Jake Fraley

RF Tampa Bay Rays
Age 32 L/L 5'11" / 206 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 5.564 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLBArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202429MLBCIN382.277/.332/.3865201010.6
202530MLBATL217.241/.332/.382641030.1
202631MLBTB97.216/.289/.3642386-0.2
2027PROJ32MLBTB255.233/.308/.35458880.0
2028PROJ33MLBTB225.225/.299/.3364480-0.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.564First FA2028
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed71
Chase%65
Whiff%61
Bat Spd55
xwOBA38
Barrel%21
CompsJames Adduci (age 32) · Brian Bogusevic (age 33) · Jonathan Davis (age 32)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .308 / .354
PA255
HR5
SB8
K%23
BB%9
BABIP288
ISO123
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +5.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.1-0.62728
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
619.8%
xAVG
350.239
POWER40
Barrel%
214.5
Avg EV
1084.5
Bat Spd
5571.9
EYE45
Chase%
6528.7%
SPEED60
Sprint
7128.3
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 637 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
56
581
—
wRC+
58
105
▶▶R
wOBA
253
324
▶▶R
ISO
056
136
▶▶R
BABIP
261
316
▶▶R
K%
12.5%
20.7%
◀◀L
BB%
1.8%
9.0%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2019
Service   5.564 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$0.6M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201722 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 10594 16311 7242 13 170243255498 85211 237 227 8 — — — — — —
201722 ROKGCL Rays — 1715 7301 230 31 4675298671.396 400545 1812 591 170 — — — — — —
201722 INTLPerth Heat — 198169 6113113 27261 395 3614526801.132 320366 1314 483 213 — — — — — —
201823 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 260225 781974 26444 118 347424547970 200407 1710 417 120 — — — — — —
201924 MLBSeattle Mariners — 4140 6200 0141 00 150171200371 50231 340 169 1 -5 +0 -0 +2 +1 -0.2
201924 AAATacoma Rainiers — 168152 421238 11343 62 276337553890 276304 207 381 86 — — — — — —
201924 AAArkansas Travelers — 259230 7215211 23555 165 313388539927 226370 219 405 126 — — — — — —
202025 MLBSeattle Mariners — 2926 4110 2111 21 154241269511 115267 387 236 47 -2 +0 -1 -0 +1 -0.3
202126 MLBSeattle Mariners — 265214 45709 46712 102 210355369724 159265 2717 330 110 +3 +1 -1 -3 +6 0.6
202126 AAATacoma Rainiers — 5140 13103 9151 31 3254605751.035 250435 2918 445 139 — — — — — —
202227 MLBCincinnati Reds — 247216 569012 26543 41 259347468815 208289 2211 358 120 +6 +0 -3 -3 +5 0.6
202227 AAALouisville Bats — 4841 11001 7140 10 268375341716 73385 2915 334 57 — — — — — —
202328 MLBCincinnati Reds — 380336 8618015 37716 215 256340443784 188283 1910 349 115 +7 +2 -1 -4 +8 1.2
202429 MLBCincinnati Reds — 382350 971925 26703 205 277332386718 109331 187 321 101 +1 +2 -1 -4 +8 0.6
202530 MLBAtlanta Braves — 217191 46906 25491 43 241332382714 141294 2312 324 103 +1 -0 -2 -3 +5 0.1
202530 AAALouisville Bats — 2927 5101 240 10 185241333575 148182 147 258 18 — — — — — —
202631 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 9788 19702 9290 30 216289364652 148298 309 294 86 -2 +1 -1 -2 +2 -0.2
202631 AAADurham Bulls — 5244 8002 5113 11 182308318626 136194 2110 294 37 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 16581461 35972349 17136917 6417 246332400731 154295 2210 328 108 +16 +6 -11 -18 +36 3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201722 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 10596 13311 5332 13 135194219413 83178 315 180 8 — — — — — —
201722 ROK MLEGCL Rays — 1716 5201 140 31 312353625978 312401 246 420 170 — — — — — —
201823 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 260232 671754 19634 118 289353457810 168357 247 346 120 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 4140 6200 0141 00 150171200371 50231 340 170 1 -5 +0 -0 +2 +1 -0.2
201924 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 168156 34926 7443 62 218265417682 199257 264 296 86 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 259238 6613211 15655 165 277333487821 210337 256 355 126 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 2926 4110 2111 21 154241269511 115267 387 238 47 -2 +0 -1 -0 +1 -0.3
202126 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 265215 45709 45712 102 209351367719 158265 2717 331 110 +3 +1 -1 -3 +6 0.6
202126 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 5143 12102 6181 31 279380442822 163413 3512 374 139 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 247217 559011 25543 41 253339447786 194289 2210 346 120 +6 +0 -3 -3 +5 0.6
202227 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 4843 10001 5180 10 233312302615 70354 3810 253 57 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 380338 8518014 35716 215 251332429761 178283 199 338 115 +7 +2 -1 -4 +8 1.2
202429 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 382350 971925 26703 205 277332386718 109331 187 318 101 +1 +2 -1 -4 +8 0.6
202530 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 217192 46906 24491 43 240327380707 141294 2311 321 103 +1 -0 -2 -3 +5 0.1
202530 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 2928 5101 150 10 179207321528 143153 173 195 18 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 9788 19702 9290 30 216289364652 148298 309 295 86 -2 +1 -1 -2 +2 -0.2
202631 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 5246 6001 3133 11 130231196426 65170 256 223 37 — — — — — —
201722 INTL MLE3 teams — 320298 461224 16993 439 154205248453 94212 315 213 31 — — — — — —
201722 INTL RAW3 teams — 320278 8419215 36533 439 302388547935 245324 1711 405 31 — — — — — —
201823 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 260232 671754 19634 118 289353457810 168371 247 346 120 — — — — — —
201823 A+ RAWCharlotte Stone Crabs — 260225 781974 26444 118 347424547970 200407 1710 417 120 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLE3 teams — 468434 10725417 221239 227 247297440737 194303 265 318 101 — — — — — —
201924 AA RAW3 teams — 468422 12029519 341039 227 284351512862 227333 227 376 101 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 2926 4110 2111 21 154241269511 115267 387 238 47 -2 +0 -1 -0 +1 -0.3
202025 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 2926 4110 2111 21 154241269511 115267 387 236 47 -2 +0 -1 -0 +1 -0.3
202126 MLB MLE2 teams — 316258 588012 51893 133 225359395754 171287 2816 338 115 +5 +1 -1 -3 +7 1.0
202126 MLB RAW2 teams — 316254 588012 55863 133 228372402773 173289 2717 349 115 +5 +1 -1 -3 +7 1.0
202227 MLB MLE2 teams — 295260 659012 30723 51 250334423758 173298 2410 331 110 +4 +1 -3 -3 +6 0.4
202227 MLB RAW2 teams — 295257 679013 33683 51 261352447799 187303 2311 354 110 +4 +1 -3 -3 +6 0.4
202328 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 380338 8518014 35716 215 251332429761 178280 199 338 115 +7 +2 -1 -4 +8 1.2
202328 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds — 380336 8618015 37716 215 256340443784 188283 1910 349 115 +7 +2 -1 -4 +8 1.2
202429 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 382350 971925 26703 205 277332386718 109331 187 318 101 +1 +2 -1 -4 +8 0.6
202429 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds — 382350 971925 26703 205 277332386718 109331 187 321 101 +1 +2 -1 -4 +8 0.6
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 246220 511007 25541 53 232313373686 141277 2210 306 93 -2 -0 -2 -3 +5 -0.1
202530 MLB RAW2 teams — 246218 511007 27531 53 234321376697 142278 2211 316 93 -2 -0 -2 -3 +5 -0.1
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 149134 25703 12423 41 187268306574 119247 288 270 69 -6 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.5
202631 MLB RAW2 teams — 149132 27704 14403 41 205295348644 144261 279 294 69 -6 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.5
201722 INTL MLE3 teams — 320298 461224 16993 439 154205248453 94209 315 213 31 — — — — — —
201823 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 260235 671754 19634 118 285353451804 166357 247 346 120 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLE3 teams — 468434 10725417 221239 227 247297440737 194299 265 318 101 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 2926 4110 2111 21 154241269511 115267 387 238 47 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLE2 teams — 316259 588012 51893 133 224359394753 170289 2816 338 115 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLE2 teams — 295260 659012 30723 51 250334423758 173300 2410 331 110 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 380336 8518014 35716 215 253332432764 179283 199 338 115 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 382350 971925 26703 205 277332386718 109331 187 318 101 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 246218 511007 25541 53 234313376689 142277 2210 306 93 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 149133 25703 12423 41 188268308577 120253 288 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 382350 971925 26703 205 277332386718 109331 187 318 101 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 246218 511007 25541 53 234313376689 142277 2210 306 93 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 149133 25703 12423 41 188268308577 120253 288 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLETB 100% 255228 531115 22583 82 231306355662 124285 239 298 88 -4 +1 +0 -3 +6 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXTB 100% 255228 541115 22583 82 233308354662 121288 239 299 88 -4 +1 +0 -3 +6 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLETB 100% 225202 45914 19532 41 223297337634 114278 248 287 80 -5 +0 -4 -2 +5 -0.6
202833 MLB CTXTB 100% 225202 46914 19532 41 225299336635 112281 248 287 80 -5 +0 -4 -2 +5 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18831663 40581453 19042219 6818 244328393721 149294 2210 323 95 +11 +6 -14 -20 +41 2.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 13928118 661467 236 242328389717 146293 2210 323 95 +4 +2 -5 -7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 33252980 7031461687 27980541 15846 236310383693 147292 248 308 95 +7 +7 -14 -23 +46 2.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 13829317 551578 319 237312384696 148293 248 308 95 +2 +2 -4 -7 +14 0.7