Ian Happ — OGILVIE

Ian HappLF Chicago Cubs

Age 31 S/R 5'10" / 205 lbs MLB Svc 8.209 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION397 act + 264 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 97105vR 126

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .346 / .448

PA264

HR11

K%28

BB%13

BABIP304

ISO208

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 53 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT53

Whiff%

788.1%

xwOBA

800.343

POWER51

Barrel%

7111.4

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE60

Chase%

9019.7%

SPEED53

Sprint

5827.8

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1432 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

385

1047

—

wRC+

102

128

▶▶R

wOBA

318

353

▶R

ISO

171

203

▶▶R

BABIP

278

300

▶R

24.4%

24.6%

—

BB%

9.6%

13.5%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.209 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$8M	+1.1	$9M	+$0.8M
Totals		$8M		$9M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	20	A	South Bend Cubs	—	165	150	25	6	2	3	12	55	0	1	1	167	228	293	522	127	232	33	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	South Bend Cubs	—	165	145	35	9	3	5	17	39	0	1	1	241	321	448	769	207	288	24	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	3 teams	—	655	595	132	33	2	11	48	213	4	16	5	222	284	339	624	118	319	33	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	3 teams	—	655	560	153	34	4	17	83	151	4	16	5	273	371	439	810	166	340	23	13	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	MLB	2 teams	—	529	471	119	21	3	32	47	159	4	10	5	253	326	514	839	261	305	30	9	351	127	+16	+0	-1	+2	+15	3.2
2017	22	MLB	2 teams	—	529	468	123	23	3	33	50	156	4	10	5	263	339	536	875	274	317	29	9	376	146	+27	+0	-1	+2	+15	4.4
2018	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	462	387	90	19	2	15	70	167	3	8	4	233	354	408	763	176	362	36	15	323	106	+3	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.1
2018	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	462	387	90	19	2	15	70	167	3	8	4	233	354	408	763	176	362	36	15	344	121	+11	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.9
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	585	515	105	20	2	22	64	178	4	11	2	204	297	379	675	175	262	30	11	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	585	499	124	25	2	27	80	152	4	11	2	248	357	469	826	220	301	26	14	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	231	198	51	11	1	12	30	63	2	1	3	258	361	505	866	247	317	27	13	368	139	+10	-1	+1	+1	+7	1.8
2020	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	231	198	51	11	1	12	30	63	2	1	3	258	361	505	866	247	317	27	13	379	148	+13	-1	+1	+1	+7	2.1
2021	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	535	465	104	20	1	24	62	156	5	9	2	224	321	426	747	202	280	29	12	328	109	+6	+1	-7	-6	+15	1.0
2021	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	535	465	105	20	1	25	62	156	5	9	2	226	323	434	758	209	281	29	12	336	115	+9	+1	-7	-6	+15	1.3
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	641	573	154	41	2	17	58	149	6	9	4	269	342	436	779	168	333	23	9	335	115	+11	+0	-1	-7	+18	2.2
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	641	573	155	42	2	17	58	149	6	9	4	271	344	440	784	169	336	23	9	347	124	+17	+0	-1	-7	+18	2.9
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	691	580	142	34	4	20	99	153	6	14	3	245	361	421	781	176	295	22	14	345	122	+17	+2	-7	-7	+20	2.5
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	691	580	144	35	4	21	99	153	6	14	3	248	364	431	795	183	299	22	14	354	129	+23	+2	-7	-7	+20	3.0
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	657	569	136	33	2	24	80	168	6	13	2	239	339	431	770	192	296	26	12	340	118	+13	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.5
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	657	569	138	34	2	25	80	168	6	13	2	243	342	441	783	199	299	26	12	348	125	+18	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.9
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	663	569	136	31	0	22	87	151	2	6	3	239	342	409	751	170	284	23	13	332	112	+9	+0	-2	-7	+19	1.9
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	663	569	138	32	0	23	87	151	2	6	3	243	345	420	765	178	287	23	13	341	119	+14	+0	-2	-7	+19	2.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	CHC	—	397	341	75	17	2	17	50	125	5	4	1	220	328	431	759	211	290	31	13	329	110	+5	+0	+1	-4	+11	1.4
YTD	31	MLB	CHC	—	397	341	75	17	2	17	50	125	5	4	1	220	328	431	759	211	290	31	13	338	117	+8	+0	+1	-4	+11	1.7
ROS	31	MLB	CHC	100%	264	225	54	12	1	11	34	74	3	3	1	239	346	448	794	208	305	28	13	352	127	+8	+0	+1	-3	+7	1.5
ROS	31	MLB	CHC	100%	265	226	54	12	1	11	34	74	3	3	1	239	346	447	793	208	307	28	13	346	123	+7	+0	+1	-3	+8	1.4
FULL	31	MLB	CHC	—	662	567	129	29	3	28	84	199	8	7	2	228	335	437	773	210	295	30	13	336	115	+12	+1	+3	-7	+19	2.7
TOT	31	MLB	CHC	—	661	566	129	29	3	28	84	199	8	7	2	228	336	438	773	210	296	30	13	338	117	+13	+1	+3	-7	+19	2.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	CHC	100%	650	556	131	29	2	26	83	185	6	7	2	236	341	435	776	200	303	28	13	347	124	+17	+1	-0	-7	+18	3.0
2028	33	MLB	CHC	100%	565	483	111	24	2	22	72	164	5	5	1	230	336	424	760	195	295	29	13	338	117	+11	+1	-1	-6	+16	2.1
2029	34	MLB	CHC	100%	516	441	97	20	2	19	65	153	5	3	1	220	327	404	730	184	286	30	13	327	109	+5	+0	-2	-6	+15	1.2
2030	35	MLB	CHC	100%	460	395	82	17	1	16	58	140	4	2	0	208	315	377	692	170	275	30	13	315	99	-0	+0	-3	-5	+13	0.5
2027	32	MLB	CHC	100%	650	556	133	30	2	27	83	185	6	7	2	239	344	446	790	207	304	28	13	342	120	+14	+1	-0	-7	+18	2.7
2028	33	MLB	CHC	100%	565	483	111	24	2	22	72	164	5	5	1	230	336	424	760	195	297	29	13	333	113	+8	+1	-1	-6	+16	1.8
2029	34	MLB	CHC	100%	516	441	99	21	2	20	65	153	5	3	1	224	331	417	748	193	287	30	13	322	105	+3	+0	-2	-6	+15	1.0
2030	35	MLB	CHC	100%	460	395	84	17	1	17	58	140	4	2	0	213	319	390	709	177	276	30	13	310	96	-2	+0	-3	-5	+13	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6905	5946	1431	321	24	270	852	1891	57	90	30	241	341	439	780	198	304	27	12	343	121	+162	+6	-32	-54	+196	28.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	134	30	2	25	80	178	5	8	3	239	339	434	773	195	303	27	12	343	121	+15	+0	-3	-5	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	8269	7172	1669	371	29	296	969	2328	65	118	39	233	329	416	746	184	299	28	12	328	109	+83	+8	-32	-63	+234	23.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	130	29	2	23	76	183	5	9	3	230	327	411	738	181	296	28	12	328	109	+7	+1	-2	-5	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	20	A	South Bend Cubs	—	165	145	35	9	3	5	17	39	0	1	1	241	321	448	769	207	288	24	10	333	113	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2016	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	274	248	65	14	0	8	20	60	2	6	2	262	322	415	738	153	310	22	7	325	107	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2016	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	293	240	71	16	3	7	48	69	1	10	3	296	415	475	890	179	381	24	16	392	158	+19	+1	—	—	+8	2.9
2016	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	88	72	17	4	1	2	15	22	1	0	0	236	375	403	778	167	312	25	17	354	129	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2017	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	413	364	92	17	3	24	39	129	4	8	4	253	332	514	845	261	316	31	9	364	136	+17	+0	-1	+2	+12	3.0
2017	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	116	104	31	6	0	9	11	27	0	2	1	298	365	615	981	317	319	23	9	419	179	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2018	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	462	387	90	19	2	15	70	167	3	8	4	233	354	408	763	176	362	36	15	344	121	+11	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.9
2019	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	156	140	37	7	1	11	15	39	0	2	0	264	335	564	900	300	286	25	10	386	154	+9	+0	-0	+2	+4	1.6
2019	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	429	359	87	18	1	16	65	113	4	9	2	242	364	432	796	189	307	26	15	358	132	+15	+1	—	—	+12	2.9
2020	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	231	198	51	11	1	12	30	63	2	1	3	258	361	505	866	247	317	27	13	379	148	+13	-1	+1	+1	+7	2.1
2021	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	535	465	105	20	1	25	62	156	5	9	2	226	323	434	758	209	281	29	12	336	115	+9	+1	-7	-6	+15	1.3
2022	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	641	573	155	42	2	17	58	149	6	9	4	271	344	440	784	169	336	23	9	347	124	+17	+0	-1	-7	+18	2.9
2023	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	691	580	144	35	4	21	99	153	6	14	3	248	364	431	795	183	299	22	14	354	129	+23	+2	-7	-7	+20	3.0
2024	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	657	569	138	34	2	25	80	168	6	13	2	243	342	441	783	199	299	26	12	348	125	+18	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.9
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	663	569	138	32	0	23	87	151	2	6	3	243	345	420	765	178	287	23	13	341	119	+14	+0	-2	-7	+19	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4449	3845	950	217	16	173	540	1175	34	70	25	247	345	447	792	200	308	26	12	350	126	+132	+4	-26	-28	+126	21.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jayson Werthlast yr '17 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,366 PA	15	6,366	229	132	267	360	455	-68	-36	32.0	29.7
	/162	664	24	14	267	360	455	-7.1	-3.7	3.3	pk7: 27
#2Justin Uptonlast yr '22 AS×4SS×2 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA	16	7,649	325	151	261	342	469	-82	-91	29.6	27.0
	/162	664	28	13	261	342	469	-7.1	-7.9	2.6	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	7,694	301	100	241	338	440	-82	-47	30.6	25.0
	/162	664	26	9	241	338	440	-7.1	-4.0	2.6	pk7: 20
#3Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	12	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
	/162	664	26	1	249	351	447	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#4Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	13	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
#4Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	/162	664	32	7	245	314	469	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#5José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	8	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.2
	/162	664	22	9	247	350	440	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ian Happ (OGILVIE)	31	43→53	45→51	53	60	228/336/438	210	296	28	7	30%	13%	117	+2.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Souza Jr. 2020 · MLB	31	46→56	55→60	54→55	53	237/330/431	194	301	22	14	28%	11%	117	+2.9	230/312/413	183	321	20	11	32%	10%	105	+2.1	217/304/413	196	303	22	9	34%	10%	99	+0.5
✕Aaron Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	46→56	55	48→55	64	236/352/425	190	271	22	9	22%	15%	124	+3.4	226/332/359	133	281	15	10	23%	13%	100	+1.7	220/329/327	107	278	13	11	23%	13%	86	+0.4
✕Travis Shaw 2021 · MLB	31	42→52	56→60	45	55	224/319/411	187	268	25	5	26%	12%	108	+2.3	216/295/378	162	271	20	5	27%	9%	89	+1.0	198/290/367	169	236	23	0	27%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Eric Hinske 2009 · MLB	31	47→55	57→60	50	55	245/332/453	208	280	24	11	22%	11%	124	+3.4	247/333/439	192	295	22	6	23%	11%	121	+3.2	243/332/428	185	296	22	1	25%	11%	111	+1.1
●Greg Norton 2002 · MLB	30	49	56→60	51→40	50	256/324/453	197	303	24	5	24%	9%	120	+3.1	242/317/421	179	297	21	7	25%	10%	109	+2.4	270/367/437	167	321	20	2	21%	13%	126	+1.7
✕Robbie Grossman 2022 · MLB	32	49→58	53→50	53→50	61	248/355/431	182	292	20	17	22%	13%	128	+3.6	229/333/369	140	293	14	9	24%	13%	102	+1.9	217/324/333	116	285	10	5	25%	13%	88	+0.6
✕Ricky Ledee 2005 · MLB	31	47	55→60	49→50	58	242/335/434	192	278	22	6	22%	12%	120	+3.1	242/309/398	156	289	17	5	22%	8%	99	+1.7	238/297/376	138	291	16	1	23%	7%	86	+0.4
●Eduardo Escobar 2020 · MLB	31	49→57	58→60	48→50	49	261/319/476	216	285	25	5	19%	8%	124	+3.4	249/307/449	200	281	24	3	20%	8%	112	+2.6	243/300/432	189	284	23	1	23%	7%	101	+1.5
✕Kole Calhoun 2020 · MLB	32	43→53	58→60	47→50	53	232/316/434	202	265	26	6	24%	10%	112	+2.6	225/307/423	198	265	26	5	25%	10%	106	+2.2	206/284/376	170	250	23	4	27%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Esteban Quiroz 2022 · AAA	30	45→55	56→55	49→45	50	233/320/427	194	287	23	7	27%	10%	112	+2.6	209/296/325	116	264	13	7	24%	10%	76	+0.1	180/273/262	82	229	9	6	24%	10%	49	-0.8
★Carlos Santana 2017 · MLB	31	47→56	57→60	47→45	67	246/360/452	206	258	24	7	16%	15%	134	+4.1	252/362/454	202	264	23	5	15%	14%	135	+4.2	253/369/456	203	264	24	3	15%	15%	131	+4.4
●Christian Walker 2021 · MLB	30	48→53	55→60	48→45	49	247/321/438	190	300	23	6	25%	9%	115	+2.8	244/320/433	189	281	23	4	22%	9%	114	+2.7	241/326/460	219	262	29	5	21%	10%	119	+3.2
✕Justin Bour 2019 · MLB	31	48→56	58→65	49→40	59	254/349/457	203	291	27	3	23%	13%	131	+3.9	227/321/426	199	272	26	5	26%	12%	112	+2.6	200/299/407	207	229	29	2	27%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Brad Wilkerson 2008 · MLB	31	45→55	56→60	45→50	53	235/322/434	199	291	23	7	27%	11%	115	+2.7	229/313/381	152	284	16	8	24%	11%	97	+1.5	212/304/315	102	269	8	6	22%	11%	68	-0.3
✕C.J. Cron 2022 · MLB	32	46→53	57→60	47→40	53	243/333/446	203	274	25	3	22%	10%	123	+3.3	234/300/411	177	279	23	2	24%	8%	100	+1.7	227/286/399	172	271	23	0	25%	7%	85	+0.6
●Mike Yastrzemski 2023 · MLB	32	45→51	58→65	50	53	236/324/450	213	281	24	6	25%	10%	119	+3.1	239/324/445	206	288	23	6	24%	10%	118	+3.0	239/329/444	204	284	23	5	23%	11%	115	+2.2
✕Brian Buchanan 2004 · MLB	31	51→52	55→60	48→45	49	262/333/454	192	312	23	10	24%	9%	124	+3.4	245/309/404	159	303	19	9	25%	7%	102	+1.8	226/274/369	144	277	17	4	25%	5%	73	-0.1
●Brian Daubach 2003 · MLB	31	50→52	57→60	46→40	52	260/341/469	209	310	24	3	24%	10%	131	+3.9	252/341/436	184	307	20	4	23%	11%	122	+3.3	243/333/410	168	287	19	1	22%	11%	111	+1.3
✕Jackie Bradley Jr. 2021 · MLB	31	46→54	52→55	49→50	51	236/321/410	175	291	19	12	25%	10%	108	+2.3	199/266/319	120	257	11	8	26%	7%	61	-1.0	176/238/277	101	231	7	6	26%	6%	37	-1.3
●Steve Pearce 2015 · MLB	32	51→56	58→60	49→50	54	267/349/476	209	298	25	8	20%	10%	137	+4.3	249/325/444	195	278	24	4	20%	9%	118	+3.0	260/345/451	192	286	24	0	18%	10%	125	+1.8