Brusdar Graterol prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Brusdar Graterol P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 265 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA3.66

FIP3.98

K%23.0%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%15.4%

ROS IP71

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6565

CMD5050

K†5555

FB+1.5 (57%)

SL+1.5 (31%)

CT+0.6 (12%)

SI (42%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	16	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	4	4	11	47	17	1	0	100%	2.8	36.2%	2.1%	34.0%	0.0%	2.45	0.32	—
2015	16	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	4	4	11	47	17	1	0	100%	2.8	36.2%	2.1%	34.0%	0.0%	2.45	0.28	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	10	7	40	157	45	13	2	70%	4.0	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	1.8%	2.70	3.74	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	10	7	40	157	45	13	2	70%	4.0	28.7%	8.3%	20.4%	1.3%	2.70	2.48	—
2018	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	102	419	107	28	3	100%	5.4	19.3%	7.7%	11.5%	0.8%	2.74	2.89	—
2018	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	102	419	107	28	3	100%	5.4	25.5%	6.7%	18.9%	0.7%	2.74	2.21	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	4 levels	28	11	71	276	71	24	4	39%	2.5	19.8%	11.3%	8.5%	1.2%	2.29	3.50	+0.9
2019	20	MIX RAW	4 levels	28	11	71	276	71	24	4	39%	2.5	25.7%	8.7%	17.0%	1.4%	2.29	2.85	+1.5
2020	21	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	23	2	23	88	13	3	1	9%	1.0	14.8%	3.4%	11.4%	1.1%	3.09	2.88	+0.5
2020	21	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	23	2	23	88	13	3	1	9%	1.0	14.8%	3.4%	11.4%	1.1%	3.09	2.93	+0.5
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	50	219	47	12	3	2%	1.0	20.4%	5.6%	14.8%	1.4%	5.22	2.84	+1.0
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	1	50	219	47	12	3	2%	1.0	21.5%	5.5%	16.0%	1.4%	5.22	2.72	+1.1
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	53	209	47	10	3	2%	1.1	21.8%	4.6%	17.3%	1.5%	3.04	2.64	+1.2
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	53	209	47	10	3	2%	1.1	22.5%	4.8%	17.7%	1.4%	3.04	2.63	+1.2
2023	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	68	1	67	257	48	11	3	1%	1.0	18.7%	4.3%	14.4%	1.1%	1.20	2.68	+1.5
2023	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	68	1	67	257	48	11	3	1%	1.0	18.7%	4.3%	14.4%	1.1%	1.20	2.68	+1.5
2023	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	68	1	67	257	48	11	3	1%	1.0	18.7%	4.3%	14.4%	1.2%	1.20	2.74	+1.5
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	17	76	15	4	0	0%	1.0	19.7%	5.3%	14.5%	0.0%	4.24	2.10	+0.5
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	17	76	15	4	0	0%	1.0	19.7%	5.3%	14.5%	0.0%	4.24	2.10	+0.5
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	0	17	76	15	4	0	0%	1.0	19.7%	5.3%	14.5%	0.0%	4.24	2.04	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			188	5	191	759	148	33	10	3%	1.0	19.5%	4.3%	15.2%	1.3%	2.78	2.75	+4.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	4	0	3	17	3	3	1	0%	0.8	—	—	—	—	8.10	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	4	0	3	17	3	3	1	0%	0.8	—	—	—	—	8.10	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	LAD	4	0	3	17	3	3	1	0%	0.8	17.6%	17.6%	0.0%	5.9%	8.10	7.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAD	65	0	69	290	66	22	8	0%	1.1	22.9%	7.7%	15.2%	2.8%	3.90	4.07	+0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAD	62	0	66	277	62	22	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	3.0%	4.10	4.23	+0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	LAD	59	0	62	260	56	21	8	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.2%	13.3%	3.2%	4.30	4.43	+0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAD	42	0	44	186	43	14	5	0%	1.0	22.9%	7.7%	15.2%	2.8%	3.90	4.07	+0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAD	46	0	48	203	45	16	6	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	3.0%	4.10	4.23	+0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	LAD	48	0	50	211	46	17	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.2%	13.3%	3.2%	4.30	4.43	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		323	5	333	1358	281	81	28	2%	1.0	20.7%	6.0%	14.8%	2.1%	3.35	3.23	+5.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		194	3	200	817	169	49	17	2%	1.0	20.7%	6.0%	14.8%	2.1%	3.35	3.23	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		274	46	438	1765	352	124	20	17%	1.6	20.0%	7.0%	13.0%	1.1%	2.86	2.93	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	21	200	806	161	56	9	17%	1.6	20.0%	7.0%	13.0%	1.1%	2.86	2.93	+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brusdar Graterol (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.98	23.0%	7.6%	2.7%	—	4.24	22.3%	14.3%	196	+0.26	—	—	—
Heath Hembree R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	21.1%	7.2%	2.8%	.292	4.03	27.3%	18.8%	162	+0.29	2.52	382	77
Will Vest R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	27	SU	3.43	23.2%	8.1%	2.3%	.309	2.91	25.4%	18.5%	200	-0.52	2.56	448	75
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	73
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	72
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	72
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	72
JT Chargois R 2018 · 3.36 FIP	27	SU	3.36	24.4%	9.9%	2.0%	.282	3.48	25.9%	17.5%	108	+0.12	2.58	362	71
Alex Hoppe R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	23.7%	9.2%	3.5%	.371	3.88	21.1%	9.2%	187	-0.33	3.03	236	70
Brandon Brennan R 2018 · 3.42 FIP	27	SU	3.42	19.9%	8.1%	1.8%	.263	3.81	21.7%	12.0%	85	+0.39	3.11	403	70
Bryan Morris R 2014 · 3.66 FIP	27	SU	3.66	18.4%	6.6%	2.3%	.263	3.99	16.9%	7.0%	102	+0.33	3.48	231	70
Jhan Mariñez R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	27	SU	3.16	18.6%	6.7%	1.4%	.294	4.02	19.0%	10.6%	106	+0.86	3.16	253	70
R.J. Alvarez R 2018 · 3.01 FIP	27	SU	3.01	21.0%	8.0%	1.2%	.306	4.64	24.0%	12.9%	89	+1.63	3.01	302	70
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	70
Blake Treinen R 2015 · 3.10 FIP	27	SU	3.10	23.2%	9.3%	1.4%	.314	2.62	26.4%	19.2%	223	-0.48	1.53	601	69
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	69
Richard Rodríguez R 2017 · 3.03 FIP	27	SU	3.03	24.7%	6.3%	2.2%	.279	3.45	28.4%	22.2%	158	+0.42	2.23	545	69
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	69
Scott Oberg R 2017 · 3.13 FIP	27	SU	3.13	20.8%	8.3%	1.3%	.359	2.82	25.1%	18.2%	130	-0.31	2.54	302	69
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	69
Jumbo Diaz R 2014 · 2.87 FIP	30	SU	2.87	26.1%	7.0%	2.0%	.283	3.64	23.0%	15.0%	186	+0.77	2.80	319	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	57	21.3%	6.9%	0.88	3.48
Drew Storen ('17)	2.2	55	22.6%	7.2%	0.78	3.45
Jose Alvarez ('22)	2.1	60	20.0%	7.6%	0.83	3.47
George Kontos ('18)	1.8	51	19.8%	7.1%	0.96	3.10
Todd Worrell ('97)	1.7	55	23.4%	7.5%	0.95	3.58
Kelvin Herrera ('20)	2.6	64	23.8%	7.5%	0.88	3.21
Alex Colomé ('23)	2.7	60	21.0%	8.3%	0.83	3.36