Andrés Rivero

C DSL Giants Orange

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Giants Or…	90	.184/.295/.237	0	0	1	—	.115/.216/.141
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSF	200	.209/.274/.281	1	1	58	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSF	59	.210/.278/.288	0	0	64	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSF	153	.213/.283/.299	1	1	68	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%42

Whiff%41

K%40

Chase%34

ISO17

BB%11

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMarco Guzman (age 18) · Emilio King (age 18) · Andres Regnault (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .278

PA80

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	90	76	14	4	0	0	8	21	4	0	0	184	295	237	532	53	246	23	9	252	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	90	78	9	2	0	0	6	26	4	0	0	115	216	141	357	26	161	29	7	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	90	78	9	2	0	0	6	26	4	0	0	115	216	141	357	26	167	29	7	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	90	76	14	4	0	0	8	21	4	0	0	184	295	237	532	53	246	23	9	252	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	90	80	9	2	0	0	6	26	4	0	0	113	216	138	353	25	161	29	7	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	90	80	9	2	0	0	6	26	4	0	0	113	216	138	353	25	161	29	7	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SF	0%	200	181	37	7	1	1	13	55	4	1	1	209	274	281	555	72	289	28	6	254	58	-10	-0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SF	34%	173	157	33	6	1	1	11	47	3	1	1	213	280	293	573	80	291	27	6	262	64	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	SF	48%	316	286	62	12	2	3	21	84	6	2	1	217	285	304	589	88	292	27	7	269	68	-12	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	SF	54%	426	386	85	16	3	5	29	112	8	2	2	220	289	314	604	94	293	26	7	275	72	-14	-0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	SF	57%	504	454	101	19	3	7	35	131	10	3	2	223	293	323	616	100	294	26	7	279	75	-15	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2032	23	MLB MLE	SF	58%	520	468	106	20	3	8	37	134	10	3	2	225	295	331	626	106	295	26	7	284	78	-14	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	SF	57%	520	468	106	20	3	8	37	134	10	3	2	226	296	334	630	108	296	26	7	285	79	-13	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	SF	57%	520	468	106	20	3	8	37	134	10	3	2	227	297	336	632	109	296	26	7	286	80	-13	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	SF	60%	520	468	107	20	3	9	37	134	10	3	2	227	297	337	633	110	295	26	7	286	80	-12	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	SF	62%	520	468	106	20	3	8	37	135	10	3	3	225	296	334	630	108	295	26	7	285	79	-13	-1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	SF	63%	520	468	105	20	3	8	37	136	10	2	4	224	294	329	623	106	294	26	7	282	77	-14	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	SF	65%	520	469	104	19	3	8	37	137	9	2	10	221	291	323	614	102	292	26	7	278	75	-16	-4	-1	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	SF	34%	59	54	10	2	0	0	4	16	1	0	0	210	278	288	566	78	287	27	7	259	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	SF	48%	153	139	30	6	1	1	10	41	3	1	1	213	283	299	581	85	289	27	7	266	68	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	SF	54%	231	208	46	9	1	3	16	61	5	1	1	216	286	308	594	91	290	26	7	271	72	-8	-0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	SF	57%	285	257	57	11	2	4	20	74	6	2	1	219	289	316	606	97	290	26	7	276	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	SF	58%	299	270	60	12	2	4	21	77	6	2	1	221	292	323	615	102	291	26	7	279	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	SF	57%	296	267	59	11	2	4	21	76	6	2	1	223	293	326	619	104	292	26	7	281	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	SF	57%	295	266	59	11	2	4	21	76	6	2	1	223	293	328	621	105	292	26	7	282	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	SF	60%	314	283	63	12	2	5	22	81	6	2	1	223	293	329	622	106	292	26	7	282	80	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	SF	62%	323	291	65	12	2	5	23	84	6	2	2	222	292	326	619	105	291	26	7	281	79	-8	-0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	SF	63%	329	297	66	13	2	5	23	86	6	1	3	220	290	322	612	102	290	26	7	278	77	-9	-1	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	SF	65%	338	305	67	13	2	5	24	89	6	1	6	218	288	316	603	98	289	26	7	274	75	-10	-2	-1	+6	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2922	2637	582	112	18	40	205	761	57	16	18	221	291	322	613	102	293	26	7	277	75	-81	-4	-1	+52	+63	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	130	25	4	9	46	169	13	4	4	221	293	324	617	102	294	26	7	277	75	-18	-1	-0	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5229	4712	1044	197	30	73	366	1366	101	28	31	222	292	323	614	101	294	26	7	279	75	-147	-7	-2	+92	+111	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	129	24	4	9	45	170	13	3	4	220	290	321	611	101	292	26	7	279	75	-19	-1	-0	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Cy Perkins'15-'34 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,015 PA	6.0	4,015	30	18	231*	292*	368*	+71	-3	5.9	7.1
/162	664	5	3	+11.8	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	3,004	43	16	224	291	327	+54	+28	4.9	4.5
/162	664	10	4	+11.9	+6.2	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrés Rivero (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	207/272/278	71	289	0	1	27%	6%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	36	35→50	46→50	50	171/258/234	63	226	2	8	23%	9%	44	-2.8	181/253/251	70	223	3	7	19%	8%	45	-2.7	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	38	38→45	44→40	39	186/244/267	81	261	5	5	29%	5%	45	-2.7	178/249/247	69	246	3	7	27%	6%	43	-2.8	204/256/296	92	295	6	4	31%	4%	53	-0.9
✕Andres Regnault 2017 · A	18	35	35→45	50→45	42	164/241/219	54	269	2	6	37%	8%	34	-3.5	194/261/280	86	254	7	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	190/260/287	96	229	10	6	21%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	37	35→45	48→40	42	177/235/231	54	239	3	5	27%	6%	33	-3.6	184/243/259	75	261	6	4	30%	5%	43	-2.8	180/240/266	87	256	7	2	31%	5%	41	-0.9
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	40→37	36→40	43→50	42	189/253/255	66	268	3	10	29%	7%	45	-2.7	186/285/263	77	351	4	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	162/274/240	78	346	5	7	47%	10%	51	-1.0
✕Sherten Apostel 2017 · A	18	37→35	35→45	46→40	41	175/245/234	59	282	3	4	36%	8%	38	-3.2	186/275/297	111	261	11	4	30%	10%	64	-1.3	193/267/324	131	282	16	2	36%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	38	35→40	46→60	41	182/244/236	54	260	2	9	29%	6%	38	-3.2	188/248/259	71	238	6	19	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Luis Yanel Diaz 2018 · A	18	37→42	37→45	47→55	36	177/228/253	75	267	3	8	33%	5%	35	-3.4	169/210/253	84	269	7	12	38%	5%	28	-3.9	187/241/306	119	310	13	21	42%	5%	50	-1.4
✕Emilio Guerrero 2012 · A	19	38→42	35→45	49→45	38	181/228/239	58	259	2	7	30%	5%	32	-3.7	204/253/289	85	283	6	9	29%	5%	53	-2.1	221/259/335	114	296	9	5	28%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jonathan Araúz 2017 · A	18	41→40	37→45	43→45	41	196/245/271	75	262	5	4	26%	5%	45	-2.7	200/257/291	91	255	7	4	23%	7%	55	-1.9	193/263/299	106	237	12	3	23%	8%	58	-1.0
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	36	37→40	45→40	39	173/235/244	71	229	4	7	25%	4%	36	-3.3	195/255/265	70	253	5	5	24%	5%	49	-2.4	187/247/244	57	242	6	3	24%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Randy César 2013 · A	18	38→48	34→40	46→40	47	178/244/228	50	224	2	5	21%	7%	36	-3.4	182/239/243	61	246	4	3	26%	6%	37	-3.3	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Jesús Bastidas 2017 · A	18	39→42	34→50	44→50	45	184/235/236	52	224	2	9	19%	5%	34	-3.5	189/240/243	54	248	2	8	23%	5%	37	-3.3	206/279/337	131	276	17	13	30%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45	43	177/243/251	73	245	2	8	27%	6%	41	-3.0	213/269/300	87	310	3	8	30%	6%	61	-1.5	239/291/346	107	354	2	8	31%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Bryan Andrade 2024 · A	19	36→40	33→45	48→50	47	171/241/213	42	219	2	4	22%	7%	32	-3.7	196/255/264	68	268	4	6	27%	6%	48	-2.5	201/265/290	89	271	8	7	27%	7%	57	-1.1
✕Yowelfy Rosario 2018 · A	18	39	35→45	51→45	39	187/234/244	57	271	2	6	31%	6%	35	-3.4	175/241/254	79	280	3	7	36%	7%	41	-3.0	143/219/228	85	234	3	7	37%	8%	26	-1.3
✕Marcus Wilson 2015 · A	18	39→49	36→50	48→50	38	184/244/251	67	300	4	8	38%	7%	41	-3.0	204/270/284	80	317	5	10	34%	8%	59	-1.7	217/286/315	97	318	7	11	31%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Daurys Mercedes 2009 · A	19	36	35→40	45	37	172/234/231	60	271	2	6	35%	6%	33	-3.6	186/260/252	66	274	2	7	30%	8%	47	-2.5	171/251/230	59	257	1	8	31%	9%	37	-1.1

Andrés Rivero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps