Ambeiro Recio

OF DSL Mariners

Age 18 R/R ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKSEA	70	.271/.368/.322	0	1	30	—	.177/.250/.210
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSEA	180	.202/.267/.265	1	2	52	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSEA	55	.205/.271/.274	0	1	57	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%60

BB%32

wOBA29

wRC+28

K%22

ISO16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDennys Riera (age 18) · Jean Selmo (age 18) · Victor Cardoza (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .264 / .262

PA67

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	70	59	16	3	0	0	9	20	0	1	0	271	368	322	690	51	390	29	13	313	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	70	62	11	2	0	0	6	24	0	1	0	177	250	210	460	32	260	34	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	70	62	11	2	0	0	6	24	0	1	0	177	250	210	460	32	275	34	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	70	59	16	3	0	0	9	20	0	1	0	271	368	322	690	51	390	29	13	313	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	70	64	11	2	0	0	6	24	0	1	0	172	250	203	453	31	260	34	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	70	64	11	2	0	0	6	24	0	1	0	172	250	203	453	31	260	34	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	180	164	33	5	1	1	13	54	1	2	1	202	267	265	531	63	290	30	7	244	52	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	160	146	30	5	1	1	12	47	1	2	1	206	273	277	550	71	292	29	8	252	57	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
2028	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	55	51	10	2	0	0	4	16	0	1	0	205	271	274	545	69	290	29	7	251	57	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	51	10	2	0	0	4	16	0	1	0	196	255	235	490	39	286	29	7	251	49	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	119	24	0	0	47	189	0	12	0	197	255	237	493	40	287	29	7	251	49	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	297	270	53	9	1	1	23	91	1	4	1	196	262	248	510	52	287	31	8	241	49	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	116	20	2	2	50	199	2	9	2	196	261	247	508	51	287	31	8	241	49	-35	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ambeiro Recio (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	200/264/262	62	290	0	1	30%	7%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Sherten Apostel 2017 · A	18	37→35	35→45	46→40	41	175/245/234	59	282	3	4	36%	8%	38	-3.2	186/275/297	111	261	11	4	30%	10%	64	-1.3	193/267/324	131	282	16	2	36%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	38	37→45	51→55	42	182/249/251	69	265	4	10	31%	7%	43	-2.8	183/257/282	99	270	8	12	33%	8%	54	-2.0	154/234/265	111	235	11	17	37%	8%	40	-0.8
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	37	37→40	48→40	49	176/273/245	69	259	5	4	31%	10%	53	-2.1	181/273/257	76	304	5	4	38%	9%	55	-2.0	161/257/235	74	286	5	3	41%	9%	43	-0.8
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	39→36	37→40	50	43	187/252/262	75	256	4	8	27%	7%	47	-2.6	212/263/294	82	263	5	14	20%	5%	58	-1.7	223/269/315	92	265	7	18	18%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Romer Cuadrado 2016 · A	18	36	36→40	44→45	42	176/239/238	62	247	3	10	28%	6%	36	-3.3	195/257/282	87	304	7	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	190/248/276	86	310	7	6	39%	6%	46	-1.5
✕Kendry Chirinos 2023 · A	18	37	36→40	47→50	50	173/283/243	70	269	3	4	33%	11%	57	-1.8	188/290/262	74	322	5	5	38%	11%	63	-1.4	190/285/262	72	323	6	3	38%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Omar Meregildo 2016 · A	18	32→31	37→50	46→30	41	158/243/240	81	249	4	5	35%	8%	40	-3.1	178/239/259	81	271	5	5	34%	6%	42	-2.9	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Jose Pena 2011 · A	18	35→36	37→45	47→40	47	170/252/248	77	248	3	6	30%	9%	45	-2.7	178/233/281	103	244	8	4	29%	6%	44	-2.8	173/221/298	125	225	12	3	29%	5%	42	-1.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	36	37→40	45→40	39	173/235/244	71	229	4	7	25%	4%	36	-3.3	195/255/265	70	253	5	5	24%	5%	49	-2.4	187/247/244	57	242	6	3	24%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Deward Tovar 2024 · A	18	40→32	36→50	47→40	44	188/257/254	67	280	3	7	32%	8%	47	-2.5	183/259/279	96	306	9	6	39%	9%	54	-2.0	168/247/288	120	280	14	4	42%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Yoel Romero 2016 · A	18	35	35→40	43→50	39	171/229/232	61	249	2	6	30%	5%	31	-3.7	185/246/243	58	237	3	11	22%	7%	40	-3.0	216/278/289	73	280	6	10	24%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	45	48	183/272/267	84	278	5	7	33%	10%	56	-1.9	171/272/262	91	324	7	5	44%	11%	56	-1.9	141/253/223	82	287	7	3	47%	12%	39	-1.2
✕José Suárez 2023 · A	18	38	40	48→50	42	183/254/278	95	277	7	5	34%	8%	51	-2.2	188/244/278	90	306	8	7	39%	6%	48	-2.5	188/243/267	80	307	7	10	39%	5%	41	-1.4
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Edison Sanchez 2009 · A	18	36	36→45	50→45	46	165/275/231	66	277	3	5	37%	10%	51	-2.2	184/287/263	79	277	5	7	32%	10%	62	-1.4	169/279/248	78	253	5	6	31%	10%	54	-0.5
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	38	35→40	46→60	41	182/244/236	54	260	2	9	29%	6%	38	-3.2	188/248/259	71	238	6	19	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	37	35→30	41→45	43	177/257/230	54	251	3	8	28%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/270	72	273	5	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	187/282/246	59	249	4	4	24%	8%	54	-1.0