Luis Medina
P
Athletics
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 92
ERA4.16
FIP4.09
K%23.4%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP7
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.4
Whiff%
p9032.4%
K%
p7727.1%
xwOBA vs
p480.314
SL+1.0 (15%)
CH+0.7 (13%)
SI (30%)
CU (12%)
FB (59%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.99 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.96 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 10 | 9 | 39 | 172 | 39 | 24 | 1 | 90% | 3.9 | 15.4% | 17.4% | -2.0% | 0.8% | 5.35 | 4.45 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 10 | 9 | 39 | 172 | 39 | 24 | 1 | 90% | 3.9 | 22.7% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 0.6% | 5.35 | 3.28 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 12 | 12 | 36 | 184 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 17.4% | 31.2% | -13.9% | 2.3% | 6.25 | 6.84 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 12 | 12 | 36 | 184 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 25.5% | 25.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 6.25 | 5.41 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 104 | 470 | 127 | 70 | 9 | 100% | 4.7 | 19.9% | 18.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.47 | 5.57 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 104 | 470 | 127 | 70 | 9 | 100% | 4.7 | 27.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 5.47 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 106 | 451 | 133 | 60 | 11 | 95% | 4.8 | 23.4% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 3.39 | 4.53 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 106 | 451 | 133 | 60 | 11 | 95% | 4.8 | 29.5% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 2.4% | 3.39 | 3.64 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 24 | 93 | 421 | 107 | 62 | 7 | 100% | 3.9 | 20.6% | 16.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.24 | 5.28 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 24 | 93 | 421 | 107 | 62 | 7 | 100% | 3.9 | 25.4% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 1.7% | 5.24 | 3.78 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 22 | 126 | 574 | 129 | 71 | 15 | 76% | 4.4 | 22.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 5.56 | 4.34 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 22 | 126 | 574 | 129 | 71 | 15 | 76% | 4.4 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 4.29 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 48 | 226 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 6.75 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 48 | 226 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 6.75 | 4.08 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Athletics | 31 | 1 | 43 | 188 | 51 | 21 | 4 | 3% | 1.4 | 27.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 2.1% | 3.59 | 3.39 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 50 | 217 | 58 | 24 | 5 | — | — | 26.6% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 3.67 | 3.49 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 50 | 209 | 58 | 24 | 5 | — | — | 27.6% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 2.3% | 3.67 | 3.50 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 46 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 46 | 193 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 48 | 329 | 1441 | 317 | 166 | 39 | 53% | 3.7 | 22.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.18 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 29 | 200 | 875 | 193 | 101 | 24 | 53% | 3.7 | 22.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 125 | 599 | 2705 | 566 | 430 | 73 | 76% | 3.7 | 20.9% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.06 | 4.83 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 42 | 200 | 903 | 189 | 144 | 24 | 76% | 3.7 | 20.9% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.06 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Medina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 20.0% | 12.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.78 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 137 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 76 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 73 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 70 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 66 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 65 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 65 |
| Trent Sellers R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.09 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 4.0% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 236 | 64 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.30 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .285 | 5.87 | 16.1% | 5.4% | 99 | +1.57 | 3.92 | 233 | 64 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.64 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .301 | 4.41 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 205 | -0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 64 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 64 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 378 | 64 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 64 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 63 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 63 |
| Carson Seymour R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.15 | 18.4% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 538 | 63 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 63 |
| Deylen Miley R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 63 |
| Riley Cornelio R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.20 | 28.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 417 | 63 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 62 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.49 | 19.6% | 13.6% | 4.2% | .330 | 6.70 | 15.2% | 5.2% | 69 | +1.21 | 3.69 | 333 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 1.12 | 4.79 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |