Génesis Cabrera
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION41 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.96
FIP5.12
xFIP5.14
SIERA4.51
K%21.4%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%12.3%
IP42
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p6795.7
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p2618.7%
xwOBA vs
p320.333
SL+1.2 (20%)
SI (25%)
CU (19%)
FB-7.0 (47%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 5 | 2 | 17 | 69 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 18.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 2.44 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 23 | 22 | 116 | 489 | 96 | 48 | 9 | 14.5% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 3.88 | 4.58 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 20 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 25 | 24 | 134 | 569 | 111 | 52 | 9 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 3.22 | 4.22 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 21 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 27 | 25 | 140 | 588 | 148 | 71 | 14 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 4.17 | 4.18 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 20 | 119 | 533 | 125 | 50 | 22 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 5.73 | 5.11 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 19 | 0 | 22 | 96 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 3.1% | 2.42 | 4.12 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 71 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 77 | 34 | 3 | 26.0% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 3.73 | 2.92 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 49 | 0 | 58 | 252 | 47 | 21 | 9 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.31 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 64 | 0 | 59 | 252 | 58 | 23 | 8 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 3.81 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 69 | 0 | 63 | 271 | 50 | 25 | 10 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 3.59 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 48 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 48 | 22 | 14 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.79 | 6.16 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 35 | 0 | 41 | 198 | 51 | 25 | 6 | 22.7% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 10.10 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 38 | 16 | 7 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 4.96 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 83 | 374 | 89 | 41 | 13 | 23.7% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 7.51 | 4.91 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 5.18 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 5.40 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 5.65 | 5.81 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 5.91 | 6.09 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 17.4% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 6.20 | 6.39 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 468 | 93 | 891 | 3839 | 755 | 415 | 114 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.44 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 21 | 200 | 861 | 169 | 93 | 26 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Génesis Cabrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% | — | 5.55 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 109 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 3.67 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.64 | 1.52 | 350 | 76 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 73 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 73 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 72 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 70 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.32 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | .256 | 3.61 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 90 | -1.71 | 2.35 | 306 | 70 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 69 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 68 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 686 | 68 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 66 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 66 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.27 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 32 | -0.55 | 3.80 | 158 | 66 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 65 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.15 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .364 | 3.00 | 24.6% | 17.5% | 128 | -1.15 | 2.86 | 455 | 65 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.32 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 206 | 64 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 64 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 64 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 64 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 63 |
| Josh Outman L 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.