Tristan Gray

3B Minnesota Twins

Age 31 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 0.715 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	28	MLBOakland Athle…	31	.107/.194/.143	0	0	-1	-1.2
2025	29	MLBTB	86	.231/.286/.410	3	0	84	0.1
2026	30	MLBMIN	188	.225/.272/.324	4	2	65	-0.2
2027PROJ	31	MLBMIN	350	.215/.272/.359	10	3	76	-0.2
2028PROJ65% MLB	32	MLBMIN	233	.209/.266/.346	6	1	71	-0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.3 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.715First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.2M2031Ext$0.4M2032Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Avg EV60

Bat Spd59

Barrel%44

xwOBA27

CompsCarlos Rivero (age 31) · Jose Rojas (age 31) · Daniel Palka (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7576vR 76

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .272 / .359

PA350

HR10

K%27

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO146

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.7%

xAVG

170.224

POWER55

Barrel%

447.4

Avg EV

6089.8

Bat Spd

5972.3

EYE40

Chase%

9011.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

2326.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 150 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

127

—

wRC+

209

◀◀L

wOBA

478

241

◀◀L

ISO

364

122

◀◀L

BABIP

353

239

◀◀L

13.0%

31.5%

◀◀L

BB%

4.3%

7.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.715 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	496	449	107	38	2	13	39	113	3	5	5	238	303	419	722	180	287	23	8	317	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	Perth Heat	—	183	156	50	9	1	10	21	46	4	3	3	321	414	583	998	263	392	25	11	430	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	495	418	94	16	5	17	61	92	9	2	10	225	336	409	745	184	244	19	12	331	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	275	248	61	13	4	8	23	81	2	1	1	246	315	427	742	181	329	29	8	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	500	458	103	21	0	33	30	159	8	4	2	225	284	487	771	262	259	32	6	334	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	525	468	110	25	1	30	46	166	7	2	3	235	312	485	797	250	292	32	9	347	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	31	28	3	1	0	0	3	16	0	0	0	107	194	143	336	36	250	52	10	167	-1	-4	+0	+1	-9	+1	-1.2
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	469	418	105	25	4	19	41	121	5	0	1	251	325	467	792	215	304	26	9	345	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	86	78	18	5	0	3	6	19	0	0	0	231	286	410	696	179	263	22	7	301	84	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
2025	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	282	248	67	15	4	9	24	67	3	3	1	270	342	472	814	202	324	24	9	350	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	188	173	39	5	0	4	10	60	1	2	0	225	272	324	595	98	312	32	5	264	65	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2026	30	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	139	125	25	4	1	4	10	26	3	2	1	200	275	344	619	144	219	19	7	279	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	305	279	60	11	0	7	19	95	1	2	0	215	268	330	597	115	293	31	6	265	65	-13	+0	-0	-6	+7	-1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	496	460	86	31	1	12	28	163	3	5	5	187	238	337	575	150	251	33	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	495	436	85	14	4	15	43	114	9	2	10	195	281	349	629	154	218	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	275	255	53	10	3	5	16	95	2	1	1	208	260	329	589	122	304	35	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	500	468	78	15	0	21	20	191	8	4	2	167	214	333	547	167	216	38	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	525	484	84	19	1	18	32	197	7	2	3	174	236	329	564	155	238	38	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	31	28	3	1	0	0	3	16	0	0	0	107	194	143	336	36	250	52	10	166	-1	-4	+0	+1	-9	+1	-1.2
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	469	429	85	18	3	13	30	142	5	0	1	198	259	345	604	147	252	30	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	86	78	18	5	0	3	6	19	0	0	0	231	286	410	696	179	263	22	7	292	84	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	282	257	55	12	4	5	15	81	3	3	1	214	265	350	616	136	269	29	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	188	173	39	5	0	4	10	60	1	2	0	225	272	324	595	98	312	32	5	264	65	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2026	30	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	139	129	21	3	1	3	6	31	3	2	1	163	217	271	489	109	187	22	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	679	626	119	43	2	17	39	223	7	8	8	190	246	347	592	157	260	33	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	679	605	157	47	3	23	60	159	7	8	8	260	333	461	794	202	312	23	9	348	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	495	436	85	14	4	15	43	114	9	2	10	195	281	349	629	154	224	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	495	418	94	16	5	17	61	92	9	2	10	225	336	409	745	184	244	19	12	331	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	275	255	53	10	3	5	16	95	2	1	1	208	260	329	589	122	306	35	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	275	248	61	13	4	8	23	81	2	1	1	246	315	427	742	181	329	29	8	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	500	468	78	15	0	21	20	191	8	4	2	167	214	333	547	167	219	38	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	500	458	103	21	0	33	30	159	8	4	2	225	284	487	771	262	259	32	6	334	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	525	483	84	19	1	18	32	197	7	2	3	174	236	329	565	155	244	38	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	525	468	110	25	1	30	46	166	7	2	3	235	312	485	797	250	292	32	9	347	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	500	457	88	19	3	13	33	158	5	0	1	193	255	333	587	140	258	32	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	500	446	108	26	4	19	44	137	5	0	1	242	317	446	763	204	302	27	9	334	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	368	335	73	17	4	8	21	100	3	3	1	218	270	364	634	146	277	27	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	368	326	85	20	4	12	30	86	3	3	1	261	329	457	786	196	309	23	8	339	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	327	302	60	8	1	7	16	91	4	4	1	199	248	301	550	103	255	28	5	243	51	-19	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
2026	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	327	298	64	9	1	8	20	86	4	4	1	215	273	332	606	117	269	26	6	270	51	-19	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	679	628	119	43	2	17	39	223	7	8	8	189	246	346	591	156	251	33	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	495	440	85	14	4	15	43	114	9	2	10	193	281	345	626	152	218	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	275	255	53	10	3	5	16	95	2	1	1	208	260	329	589	122	304	35	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	500	468	78	15	0	21	20	191	8	4	2	167	214	333	547	167	216	38	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	525	481	84	19	1	18	32	197	7	2	3	175	236	331	566	156	238	38	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	500	458	88	19	3	13	33	158	5	0	1	192	255	332	586	140	252	32	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	368	341	73	17	4	8	21	100	3	3	1	214	270	358	628	144	268	27	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	327	304	60	8	1	7	16	91	4	4	1	197	248	299	548	102	259	28	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	500	458	88	19	3	13	33	158	5	0	1	192	255	332	586	140	252	32	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	368	341	73	17	4	8	21	100	3	3	1	214	270	358	628	144	268	27	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	327	304	60	8	1	7	16	91	4	4	1	197	248	299	548	102	259	28	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	31	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	377	346	75	14	2	11	24	100	4	3	1	214	272	358	631	144	267	27	6	281	76	-11	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	31	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	350	321	69	13	2	10	22	93	4	3	1	215	272	359	631	144	267	27	6	281	76	-10	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	358	330	69	13	2	9	22	97	3	1	1	209	266	346	611	137	262	27	6	273	71	-13	-0	-4	+1	+8	-0.8
2028	32	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	233	215	44	8	1	6	14	63	2	1	0	209	266	346	612	137	263	27	6	273	71	-8	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	538	494	104	19	1	13	33	158	3	3	0	211	264	332	596	121	277	29	6	268	61	-21	+1	-3	-6	+12	-1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	126	23	1	16	40	191	4	4	0	211	266	333	599	122	278	29	6	268	61	-25	+1	-3	-7	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4377	4013	778	171	22	123	264	1359	52	28	29	194	253	339	592	146	255	31	6	258	61	-35	+0	-5	-4	+22	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	115	25	3	18	39	202	8	4	4	193	252	336	588	143	254	31	6	258	61	-23	+0	-3	-3	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#4Doug Strange'89-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,067 PA	3.1	2,067	31	14	225*	286*	340*	+5	-0	-1.5	0.0
/162	664	10	4	+1.6	-0.1	-0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.3	857	23	6	217	268	352	+3	+1	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	18	4	+2.4	+0.6	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Enrique Wilson'97-'05 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,537 PA	2.3	1,537	22	14	233*	276*	337*	+8	+1	-2.5	-1.4
/162	664	10	6	+3.4	+0.4	-1.1	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tristan Gray (OGILVIE)	31	50	55	45	40	213/270/355	143	267	10	3	27%	6%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rivero 2019 · AAA	31	43→53	48→50	45	42	221/263/356	135	267	16	5	24%	6%	72	-0.7	245/293/386	141	292	17	5	22%	6%	91	+0.6	251/296/388	138	294	17	0	21%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Jose Rojas 2024 · MLB	31	41→48	52→60	49→50	44	216/268/383	167	258	20	9	25%	6%	81	-0.1	209/274/398	189	248	24	11	26%	8%	87	+0.4	195/265/395	200	224	25	11	26%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	42→43	51→55	44→50	45	219/280/375	156	275	20	4	28%	8%	84	+0.1	211/266/349	138	275	17	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	185/238/306	121	238	16	4	29%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2024 · AAA	30	38→48	48→50	46→45	42	198/260/344	146	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.9	216/277/347	131	281	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	227/285/352	125	285	12	9	24%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Ryan Flaherty 2017 · MLB	31	44→47	45→55	50→45	47	219/288/344	125	279	13	5	26%	8%	79	-0.2	225/295/341	116	289	12	7	25%	8%	82	-0.0	212/278/332	121	273	14	4	27%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Val Majewski 2011 · AAA	30	43→53	47→45	46→50	45	219/275/348	129	265	15	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	222/275/330	108	273	9	10	21%	6%	70	-0.8	220/272/314	94	266	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2024 · MLB	30	38→44	52→55	48→40	44	205/267/365	160	257	21	5	29%	7%	77	-0.3	221/277/382	161	278	19	6	27%	6%	84	+0.2	222/275/386	164	273	20	4	26%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Scott Moore 2015 · MLB	31	39→49	47→55	40→50	42	202/270/335	133	255	15	3	27%	6%	72	-0.7	195/263/312	117	269	12	8	31%	7%	63	-1.4	119/189/189	70	188	5	8	38%	7%	7	-1.2
✕Dee Brown 2008 · AAA	30	45→49	47→50	43→45	43	231/277/363	131	273	16	5	22%	5%	79	-0.2	228/288/363	135	259	15	9	18%	7%	84	+0.1	221/286/355	134	246	14	9	16%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Nick Green 2010 · MLB	31	43→46	47→50	39→45	41	220/270/353	133	276	15	5	26%	5%	75	-0.5	206/254/326	120	255	12	5	24%	5%	63	-1.4	199/244/321	122	242	12	3	23%	4%	55	-1.1
✕Cory Aldridge 2010 · AAA	31	45→47	52→55	41→45	42	235/285/403	168	295	20	4	28%	6%	92	+0.7	221/269/383	162	303	20	6	33%	6%	81	-0.1	205/268/370	165	274	26	5	35%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Raffy Lopez 2018 · MLB	30	42→51	51→50	48→40	43	220/276/379	159	278	20	4	28%	7%	83	+0.1	213/271/367	154	294	19	5	33%	7%	78	-0.3	172/230/300	128	246	17	2	37%	7%	47	-1.3
✕Mark Saccomanno 2010 · AAA	30	43→47	48→55	47→40	41	224/263/363	139	262	17	5	22%	4%	74	-0.5	213/255/335	122	266	13	5	25%	5%	64	-1.3	194/232/307	113	245	12	0	26%	4%	47	-2.1
✕Paul McAnulty 2012 · MLB	31	45→51	50→55	41→40	45	232/282/387	156	273	19	4	23%	6%	87	+0.4	221/289/393	172	269	21	5	26%	8%	91	+0.7	192/276/377	185	223	24	1	26%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Michael Ryan 2009 · AAA	32	42→46	51→50	44→30	39	223/259/384	161	270	19	4	26%	4%	78	-0.3	226/267/356	130	267	13	5	20%	5%	74	-0.6	221/263/337	116	258	10	3	19%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Omar Quintanilla 2013 · MLB	31	46→56	45	42→45	46	231/283/359	129	275	13	5	21%	6%	80	-0.1	226/282/327	101	276	8	5	20%	7%	72	-0.7	221/278/302	81	271	5	3	19%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Brad Nelson 2014 · AAA	31	41→50	50	45→50	46	217/275/364	147	262	18	4	25%	7%	80	-0.2	210/264/329	119	254	13	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	180/229/262	82	212	9	0	20%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Johnny Monell 2018 · MLB	32	46→43	46→50	48→45	45	230/280/356	126	272	15	7	22%	6%	79	-0.2	223/277/344	121	309	10	7	29%	7%	74	-0.5	213/263/322	109	308	6	0	31%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Brian O'Keefe 2024 · MLB	31	39→42	50	41→40	43	205/263/360	156	263	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.5	196/254/337	141	249	17	5	28%	7%	65	-1.2	174/231/302	128	216	17	3	28%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Brandon Larson 2007 · MLB	31	43→40	50	44→45	41	223/276/375	152	289	19	6	30%	6%	82	+0.0	221/266/362	141	276	17	8	26%	5%	75	-0.5	199/230/325	126	230	17	4	23%	4%	51	-0.8

Tristan Gray

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps