Conner Westenburg

Conner WestenburgOF Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION291 act + 194 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .281 / .318

PA194

HR2

SB13

K%30

BB%6

BABIP310

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED75

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	SD	—	291	257	58	13	3	1	16	97	13	36	5	226	304	311	615	86	356	33	5	265	61	-13	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
YTD	23	A	SD	—	291	250	66	16	4	1	22	72	13	36	5	264	353	372	725	108	365	25	8	325	107	+2	+5	+0	-2	+8	1.4
ROS	23	A	SD	0%	194	176	38	8	2	2	11	59	5	13	2	216	281	318	599	102	303	30	6	266	62	-8	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		300	—	—	243	44	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	SD	—	291	258	58	13	3	1	16	97	13	36	5	225	304	310	614	85	354	33	5	265	61	-13	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
TOT	23	A	SD	—	485	433	96	21	5	3	27	156	18	49	7	222	295	314	609	92	337	32	6	265	61	-21	+7	+0	-3	+14	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	565	512	110	22	4	7	35	165	13	23	4	215	282	314	597	100	300	29	6	271	66	-22	+3	+0	-3	+16	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	597	541	119	24	5	9	38	171	13	22	3	220	287	333	620	113	299	29	6	277	70	-20	+3	+0	-4	+17	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	614	556	122	24	5	10	40	174	13	22	3	219	287	335	622	115	299	28	7	281	73	-19	+3	+0	-4	+17	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	621	561	124	25	5	10	42	176	13	21	3	221	291	337	627	116	299	28	7	282	74	-18	+3	+0	-4	+18	-0.2
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	620	560	123	25	4	10	42	176	13	20	3	220	289	332	622	112	298	28	7	281	73	-19	+3	-1	-4	+18	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	170	153	33	7	1	2	11	50	4	7	1	216	286	314	599	98	296	29	6	251	50	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	263	238	51	10	2	4	17	75	6	10	2	214	284	324	607	109	296	29	6	258	55	-13	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	311	281	61	12	2	5	20	88	7	11	2	217	286	327	613	110	295	28	6	261	58	-15	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	325	293	64	13	2	5	22	92	7	11	2	218	289	328	616	109	295	28	7	263	59	-15	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	330	298	64	13	2	5	22	94	7	11	2	215	284	322	607	107	294	28	7	262	59	-15	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1399	1264	273	55	9	21	92	399	31	50	9	216	286	324	609	108	296	29	7	260	57	-68	+6	-0	-8	+40	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	127	26	4	10	43	185	14	23	4	216	286	325	611	109	295	28	7	260	57	-32	+3	-0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	3211	2906	636	128	25	48	208	921	70	121	18	219	287	330	617	111	301	29	6	278	71	-106	+17	-1	-19	+91	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	129	26	5	10	42	186	14	24	4	219	287	332	618	112	301	29	6	278	71	-22	+3	-0	-4	+18	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,721	25	59	217	281	324	-10	+0	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	10	23	217	281	324	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Conner Westenburg (OGILVIE)	23	28→33	30→35	70→75	46	222/295/314	92	337	3	49	32%	6%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	42→52	38→40	60	41	201/253/277	76	278	5	22	29%	6%	43	-2.2	244/309/320	76	313	3	35	21%	8%	78	+0.2	252/319/328	76	317	2	38	19%	8%	81	+0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	46→48	39→40	61→65	44	220/280/308	88	290	6	31	25%	7%	63	-0.8	207/260/286	79	295	5	32	30%	6%	49	-1.8	194/246/265	71	285	4	34	32%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Rico Noel 2012 · A	23	41→51	37→30	62→65	43	198/264/273	75	258	5	31	24%	6%	48	-1.9	227/289/278	51	330	2	44	29%	7%	59	-1.1	223/285/267	44	315	1	49	27%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	42	38→40	58→60	41	198/263/275	77	277	5	25	29%	6%	48	-1.9	231/299/299	68	313	3	16	25%	8%	69	-0.4	243/314/298	55	326	2	16	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	42	41→40	58→60	40	198/267/289	91	321	9	25	38%	8%	53	-1.5	189/272/270	81	309	6	19	37%	9%	52	-1.6	97/227/121	24	177	0	28	39%	12%	-4	-1.2
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A	24	42→48	39→50	61→60	38	203/255/284	81	299	6	33	33%	6%	46	-2.0	204/262/314	110	293	8	25	31%	6%	57	-1.2	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Kristopher Negrón 2009 · A	23	45→51	40→45	57→55	43	218/277/315	97	276	7	19	23%	6%	64	-0.8	223/282/323	100	290	9	20	25%	6%	68	-0.5	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	39→46	44→50	63→65	36	197/241/326	129	286	10	34	34%	5%	51	-1.7	198/238/314	116	291	8	24	34%	4%	46	-2.0	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Andrew Means 2010 · A	23	44→47	40→30	59→55	37	213/257/303	90	281	7	20	26%	4%	53	-1.5	220/256/288	68	301	5	21	28%	3%	47	-1.9	221/258/280	58	301	4	24	27%	3%	42	-1.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Joel Booker 2017 · A	23	48→49	37→40	59→55	43	226/289/297	71	298	4	26	24%	6%	64	-0.8	223/274/297	74	315	5	19	29%	5%	58	-1.2	218/270/290	72	312	6	19	30%	4%	51	-1.3
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	41→51	37→40	58→60	42	192/266/262	70	277	4	29	30%	7%	46	-2.0	217/274/303	86	308	5	27	29%	6%	59	-1.1	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	56→60	49	205/317/266	61	285	3	23	26%	9%	72	-0.2	205/319/264	59	293	3	20	29%	7%	72	-0.2	181/319/211	31	274	2	26	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Randy Romero 2022 · A	22	46	35→40	59→60	44	214/257/281	66	260	2	21	18%	5%	46	-2.0	199/246/267	68	293	4	13	32%	5%	37	-2.6	166/202/202	36	264	3	19	37%	4%	1	-1.0
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	37	39→45	61→55	35	181/228/275	94	281	5	18	36%	5%	32	-3.0	201/244/290	89	293	5	17	32%	5%	43	-2.2	208/231/276	68	278	4	26	26%	2%	29	-0.8
✕Manuel Hilario 2014 · A	22	44	40→45	57→55	47	209/283/310	101	272	6	18	24%	8%	66	-0.6	206/261/285	79	284	5	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	167/216/208	41	224	4	10	26%	4%	8	-0.8