George Soriano
P
St. Louis Cardinals
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.63
FIP4.55
K%22.2%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7996.6
Whiff%
p8030.0%
K%
p4221.0%
xwOBA vs
p520.310
FB+2.0 (37%)
CH (28%)
SI (10%)
SL (35%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 17 | 9 | 56 | 250 | 56 | 28 | 3 | 53% | 3.3 | 15.2% | 14.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.56 | 4.51 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 17 | 9 | 56 | 250 | 56 | 28 | 3 | 53% | 3.3 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 1.2% | 3.56 | 3.30 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 11 | 3 | 42 | 167 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 27% | 3.8 | 14.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 1.91 | 2.72 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 11 | 3 | 42 | 167 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 27% | 3.8 | 21.6% | 5.4% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 1.91 | 2.04 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 23 | 20 | 120 | 518 | 99 | 50 | 8 | 87% | 5.2 | 14.1% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.91 | 4.29 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 23 | 20 | 120 | 518 | 99 | 50 | 8 | 87% | 5.2 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 1.5% | 3.91 | 3.57 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 89 | 391 | 114 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.43 | 4.08 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 89 | 391 | 114 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 29.2% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 2.0% | 3.43 | 2.95 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 6 | 76 | 325 | 85 | 40 | 4 | 15% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 2.72 | 3.61 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 6 | 76 | 325 | 85 | 40 | 4 | 15% | 1.9 | 26.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 1.2% | 2.72 | 3.13 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 6 | 77 | 349 | 79 | 36 | 9 | 14% | 1.8 | 21.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.09 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 6 | 77 | 349 | 79 | 36 | 9 | 14% | 1.8 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 3.97 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 73 | 30 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 5.40 | 5.84 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 73 | 30 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 5.40 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 1 | 79 | 343 | 85 | 32 | 13 | 2% | 1.5 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 5.11 | 4.71 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 1 | 79 | 343 | 85 | 32 | 13 | 2% | 1.5 | 24.8% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 4.30 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 41 | 0 | 41 | 167 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 3.32 | 3.78 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.63 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.63 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | STL | — | — | 60 | 248 | 53 | 23 | 7 | — | — | 21.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 3.74 | 4.03 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | STL | — | — | 60 | 253 | 53 | 23 | 7 | — | — | 21.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 3.74 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 55 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 53 | 0 | 56 | 234 | 51 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 5.09 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 52 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 49 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 5.09 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 1 | 286 | 1236 | 270 | 124 | 48 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 5.14 | 4.64 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 1 | 200 | 865 | 189 | 87 | 34 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 5.14 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 292 | 63 | 649 | 2799 | 552 | 306 | 74 | 22% | 2.2 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 4.26 | +8.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 19 | 200 | 863 | 170 | 94 | 23 | 22% | 2.2 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| George Soriano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.16 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 4.1% | — | 5.08 | 22.0% | 11.6% | 114 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 76 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 76 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 75 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 75 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 75 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 74 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 74 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 74 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.33 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% | .256 | 4.63 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.70 | 2.69 | 315 | 74 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 74 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 74 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 74 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 73 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 73 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 73 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 73 |
| Braden Zarbnisky R 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.04 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.95 | 142 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 1.54 | 5.11 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |