Brandon Lowe — OGILVIE

Brandon Lowe2B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 32 L/R 5'9" / 181 lbs MLB Svc 7.337 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION402 act + 268 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 78120vR 136

AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .323 / .498

PA268

HR15

K%27

BB%9

BABIP297

ISO245

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4112.0%

xwOBA

760.339

POWER60

Barrel%

8012.6

Avg EV

7290.6

Bat Spd

6172.5

EYE40

Chase%

8125.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1080 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

250

830

—

wRC+

140

▶▶R

wOBA

262

368

▶▶R

ISO

160

254

▶▶R

BABIP

252

301

▶▶R

31.6%

24.8%

▶▶R

BB%

3.2%

8.7%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.337 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.2M	+1.6	$13M	+$13M
Totals		$0.2M		$13M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	449	398	84	14	3	4	41	101	5	6	3	211	293	291	584	80	271	22	9	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	449	379	94	15	3	5	60	77	5	6	3	248	358	343	701	95	298	17	13	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	3 teams	—	537	483	116	40	3	12	43	141	6	8	6	240	310	410	720	170	311	26	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	3 teams	—	537	468	135	42	5	13	58	105	6	8	6	288	374	483	857	194	345	20	11	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	3 teams	—	593	528	132	31	3	27	54	155	6	10	4	250	327	473	800	223	299	26	9	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	3 teams	—	593	509	143	37	3	28	73	140	6	10	4	281	378	530	908	250	332	24	12	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	327	296	80	18	2	18	25	113	5	5	0	270	337	527	864	257	373	35	8	370	141	+15	+1	-4	+1	+9	2.3
2019	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	327	296	80	17	2	17	25	113	5	5	0	270	337	514	851	243	377	35	8	371	142	+16	+1	-4	+1	+9	2.4
2020	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	224	193	52	9	2	15	25	58	4	3	0	269	365	570	935	301	303	26	11	395	161	+15	+1	+0	+1	+6	2.4
2020	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	224	193	52	9	2	14	25	58	4	3	0	269	365	554	919	285	309	26	11	396	161	+16	+1	+0	+1	+6	2.4
2021	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	535	133	32	0	41	68	167	9	7	1	249	343	538	881	290	279	27	11	374	144	+31	+1	-5	+2	+17	4.7
2021	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	535	132	31	0	39	68	167	9	7	1	247	342	523	865	277	280	27	11	376	146	+32	+1	-5	+2	+17	4.8
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	283	251	56	12	2	8	27	63	4	1	0	223	309	382	691	159	265	22	10	306	92	-2	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.4
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	283	251	57	12	2	8	27	63	4	1	0	227	312	386	699	159	271	22	10	314	98	-1	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.6
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	453	392	89	17	1	22	52	125	6	7	0	227	327	444	771	217	270	28	11	338	117	+9	+1	+4	+2	+13	2.9
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	453	391	90	17	1	21	53	124	6	7	0	230	331	440	771	210	277	27	12	341	119	+10	+1	+4	+2	+13	3.0
2024	30	MLB	2 teams	—	446	403	98	21	3	24	36	122	5	5	1	243	313	489	802	246	286	27	8	338	117	+8	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.3
2024	30	MLB	2 teams	—	446	402	98	20	3	23	37	121	5	5	1	244	315	480	795	236	288	27	8	347	124	+12	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.7
2025	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	553	507	130	20	0	33	38	149	2	3	2	256	311	491	802	235	293	27	7	341	119	+12	-0	-10	+2	+16	2.0
2025	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	553	507	130	19	0	31	38	149	2	3	2	256	311	477	788	221	297	27	7	342	120	+13	-0	-10	+2	+16	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	PIT	—	402	357	88	21	1	21	37	107	2	1	0	246	321	487	808	241	285	27	9	345	122	+10	+0	+1	+1	+11	2.5
YTD	32	MLB	PIT	—	402	357	88	21	1	21	37	107	2	1	0	246	321	487	808	241	285	27	9	349	125	+11	+0	+1	+1	+11	2.6
ROS	32	MLB	PIT	100%	268	241	61	12	1	15	23	72	2	2	0	253	323	498	821	245	292	27	9	354	129	+9	+0	-3	+1	+8	1.5
ROS	32	MLB	PIT	100%	268	241	61	12	1	15	23	72	2	2	0	253	323	498	821	245	291	27	9	348	124	+7	+0	-3	+1	+8	1.4
FULL	32	MLB	PIT	—	670	598	149	33	2	36	60	179	4	3	0	249	322	492	813	242	290	27	9	346	123	+17	+1	-2	+2	+19	3.8
TOT	32	MLB	PIT	—	670	598	149	33	2	36	60	179	4	3	0	249	322	492	813	242	290	27	9	349	125	+19	+1	-2	+2	+19	4.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	PIT	100%	578	521	128	25	2	31	49	157	3	3	1	246	314	480	794	234	288	27	8	346	123	+15	+0	-11	+2	+16	2.4
2028	34	MLB	PIT	100%	488	441	104	19	2	25	41	136	3	2	0	236	305	458	763	222	279	28	8	335	115	+8	+0	-10	+2	+14	1.4
2029	35	MLB	PIT	100%	413	374	85	15	1	21	34	118	2	1	0	227	295	441	736	214	270	29	8	323	105	+2	+0	-10	+1	+12	0.6
2030	36	MLB	PIT	100%	289	262	57	10	1	14	24	85	1	0	0	218	286	424	709	206	261	29	8	309	95	-2	+0	-9	+1	+8	-0.2
2031	37	MLB	PIT	100%	225	204	43	7	1	10	18	68	1	0	0	211	278	402	680	191	251	30	8	295	84	-4	+0	-9	+1	+6	-0.6
2032	38	MLB	PIT	100%	158	144	29	4	1	7	12	48	1	0	0	201	268	389	656	188	242	30	8	281	73	-5	+0	-9	+1	+4	-0.9
2027	33	MLB	PIT	100%	578	521	128	25	2	31	49	157	3	3	1	246	314	480	794	234	286	27	8	340	119	+12	+0	-11	+2	+16	2.1
2028	34	MLB	PIT	100%	488	441	104	19	2	25	41	136	3	2	0	236	305	458	763	222	278	28	8	330	111	+6	+0	-10	+2	+14	1.2
2029	35	MLB	PIT	100%	413	374	83	15	1	20	34	118	2	1	0	222	290	428	718	206	269	29	8	318	101	+1	+0	-10	+1	+12	0.4
2030	36	MLB	PIT	100%	289	262	57	10	1	14	24	85	1	0	0	218	286	424	709	206	260	29	8	305	91	-3	+0	-9	+1	+8	-0.3
2031	37	MLB	PIT	100%	225	204	42	7	1	10	18	68	1	0	0	206	274	397	671	191	250	30	8	291	81	-5	+0	-9	+1	+6	-0.7
2032	38	MLB	PIT	100%	158	144	28	4	1	6	12	48	1	0	0	194	261	361	622	167	241	30	8	277	70	-5	+0	-9	+1	+4	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5413	4844	1160	218	21	278	483	1501	49	41	6	239	315	465	780	226	285	28	9	340	118	+110	+6	-80	+21	+153	21.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	139	26	3	33	58	180	6	5	1	239	315	464	779	225	284	28	9	340	118	+13	+1	-10	+3	+18	2.6
Career	—			—	6899	6173	1477	306	28	327	610	1878	65	63	18	239	314	457	771	218	287	27	9	333	113	+101	+5	-80	+25	+195	25.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	140	29	3	31	57	177	6	6	2	241	315	460	775	220	288	27	9	333	113	+10	+0	-8	+2	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	449	379	94	15	3	5	60	77	5	6	3	248	358	343	701	95	298	17	13	321	104	+2	+0	—	—	+13	1.5
2017	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	101	95	24	5	1	2	2	26	1	1	1	253	276	389	665	137	319	26	2	285	76	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2017	23	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	367	315	98	34	3	9	47	65	3	6	3	311	405	524	929	213	366	18	13	407	169	+29	+0	—	—	+10	4.0
2017	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	69	58	13	3	1	2	9	14	2	1	2	224	348	414	762	190	262	20	13	344	121	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	148	129	30	6	2	6	16	38	2	2	1	233	327	450	776	217	279	26	11	341	119	+3	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.0
2018	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	205	181	55	14	0	14	22	47	1	0	1	304	382	613	996	309	339	23	11	427	185	+20	-0	—	—	+6	2.6
2018	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	240	199	58	17	1	8	35	55	3	8	2	291	405	508	913	216	360	23	15	399	163	+17	+1	—	—	+7	2.5
2019	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	327	296	80	17	2	17	25	113	5	5	0	270	337	514	851	243	377	35	8	371	142	+16	+1	-4	+1	+9	2.4
2020	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	224	193	52	9	2	14	25	58	4	3	0	269	365	554	919	285	309	26	11	396	161	+16	+1	+0	+1	+6	2.4
2021	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	615	535	132	31	0	39	68	167	9	7	1	247	342	523	865	277	280	27	11	376	146	+32	+1	-5	+2	+17	4.8
2022	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	266	235	52	10	2	8	27	61	3	1	0	221	309	383	692	162	263	23	10	311	96	-1	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.5
2022	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	17	16	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	312	353	438	790	125	357	12	0	354	129	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	436	377	87	15	1	21	50	119	6	7	0	231	330	443	773	212	275	27	11	342	120	+10	+1	+4	+2	+12	3.0
2023	29	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	17	14	3	2	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	214	353	357	710	143	333	29	18	327	109	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	425	385	94	19	3	21	33	112	5	5	1	244	312	473	785	229	287	26	8	343	121	+10	+1	-0	+2	+12	2.4
2024	30	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	21	17	4	1	0	2	4	9	0	0	0	235	381	647	1.028	412	333	43	19	435	191	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	553	507	130	19	0	31	38	149	2	3	2	256	311	477	788	221	297	27	7	342	120	+13	-0	-10	+2	+16	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2994	2657	657	126	12	157	282	817	36	33	5	247	328	481	809	234	294	27	9	354	129	+97	+5	-17	+12	+85	18.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	6,198	322	45	242	313	471	+14	-27	31.9	26.9
	/162	664	35	5	242	313	471	+1.5	-2.9	3.4	pk7: 22
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#4Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#5Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#6Russell Branyanlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,352 PA	12	3,352	193	16	233	329	488	-25	-10	17.1	14.8
	/162	664	38	3	233	329	488	-4.9	-2.0	3.4	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Lowe (OGILVIE)	32	50	60	45	40	249/322/492	242	290	36	3	27%	9%	125	+4.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Dietrich 2021 · MLB	32	43→53	59→55	45→40	48	233/336/446	213	270	28	5	25%	8%	124	+3.4	195/301/357	162	276	19	4	35%	8%	89	+0.9	161/272/303	142	241	17	0	38%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Brad Miller 2022 · MLB	32	44→54	61→60	50	53	236/326/457	221	288	29	6	28%	11%	122	+3.3	221/300/374	153	286	20	8	28%	10%	90	+1.0	198/275/308	110	258	16	6	29%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Tyler Houston 2002 · MLB	31	50	59→60	45→40	45	267/316/471	205	306	29	4	24%	7%	122	+3.3	267/315/421	154	313	17	5	20%	6%	108	+2.3	277/319/417	140	325	12	1	18%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Jay Bruce 2018 · MLB	31	45→54	63→65	45→50	50	248/314/489	241	268	32	4	22%	9%	125	+3.5	233/298/458	225	257	30	4	23%	9%	111	+2.5	215/281/437	222	232	30	2	23%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Alex Dickerson 2022 · MLB	32	50→55	58→60	48→45	48	263/333/474	211	301	26	4	22%	8%	130	+3.8	225/284/391	166	272	20	5	25%	7%	88	+0.9	196/249/345	149	237	17	1	25%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Mike Moustakas 2021 · MLB	32	46→56	63→65	49→45	53	253/328/492	239	259	31	5	18%	9%	132	+4.0	230/303/397	167	272	20	4	23%	8%	97	+1.5	224/290/365	142	274	17	1	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Kole Calhoun 2021 · MLB	33	41→51	62→60	45→50	54	230/321/460	231	253	31	5	24%	11%	121	+3.2	221/294/392	171	270	21	5	26%	8%	92	+1.2	210/276/354	144	263	17	2	26%	7%	73	-0.1
●Eugenio Suárez 2023 · MLB	32	40→50	62→65	44→50	51	225/317/450	225	276	30	2	30%	11%	117	+2.9	239/320/450	211	303	28	3	30%	9%	118	+3.0	237/316/462	225	292	31	2	29%	8%	117	+3.3
✕Pedro Álvarez 2018 · MLB	31	42→46	60	48→45	44	234/288/442	208	274	29	3	27%	7%	103	+1.9	233/287/417	184	286	26	5	28%	7%	95	+1.4	224/285/402	178	267	29	0	28%	8%	89	+0.5
●Kyle Seager 2020 · MLB	32	45→55	58→60	41→50	50	241/307/444	204	261	26	3	20%	8%	111	+2.5	233/313/449	216	253	28	6	21%	9%	115	+2.8	223/309/448	225	236	30	5	21%	10%	109	+1.8
✕Matt Adams 2021 · MLB	32	42→52	62→65	46→40	42	234/290/455	221	284	32	3	30%	7%	108	+2.3	218/274/367	149	288	19	6	30%	7%	77	+0.1	182/222/302	120	253	18	0	35%	5%	34	-1.9
✕Dean Palmer 2001 · MLB	32	48→47	59→60	45→50	54	254/337/463	208	296	28	6	24%	11%	128	+3.7	234/319/413	179	282	22	8	25%	10%	108	+2.3	222/317/426	204	253	27	10	24%	11%	109	+1.0
✕Colby Rasmus 2018 · MLB	31	42→52	58→60	48→50	46	228/296/426	198	290	27	6	31%	9%	102	+1.9	227/289/393	166	304	20	8	31%	8%	90	+1.0	168/227/276	108	239	12	0	34%	6%	32	-0.5
✕Luis Valbuena 2018 · MLB	32	41→51	59→60	38→50	55	227/317/437	210	258	28	3	24%	11%	114	+2.7	223/291/395	172	293	22	7	30%	9%	92	+1.2	200/256/339	139	279	19	6	35%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Ramon Castro 2008 · MLB	32	49	59→55	47→40	48	258/324/465	207	306	27	4	25%	8%	124	+3.4	251/316/455	204	285	28	4	22%	8%	118	+3.0	241/308/442	201	264	29	1	22%	9%	106	+0.6
✕Mitch Haniger 2023 · MLB	32	46→56	61→65	47→50	48	254/323/472	218	289	31	3	24%	8%	125	+3.5	227/298/392	165	285	21	3	27%	8%	94	+1.3	210/283/354	144	271	18	1	28%	8%	76	+0.0
●Mike Yastrzemski 2022 · MLB	31	48→51	63→65	48→50	51	256/338/505	249	299	30	6	25%	10%	139	+4.4	238/322/449	211	289	24	6	25%	10%	118	+3.0	239/329/444	204	284	23	5	23%	11%	115	+2.2
✕Rick Ankiel 2009 · MLB	30	44→48	63→65	45→50	46	248/305/476	228	273	32	5	24%	7%	119	+3.1	238/298/409	171	294	20	8	25%	7%	98	+1.6	230/291/376	146	294	15	9	26%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Hunter Renfroe 2023 · MLB	31	45→47	63→70	41→45	48	251/312/486	235	275	33	3	23%	8%	124	+3.4	237/301/419	182	272	23	3	22%	8%	102	+1.8	225/292/387	162	260	19	1	21%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Todd Greene 2003 · MLB	32	45	60→65	47→30	42	247/284/455	208	263	30	5	20%	4%	105	+2.1	254/289/463	209	275	29	4	20%	4%	109	+2.4	280/323/471	190	319	23	0	20%	6%	115	+0.9