Ian Happ — OGILVIE

Ian HappLF Chicago Cubs

Age 31 S/R 5'10" / 205 lbs MLB BB +5%HR -4% Svc 8.209 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 3.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 102138vR 132

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .352 / .455

PA615

HR25

SB9

K%23

BB%13

xwOBA.356

Barrel%16.1%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

55→55

SPD

50→50

EYE

65↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.209 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$20M	+3.8	$30M	+$10M
Totals		$20M		$30M	+$10M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	20	A	South Bend Cubs	165	150	27	6	2	4	12	50	0	1	1	.180	.241	.327	.567	.147	.232	30	7	.247	47	-10	-0	+0	-2	+5	-0.7
2016	21	A+	3 teams	655	594	137	31	3	14	49	207	4	16	5	.231	.294	.364	.657	.133	.323	32	7	.286	77	-17	+1	+0	-7	+19	-0.4
2017	22	MLB	2 teams	529	472	119	22	3	31	46	162	4	10	5	.252	.324	.508	.832	.256	.310	31	9	.344	121	+13	+0	-1	+2	+15	2.9
2018	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	462	387	89	19	1	16	70	167	3	8	4	.230	.352	.408	.760	.178	.354	36	15	.327	109	+5	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.2
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	585	516	104	20	1	23	63	181	4	11	2	.202	.293	.378	.671	.176	.258	31	11	.294	84	-11	+1	-0	+2	+17	0.9
2020	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	231	198	53	11	1	13	30	63	2	1	3	.268	.370	.530	.900	.263	.328	27	13	.374	144	+12	-1	+1	+1	+7	2.0
2021	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	535	465	101	21	1	24	62	156	5	9	2	.217	.316	.422	.737	.204	.269	29	12	.324	106	+4	+1	-7	-6	+15	0.8
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	641	573	151	43	2	18	58	149	6	9	4	.264	.338	.440	.777	.176	.324	23	9	.334	114	+10	+0	-1	-7	+18	2.1
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	691	580	144	33	5	21	99	153	6	14	3	.248	.364	.431	.795	.183	.299	22	14	.349	125	+20	+2	-7	-7	+20	2.8
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	657	569	143	37	2	25	80	168	6	13	2	.251	.350	.455	.805	.204	.312	26	12	.352	127	+20	+2	-3	-7	+19	3.1
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	663	569	139	31	0	24	87	151	2	6	3	.244	.347	.425	.772	.181	.288	23	13	.334	114	+10	+0	-2	-7	+19	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	108	92	23	4	0	7	15	31	1	1	0	.250	.361	.522	.883	.272	.296	29	14	.376	146	+6	+0	+1	-1	+3	0.9
ROS	31	MLB	CHC	507	432	110	24	1	23	66	125	4	8	2	.255	.359	.475	.833	.220	.299	25	13	.364	137	+21	+1	-2	-5	+14	2.9
TOT	31	MLB	CHC	615	524	133	28	1	30	81	156	5	9	2	.254	.359	.483	.842	.229	.302	25	13	.366	138	+27	+1	-1	-7	+17	3.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	CHC	596	509	126	27	1	26	78	113	4	6	1	.248	.352	.458	.810	.210	.269	19	13	.359	133	+22	+1	-6	-6	+17	2.8
2028	33	MLB	CHC	566	483	118	25	1	24	74	111	4	4	0	.244	.349	.449	.799	.205	.267	20	13	.353	128	+18	+1	-7	-6	+16	2.3
2029	34	MLB	CHC	517	442	106	23	1	21	67	106	3	2	0	.240	.344	.439	.783	.199	.265	21	13	.346	123	+13	+0	-7	-6	+15	1.6
2030	35	MLB	CHC	461	396	91	19	1	18	59	99	3	1	0	.230	.334	.419	.753	.189	.262	21	13	.337	116	+8	+0	-8	-5	+13	0.9
2031	36	MLB	CHC	400	344	77	16	1	15	51	90	2	0	0	.224	.327	.407	.734	.183	.258	22	13	.327	109	+4	+0	-8	-4	+11	0.3
2032	37	MLB	CHC	334	287	62	13	1	11	42	79	2	0	0	.216	.320	.383	.704	.167	.253	24	13	.316	100	+0	+0	-9	-4	+9	-0.3
2033	38	MLB	CHC	264	228	47	10	0	8	33	64	1	0	0	.206	.309	.355	.664	.149	.248	24	12	.304	91	-3	+0	-9	-3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9459	8194	1944	431	28	359	1126	2394	65	119	37	.237	.334	.428	.762	.191	.288	25	12	.333	113	+140	+9	-83	-76	+268	26.5
/ 162G	—			650	563	134	30	2	25	77	165	4	8	3	.238	.333	.432	.765	.194	.289	25	12	.333	113	+10	+0	-6	-5	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	20	A	South Bend Cubs	165	145	35	9	3	5	17	39	0	1	1	.241	.321	.448	.769	.207	.288	24	10	.333	113	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2016	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	274	248	65	14	0	8	20	60	2	6	2	.262	.322	.415	.738	.153	.310	22	7	.325	107	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2016	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	293	240	71	16	3	7	48	69	1	10	3	.296	.415	.475	.890	.179	.381	24	16	.392	158	+19	+1	—	—	+8	2.9
2016	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	88	72	17	4	1	2	15	22	1	0	0	.236	.375	.403	.778	.167	.312	25	17	.354	129	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2017	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	413	364	92	17	3	24	39	129	4	8	4	.253	.332	.514	.845	.261	.316	31	9	.364	136	+17	+0	-1	+2	+12	3.0
2017	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	116	104	31	6	0	9	11	27	0	2	1	.298	.365	.615	.981	.317	.319	23	9	.419	179	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2018	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	462	387	90	19	2	15	70	167	3	8	4	.233	.354	.408	.763	.176	.362	36	15	.344	121	+11	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.9
2019	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	156	140	37	7	1	11	15	39	0	2	0	.264	.335	.564	.900	.300	.286	25	10	.386	154	+9	+0	-0	+2	+4	1.6
2019	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	429	359	87	18	1	16	65	113	4	9	2	.242	.364	.432	.796	.189	.307	26	15	.358	132	+15	+1	—	—	+12	2.9
2020	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	231	198	51	11	1	12	30	63	2	1	3	.258	.361	.505	.866	.247	.317	27	13	.379	148	+13	-1	+1	+1	+7	2.1
2021	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	535	465	105	20	1	25	62	156	5	9	2	.226	.323	.434	.758	.209	.281	29	12	.336	115	+9	+1	-7	-6	+15	1.3
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	641	573	155	42	2	17	58	149	6	9	4	.271	.344	.440	.784	.169	.336	23	9	.347	124	+17	+0	-1	-7	+18	2.9
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	691	580	144	35	4	21	99	153	6	14	3	.248	.364	.431	.795	.183	.299	22	14	.354	129	+23	+2	-7	-7	+20	3.0
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	657	569	138	34	2	25	80	168	6	13	2	.243	.342	.441	.783	.199	.299	26	12	.348	125	+18	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.9
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	663	569	138	32	0	23	87	151	2	6	3	.243	.345	.420	.765	.178	.287	23	13	.341	119	+14	+0	-2	-7	+19	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			4449	3845	950	217	16	173	540	1175	34	70	25	.247	.345	.447	.792	.200	.308	26	12	.350	126	+132	+4	-26	-28	+126	21.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ian Happ (OGILVIE)	31	50	55	50	60	.250/.354/.466	.216	.270	28	9	18%	13%	137	+4.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Hicks 2020 · MLB	30	47→56	57→60	47→55	61	.248/.353/.450	.202	.282	25	11	21%	14%	131	+3.9	.227/.339/.385	.158	.274	18	9	22%	14%	109	+2.4	.225/.333/.335	.110	.284	13	11	23%	13%	90	+0.5
★Carlos Santana 2017 · MLB	31	45→55	55→60	47→45	67	.236/.354/.427	.190	.251	23	7	17%	15%	126	+3.5	.250/.360/.449	.199	.263	23	5	15%	14%	134	+4.1	.255/.371/.460	.206	.265	24	3	15%	15%	131	+4.4
✕Justin Bour 2019 · MLB	31	49→55	58→60	49→40	58	.256/.349/.455	.199	.293	27	3	22%	12%	131	+3.9	.228/.323/.426	.198	.275	26	4	26%	12%	113	+2.6	.197/.296/.401	.204	.229	28	2	28%	12%	92	+0.5
●Josh Willingham 2010 · MLB	31	50→53	57→60	46→45	57	.259/.360/.471	.212	.294	23	6	20%	11%	140	+4.5	.258/.362/.479	.221	.297	27	7	22%	12%	142	+4.6	.255/.361/.488	.233	.292	30	6	23%	12%	136	+3.8
●David Dellucci 2006 · MLB	32	46	59→65	51→50	58	.246/.348/.461	.215	.283	26	12	23%	13%	132	+4.0	.256/.341/.463	.207	.297	24	6	21%	10%	130	+3.8	.251/.326/.436	.185	.292	19	4	20%	8%	113	+1.3
✕Mike Yastrzemski 2022 · MLB	31	46→49	62→65	46→50	51	.250/.331/.491	.241	.292	29	6	25%	10%	133	+4.0	.228/.315/.428	.200	.277	23	6	25%	10%	110	+2.4	.230/.321/.425	.195	.272	22	5	23%	11%	107	+1.7
●Mark Canha 2020 · MLB	31	49→57	59→60	45→50	52	.258/.350/.475	.217	.298	27	5	23%	10%	137	+4.3	.257/.372/.442	.185	.302	21	8	21%	12%	137	+4.3	.252/.362/.399	.147	.294	15	9	18%	10%	119	+2.8
●Steve Pearce 2015 · MLB	32	53→57	58→60	48→50	54	.274/.354/.488	.214	.306	25	8	20%	10%	141	+4.6	.257/.333/.461	.204	.287	25	5	20%	9%	126	+3.5	.265/.349/.459	.194	.292	24	0	18%	10%	127	+1.9
●Eduardo Escobar 2020 · MLB	31	50→56	59→60	46→50	49	.262/.321/.477	.214	.286	26	5	19%	8%	125	+3.5	.252/.311/.452	.200	.283	24	3	20%	8%	115	+2.7	.248/.304/.433	.186	.291	22	1	23%	7%	102	+1.5
●Justin Smoak 2018 · MLB	31	46→52	62→65	43→30	54	.251/.334/.479	.228	.284	31	2	24%	11%	131	+3.9	.238/.341/.447	.209	.279	27	2	24%	13%	126	+3.5	.219/.335/.416	.197	.259	24	0	25%	14%	113	+1.8
●Anthony Rizzo 2021 · MLB	31	51→56	58→65	45	59	.268/.373/.475	.207	.273	26	6	14%	11%	146	+4.9	.245/.345/.447	.202	.259	26	6	17%	10%	128	+3.7	.237/.338/.431	.193	.257	25	5	18%	9%	115	+2.4
●Luke Scott 2009 · MLB	31	50→55	58→65	47→45	55	.262/.344/.483	.221	.295	25	5	20%	10%	136	+4.2	.259/.340/.478	.219	.290	27	3	20%	11%	134	+4.1	.256/.341/.475	.219	.285	28	1	20%	11%	127	+2.5
●Manny Machado 2022 · MLB	30	51→58	58→65	48→50	55	.269/.343/.477	.207	.285	27	10	17%	10%	134	+4.1	.276/.341/.482	.206	.305	27	9	19%	9%	134	+4.1	.274/.336/.476	.202	.304	27	7	19%	8%	124	+3.6
●Nick Swisher 2012 · MLB	31	51→55	56→60	40	60	.262/.361/.462	.200	.300	23	2	21%	13%	137	+4.3	.256/.347/.430	.174	.311	19	3	22%	12%	124	+3.4	.245/.335/.408	.163	.302	18	1	24%	11%	109	+2.2
●Max Muncy 2022 · MLB	31	43→46	61→65	46→45	62	.237/.356/.465	.228	.262	30	4	22%	14%	137	+4.3	.215/.337/.431	.216	.246	28	3	25%	15%	120	+3.1	.221/.349/.454	.234	.251	31	3	25%	15%	125	+2.5
✕Eric Hinske 2009 · MLB	31	47→55	57→60	50	55	.247/.333/.454	.207	.285	24	11	22%	11%	124	+3.4	.245/.332/.438	.193	.292	22	6	23%	11%	120	+3.1	.239/.329/.421	.182	.292	21	1	25%	11%	107	+1.0
★Jeromy Burnitz 2001 · MLB	32	44→52	59→65	44→45	63	.238/.355/.453	.215	.250	26	7	18%	14%	133	+4.0	.238/.334/.455	.217	.266	28	5	22%	12%	125	+3.5	.259/.327/.489	.229	.278	31	5	19%	8%	124	+3.3
●Mitch Haniger 2021 · MLB	30	51→58	57→65	51→50	52	.261/.345/.471	.210	.312	24	8	24%	10%	134	+4.1	.248/.318/.464	.216	.287	30	3	25%	8%	121	+3.2	.241/.310/.447	.207	.278	29	1	25%	8%	111	+1.7
●Willson Contreras 2023 · MLB	31	45→55	58→60	42→45	51	.239/.342/.446	.207	.282	26	6	24%	10%	127	+3.6	.253/.350/.457	.204	.303	24	7	24%	10%	132	+4.0	.257/.354/.454	.198	.315	24	6	25%	10%	130	+3.0
●Jorge Polanco 2023 · MLB	30	48→58	56→60	43→50	54	.252/.328/.444	.192	.277	24	8	19%	10%	119	+3.1	.245/.325/.431	.186	.291	24	7	24%	10%	115	+2.8	.244/.320/.432	.188	.285	25	6	24%	9%	110	+1.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)