Richard Rodríguez
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.3
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
xFIP5.36
SIERA4.66
K%21.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.9%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL6060
CMD5555
K†5050
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p1420.2%
K%
p1216.7%
xwOBA vs
p430.320
FB+10.6
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 46 | 0 | 84 | 339 | 74 | 18 | 8 | 18.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.47 | 3.51 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 48 | 2 | 82 | 333 | 81 | 22 | 5 | 21.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 2.53 | 3.38 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 47 | 1 | 76 | 316 | 83 | 19 | 9 | 24.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 3.30 | 3.06 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 65 | 0 | 74 | 297 | 97 | 18 | 5 | 31.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 2.30 | 2.19 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 74 | 0 | 68 | 296 | 66 | 20 | 15 | 22.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.69 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 24 | 0 | 23 | 93 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 36.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.70 | 2.72 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 64 | 0 | 64 | 251 | 42 | 9 | 8 | 16.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.94 | 3.90 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 18 | 1 | 25 | 102 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 22.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 3.96 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 39 | 0 | 64 | 273 | 43 | 19 | 5 | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 4.38 | 3.93 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 230 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.44 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 43 | 19 | 7 | 20.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 425 | 4 | 561 | 2300 | 509 | 142 | 64 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 3.07 | 3.54 | +11.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 1 | 200 | 820 | 182 | 51 | 23 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 3.07 | 3.54 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Richard Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.70 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 97 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 81 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 81 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 80 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 79 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 79 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 78 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 77 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 77 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.32 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .341 | 7.44 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.32 | 209 | 77 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 75 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 75 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 75 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 74 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.78 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 5.73 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.95 | 2.41 | 339 | 74 |
| John Axford R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 197 | 73 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 73 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.94 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 248 | 73 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.73 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.99 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.26 | 3.50 | 219 | 72 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 71 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.64 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 404 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.