Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
23
AMLE
SD
—
437
388
83
18
5
1
22
148
17
48
8
214
286
294
580
80
342
34
5
247
53
-24
+6
+0
-5
+9
-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD
23
ARAW
SD
—
359
311
82
20
4
1
25
84
15
45
5
264
347
363
710
100
357
23
7
318
53
—
—
—
—
—
—
YTD
23
A+RAW
SD
—
78
67
12
2
2
0
6
26
2
3
3
179
267
269
535
90
293
33
8
240
53
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
23
AMLE
SD
0%
10
9
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0
111
200
111
311
301
30
10
257
60
-0
+0
+0
-0
+0
-0.0
TOT
23
AMLE
SD
—
447
397
84
18
5
1
23
151
17
49
8
212
284
290
573
78
337
34
5
247
53
-25
+7
+0
-5
+10
-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
24
MLBMLE
SD
30%
472
431
92
19
4
5
27
138
11
19
3
213
277
311
588
97
297
29
6
264
65
-20
+3
+0
-5
+10
-1.2
2028
25
MLBMLE
SD
44%
510
463
101
21
4
7
30
146
12
19
3
218
283
326
609
108
297
29
6
272
70
-18
+3
+0
-5
+11
-1.0
2029
26
MLBMLE
SD
51%
550
499
109
22
4
8
34
155
12
19
4
218
284
327
611
108
296
28
6
277
73
-17
+2
+0
-6
+12
-0.9
2030
27
MLBMLE
SD
52%
595
540
118
24
4
9
37
168
13
20
4
219
285
328
613
109
296
28
6
278
74
-18
+2
+0
-6
+13
-1.0
2027
24
MLBCTX
SD
30%
142
130
27
6
1
1
8
41
3
6
1
208
270
292
562
85
293
29
6
245
65
-6
+1
+0
-2
+3
-0.4
2028
25
MLBCTX
SD
44%
225
205
44
9
2
3
13
64
5
8
2
215
278
322
600
107
293
28
6
254
70
-8
+1
+0
-2
+5
-0.5
2029
26
MLBCTX
SD
51%
279
254
55
11
2
4
17
79
6
10
2
217
282
323
604
106
293
28
6
259
73
-9
+1
+0
-3
+6
-0.5
2030
27
MLBCTX
SD
52%
312
282
61
12
2
5
20
88
7
10
2
216
285
326
611
110
293
28
6
260
74
-10
+1
+0
-3
+7
-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
A+C
—
958
871
187
38
7
13
58
272
21
34
7
215
280
319
599
104
294
28
6
256
71
-32
+4
+0
-10
+21
-1.8
/ 162G
—
A+C
—
650
591
128
26
5
9
39
185
14
23
5
217
281
323
604
107
297
28
6
256
71
-22
+3
+0
-7
+14
-1.2
Career
—
MLE
—
2137
1942
421
86
16
29
129
610
48
78
14
217
282
322
605
106
298
29
6
273
71
-74
+10
+0
-23
+46
-4.2
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
591
128
26
5
9
39
186
15
24
4
217
282
323
605
107
298
29
6
273
71
-23
+3
+0
-7
+14
-1.3
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection