George Soriano
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
ERA5.39
FIP4.97
xFIP4.94
SIERA4.67
K%22.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.1%
IP31
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5555
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p5526.0%
K%
p4120.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.403
FB+2.0 (38%)
CH (24%)
SI (13%)
SL (37%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 17 | 9 | 56 | 250 | 56 | 28 | 3 | 15.2% | 14.0% | 1.7% | 3.56 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 11 | 3 | 42 | 167 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 14.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 1.91 | 2.72 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 23 | 20 | 120 | 518 | 99 | 50 | 8 | 14.1% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 3.91 | 4.35 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | 18 | 18 | 89 | 391 | 114 | 37 | 8 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 3.43 | 4.05 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 40 | 6 | 76 | 325 | 85 | 40 | 4 | 22.2% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 2.72 | 3.65 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 43 | 6 | 77 | 349 | 79 | 36 | 9 | 21.7% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.04 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 46 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 73 | 30 | 15 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 5.40 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 53 | 1 | 79 | 343 | 85 | 32 | 13 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 5.11 | 4.62 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.25 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 23 | — | 23 | 98 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 23.8% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 5.62 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | STL | — | — | 31 | 130 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 3.76 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 22.6% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 5.24 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 5.15 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | STL | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 21.6% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 5.17 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 258 | 63 | 616 | 2664 | 522 | 294 | 68 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.87 | 4.25 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 20 | 200 | 865 | 169 | 95 | 22 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.87 | 4.25 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| George Soriano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.05 | 23.8% | 10.7% | 4.0% | — | 5.10 | 22.1% | 11.4% | 90 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 81 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 81 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.00 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.2% | .256 | 4.51 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.49 | 2.65 | 315 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 80 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.97 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.4% | .336 | 4.43 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.54 | 3.06 | 221 | 79 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 79 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.12 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .339 | 3.39 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.73 | 3.11 | 166 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 78 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 77 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 77 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 77 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.8% | .324 | 5.48 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.00 | 5.37 | 129 | 77 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 77 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .360 | 4.17 | 13.1% | 6.5% | 84 | -1.31 | 3.95 | 229 | 77 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.86 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.9% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 157 | 77 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.74 | 19.0% | 11.1% | 3.4% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 350 | 76 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 76 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 76 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.