Player 837849 — OGILVIE

Player 8378491B DSL Orioles Black

Age — —/— ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .321 / .294

PA61

HR0

K%22

BB%11

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	20	14	4	1	0	0	5	1	1	2	1	286	500	357	857	71	308	5	25	411	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	20	16	3	1	0	0	4	1	1	2	1	188	400	250	650	62	203	5	20	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	4	1	1	2	1	200	400	267	667	67	214	5	20	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	20	14	4	1	0	0	5	1	1	2	1	286	500	357	857	71	308	5	25	411	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	4	1	1	2	1	200	400	267	667	67	203	5	20	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	4	1	1	2	1	200	400	267	667	67	203	5	20	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	200	172	38	7	1	1	22	44	4	5	1	224	324	297	621	73	291	22	11	289	82	-4	+1	+0	-4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	105	91	21	4	1	1	11	23	2	3	0	225	324	303	627	78	290	22	10	291	83	-2	+1	+0	-2	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	228	326	308	635	80	294	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	186	159	35	7	1	1	22	37	4	7	1	220	330	296	625	75	279	20	12	290	82	-3	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	556	121	24	3	3	77	129	14	24	3	218	328	288	615	70	276	20	12	290	82	-14	+4	+0	-12	+14	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837849 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	222/321/294	73	291	0	2	22%	11%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	48→45	37→40	51→55	50	222/299/303	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	74	-0.5	219/280/293	74	275	4	16	20%	7%	64	-1.3	222/278/280	58	278	2	20	19%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	49→48	38→40	53→55	47	232/294/310	78	296	6	15	23%	7%	73	-0.6	222/304/296	74	290	6	18	23%	9%	74	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	43→47	40	51→50	49	206/289/302	96	264	7	15	23%	8%	70	-0.8	196/279/271	75	271	4	12	27%	9%	60	-1.6	170/265/220	50	242	2	11	27%	9%	42	-1.7
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→45	38→40	50	46	230/290/312	82	295	5	14	23%	7%	72	-0.7	226/293/298	72	303	4	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	231/308/275	44	315	2	12	24%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	49→50	39→40	53→55	50	230/306/315	86	310	5	17	26%	10%	79	-0.2	219/298/312	93	307	7	17	28%	9%	76	-0.4	175/283/245	70	255	5	31	30%	12%	55	-0.4
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→49	36→45	49→55	49	215/306/280	65	310	3	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	219/310/330	111	306	8	15	28%	10%	85	+0.2	213/311/328	115	295	8	16	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Conner Crumbliss 2012 · A	25	48	39→45	51→50	59	225/323/311	87	282	5	14	21%	12%	85	+0.2	217/314/328	111	263	10	14	20%	11%	86	+0.3	209/307/325	117	245	11	14	19%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	51→50	39→45	54→50	46	239/297/327	87	315	6	19	25%	7%	78	-0.3	235/282/335	100	295	8	15	22%	6%	74	-0.6	234/277/328	95	281	8	14	19%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jonathan Johnson 2015 · A	26	45→49	38→40	56→50	52	212/294/294	82	265	4	15	20%	9%	70	-0.8	223/308/309	86	261	5	15	16%	9%	79	-0.2	222/312/301	79	258	5	16	15%	10%	76	-0.3
✕Justin Maffei 2016 · A	24	49→50	37→40	49→50	46	229/297/302	73	302	3	11	24%	7%	73	-0.6	230/300/301	71	302	4	11	23%	8%	74	-0.6	231/306/277	46	305	2	11	22%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2011 · A	25	47	40	51→50	45	224/287/320	96	303	6	13	27%	7%	73	-0.6	200/259/285	85	283	6	15	30%	6%	55	-2.0	143/202/191	48	204	4	22	31%	5%	11	-1.6
✕Mike Sansoe 2007 · A	24	52	37→40	53→55	47	242/304/318	76	319	3	17	24%	8%	78	-0.3	223/279/296	73	301	4	14	25%	7%	63	-1.3	210/266/262	52	285	1	14	25%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Dan Nelson 2009 · A	25	45→48	37→45	48→50	51	213/290/286	73	282	4	13	25%	10%	67	-1.1	226/288/332	106	281	9	10	22%	8%	76	-0.4	234/292/343	109	281	10	8	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Cam Devanney 2021 · A	24	47→42	40→50	52→45	48	226/290/320	94	268	7	15	18%	7%	74	-0.5	199/263/320	121	268	13	5	29%	7%	65	-1.2	216/280/368	152	278	16	7	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ripken Reyes 2022 · A	25	50→46	37→40	53→50	45	232/328/312	80	309	4	13	24%	7%	88	+0.5	213/319/291	78	258	5	15	18%	8%	81	-0.1	202/312/276	74	242	5	17	17%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	46	38→50	50→45	55	213/319/291	78	295	5	8	26%	12%	80	-0.2	204/280/316	112	256	12	7	25%	7%	71	-0.8	185/261/293	108	223	14	6	24%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→48	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	95	251	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.6	217/293/338	121	276	12	18	24%	8%	80	-0.2	228/301/359	131	273	14	24	21%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	207/287/286	78	267	5	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	209/275/301	92	287	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	182/244/266	84	253	9	5	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→51	40→45	53→55	40	226/275/318	92	294	7	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	228/297/335	107	282	9	16	21%	6%	81	-0.1	225/300/334	109	273	9	18	20%	6%	81	-0.0