Pavin Smith

1B Reno Aces
Age 31 L/L 6'2" / 208 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 4.087 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
AAA40-MANArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202428MLBARI158.270/.355/.547911440.6
202529MLBARI288.258/.364/.434821200.5
202630MLBARI122.183/.264/.2943258-0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB31MLBARI158.238/.330/.418521080.2
2028PROJ32MLBARI333.231/.322/.402111102-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.087First FA2029
2027Arb-2$2M2028Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Whiff%77
xwOBA71
Barrel%69
Bat Spd64
Avg EV57
Form.242/.322/.434 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .233/.323/.412
CompsJi Man Choi (age 31) · Kila Ka'aihue (age 31) · Ricky Ledee (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 90108vR 115
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .330 / .418
PA158
HR5
K%25
BB%12
BABIP291
ISO174
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -6.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +7.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.30.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
778.2%
xAVG
300.235
POWER60
Barrel%
6911.0
Avg EV
5789.6
Bat Spd
6472.8
EYE60
Chase%
9019.1%
SPEED40
Sprint
1025.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▲21% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%11%▼6% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 12%
ISO.192▲.258 over 31 AB (60d) · proj .180
BABIP.283·.318 over 22 BIP (60d) · proj .282
SLASH.242/.322/.434▲proj .233/.323/.412
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 446 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
47
399
—
wRC+
94
136
▶▶R
wOBA
307
369
▶▶R
ISO
122
221
▶▶R
BABIP
268
351
▶▶R
K%
27.7%
27.6%
—
BB%
19.1%
12.3%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2020
Service   4.087 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$2M+0.3$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-3$2M———
Totals $0.0M $0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201822 A+Visalia Rawhide — 504439 11225111 57654 32 255346392738 137275 1311 332 77 — — — — — —
201822 INTLSalt River Rafters — 7264 16100 890 10 250333266599 16291 1211 284 78 — — — — — —
201923 AAJackson Generals — 507440 12829612 59610 21 291374466840 175310 1212 368 97 — — — — — —
202024 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 4437 10011 580 10 270357405763 135300 1811 328 104 +0 +0 -0 -1 +1 0.0
202125 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 545498 13327411 421064 10 267329404733 137319 198 328 102 +1 +0 -5 -10 +12 -0.2
202226 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 277245 54909 28671 10 220303367670 147262 2410 300 87 -4 +0 -2 -4 +6 -0.4
202226 AAAReno Aces — 1717 7101 010 00 4124126471.059 235400 60 464 146 — — — — — —
202226 INTLTigres del Licey — 6548 14311 15131 10 292469458927 167371 2023 414 166 — — — — — —
202327 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 228191 36507 35451 11 188316325640 136209 2015 298 88 -3 -0 -5 -6 +5 -1.0
202327 AAAReno Aces — 290239 761429 46472 20 318432506938 188360 1616 413 109 — — — — — —
202428 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 158137 371109 18310 10 270355547902 277280 2011 385 144 +8 +0 -2 -5 +3 0.6
202428 AAAReno Aces — 289236 7515213 49491 11 3184375641.001 246350 1717 433 107 — — — — — —
202529 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 288244 631718 41920 22 258364434798 176377 3214 355 120 +7 -0 -3 -5 +6 0.5
202529 AAAReno Aces — 1715 4300 260 00 267353467820 200444 3512 362 63 — — — — — —
202630 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 122109 20303 12250 20 183264294558 110207 2010 255 58 -6 +0 +0 -5 +3 -0.9
202630 AAAReno Aces — 181146 44617 33420 10 301430500930 199374 2318 409 107 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 16621461 35372648 1813746 93 242327398725 156290 2311 324 105 +10 +1 -17 -36 +36 -0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201822 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 504456 10420110 40854 32 228296342638 114254 178 282 77 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEJackson Generals — 507459 11724611 41730 21 255316405721 150272 148 312 97 — — — — — —
202024 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 4437 10011 580 10 270357405763 135300 1811 323 104 +0 +0 -0 -1 +1 0.0
202125 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 545499 13024312 411064 10 261322393714 132319 198 319 102 +1 +0 -5 -10 +12 -0.2
202226 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 277246 548010 27671 10 220299374673 154262 2410 296 87 -4 +0 -2 -4 +6 -0.4
202226 AAA MLEReno Aces — 1717 7101 010 00 4124126471.059 235358 60 384 146 — — — — — —
202327 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 228192 35407 35451 11 182311312624 130209 2015 298 88 -3 -0 -5 -6 +5 -1.0
202327 AAA MLEReno Aces — 290257 701227 28592 20 272348416765 144316 2010 330 109 — — — — — —
202428 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 158137 3710010 18310 10 270355562917 292280 2011 381 144 +8 +0 -2 -5 +3 0.6
202428 AAA MLEReno Aces — 289253 621228 32611 11 245332403735 158285 2111 327 107 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 288246 611518 40920 22 248353415768 167377 3214 346 120 +7 -0 -3 -5 +6 0.5
202529 AAA MLEReno Aces — 1716 3200 170 00 188235312548 125356 416 262 63 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 122109 20303 12250 20 183264294558 110207 2010 254 58 -6 +0 +0 -5 +3 -0.9
202630 AAA MLEReno Aces — 181157 40515 22500 10 255346395741 140330 2812 327 107 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLE2 teams — 576522 11923112 46974 42 228295345640 117257 178 282 77 — — — — — —
201822 A+ RAW2 teams — 576503 12826111 65744 42 254344376720 121277 1311 326 77 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEJackson Generals — 507459 11724611 41730 21 255316405721 150277 148 312 97 — — — — — —
201923 AA RAWJackson Generals — 507440 12829612 59610 21 291374466840 175310 1212 368 97 — — — — — —
202024 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 4437 10011 580 10 270357405763 135300 1811 323 104 +0 +0 -0 -1 +1 0.0
202024 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 4437 10011 580 10 270357405763 135300 1811 328 104 +0 +0 -0 -1 +1 0.0
202125 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 545499 13024312 411064 10 261322393714 132309 198 319 102 +1 +0 -5 -10 +12 -0.2
202125 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 545498 13327411 421064 10 267329404733 137319 198 328 102 +1 +0 -5 -10 +12 -0.2
202226 MLB MLE3 teams — 359320 7311013 33832 20 228304384689 156263 239 301 90 -4 +0 -2 -4 +8 -0.2
202226 MLB RAW3 teams — 359310 7513111 43812 20 242338397735 155288 2312 328 90 -4 +0 -2 -4 +8 -0.2
202327 AAA MLE2 teams — 518449 10516214 631043 31 234332372704 138272 2012 316 100 — — — — — —
202327 AAA RAW2 teams — 518430 11219216 81923 31 260381426806 165295 1816 362 100 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLE2 teams — 447390 9922218 50921 21 254340459799 205283 2111 346 120 — — — — — —
202428 AAA RAW2 teams — 447373 11226222 67801 21 300408558966 257325 1815 416 120 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLE2 teams — 305262 641718 41990 22 244347408755 164357 3213 341 117 +6 -0 -3 -5 +7 0.4
202529 MLB RAW2 teams — 305259 672018 43980 22 259363436799 178381 3214 355 117 +6 -0 -3 -5 +7 0.4
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 303266 60818 34750 30 226313353667 128280 2511 298 88 — — — — — —
202630 AAA RAW2 teams — 303255 649110 45670 30 251363412775 161298 2215 347 88 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLE2 teams — 576521 11923112 46974 42 228295345641 117254 178 282 77 — — — — — —
201923 AA MLEJackson Generals — 507461 11724611 41730 21 254316403719 150272 148 312 97 — — — — — —
202024 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 4439 10011 580 10 256357385742 128300 1811 323 104 — — — — — —
202125 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 545495 13024312 411064 10 263322396718 133319 198 319 102 — — — — — —
202226 MLB MLE3 teams — 359321 7311013 33832 20 227304383687 156267 239 301 90 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLE2 teams — 518447 10516214 631043 31 235332374706 139269 2012 316 100 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLE2 teams — 447393 9922218 50921 21 252340455796 204283 2111 346 120 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLE2 teams — 305261 641718 41990 22 245347410756 165376 3213 341 117 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 303266 60818 34750 30 226313353667 128281 2511 298 88 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202428 AAA MLE2 teams — 447393 9922218 50921 21 252340455796 204283 2111 346 120 — — — — — —
202529 MLB MLE2 teams — 305261 641718 41990 22 245347410756 165376 3213 341 117 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 303266 60818 34750 30 226313353667 128281 2511 298 88 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202731 MLB MLEARI 45% 352306 7214113 42891 31 233326412738 179282 2512 328 108 +3 +0 -0 -6 +8 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202731 MLB CTXARI 45% 158138 33715 19400 21 238330418748 180291 2512 332 108 +2 +0 -0 -3 +3 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202832 MLB MLEARI 100% 333291 6612112 39860 11 226318396715 171275 2612 319 102 +1 -0 -4 -6 +7 -0.2
202832 MLB CTXARI 100% 333291 6714111 39860 11 231322402724 171284 2612 323 102 +1 -0 -4 -6 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19951752 42086759 2204606 104 240326398724 158289 2311 324 99 +11 +0 -21 -42 +43 -0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 13628219 721502 31 238326394720 156287 2311 324 99 +4 +0 -7 -14 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 42893801 91517119122 43591215 249 241321392713 151283 2110 315 99 +15 +1 -21 -48 +51 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 13826318 661382 41 240319389708 149282 2110 315 99 +4 +0 -6 -13 +14 -0.1