Griffin Conine — OGILVIE

Griffin ConineLF Miami Marlins

Age 29 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 1.203 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION91 act + 66 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 151121vR 109

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .318 / .441

PA66

HR3

K%30

BB%9

BABIP306

ISO203

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

689.1%

xwOBA

640.325

POWER55

Barrel%

7511.9

Avg EV

6189.9

Bat Spd

8174.6

EYE50

Chase%

9021.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 175 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

131

—

wRC+

143

102

◀◀L

wOBA

372

318

◀L

ISO

171

175

—

BABIP

414

339

◀◀L

25.0%

32.1%

◀◀L

BB%

6.8%

7.6%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.203 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$1M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$8M	+$6M
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$22M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	348	318	52	11	1	11	24	189	5	2	0	164	233	308	542	145	345	54	7	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	348	304	86	19	2	22	38	125	5	2	0	283	372	576	947	293	405	36	11	410	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	461	415	62	9	2	23	37	244	8	3	1	149	233	347	580	198	262	53	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	461	394	86	11	2	36	58	185	8	3	1	218	330	530	861	312	287	40	13	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	496	440	68	10	1	17	48	254	4	1	1	155	244	298	542	143	295	51	10	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	496	414	89	15	2	24	74	183	4	1	1	215	339	435	774	220	308	37	15	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	2 teams	—	444	395	77	15	2	15	35	197	9	2	1	195	276	357	633	162	330	44	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	2 teams	—	444	372	92	16	2	20	56	155	9	2	1	247	358	462	820	215	356	35	13	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	526	482	114	22	2	21	38	183	4	0	0	237	298	421	719	185	332	35	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	526	467	125	25	2	22	53	157	4	0	0	268	347	471	818	203	355	30	10	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	3 teams	—	161	141	37	11	0	6	19	48	1	1	1	262	354	468	822	206	356	30	12	352	127	+5	-0	-2	-2	+5	0.6
2025	28	MLB	3 teams	—	161	135	33	9	0	4	25	44	1	1	1	244	366	400	766	156	333	27	16	349	125	+5	-0	-2	-2	+5	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	MIA	—	91	79	21	4	0	5	10	27	2	2	0	266	363	506	869	241	340	30	11	379	148	+5	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.7
YTD	29	MLB	MIA	—	91	79	21	4	0	5	10	27	2	2	0	266	363	506	869	241	340	30	11	383	151	+5	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.7
ROS	29	MLB	MIA	100%	66	59	14	3	0	3	6	20	1	1	0	237	318	441	759	203	310	30	9	335	115	+1	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.2
ROS	29	MLB	MIA	100%	66	59	14	3	0	3	6	20	1	1	0	237	318	441	759	203	304	30	9	322	105	+0	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
FULL	29	MLB	MIA	—	157	138	35	7	0	8	16	47	3	3	0	254	344	478	822	225	325	30	10	355	130	+5	+1	-0	-2	+4	0.9
TOT	29	MLB	MIA	—	157	138	35	7	0	8	16	47	3	3	0	254	344	478	822	225	325	30	10	361	134	+6	+1	-0	-2	+4	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	MIA	82%	550	491	118	23	2	24	48	168	6	4	1	240	316	442	758	202	308	31	9	332	113	+8	+0	-4	-6	+16	1.4
2028	31	MLB	MIA	82%	539	481	113	22	1	23	47	166	6	4	0	235	311	428	739	193	305	31	9	328	109	+6	+1	-5	-6	+15	1.1
2029	32	MLB	MIA	82%	528	472	109	21	1	22	46	165	5	3	0	231	306	419	725	189	301	31	9	322	105	+3	+1	-6	-6	+15	0.7
2030	33	MLB	MIA	82%	455	408	91	17	1	18	40	144	4	2	0	223	299	402	701	179	295	32	9	314	99	-1	+0	-6	-5	+13	0.2
2027	30	MLB	MIA	82%	451	403	94	18	1	19	40	138	5	3	0	233	310	424	735	191	302	31	9	319	103	+1	+1	-3	-5	+13	0.7
2028	31	MLB	MIA	82%	442	395	92	18	1	19	39	136	5	3	0	233	310	428	738	195	299	31	9	315	99	-0	+1	-4	-5	+13	0.4
2029	32	MLB	MIA	82%	433	388	88	17	1	18	38	135	4	2	0	227	302	415	717	188	295	31	9	309	95	-2	+0	-5	-5	+12	0.1
2030	33	MLB	MIA	82%	373	333	74	14	1	15	33	118	4	2	0	222	300	405	705	183	290	32	9	302	89	-5	+0	-5	-4	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1940	1739	404	81	5	79	169	600	20	11	1	232	308	421	729	189	304	31	9	314	99	-3	+2	-19	-26	+55	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	135	27	2	26	57	201	7	4	0	232	308	419	727	187	304	31	9	314	99	-1	+1	-6	-9	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4574	4102	855	164	13	183	388	1778	53	23	5	208	285	389	674	180	310	39	8	296	85	-78	+3	-22	-49	+130	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	121	23	2	26	55	253	8	3	1	208	285	388	672	180	309	39	8	296	85	-11	+0	-3	-7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	348	304	86	19	2	22	38	125	5	2	0	283	372	576	947	293	405	36	11	410	172	+28	+0	—	—	+10	3.9
2021	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	173	159	28	4	0	13	12	82	2	0	1	176	243	447	689	270	234	47	7	300	88	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.2
2021	24	A+	Beloit Snappers	—	288	235	58	7	2	23	46	103	6	3	0	247	383	587	971	340	318	36	16	417	177	+25	+1	—	—	+8	3.5
2022	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	496	414	89	15	2	24	74	183	4	1	1	215	339	435	774	220	308	37	15	344	121	+12	-0	—	—	+14	2.6
2023	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	91	80	18	2	1	2	9	35	0	1	0	225	303	350	653	125	356	38	10	290	80	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	353	292	74	14	1	18	47	120	9	1	1	253	371	493	865	240	357	34	13	378	148	+19	-0	—	—	+10	2.9
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	89	82	22	4	1	3	6	28	1	0	0	268	326	451	777	183	373	31	7	344	121	+2	+0	+0	-6	+3	-0.1
2024	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	437	385	103	21	1	19	47	129	3	0	0	268	352	475	827	208	351	30	11	364	137	+18	+0	—	—	+12	3.1
2025	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	86	79	20	7	0	2	7	25	0	0	1	253	314	418	732	165	346	29	8	325	107	+1	-0	-2	-2	+2	-0.1
2025	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	35	24	7	1	0	2	11	9	0	0	0	292	514	583	1.098	292	385	26	31	478	224	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	40	32	6	1	0	0	7	10	1	1	0	188	350	219	569	31	273	25	18	286	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	175	161	42	11	1	5	13	53	1	0	1	261	320	435	755	174	359	30	7	335	114	+3	-0	-1	-7	+5	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#2Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	6	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
	/162	664	35	2	249	310	464	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,122	89	13	239	310	434	-23	-5	5.4	5.3
	/162	664	28	4	239	310	434	-7.1	-1.6	1.7	pk7: 5
#3Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#6John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#6John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Griffin Conine (OGILVIE)	29	45	55	50	50	254/344/478	225	325	8	3	30%	10%	134	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Álvarez 2016 · MLB	29	44→46	60	47→45	49	242/315/454	213	284	30	6	27%	9%	117	+2.9	237/298/445	208	282	29	3	27%	8%	108	+2.3	228/284/431	204	268	30	1	27%	7%	96	+1.0
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	54→60	49→50	54	228/332/403	175	289	23	6	28%	12%	111	+2.5	211/314/395	184	266	25	6	29%	11%	102	+1.9	184/295/360	177	228	25	5	31%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Mike Jacobs 2010 · MLB	29	45→53	59→65	45→40	47	243/303/449	206	281	27	2	25%	8%	111	+2.5	219/278/376	157	275	20	3	27%	8%	81	+0.4	210/273/353	143	272	19	2	30%	8%	70	-0.2
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/317/444	195	301	25	9	26%	7%	115	+2.8	245/320/409	164	309	17	5	25%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
✕Brad Miller 2020 · MLB	30	45→55	57→60	45→50	49	236/313/436	200	298	25	6	29%	10%	111	+2.5	234/318/436	202	295	26	7	29%	11%	114	+2.7	220/311/403	183	275	25	6	29%	11%	98	+0.7
✕Colby Rasmus 2016 · MLB	29	45→55	59→60	47→50	45	237/305/452	215	307	28	4	32%	9%	113	+2.6	222/291/407	185	290	25	6	31%	9%	95	+1.4	205/275/374	168	264	24	4	31%	9%	77	+0.0
✕Brian Goodwin 2020 · MLB	29	49→53	55→60	48→50	46	252/317/448	197	322	22	10	28%	8%	116	+2.8	232/308/400	168	302	19	10	28%	10%	100	+1.7	208/294/357	149	269	17	9	28%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Tyler Moore 2014 · MLB	27	46→48	60→65	51→40	41	248/297/462	214	305	28	5	29%	6%	112	+2.6	222/283/375	153	283	18	3	27%	7%	82	+0.5	208/253/359	151	261	17	0	27%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Eric Munson 2007 · MLB	29	42→43	56→60	43→40	46	227/289/415	187	251	25	3	22%	7%	96	+1.5	219/290/362	143	256	16	4	21%	8%	82	+0.5	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2019 · MLB	28	44→51	54→60	47→45	42	226/294/403	177	308	22	4	33%	8%	95	+1.4	236/311/438	202	321	25	10	33%	8%	111	+2.5	221/309/454	233	293	31	9	34%	9%	112	+1.3
●Ryan O'Hearn 2022 · MLB	29	43→53	57→60	48→45	46	232/296/425	193	276	27	5	27%	8%	102	+1.9	255/306/422	167	305	20	6	23%	6%	105	+2.1	274/351/443	169	311	21	3	18%	9%	124	+2.6
✕Jarrett Parker 2017 · MLB	28	48→51	55	48→50	44	238/312/425	187	337	24	11	35%	9%	108	+2.3	225/302/389	164	321	19	7	33%	9%	95	+1.4	200/290/358	158	289	19	4	35%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Rick Ankiel 2009 · MLB	30	44→48	63→65	45→50	46	248/305/476	228	273	32	5	24%	7%	119	+3.1	238/298/409	171	294	20	8	25%	7%	98	+1.6	230/291/376	146	294	15	9	26%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	44→43	55	49→40	49	233/303/420	187	265	23	5	23%	8%	103	+1.9	216/278/387	171	274	22	6	29%	7%	84	+0.6	206/267/372	166	264	22	4	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Micah Hoffpauir 2009 · MLB	29	50→47	59→65	47→40	44	264/304/481	217	289	27	5	20%	5%	120	+3.1	240/290/436	196	263	24	5	19%	6%	102	+1.9	223/281/412	190	239	24	2	19%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Eric Haase 2022 · MLB	29	42→44	63→65	50→40	40	234/291/460	226	302	33	5	34%	7%	109	+2.4	241/293/418	177	315	24	5	30%	7%	98	+1.6	237/288/398	162	315	22	3	31%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Seth Loman 2015 · AAA	29	44→53	55→60	48→30	38	233/294/418	185	298	24	4	30%	5%	100	+1.7	222/285/379	157	287	19	7	29%	5%	85	+0.7	185/260/324	140	229	19	2	28%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Andrew Young 2022 · MLB	28	43→47	57→60	48→40	38	220/302/422	202	319	24	5	37%	6%	105	+2.1	208/285/370	162	322	20	7	39%	8%	83	+0.6	171/257/312	142	262	19	4	40%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Matt Clark 2015 · MLB	28	45→49	57→60	46→30	41	241/294/432	192	292	27	3	28%	6%	103	+1.9	227/280/402	175	276	24	3	27%	6%	89	+1.0	221/279/404	183	263	25	0	27%	7%	89	+0.7
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2023 · MLB	29	45→55	56→55	48→45	53	239/324/434	195	269	24	7	21%	10%	115	+2.8	248/355/403	155	295	18	4	21%	13%	120	+3.1	243/359/381	138	295	15	3	21%	14%	110	+1.6