Richard Rodríguez

Richard Rodríguez P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 36 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.30

FIP4.40

K%21.1%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p1420.2%

p1216.7%

xwOBA vs

p430.320

FB+10.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	84	339	74	18	8	0%	1.8	18.7%	5.6%	13.1%	2.4%	2.47	3.53	—
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	84	339	74	18	8	0%	1.8	21.8%	5.3%	16.5%	2.4%	2.47	3.22	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	48	2	82	333	81	22	5	4%	1.7	21.4%	6.9%	14.5%	2.1%	2.53	3.34	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	48	2	82	333	81	22	5	4%	1.7	24.3%	6.6%	17.7%	1.5%	2.53	2.72	—
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	76	316	83	19	9	2%	1.6	24.7%	6.3%	18.4%	2.2%	3.30	3.03	+1.4
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	1	76	316	83	19	9	2%	1.6	26.3%	6.0%	20.3%	2.8%	3.30	3.20	+1.2
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	65	0	74	297	97	18	5	0%	1.1	31.5%	5.7%	25.8%	1.9%	2.30	2.23	+2.1
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	65	0	74	297	97	18	5	0%	1.1	32.7%	6.1%	26.6%	1.7%	2.30	2.09	+2.2
2019	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	74	0	68	296	66	20	15	0%	0.9	22.1%	7.0%	15.1%	5.3%	3.69	5.04	-0.4
2019	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	74	0	68	296	66	20	15	0%	0.9	22.3%	6.8%	15.5%	5.1%	3.69	4.90	-0.3
2020	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	24	0	23	93	34	5	3	0%	1.0	36.6%	5.4%	31.2%	3.5%	2.70	2.61	+0.5
2020	30	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	24	0	23	93	34	5	3	0%	1.0	36.6%	5.4%	31.2%	3.2%	2.70	2.50	+0.6
2021	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	64	0	64	251	42	9	8	0%	1.0	16.7%	3.6%	13.1%	3.2%	2.94	3.89	+0.5
2021	31	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	64	0	64	251	42	9	8	0%	1.0	16.7%	3.6%	13.1%	3.2%	2.94	3.83	+0.5
2022	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	1	25	102	26	7	4	6%	1.4	22.5%	7.8%	14.6%	3.5%	3.96	4.11	—
2022	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	1	25	102	26	7	4	6%	1.4	25.5%	6.9%	18.6%	3.9%	3.96	3.94	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	39	0	64	273	43	19	5	0%	1.6	13.1%	6.3%	6.8%	2.0%	4.38	3.86	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	39	0	64	273	43	19	5	0%	1.6	13.1%	6.3%	6.8%	2.0%	4.38	3.86	—
2023	33	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	39	0	64	273	43	19	5	0%	1.6	15.8%	7.0%	8.8%	1.8%	4.38	3.67	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			228	0	228	939	230	52	34	0%	1.0	24.5%	5.5%	19.0%	3.6%	3.28	3.71	+2.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	MIA	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.3%	12.7%	3.0%	4.30	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	MIA	50	0	52	221	44	20	8	0%	1.0	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	3.4%	4.60	4.80	-0.1
2028	38	MLB MLE	MIA	43	0	45	190	36	18	7	0%	1.0	18.8%	9.7%	9.1%	3.9%	4.98	5.23	-0.3
2027	37	MLB CTX	MIA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	3.4%	4.60	4.80	-0.0
2028	38	MLB CTX	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.8%	9.7%	9.1%	3.9%	4.98	5.23	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		228	0	229	941	230	52	34	0%	1.0	24.5%	5.5%	18.9%	3.6%	3.28	3.72	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	824	201	46	30	0%	1.0	24.5%	5.5%	18.9%	3.6%	3.28	3.72	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		425	4	561	2300	507	139	64	1%	1.3	22.0%	6.0%	16.0%	2.8%	3.07	3.53	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	1	200	820	181	50	23	1%	1.3	22.0%	6.0%	16.0%	2.8%	3.07	3.53	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Richard Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	21.1%	8.3%	3.0%	—	5.00	19.4%	10.1%	97	+0.60	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	80
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	80
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	79
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	78
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	76
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	76
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	75
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	75
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	72
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	72
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	72
Blake Parker R 2021 · 3.86 FIP	36	SU	3.86	20.0%	7.6%	2.7%	.295	5.74	26.0%	14.0%	27	+1.88	2.52	339	71
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	71
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	71
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	70
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	69
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	69
John Axford R 2018 · 3.64 FIP	35	SU	3.64	23.2%	9.0%	2.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	197	69
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	52	20.0%	8.9%	1.31	4.59
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19