George Soriano — OGILVIE

George Soriano P St. Louis Cardinals

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.83

FIP4.72

K%22.8%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%12.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7996.6

Whiff%

p7629.4%

p5322.7%

xwOBA vs

p350.329

FB+2.0 (36%)

CH (31%)

SI (7%)

SL (33%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	17	9	56	250	56	28	3	53%	3.3	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	1.7%	3.56	4.51	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	17	9	56	250	56	28	3	53%	3.3	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	1.2%	3.56	3.30	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	11	3	42	167	36	9	0	27%	3.8	14.7%	6.7%	7.9%	0.0%	1.91	2.72	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	11	3	42	167	36	9	0	27%	3.8	21.6%	5.4%	16.2%	0.0%	1.91	2.04	—
2019	20	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	23	20	120	518	99	50	8	87%	5.2	14.1%	11.4%	2.8%	1.9%	3.91	4.36	—
2019	20	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	23	20	120	518	99	50	8	87%	5.2	19.1%	9.7%	9.5%	1.5%	3.91	3.57	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	89	391	114	37	8	100%	5.0	22.1%	11.0%	11.1%	2.6%	3.43	4.06	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	89	391	114	37	8	100%	5.0	29.2%	9.5%	19.7%	2.0%	3.43	2.95	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	6	76	325	85	40	4	15%	1.9	22.2%	13.2%	9.1%	1.4%	2.72	3.64	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	6	76	325	85	40	4	15%	1.9	26.2%	12.3%	13.8%	1.2%	2.72	3.13	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	6	77	349	79	36	9	14%	1.8	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	2.7%	4.31	4.05	+0.5
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	6	77	349	79	36	9	14%	1.8	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	2.7%	4.31	4.05	+0.5
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	6	77	349	79	36	9	14%	1.8	22.6%	10.3%	12.3%	2.6%	4.31	3.97	+0.5
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	68	289	73	30	15	0%	1.5	22.7%	9.8%	12.9%	5.8%	5.40	5.63	-0.9
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	68	289	73	30	15	0%	1.5	22.7%	9.8%	12.9%	5.8%	5.40	5.63	-0.9
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	68	289	73	30	15	0%	1.5	25.3%	10.4%	14.9%	5.2%	5.40	5.13	-0.5
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	79	343	85	32	13	2%	1.5	22.4%	8.9%	13.4%	4.1%	5.11	4.61	-0.1
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	79	343	85	32	13	2%	1.5	22.4%	8.9%	13.4%	4.1%	5.11	4.61	-0.1
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	1	79	343	85	32	13	2%	1.5	24.8%	9.3%	15.5%	3.8%	5.11	4.30	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			139	1	181	809	180	83	33	1%	1.3	22.2%	10.3%	12.0%	4.1%	5.42	4.86	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	67	0	63	277	63	30	10	0%	0.9	22.7%	10.8%	11.9%	3.9%	4.43	4.68	-0.1
YTD	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	67	0	63	277	63	30	10	0%	0.9	22.7%	10.8%	11.9%	3.9%	4.43	4.68	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	MLB RAW	STL	67	0	63	277	63	30	10	0%	0.9	22.7%	10.8%	11.9%	3.6%	4.43	4.53	+0.0
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	STL	67	0	63	277	63	30	10	0%	0.9	22.7%	10.8%	11.9%	3.6%	4.43	4.53	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB MLE	STL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	4.0%	4.83	4.72	-0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	STL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	4.0%	4.83	4.72	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	68	298	68	32	11	—	—	22.7%	10.8%	11.9%	3.6%	4.46	4.68	-0.1
FULL	27	MLB A+C	STL	—	—	68	287	68	32	11	—	—	23.6%	11.2%	12.4%	3.8%	4.46	4.60	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	STL	55	0	58	245	56	26	10	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.6%	12.0%	4.0%	5.12	5.11	-0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	STL	53	0	56	234	52	25	10	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.8%	11.2%	4.2%	5.21	5.27	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	STL	52	0	55	232	53	25	9	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.6%	12.0%	4.0%	5.12	5.11	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	STL	50	0	53	224	49	24	9	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.8%	11.2%	4.2%	5.21	5.27	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		247	1	294	1286	287	134	52	0%	1.2	22.3%	10.4%	11.9%	4.1%	5.32	4.78	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		168	1	200	875	195	91	35	0%	1.2	22.3%	10.4%	11.9%	4.1%	5.32	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		318	63	671	2909	574	315	80	20%	2.1	19.7%	10.8%	8.9%	2.7%	3.94	4.31	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	19	200	867	171	94	24	20%	2.1	19.7%	10.8%	8.9%	2.7%	3.94	4.31	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
George Soriano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	22.8%	10.2%	4.1%	—	5.19	22.4%	11.6%	114	+0.11	—	—	—
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	78
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	77
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	77
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	76
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	22.2%	11.4%	4.4%	.256	4.43	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.64	2.64	315	76
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	76
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	76
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	76
Cristofer Ogando R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	27	SU	4.83	26.8%	10.9%	4.8%	.281	4.90	20.6%	9.0%	53	+0.07	3.23	179	76
Blake Goldsberry R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.6%	4.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	117	75
Dugan Darnell R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	22.6%	9.6%	4.1%	.302	3.25	23.1%	15.4%	94	-1.39	2.50	238	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	75
Braden Zarbnisky R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	10.6%	4.6%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	5.09	142	74
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	74
Chris Beck R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	27	SU	4.82	17.4%	12.2%	3.0%	.305	5.28	18.1%	9.3%	41	+0.46	3.22	313	74
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	74
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	74
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	74
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	74
Fernery Ozuna R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	27	SU	5.71	18.4%	11.6%	4.9%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	157	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	22.5%	10.5%	1.58	5.17
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33