Tatsuya Imai

P Houston Astros

Age 29 RHP 5'11" / 176 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	28	MIX3 levels	25	17	82	5.29	4.36	27.9%	16.1%	1.0	K 28.7% · BB 15.1% · FIP 4.09
2027PROJ	29	MLBHOU	8	8	48	4.53	4.62	30.1%	15.8%	0.4
2028PROJ87% MLB	30	MLBHOU	9	9	52	4.68	4.80	28.8%	15.5%	0.4
2029PROJ90% MLB	31	MLBHOU	8	8	46	4.85	4.99	27.6%	15.4%	0.2

Last 1 season WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%85

FB Velo54

xwOBA vs36

Form2.00 ERA (proj 4.53) · K 34.2% (proj 30.1%) · BB 15.1% (proj 15.8%) ▲ last 90d · 18 IP through Oct 27

CompsYariel Rodríguez (age 27) · Fabio Castillo (age 28) · Ariel Peña (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.62

K%30.1%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%14.3%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL2020

CMD5050

K†7070

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5494.8

Whiff%

p9032.7%

p8528.7%

xwOBA vs

p360.328

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	17	82	366	102	59	10	68%	3.3	28.7%	15.1%	13.6%	2.7%	5.29	4.09	+1.3
2026	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	17	82	366	102	59	10	68%	3.3	28.7%	15.1%	13.6%	2.7%	5.29	4.09	+1.3
2026	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	17	82	366	102	59	10	68%	3.3	27.9%	16.1%	11.7%	2.7%	5.29	4.36	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	15	77	338	97	51	9	65%	3.3	28.7%	15.1%	13.6%	2.7%	4.93	4.09	+1.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	HOU	8	8	48	203	61	32	6	100%	6.0	30.1%	15.8%	14.3%	3.1%	4.53	4.62	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	10	10	60	253	73	39	8	100%	6.0	28.8%	15.5%	13.3%	3.3%	4.68	4.80	+0.4
2029	31	MLB MLE	HOU	9	9	52	219	61	34	8	100%	5.8	27.6%	15.4%	12.3%	3.5%	4.85	4.99	+0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	9	9	52	220	63	34	7	100%	5.8	28.8%	15.5%	13.3%	3.3%	4.68	4.80	+0.4
2029	31	MLB CTX	HOU	8	8	46	194	54	30	7	100%	5.8	27.6%	15.4%	12.3%	3.5%	4.85	4.99	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	31	175	755	215	115	23	79%	4.5	28.4%	15.3%	13.2%	3.0%	4.83	4.30	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		45	36	200	861	245	131	26	80%	4.4	28.4%	15.3%	13.2%	3.0%	4.83	4.30	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		25	17	82	366	105	55	10	68%	3.3	28.7%	15.1%	13.6%	2.7%	5.29	4.09	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	42	200	896	257	135	25	68%	3.3	28.7%	15.1%	13.6%	2.7%	5.29	4.09	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tatsuya Imai (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.62	30.1%	15.8%	3.1%	—	4.89	28.2%	12.8%	112	+0.27	—	—	—
Yariel Rodríguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	27	SP	3.76	24.9%	11.4%	2.4%	.275	3.72	24.1%	12.7%	89	-0.04	2.32	196	66
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	60
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	56
Mitch Neunborn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	27	SP-	4.25	19.0%	12.0%	2.2%	.285	5.80	16.4%	6.5%	114	+1.55	3.65	248	53
Burch Smith R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	29	SW	3.96	22.6%	12.3%	2.2%	.271	4.19	14.9%	9.0%	43	+0.23	3.50	418	52
Dinelson Lamet R 2021 · 3.67 FIP	29	SW	3.67	27.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.339	4.61	20.7%	8.6%	176	+0.94	2.11	778	51
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	51
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	50
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	50
Alex Meyer R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	27	SP	3.99	25.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	230	50
Dustin McGowan R 2011 · 5.34 FIP	29	SP-	5.34	20.8%	13.5%	4.2%	.271	4.46	18.5%	9.4%	108	-0.88	3.36	690	49
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	49
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	48
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	236	47
Kolton Mahoney R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	19.4%	8.8%	1.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	302	47
Mitch Atkins R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	30	SP-	3.65	21.4%	8.2%	2.4%	.341	4.77	14.3%	6.2%	78	+1.12	3.65	215	47
Daniel Gossett R 2022 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.8%	12.4%	2.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	727	47
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	384	47
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	46
Andrew Triggs R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP	4.68	23.6%	9.9%	4.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	1.66	242	46

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	62	28.8%	15.4%	1.19	4.76
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Amir Garrett ('24)	1.7	55	26.7%	13.3%	1.52	4.95
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30