	225	2	8	3	201	272	381	652	180	282	37	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	615	540	131	28	3	32	69	193	2	8	3	243	331	483	814	241	310	31	11	355	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	569	109	21	2	18	58	189	5	6	2	192	272	330	603	139	248	30	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	637	548	126	25	5	25	79	170	5	6	2	230	332	431	763	201	282	27	12	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	593	526	108	17	4	28	62	190	2	11	3	205	292	413	704	207	257	32	10	310	96	-3	+1	-8	-11	+13	-0.8
2024	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	593	518	120	18	5	34	69	182	2	11	3	232	324	483	806	251	282	31	12	352	96	-3	+1	-8	-11	+13	-0.8
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	514	472	98	22	3	17	38	190	1	3	2	208	268	375	643	167	302	37	7	282	77	-14	-0	-11	-9	+11	-2.4
2025	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	514	463	110	24	3	22	47	178	1	3	2	238	309	445	754	207	331	35	9	331	77	-14	-0	-11	-9	+11	-2.4
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	388	80	23	1	15	40	135	0	4	1	206	280	387	667	180	271	31	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	430	370	97	28	1	22	58	115	0	4	1	262	362	522	884	259	319	27	13	385	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	604	542	96	20	3	18	53	227	4	11	3	177	256	325	581	148	255	38	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	615	556	112	24	2	24	52	225	2	8	3	201	272	381	653	180	282	37	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	569	109	21	2	18	58	189	5	6	2	192	272	330	603	139	249	30	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	593	524	108	17	4	28	62	190	2	11	3	206	292	414	706	208	270	32	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	514	470	98	22	3	17	38	190	1	3	2	209	268	377	645	168	308	37	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	387	80	23	1	15	40	135	0	4	1	207	280	388	668	181	269	31	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	593	524	108	17	4	28	62	190	2	11	3	206	292	414	706	208	270	32	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	514	470	98	22	3	17	38	190	1	3	2	209	268	377	645	168	308	37	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	387	80	23	1	15	40	135	0	4	1	207	280	388	668	181	269	31	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	500	450	96	21	2	21	45	159	1	5	1	213	286	409	695	195	274	32	9	306	93	-4	+1	-2	-9	+11	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	158	143	32	7	1	7	14	50	0	2	0	217	289	423	712	206	275	32	9	313	93	-1	+0	-0	-3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	488	441	92	20	2	20	43	157	1	4	1	210	283	402	685	191	272	32	9	302	90	-6	+0	-3	-9	+11	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	233	209	44	9	1	10	21	75	1	2	1	214	286	416	701	202	273	32	9	308	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1328	1192	239	53	7	52	124	460	4	17	4	201	278	388	665	187	273	35	9	296	80	-23	+2	-22	-50	+29	-6.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	116	26	3	25	61	225	2	8	2	199	277	383	659	184	271	35	9	296	80	-11	+1	-11	-24	+14	-3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4231	3808	762	162	18	155	377	1424	16	51	16	200	275	374	649	174	269	34	9	286	80	-29	+3	-24	-60	+42	-7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	118	25	3	24	58	219	2	8	2	202	276	378	653	176	272	34	9	286	80	-10	+1	-8	-20	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#2Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.2	1,457	58	18	205	279	396	-26	-33	-0.6	-0.5
/162	664	26	8	-11.9	-15.1	-0.3	pk7: -1
#3Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#4Rowdy Tellezlast yr '25 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,617 PA	3.9	2,617	122	5	234	300	437	-47	-55	-1.6	-1.1
/162	664	31	1	-11.9	-14.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Toglia (OGILVIE)	28	40	60	50	50	211/284/405	194	274	15	4	32%	9%	93	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bobby Dalbec 2023 · MLB	28	42	59→60	53→50	41	227/291/432	205	299	28	6	34%	7%	101	+1.4	204/276/370	166	314	22	12	40%	8%	82	-0.0	189/264/347	158	301	21	13	42%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	207/302/394	187	288	24	7	35%	10%	97	+1.1	215/316/411	196	319	25	8	37%	11%	106	+1.8	205/313/411	206	301	27	7	38%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	58→60	46→30	42	212/287/416	205	284	27	5	35%	8%	97	+1.1	218/286/388	170	312	21	4	35%	7%	90	+0.6	212/282/379	167	306	20	1	36%	7%	84	+0.1
✕David Villar 2024 · MLB	27	42→44	56→60	46→40	47	223/308/415	192	286	25	5	30%	9%	104	+1.6	219/296/353	134	293	15	5	29%	9%	84	+0.2	211/289/324	113	284	13	2	29%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Luken Baker 2024 · MLB	27	41→47	57→60	45→30	46	225/292/415	190	274	26	2	28%	8%	98	+1.2	203/282/380	177	256	23	2	29%	10%	86	+0.3	178/263/342	163	225	21	1	30%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Joe Borchard 2008 · MLB	29	44→43	53→55	43→45	47	232/299/400	167	285	22	7	27%	8%	97	+1.1	216/270/367	151	280	17	6	29%	6%	78	-0.3	200/247/344	144	264	15	3	30%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Jason Perry 2009 · MLB	28	43→51	54→55	52→45	43	225/297/407	182	291	22	7	30%	7%	98	+1.2	221/298/387	166	291	20	9	30%	8%	93	+0.8	167/268/315	147	210	19	4	30%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Kennys Vargas 2018 · MLB	27	44→53	54→55	47→30	49	230/305/407	177	291	23	2	29%	10%	101	+1.4	223/287/390	167	290	22	4	30%	8%	90	+0.6	205/268/365	160	263	22	0	31%	7%	76	-0.4
✕Casper Wells 2013 · MLB	28	45→44	55→60	48→50	47	232/306/425	193	286	21	8	27%	8%	105	+1.7	205/273/323	118	285	12	7	30%	8%	69	-0.9	126/186/148	22	188	0	0	30%	7%	-4	-1.1
✕Matt Clark 2015 · MLB	28	45	55	46→30	42	238/293/416	178	289	25	3	27%	6%	99	+1.2	224/277/382	158	277	21	3	26%	6%	84	+0.2	215/271/378	163	261	21	0	26%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Matt Davidson 2019 · MLB	28	43→45	57→60	42→30	43	228/298/423	195	308	26	2	34%	8%	102	+1.5	217/283/412	195	288	27	3	34%	7%	94	+0.9	211/279/410	199	270	30	0	33%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	40→39	54→55	45→40	42	215/272/392	177	261	22	5	28%	6%	85	+0.2	214/272/352	138	272	18	4	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/264/311	109	259	15	1	28%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB	29	38→43	55	44→50	44	211/277/391	180	269	24	5	31%	8%	86	+0.3	212/275/364	152	270	19	5	28%	8%	79	-0.2	202/263/345	143	255	19	3	28%	7%	67	-0.7
✕Shelley Duncan 2009 · MLB	29	40→44	57→60	46→45	48	223/291/416	194	255	26	7	25%	8%	97	+1.1	226/296/414	188	261	24	4	24%	8%	99	+1.2	223/294/408	186	254	24	2	23%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA	28	40→50	54→55	50	45	215/291/387	173	274	23	12	30%	8%	91	+0.7	229/296/384	155	306	19	8	30%	8%	92	+0.7	227/293/374	147	307	17	4	30%	7%	85	+0.1
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	55	52→50	42	229/290/415	186	309	23	12	33%	7%	97	+1.1	224/285/384	160	302	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.4	210/273/367	157	281	15	8	30%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Andrew Brown 2013 · MLB	28	44→46	54→55	43→40	42	230/289/408	178	303	22	5	31%	7%	95	+0.9	231/294/409	178	293	21	5	28%	8%	97	+1.1	226/294/407	181	278	22	2	26%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Jaylin Davis 2022 · MLB	28	42→47	56→50	48→45	41	222/291/408	187	300	24	10	34%	7%	96	+1.0	195/272/323	128	296	14	7	36%	8%	70	-0.9	176/260/292	116	270	12	4	37%	9%	55	-1.2
✕Aristides Aquino 2022 · MLB	28	40→41	62→65	48→50	47	224/304/447	222	276	31	9	31%	9%	109	+2.0	216/283/388	172	314	21	8	36%	8%	88	+0.5	198/256/367	169	293	22	6	39%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Michael Restovich 2007 · MLB	28	45→48	54→55	47→30	43	234/294/415	181	300	22	4	29%	7%	99	+1.2	232/282/405	173	304	21	4	30%	6%	92	+0.7	227/275/385	158	294	18	2	29%	6%	82	-0.0

Michael Toglia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps