Player 837803 — OGILVIE

Player 837803— DSL CLE Mendoza

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .294 / .217

PA68

HR0

K%19

BB%10

BABIP255

ISO17

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	PIT	—	90	72	17	1	0	0	12	10	3	8	3	236	368	250	618	14	266	11	13	291	81	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
YTD	—	ROK	PIT	—	90	64	19	1	0	0	20	7	3	8	3	297	483	312	795	16	322	8	22	375	145	+5	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.6
ROS	—	ROK	PIT	0%	68	60	12	1	0	0	7	13	1	2	1	200	294	217	511	17	285	19	10	283	75	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	269	64	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	PIT	—	90	73	17	1	0	0	12	10	3	8	3	233	368	247	614	14	262	11	13	291	81	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
TOT	—	ROK	PIT	—	158	132	29	2	0	0	19	23	4	10	4	220	335	235	570	15	261	15	12	287	78	-4	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PIT	0%	160	140	32	4	1	1	16	32	3	4	1	229	321	293	614	64	287	20	10	289	79	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	PIT	0%	306	267	62	8	1	3	31	61	5	6	1	232	323	303	627	71	287	20	10	292	82	-6	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	PIT	0%	404	354	83	11	2	5	41	82	6	8	2	234	324	319	643	85	287	20	10	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-7	+11	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	PIT	0%	469	412	96	12	2	6	47	95	7	10	2	233	322	316	637	83	287	20	10	296	85	-8	+1	+0	-8	+13	-0.2
2031	25	MLB	PIT	0%	514	449	106	14	2	7	52	104	8	10	2	236	326	323	649	87	287	20	10	297	86	-8	+1	+0	-9	+15	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	276	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	280	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	282	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	284	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	285	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1921	1682	391	50	8	22	194	387	30	40	9	232	323	311	634	78	288	20	10	294	84	-36	+4	+0	-34	+54	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	132	17	3	7	66	131	10	14	3	232	322	309	632	77	288	20	10	294	84	-12	+2	+0	-12	+18	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA	8	2,389	17	24	246	315	322	+2	+9	2.5	2.7
	/162	664	5	7	246	315	322	+0.5	+2.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,011	25	42	235	320	316	-23	+0	0.1	0.2
	/162	664	8	14	235	320	316	-7.5	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837803 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	220/335/235	15	261	0	10	15%	12%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	47→44	37→40	51→55	51	221/300/301	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	71	-0.3	219/280/293	74	278	4	16	21%	7%	59	-1.1	224/278/281	57	285	2	20	21%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Justin Maffei 2016 · A	24	50	37→40	50	46	233/299/306	74	305	3	11	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/299/300	72	302	4	11	24%	8%	69	-0.4	224/300/271	47	301	1	11	23%	8%	60	-0.2
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→46	38→40	50	46	232/292/315	82	298	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.3	229/297/301	72	307	4	12	25%	8%	69	-0.4	236/315/281	45	322	2	12	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Dan Nelson 2009 · A	25	45→51	37→45	48→50	51	213/291/287	74	283	4	13	25%	10%	63	-0.9	231/294/340	109	288	9	10	22%	8%	78	+0.2	241/300/355	114	292	10	8	20%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jonny Tucker 2008 · A	25	51→54	36→40	48→55	51	240/299/310	70	279	3	14	15%	7%	71	-0.3	242/300/329	87	286	4	18	16%	7%	76	+0.1	241/300/329	88	284	4	22	16%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Brent Wyatt 2010 · A	25	46→50	37→40	51→50	50	216/297/297	81	260	4	12	18%	8%	69	-0.4	219/302/314	95	281	7	11	23%	8%	76	+0.0	216/306/314	98	284	8	11	24%	9%	74	-0.1
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→47	39→45	49→60	42	209/273/298	89	279	5	17	26%	6%	58	-1.2	219/305/336	117	296	11	28	28%	8%	82	+0.5	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	43	38→40	50	50	205/285/287	82	263	6	9	23%	9%	61	-1.0	207/276/302	95	284	8	8	28%	8%	60	-1.0	181/247/265	84	252	9	5	30%	7%	39	-0.9
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	48→53	38→40	52→55	47	224/295/304	81	307	5	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	225/290/308	83	316	7	11	29%	8%	67	-0.5	221/282/297	76	309	7	9	29%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	47	38→50	50→45	55	216/320/294	78	299	5	8	26%	12%	79	+0.3	206/285/319	113	263	12	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3	188/269/298	110	231	14	6	25%	7%	56	-0.5
✕Daniel Amaral 2021 · A	24	48	37→40	53→55	43	223/287/300	77	306	4	16	27%	6%	65	-0.7	212/277/328	116	292	11	20	30%	7%	68	-0.5	208/280/321	113	279	11	31	28%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Adam Law 2015 · A	25	50→48	34→40	52→55	46	231/287/286	55	287	1	20	19%	6%	60	-1.0	244/297/310	66	314	3	16	22%	6%	70	-0.3	250/300/324	74	322	3	15	22%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→48	36→45	49→55	49	213/306/279	66	310	3	11	29%	10%	69	-0.4	214/304/326	112	305	9	15	30%	10%	79	+0.3	206/303/321	115	290	9	16	29%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Julian Williams 2007 · A	24	48	36→30	49→55	48	220/306/293	73	294	3	15	24%	8%	72	-0.2	220/294/288	68	282	3	17	21%	8%	65	-0.7	218/293/263	45	274	0	23	19%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Nick Blasi 2007 · A	25	47→55	38→40	52→50	44	223/278/307	85	296	5	11	25%	6%	62	-0.9	228/278/312	84	322	7	11	30%	6%	63	-0.8	231/279/305	74	332	7	12	31%	5%	58	-0.8