Player 839494 — OGILVIE

Player 839494— DSL Red Sox Blue

Age — —/— ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .333 / .328

PA78

HR1

K%27

BB%12

BABIP311

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	80	62	15	1	1	2	14	19	3	5	2	242	405	387	792	145	310	24	18	342	120	+2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.3
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	80	53	16	1	1	2	23	13	3	5	2	302	532	472	1.003	170	359	16	29	452	204	+9	+0	+0	-1	+2	1.1
ROS	—	ROK	BOS	0%	78	67	15	2	1	1	9	21	2	3	1	224	333	328	662	104	293	27	12	298	86	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
ROS	—	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	287	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	BOS	—	80	63	15	1	1	2	14	19	3	5	2	238	405	381	786	143	302	24	18	342	120	+2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.3
TOT	—	ROK	BOS	—	158	129	30	3	2	3	23	40	5	8	3	233	369	357	726	124	310	25	15	320	103	+1	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	160	137	30	4	1	3	19	43	3	5	1	219	327	328	656	109	292	27	12	299	87	-2	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	BOS	0%	306	263	59	8	3	6	35	81	5	10	2	224	327	346	673	122	291	26	11	301	89	-4	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.1
2029	25	MLB	BOS	0%	404	348	77	10	3	8	46	106	7	13	3	221	324	336	660	115	291	26	11	303	90	-5	+1	+0	-7	+11	0.1
2030	25	MLB	BOS	0%	469	405	91	12	4	10	53	122	8	15	3	225	326	348	674	123	291	26	11	304	91	-5	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.2
2031	25	MLB	BOS	0%	514	443	99	13	4	11	58	134	8	17	4	223	324	345	670	122	291	26	11	304	91	-5	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.2
2032	25	MLB	BOS	0%	545	470	104	14	4	11	61	142	9	18	4	221	322	338	661	117	290	26	11	305	91	-5	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.2
2033	25	MLB	BOS	0%	567	489	109	15	4	12	64	148	9	19	4	223	324	344	667	121	290	26	11	305	92	-5	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	292	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	296	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3043	2622	584	78	24	62	345	797	51	100	22	223	325	342	666	119	293	26	11	303	90	-33	+11	+0	-54	+86	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	125	17	5	13	74	170	11	21	5	223	326	341	667	118	295	26	11	303	90	-7	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,123	63	101	223	320	341	-35	+0	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	13	21	223	320	341	-7.4	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 839494 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	233/369/357	124	310	3	8	25%	15%	103	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	46→49	42→50	53→50	39	221/266/325	104	308	9	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	230/288/343	113	330	11	9	32%	6%	76	+0.1	233/295/348	115	335	12	8	32%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→37	42→60	53→50	48	191/276/300	109	267	10	14	30%	10%	61	-1.0	199/268/347	148	275	16	14	32%	8%	69	-0.4	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Corey Julks 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40→55	48→55	44	206/273/302	95	290	7	12	30%	8%	59	-1.1	226/284/379	153	298	18	17	29%	7%	84	+0.6	227/289/390	162	290	20	21	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Eli White 2019 · AA	25	49	41→50	49→60	42	230/288/337	107	320	7	12	29%	6%	74	-0.1	213/280/330	117	302	11	13	31%	7%	70	-0.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Reid Gorecki 2006 · AA	25	42→51	43→50	50→55	45	209/273/323	114	278	10	19	28%	8%	65	-0.7	218/279/350	132	281	15	19	27%	7%	75	-0.0	249/303/371	121	310	12	21	23%	6%	86	+0.4
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Phillip Ervin 2016 · AA	24	43→50	43→50	54→55	47	210/282/326	116	268	10	20	25%	8%	69	-0.4	217/288/344	127	270	13	25	24%	7%	77	+0.1	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5