Luis Medina
P
Athletics
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.87
FIP4.56
xFIP3.81
SIERA3.74
K%21.2%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%10.7%
IP49
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†5055
FB Velo
p7095.9
Whiff%
p1019.2%
K%
p2017.8%
xwOBA vs
p300.335
SL+1.0 (17%)
CH+0.7 (14%)
SI (33%)
CU (2%)
FB (67%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.93 | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 10 | 9 | 39 | 172 | 39 | 24 | 1 | 15.4% | 17.4% | 0.8% | 5.35 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 12 | 12 | 36 | 184 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 17.4% | 31.2% | 2.3% | 6.25 | 6.84 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | 22 | 22 | 104 | 470 | 127 | 70 | 9 | 19.9% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 22 | 21 | 106 | 451 | 133 | 60 | 11 | 23.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 3.39 | 4.57 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 24 | 93 | 421 | 107 | 62 | 7 | 20.6% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 5.24 | 4.87 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 29 | 22 | 126 | 574 | 129 | 71 | 15 | 22.0% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 5.56 | 4.29 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 48 | 226 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 6.75 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Athletics | 6 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | OAK | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 5.15 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 45 | 193 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 3.87 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 21.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.84 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 27 | — | 27 | 115 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 139 | 124 | 564 | 2552 | 524 | 413 | 65 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.5% | 5.15 | 4.81 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 44 | 200 | 904 | 186 | 146 | 23 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.5% | 5.15 | 4.81 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Medina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.75 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 114 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 78 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.97 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.4% | .336 | 4.43 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.54 | 3.06 | 221 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 76 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.47 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | -0.13 | 3.16 | 254 | 76 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.29 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.05 | 4.00 | 138 | 76 |
| Austin Adams R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.51 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.28 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.28 | 162 | 76 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.8% | .324 | 5.48 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.00 | 5.37 | 129 | 76 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 76 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 76 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 76 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 75 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 1.9% | .321 | 5.21 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 24 | +0.93 | 2.83 | 174 | 75 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 75 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.92 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.45 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.53 | 3.42 | 365 | 75 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 75 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 75 |
| Bayden Root R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.