Brandon Lowe — OGILVIE

Brandon Lowe2B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 32 L/R 5'9" / 181 lbs MLB BB +7% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 3.1 · 2026

wRC+†vL 83132vR 143

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .311 / .470

PA473

HR26

K%27

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

48↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.1	$25M	+$13M
Totals		$12M		$25M	+$13M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	449	397	84	13	3	4	42	96	5	6	3	.212	.295	.290	.585	.078	.268	21	9	.260	57	-22	+0	+0	+2	+13	-0.8
2017	23	A+	3 teams	537	485	119	40	3	11	41	144	6	8	6	.245	.312	.408	.720	.163	.323	27	8	.315	99	-1	-1	+0	+2	+15	1.6
2018	24	AA	3 teams	593	528	131	32	3	27	54	161	6	10	4	.248	.325	.473	.798	.225	.301	27	9	.340	118	+12	+0	+0	+2	+17	3.2
2019	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	327	296	82	18	2	18	25	113	5	5	0	.277	.344	.534	.877	.257	.386	35	8	.372	143	+16	+1	-4	+1	+9	2.4
2020	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	224	193	55	9	2	15	25	58	4	3	0	.285	.378	.585	.964	.301	.328	26	11	.407	170	+18	+1	+0	+1	+6	2.6
2021	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	615	535	133	31	0	41	68	167	9	7	1	.249	.343	.536	.880	.288	.279	27	11	.367	139	+27	+1	-5	+2	+17	4.3
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	283	251	57	12	2	8	27	63	4	1	0	.227	.312	.386	.699	.159	.271	22	10	.308	94	-2	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.5
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	453	392	88	17	1	20	52	125	6	7	0	.224	.324	.426	.750	.202	.272	28	11	.328	110	+5	+1	+4	+2	+13	2.5
2024	30	MLB	2 teams	446	403	95	19	3	23	36	123	5	5	1	.236	.306	.469	.775	.233	.278	28	8	.333	113	+7	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.2
2025	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	553	507	128	18	0	30	38	149	2	3	2	.252	.307	.465	.773	.213	.293	27	7	.332	112	+8	-0	-10	+2	+16	1.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	32	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	97	84	21	4	0	7	12	23	1	0	0	.250	.351	.548	.898	.298	.259	24	12	.386	154	+6	+0	+1	+0	+3	1.0
ROS	32	MLB	PIT	376	337	82	14	1	21	33	99	3	3	1	.243	.316	.478	.794	.234	.280	26	9	.351	127	+11	+0	-3	+1	+11	2.1
TOT	32	MLB	PIT	473	421	103	18	1	28	45	122	4	3	1	.245	.323	.492	.815	.247	.275	26	10	.358	132	+17	+0	-2	+2	+13	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB	PIT	443	397	96	16	1	25	39	99	4	2	0	.242	.316	.476	.792	.234	.258	22	9	.345	122	+11	+0	-8	+2	+13	1.8
2028	34	MLB	PIT	397	356	84	14	1	21	35	92	3	1	0	.236	.310	.458	.768	.222	.256	23	9	.338	117	+7	+0	-8	+1	+11	1.3
2029	35	MLB	PIT	343	307	72	12	1	18	30	83	3	0	0	.235	.309	.456	.765	.221	.253	24	9	.329	110	+4	+0	-8	+1	+10	0.7
2030	36	MLB	PIT	284	256	57	9	1	14	24	72	2	0	0	.223	.294	.430	.724	.207	.249	25	8	.318	102	+1	+0	-9	+1	+8	0.1
2031	37	MLB	PIT	221	199	43	7	1	10	18	58	2	0	0	.216	.288	.412	.700	.196	.245	26	8	.307	93	-2	+0	-9	+1	+6	-0.4
2032	38	MLB	PIT	153	139	28	4	0	7	12	41	1	0	0	.201	.270	.381	.651	.180	.239	27	8	.294	83	-3	+0	-9	+1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6697	5978	1434	285	25	313	599	1743	70	61	18	.240	.316	.453	.769	.213	.283	26	9	.333	113	+97	+5	-70	+24	+190	25.1
/ 162G	—			650	580	139	28	2	30	58	169	7	6	2	.240	.316	.450	.766	.210	.283	26	9	.333	113	+9	+0	-7	+2	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	449	379	94	15	3	5	60	77	5	6	3	.248	.358	.343	.701	.095	.298	17	13	.321	104	+2	+0	—	—	+13	1.5
2017	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	101	95	24	5	1	2	2	26	1	1	1	.253	.276	.389	.665	.137	.319	26	2	.285	76	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2017	23	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	367	315	98	34	3	9	47	65	3	6	3	.311	.405	.524	.929	.213	.366	18	13	.407	169	+29	+0	—	—	+10	4.0
2017	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	69	58	13	3	1	2	9	14	2	1	2	.224	.348	.414	.762	.190	.262	20	13	.344	121	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	148	129	30	6	2	6	16	38	2	2	1	.233	.327	.450	.776	.217	.279	26	11	.341	119	+3	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.0
2018	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	205	181	55	14	0	14	22	47	1	0	1	.304	.382	.613	.996	.309	.339	23	11	.427	185	+20	-0	—	—	+6	2.6
2018	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	240	199	58	17	1	8	35	55	3	8	2	.291	.405	.508	.913	.216	.360	23	15	.399	163	+17	+1	—	—	+7	2.5
2019	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	327	296	80	17	2	17	25	113	5	5	0	.270	.337	.514	.851	.243	.377	35	8	.371	142	+16	+1	-4	+1	+9	2.4
2020	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	224	193	52	9	2	14	25	58	4	3	0	.269	.365	.554	.919	.285	.309	26	11	.396	161	+16	+1	+0	+1	+6	2.4
2021	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	615	535	132	31	0	39	68	167	9	7	1	.247	.342	.523	.865	.277	.280	27	11	.376	146	+32	+1	-5	+2	+17	4.8
2022	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	266	235	52	10	2	8	27	61	3	1	0	.221	.309	.383	.692	.162	.263	23	10	.311	96	-1	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.5
2022	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	17	16	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	.312	.353	.438	.790	.125	.357	12	0	.354	129	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	436	377	87	15	1	21	50	119	6	7	0	.231	.330	.443	.773	.212	.275	27	11	.342	120	+10	+1	+4	+2	+12	3.0
2023	29	AAA	Durham Bulls	17	14	3	2	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	.214	.353	.357	.710	.143	.333	29	18	.327	109	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	425	385	94	19	3	21	33	112	5	5	1	.244	.312	.473	.785	.229	.287	26	8	.343	121	+10	+1	-0	+2	+12	2.4
2024	30	AAA	Durham Bulls	21	17	4	1	0	2	4	9	0	0	0	.235	.381	.647	1.028	.412	.333	43	19	.435	191	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	553	507	130	19	0	31	38	149	2	3	2	.256	.311	.477	.788	.221	.297	27	7	.342	120	+13	-0	-10	+2	+16	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2994	2657	657	126	12	157	282	817	36	33	5	.247	.328	.481	.809	.234	.294	27	9	.354	129	+97	+5	-18	+12	+85	18.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Lowe (OGILVIE)	32	50	60	45	40	.244/.318/.482	.238	.260	27	4	22%	9%	127	+2.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jay Bruce 2019 · MLB	32	47→55	61→65	42→50	52	.251/.321/.476	.225	.279	28	4	22%	9%	125	+3.5	.224/.287/.445	.221	.248	30	4	24%	8%	103	+1.9	.196/.246/.452	.256	.192	38	1	24%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Derek Dietrich 2021 · MLB	32	45→55	59→60	46→40	46	.240/.336/.455	.215	.281	27	5	25%	8%	127	+3.6	.196/.305/.362	.166	.272	20	4	34%	8%	91	+1.1	.162/.274/.304	.142	.241	17	0	37%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Mike Moustakas 2021 · MLB	32	46→54	61→65	49→45	53	.248/.322/.470	.223	.256	29	5	18%	9%	124	+3.4	.229/.302/.396	.167	.269	20	4	23%	8%	97	+1.5	.223/.290/.357	.134	.274	16	1	24%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Pedro Álvarez 2017 · MLB	30	45→47	61→65	47→45	51	.246/.320/.467	.221	.285	31	5	26%	10%	123	+3.3	.232/.286/.425	.193	.281	27	3	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.220/.267/.398	.178	.264	26	1	28%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Kole Calhoun 2021 · MLB	33	41→51	61→60	46→50	53	.228/.317/.447	.219	.254	29	5	24%	11%	116	+2.8	.225/.299/.401	.176	.274	22	5	26%	9%	97	+1.5	.213/.278/.358	.144	.268	17	2	26%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Rick Ankiel 2009 · MLB	30	44→48	62→65	45→50	45	.246/.302/.473	.227	.272	32	5	24%	7%	117	+2.9	.238/.298/.415	.177	.291	21	7	25%	7%	99	+1.7	.230/.291/.376	.146	.292	16	9	26%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Mitch Haniger 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	61→65	47→50	48	.254/.323/.470	.216	.289	31	3	24%	8%	124	+3.4	.227/.297/.390	.163	.284	21	3	27%	8%	93	+1.3	.206/.279/.343	.137	.267	17	1	28%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Lucas Duda 2018 · MLB	32	42→52	64→65	40→30	54	.235/.332/.483	.248	.269	32	2	26%	11%	131	+3.9	.224/.302/.422	.198	.278	26	3	29%	9%	104	+2.0	.209/.281/.375	.167	.266	22	1	30%	7%	79	+0.1
●Salvador Perez 2023 · MLB	33	47→57	66→70	47→30	39	.265/.307/.511	.245	.293	36	2	24%	4%	130	+3.8	.254/.301/.447	.193	.287	27	2	22%	5%	110	+2.4	.248/.299/.435	.187	.276	26	0	21%	5%	98	+1.7
✕Alex Dickerson 2022 · MLB	32	49→54	56→55	48→45	48	.255/.326/.453	.198	.293	24	4	22%	8%	121	+3.2	.222/.282/.386	.164	.268	20	5	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.196/.249/.341	.145	.238	17	1	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Mike Yastrzemski 2022 · MLB	31	46→49	62→65	46→50	51	.250/.331/.491	.241	.292	29	6	25%	10%	133	+4.0	.228/.315/.428	.200	.277	23	6	25%	10%	110	+2.4	.230/.321/.425	.195	.272	22	5	23%	11%	107	+1.7
●Brandon Moss 2016 · MLB	32	46→51	60→65	44→45	51	.244/.328/.463	.219	.295	28	3	27%	10%	124	+3.4	.229/.305/.455	.226	.281	31	3	30%	9%	114	+2.7	.216/.292/.459	.242	.257	35	2	31%	9%	106	+1.5
●Jorge Cantu 2015 · AAA	33	43→53	67→60	48→40	45	.251/.304/.502	.251	.260	38	6	22%	6%	126	+3.5	.260/.315/.436	.176	.292	22	6	19%	6%	112	+2.6	.255/.313/.410	.155	.296	18	4	20%	6%	105	+1.4
✕Matt Adams 2020 · MLB	31	44→54	63→65	46→40	44	.244/.300/.475	.231	.283	33	2	27%	7%	117	+2.9	.227/.287/.405	.178	.288	24	6	29%	7%	92	+1.2	.190/.228/.322	.132	.260	19	0	35%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Brad Miller 2022 · MLB	32	44→54	61→60	49→50	53	.237/.326/.458	.222	.288	29	6	28%	11%	122	+3.3	.223/.302/.380	.157	.288	21	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	.201/.278/.312	.110	.263	16	6	29%	9%	62	-0.3
●Dan Uggla 2012 · MLB	32	46→54	59→65	41→45	55	.248/.335/.456	.208	.279	28	3	23%	11%	126	+3.5	.216/.324/.396	.180	.267	23	4	27%	13%	106	+2.2	.193/.318/.356	.163	.247	21	3	29%	14%	90	+0.8
✕Didi Gregorius 2021 · MLB	31	49→55	56→60	46→50	51	.257/.314/.451	.194	.260	24	8	13%	7%	115	+2.8	.224/.284/.372	.148	.242	16	6	15%	6%	82	+0.5	.200/.264/.329	.129	.219	13	4	16%	6%	60	-0.5
✕David Dellucci 2007 · MLB	33	49→46	61→65	46→50	57	.261/.358/.492	.231	.297	28	7	22%	12%	144	+4.8	.247/.323/.426	.179	.291	19	6	21%	9%	113	+2.6	.232/.302/.379	.147	.281	14	6	22%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Logan Morrison 2019 · MLB	31	41→51	59→65	47→45	55	.229/.321/.440	.211	.254	28	4	23%	11%	116	+2.8	.236/.309/.458	.222	.257	30	4	22%	8%	116	+2.8	.246/.299/.515	.270	.245	40	0	21%	5%	123	+1.5
✕Marcus Thames 2009 · MLB	32	43→46	69→70	38→40	45	.249/.304/.513	.264	.271	39	4	26%	7%	129	+3.7	.248/.309/.448	.200	.294	28	3	26%	8%	113	+2.6	.253/.322/.428	.175	.305	25	0	25%	9%	108	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)