Player 837742 — OGILVIE

Player 837742— DSL Arizona Black

Age — —/— ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .284 / .269

PA74

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO60

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	ARI	—	84	73	17	2	2	0	8	13	3	11	5	233	333	315	648	82	283	15	10	284	76	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
YTD	—	ROK	ARI	—	84	68	20	3	2	0	13	9	3	11	5	294	429	397	826	103	339	11	15	380	149	+5	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.6
ROS	—	ROK	ARI	0%	74	67	14	2	1	0	6	17	1	4	1	209	284	269	552	60	289	23	8	281	73	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	268	64	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	ARI	—	84	74	17	2	2	0	8	13	3	11	5	230	333	311	644	81	279	15	10	284	76	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
TOT	—	ROK	ARI	—	158	140	31	4	3	0	14	30	4	15	6	221	310	293	603	71	282	19	9	282	74	-5	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	ARI	0%	160	142	32	5	2	1	14	36	3	6	1	225	308	310	618	85	288	22	9	284	76	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	ARI	0%	306	272	62	10	4	3	26	69	5	11	2	228	307	327	634	99	289	23	8	288	79	-7	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	ARI	0%	404	360	82	13	5	5	35	91	6	15	3	228	307	333	640	106	289	23	9	291	81	-9	+2	+0	-7	+11	-0.3
2030	25	MLB	ARI	0%	469	418	95	15	5	6	41	106	7	17	3	227	307	330	637	103	289	23	9	292	82	-10	+2	+0	-8	+13	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	274	68	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	278	71	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	281	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	283	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1413	1259	285	45	17	15	122	319	22	53	10	226	306	325	631	98	290	23	9	289	80	-32	+7	+0	-25	+40	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	132	21	8	7	56	147	10	24	5	228	307	328	635	100	292	23	9	289	80	-15	+3	+0	-12	+18	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,497	17	54	228	304	329	-17	+0	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	8	24	228	304	329	-7.6	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837742 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	221/310/293	71	282	0	15	19%	9%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Michael Gigliotti 2021 · A	25	48	37→40	54→55	43	226/285/304	78	299	4	22	24%	6%	64	-0.8	210/301/330	120	292	11	21	30%	9%	79	+0.3	194/304/312	118	265	11	24	28%	11%	75	+0.0
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	46	37→40	56→60	40	210/275/284	75	323	5	19	34%	7%	56	-1.3	211/292/319	108	304	12	33	32%	9%	72	-0.2	199/283/299	99	284	13	41	32%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Adam Law 2015 · A	25	50→48	34→40	52→55	46	231/287/286	55	287	1	20	19%	6%	60	-1.0	244/297/310	66	314	3	16	22%	6%	70	-0.3	250/300/324	74	322	3	15	22%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Daniel Amaral 2021 · A	24	48	37→40	53→55	43	223/287/300	77	306	4	16	27%	6%	65	-0.7	212/277/328	116	292	11	20	30%	7%	68	-0.5	208/280/321	113	279	11	31	28%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	45	245/301/332	87	326	5	19	26%	7%	78	+0.2	229/276/328	99	293	8	15	24%	6%	66	-0.6	222/267/316	94	272	8	14	21%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	47→44	37→40	51→55	51	221/300/301	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	71	-0.3	219/280/293	74	278	4	16	21%	7%	59	-1.1	224/278/281	57	285	2	20	21%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Tyler Holt 2014 · AA	25	46→56	36→40	56→55	45	217/271/287	70	283	2	20	23%	7%	53	-1.5	244/307/310	66	316	2	24	21%	8%	75	-0.0	254/325/312	58	329	1	27	21%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→47	39→45	49→60	42	209/273/298	89	279	5	17	26%	6%	58	-1.2	219/305/336	117	296	11	28	28%	8%	82	+0.5	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Cade Gotta 2017 · AA	25	45→51	41→45	56→55	42	220/264/324	103	281	8	21	24%	5%	60	-1.0	235/287/337	102	301	7	29	23%	7%	73	-0.1	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→46	38→40	50	46	232/292/315	82	298	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.3	229/297/301	72	307	4	12	25%	8%	69	-0.4	236/315/281	45	322	2	12	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA	25	42→47	40→45	55	47	206/277/296	90	272	8	23	26%	8%	59	-1.1	239/290/343	104	296	9	23	21%	6%	76	+0.1	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	48→53	38→40	52→55	47	224/295/304	81	307	5	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	225/290/308	83	316	7	11	29%	8%	67	-0.5	221/282/297	76	309	7	9	29%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3