Yerry Rodríguez
P
Tampa Tarpons
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION9 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA5.26
FIP5.25
K%22.9%
BB%14.4%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p2722.1%
K%
p1016.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.436
CH-1.8 (11%)
FB-2.1 (58%)
SL-6.5 (31%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 16 | 6 | 51 | 211 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 3.2 | 12.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 2.82 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 16 | 6 | 51 | 211 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 3.2 | 18.0% | 4.7% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 2.19 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 3.0 | 13.6% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.52 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 3.0 | 13.6% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.60 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 8 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 4.8 | 23.7% | 2.4% | 21.3% | 0.9% | 3.52 | 1.89 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 8 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 4.8 | 34.8% | 1.9% | 32.9% | 0.6% | 3.52 | 0.80 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 13 | 13 | 74 | 283 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.2% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 1.7% | 2.08 | 3.26 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 13 | 13 | 74 | 283 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 30.0% | 7.4% | 22.6% | 1.8% | 2.08 | 2.53 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 82 | 351 | 100 | 33 | 8 | 67% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 4.63 | 3.77 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 82 | 351 | 100 | 33 | 8 | 67% | 3.0 | 28.5% | 9.4% | 19.1% | 2.3% | 4.63 | 3.14 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 5 | 60 | 272 | 74 | 32 | 9 | 10% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 4.20 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 5 | 60 | 272 | 74 | 32 | 9 | 10% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 4.20 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 3 | 62 | 283 | 78 | 31 | 10 | 6% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 5.66 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 3 | 62 | 283 | 78 | 31 | 10 | 6% | 1.2 | 27.6% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 5.66 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 42 | 203 | 48 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 15.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.70 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 42 | 203 | 48 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 6.70 | 5.45 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 7 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14% | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYY | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 52 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.25 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 62 | 263 | 58 | 34 | 8 | — | — | 22.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.52 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 48 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 44 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.45 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.49 | 5.62 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.49 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 95 | 1 | 105 | 465 | 95 | 58 | 19 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 6.35 | 5.16 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 2 | 200 | 886 | 181 | 111 | 36 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 6.35 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 207 | 53 | 423 | 1819 | 399 | 176 | 44 | 26% | 2.0 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 4.02 | 3.82 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 25 | 200 | 861 | 189 | 83 | 21 | 26% | 2.0 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 4.02 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yerry Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.25 | 22.9% | 14.4% | 3.4% | — | 5.46 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 144 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 74 |
| Derek Law R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.30 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 2.8% | .306 | 3.27 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 110 | -1.03 | 2.50 | 520 | 73 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.13 | 23.4% | 16.2% | 191 | -1.32 | 2.37 | 363 | 72 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 310 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 556 | 69 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% | .329 | 3.99 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 157 | -1.10 | 3.39 | 382 | 69 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 69 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 69 |
| Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.10 | 20.3% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .282 | 3.59 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 116 | -1.51 | 2.81 | 606 | 68 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 68 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2025 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 68 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 68 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 68 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 67 |
| Joe Harvey R 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.13 | 24.9% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .258 | 5.83 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 17 | +0.70 | 2.55 | 197 | 67 |
| Seth Halvorsen R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.15 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 111 | 67 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 67 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.30 | 22.6% | 14.9% | 2.2% | .247 | 3.33 | 24.7% | 15.9% | 118 | -0.97 | 1.58 | 578 | 67 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 67 |
| Javy Guerra R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.45 | 18.5% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .256 | 5.86 | 15.4% | -1.0% | 61 | +1.41 | 3.41 | 207 | 67 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 25.6% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 272 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 1.40 | 5.33 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |